WEEK 17 #'S and INSIGHTS

[THEGAME9000]

WEEK 17

ARI 111
ATL 122
BAL 125
BUF 114
CAR 122
CHI 117
CIN 112
CLE 112
DAL 124
DEN 113
DET 103
GB 121
HOU 116
IND 124
JAX 116
KC 109
MIA 116
MIN 123
NE 124
NOR 124
NYG 125
NYJ 117
OAK 109
PHI 123
PIT 126
STL 102
SD 124
SF 113
SEA 114
TBY 118
TEN 129
WAS 118

2nd half of season tally from week 9 on...

overall.....68-47-3 ats
as dogs...31-14-1 ats
afc dogs..22-4 ats

FINAL WEEK REG SEASON

OAK at TB(13) 39...
oak 0-5 ats in reg season finale last 5 years
oak 1-12-1 ats in last non-div road game s 93
oak 1-7-1 under in last non-div road game s 99
tb 6-2 ats in 2nd of b2b home games s 04
system...road teams in thier final game off an ats win are 6-18 ats s 80 if playing an opp .500 or better off a su fav loss

DET at GB(10.5) 43...
det 5-2 ats in last 7 reg sea finales
det 6-1 ats off a su loss of 30+pts s 04
det 6-3 ats after allowing 40+pts s 03
det 10-4-1 ats in last 15 road games off a su home loss of 10+pts s 97
gb 4-0-1 ats in last 5 reg sea finales
series...2nd game has been the lower scoring 11 of last 14 years(73-1st)
..........team who covered 1st game is 3-11-1 ats in 2nd game last 15 years(gb-1st)
system...road teams off 7+ su losses are 32-13 ats s 83
system...home teams off an ot game vs an opp who lost last game su have gone 8-24 under s 97 if this games total is 41+pts

NYG at MIN(7) 42...
ny 5-1 ats in last 6 reg sea finales
min 1-7 ats in last 8 reg sea finales
min 1-10 under as favs of 7+pts s 03
system...road teams in thier final game off an ats win are 6-18 ats s 80 if playing an opp .500 or better off a su fav loss

CAR(2.5) at NOR 51.5...
car 5-1 ats in last 6 reg sea finales
car 6-1 ats as div road favs s 04
car 7-1 ats on the road in thier reg sea finale s 95
no 2-9 ats in last 11 reg sea finales s 97
no 3-13-1 under at home off b2b road games s 00
series...the road team covered 14 of last 16
...........teams split ats wins last 6 straight years (car-1st)

STL at ATL(14) 44...
stl 12-6 ats after playing sf s 99
atl 11-5-1 ats at home in reg sea finale s 77
atl 4-11-1 under as favs s 06
system...road teams off 7+ su losses are 32-13 ats s 83

KC at CIN(3) 38.5...
kc 14-5 ats on the road in reg sea finale s 77
kc 15-3 ats as dogs in reg sea finale s 77
system...non-div home favs of 3pts or less who won by 13pts or more last week are 40-17-2 ats s 89 (check gametime line)

TEN(3) at IND 38.5...
ten 5-2 ats as div road favs s 02
ind 2-13 ats in last 15 reg sea finales
series...team who covered 1st game covered 2nd all 6 years of series (ten-1st)

CLE at PIT(11) 34...
cle 4-0 ats off a shut out loss s 03
cle 5-1 ats in last 6 reg sea finales
cle 6-0 ats after hosting cin s 02
cle 7-0 over after hosting cin s 01
pit 2-7 ats off a su loss as a road fav s 02
pit 11-2 over in final home games s 95
pit 21-8-2 over at home s 05
series...1 game's margin of victory has been close and 1 game's has been larger 7 of last 9 years...
(99) 1pt-43pts
(00) 3pts-22pts
(01) 3pts-21pts
(02) 3pts-3pts
(03) 7pts-20pts
(04) 11pts-14pts
(05) 13pts-41pts
(06) 4pts-20pts
(07) 3pts-27pts
(08) 4pts-

NE(6) at BUF 40...
ne 11-2 ats as div road favs s 02
ne 21-12-1 ats after allowing less than 14pts s 03
buf 1-4 ats in last 5 reg sea finales
buf 7-3-1 ats off a su win as a dog s 06
buf 12-2 over off a su road win s 04
series...ne is 18-2-1 ats in 2nd game of series s 87
..........the fav covered 10 of last 12
..........road favs are 5-1-1 ats s 97
..........ne outscored buf 119-23 last 3 games in buffalo
superbowl losers are 9-26-1 ats as road favs s 89 (last 11 sb's)

DAL at PHI(1) 42.5...
dal 0-4 ats in final div road game s 04
dal 1-7 ats in last 8 reg sea finales
dal 3-11 ats as dogs in reg sea finale s 77
dal 3-14 ats on the road in reg sea finale s 77

MIA at NYJ(2.5) 42...
mia 1-7-2 ats in last 10 visits to ny
ny 8-3 ats off a su dd loss s 06
series...ny is 17-2-2 ats in last 21 straight games (9-0-1 ats in last 10)
..........team who covered 1st game covered 2nd 13 of last 17 years (ny-1st)
system...road teams in thier final game off an ats win are 6-18 ats s 80 if playing an opp .500 or better off a su fav loss

