Week 16

[billbeater]

Only like some this week.

SD +5 W too easy. Bowl Season will be fixed with MFCFGPOTY Herd -4.5 at 11am Sat.
Skins +3 stay on skins train another week
TB -3
Pitt -9.5 buy .5
Pats -3
GB +4.5
Clev. +10.5

Merry Christmas Y'all
gingerbread-wavingif

 

[billbeater]

SNF Lean to Gmen +7 when it gets there, might need 7.5 to play it....

 

[billbeater]

MNF Cinci +3.5

 

[billbeater]

I believe there is an advantage to being the Road team with a Christmas holiday so close here.
We will see how it plays or pays out!

Add:
Dallas at +7 or more.

 

[billbeater]

Something weighing heavy on my football betting mind tonight,
and that is that Washington +3 is overloaded, and Waaay to square of a play here.
I cashed them Nicely the last 3 weeks, and now is Not the time.
Perception is better team getting points with Wash... Vegas Wants you On Washington!!!
NFC East knows each other very well..
And Everybody on Skins, Thus:

EAGLES -2.5 buy .5 LARGE

If you cannot buy .5, bet ML at -145 or less...
I will do both bets!
Sorry for the change, but "successful betting is Dynamic", and often changes need to be made!
Very Confident in this, even though I like the Skins and the fire of Cousins...
:toast:

 

[billbeater]

Should also be said that Books do Not want to move this line off of 3.
They don't want a Philly -2.5 Win available and a Push with Wash +3.
Especially On a Big One Game, Heavily Bet Saturday Holiday Season Nite!
I think it has Philly written all over it. Not to say they win by exactly 3.

Enjoy it either way & toast it up!
:toast:

 

[billbeater]

Eagles -2.5 is now out there at some books!!! Yippeeeee!
:toast:
Let's NAIL this Fukin Morning Bowl Game HUUUUGE,
Then Cash sum Eagles later!
Now's the Time!

 

[billbeater]

add:
Pats ML -165
Tenn. +4.5
Green Bay looks to drop. Get the +4.5 with a Large position!!!!!

Marshall drops back to -4!!!!!! UNLOAD!!!!!!!!!
:toast:

 

[justanobserver]

Another week, another "posted play" being reversed and playing on the other side. I 100% guarantee you this guy does not bet money on these plays, he may bet on some but the stuff he posts here are not wagers

 

[Selectrick]

Another week, another "posted play" being reversed and playing on the other side. I 100% guarantee you this guy does not bet money on these plays, he may bet on some but the stuff he posts here are not wagers

Not sure which game you mean? If GBay the change in position is called either buying out or middling . Whether he bets or not is not really relevant to the move made, is it?
Am I mistaken? Not sure which reversal you're referring to?

 

[Selectrick]

Or maybe you meant Wash +3 and Philly -2.5? Nothing wrong with attempting a middle on that number, is there?

 

[chonce]

Something weighing heavy on my football betting mind tonight,
and that is that Washington +3 is overloaded, and Waaay to square of a play here.
I cashed them Nicely the last 3 weeks, and now is Not the time.
Perception is better team getting points with Wash... Vegas Wants you On Washington!!!
NFC East knows each other very well..
And Everybody on Skins, Thus:

EAGLES -2.5 buy .5 LARGE

If you cannot buy .5, bet ML at -145 or less...
I will do both bets!
Sorry for the change, but "successful betting is Dynamic", and often changes need to be made!
Very Confident in this, even though I like the Skins and the fire of Cousins...
:toast:

I don't think this line is Vegas "begging" you to take the Skins. If the game was in PHI they would be favored by 3. Seems like the right number to me and the public is pretty split on it.

 

[MactheKnife]

You like the skins at 3 and philly at 2.5....wtf...am i missing something?.?????

 

[justanobserver]

Or maybe you meant Wash +3 and Philly -2.5? Nothing wrong with attempting a middle on that number, is there?

Youre kidding right?

 

[boss415]

Another week, another "posted play" being reversed and playing on the other side. I 100% guarantee you this guy does not bet money on these plays, he may bet on some but the stuff he posts here are not wagers

Every time he does this it loses and it doesnt look like that will change tonight. Posts both sides of games every single week.

 

[boss415]

Or maybe you meant Wash +3 and Philly -2.5? Nothing wrong with attempting a middle on that number, is there?

How can you middle 3 and 2.5 ? It is a side and push at best

 

[billbeater]

Strange Philly game. Started out Hot. Very strange line movement, and that doesn't always tell the tale.
Skins are improving more than even I predicted!!
I do have Wash. winning NFC East, as said before.
May even Win or Cover a playoff game.
Keep that noted. Will cash them again, no worry.
:toast:
Expect better Sunday. As an extension of TNF, the Dogs have been the play all year.....
After 4 great weeks in a row in Nfl, and Taking Profits, im not surprised if If they get a little back.
But, Sunday aint over yet!!!
:toast:
Marshall CFBGPOTY Cashes Huuuuge! And thats makes a ton of Cash, regardless of Sunday outcomes!
:toast:

 

[Selectrick]

How can you middle 3 and 2.5 ? It is a side and push at best

If you want to buy out its not a bad position to be in. And by the way, when I was booking in the 90's I hit 3 of 4 4pm games by laying off to 2 different other bookies to the tune of $20K by doing exactly that. When betting you risk 10% to win 100%, booking it's 0 risk.

 

[billbeater]

Nothing was Ever a middle, Vegas would just LOSE by paying winners and giving Push money back......
Didn't really matter, since the number did go to 2.5 and back to 3.5 from what i seen...
One game, not the End of anything.
:toast:

 

[boss415]

If you want to buy out its not a bad position to be in. And by the way, when I was booking in the 90's I hit 3 of 4 4pm games by laying off to 2 different other bookies to the tune of $20K by doing exactly that.

So you won both at 2.5 and 3 huh ?