SEA at ARI(6.5) 45.5...
sea 1-11 ats on the road off a su home win of 10+pts s 05
ari 7-1 ats in thier reg sea finale s 00
ari 10-1 ats at home after playing a non-con opp s 02
series...the fav covered 5 of last 7 (home dogs covered the 2)
system...road dogs off a su home dog win are 16-28 ats vs a team off a road game
system...home teams who were on the road last week, scored 13 or less and allowed 42pts or more are 14-6-1 ats s 98

DEN at SD(8) 50.5...
sd 10-4 ats as div home favs s 03
series...sd is 5-1-3 ats in last 9 straight games
...........favs are 23-9-5 ats s 90
...........games in dec have averaged 33 total pts per game s 84 (13 games)
sd has went 2-1 ats at home vs thier div 4 of last 5 years (1-1 now)

EXTRA POINTS

chi 2-14-1 under on the road vs non-con opp s 00
bal 11-3 ats off a su road dog win s 99
bal 4-0 over as dd home favs s 03

back with selections later tonight...

GAME.

 

[cruisin]

Been waiting all week for this post, looking forward to your plays. Let's go out with a bang!

 

[THEGAME9000]

I will post the early plays now; and the afternoon games before the games start, due to early game outcomes obviously..

EARLY SELECTIONS

PITTSBURGH
DETROIT
NY GIANTS
NEW ENGLAND

more later...

GAME.

 

[THEGAME9000]

I might be tied up this afternoon so i'll add 2 more right now...

ARIZONA
SAN DIEGO

GAME.

 

[Jumpman23]

Thanks for the picks game...I was curious about 2 of them (Pitt and NE). You have some trends favoring both teams in both games but also some negative trends on those teams. Like NE...superbowl losers are 9-26-1 ats as road favs s 89 (last 11 sb's)...and in the Pitt game it looks like Cle has most of the trends favoring them. I was just wondering what stuck out with those 2 plays. Thanks!

 

[THEGAME9000]

Thanks for the picks game...I was curious about 2 of them (Pitt and NE). You have some trends favoring both teams in both games but also some negative trends on those teams. Like NE...superbowl losers are 9-26-1 ats as road favs s 89 (last 11 sb's)...and in the Pitt game it looks like Cle has most of the trends favoring them. I was just wondering what stuck out with those 2 plays. Thanks!

JUMP, i know from history that new england tends to dominate vs buffalo in this position, so it's a choice of stats.
and pitt is based on each teams qb, back up qb and where they play, i think pit dominates by accident against a happless cle team who is on the road unable to score.

i throw in those red flag stats just to avoid having anyone blindly follow me, they make people think more.

GAME.

 

[Gravy]

Game,BOL on your games today and thanks for doing this each and every week here on the RX ! Gravy :toast:

 

[cd329]

Game, this stat cant be right
superbowl losers are 9-26-1 ats as road favs s 89 (last 11 sb's)

new england has covered 4 teams this year as road favorites and lost once. So that would mean before new england this stat was 5-25

good luck today

also what made you pick green bay today when all the trends are pointing to detriot?

 

[Jumpman23]

also what made you pick green bay today when all the trends are pointing to detriot?

He picked Detroit, not GB.

 

[THEGAME9000]

Game, this stat cant be right
superbowl losers are 9-26-1 ats as road favs s 89 (last 11 sb's)

new england has covered 4 teams this year as road favorites and lost once. So that would mean before new england this stat was 5-25

CORRECT.

new england has been beating the trend this year.

GAME.

 

[cains]

WEEK 17



2nd half of season tally from week 9 on...

overall.....68-47-3 ats
as dogs...31-14-1 ats
afc dogs..22-4 ats

Hi game...

GL

The quoted is that # stats or trends stats?? Like your games tonight...

pinnacle wont allow me parlay 4 games today.. hno:

 

[THEGAME9000]

hey cains...

this is the #'s vs the actual line on the game....

example...
nyg fav by 2 in ratings #'s

minn favored by 6.5 in actual line

#'s say play nyg, they're favorede to win outright by 2 catching 6.5

GAME.

 

[THEGAME9000]

Been waiting all week for this post, looking forward to your plays. Let's go out with a bang!

A BANG IT IS.

i hate to see this end tonight, but it would be nice to finish the season perfect.

GAME.

 

[Gravy]

Game,Nice day today my friend ! :toast:

 

[THEGAME9000]

thanx gravy....

hope you killed today!

 

[cruisin]

A BANG IT IS.

i hate to see this end tonight, but it would be nice to finish the season perfect.

GAME.

You called it, and you backed it up. What a way to end the season, thanks for everything, GAME.

I hope you have some awesome playoff stuff too!:toast:

 

[THEGAME9000]

just waiting on the playoffs...wild card round #'s

ARI 113
ATL 120
BAL 126
CAR 122
IND 127
MIA 116
MIN 123
NYG 125
PHI 126
PIT 128
SD 127
TEN 126

after a quick crunch, this could be the MANNING bowl.

GAME.

 

[tdibs]

incredible day Game...can't wait until the playoffs!

 

[cains]

Of course this happends when pinnacle wont allow parlay on all 4. So just skipped it and played them all singles. hno:

Any tips for good bookies where they wont close for parlay like they did on pinnacle?? My bank is also big enough for a split now.. Maybe even 3 bookies... So any advice apreciated

GAME YOU DA MAN