Week 16 #'s

[THEGAME9000]

Ari 120
Atl 128
Bal 123
Buf 122
Car 120
Chi 114
Cin 122
Cle 107
Dal 124
Den 122
Det 119
Gby 120
Hou 115
Ind 120
Jax 110
Kc 123
La 113
Mia 117
Min 119
Ne 129
No 118
Nyg 119
Nyj 111
Oak 122
Phi 119
Pit 127
Sd 118
Sf 108
Sea 126
Tb 120
Ten 117
Was 121

Pts..........home favs.............................road favs..........................home pick
1.............lwlllllppw...............................lwlwlwlwlllllwl.......................
2.............wllwlpllwlllwlwllwll...................wlwwlwpwlllwlwwl.................+2.5w,-2.5l
3.............wlwwlwwplw..........................lwpwl..................................-3.5w,-3.5l
4.............wllllwwwll.............................wwlwlw................................
5.............wwwwwllll............................wlwwlwwwwww.......................
6.............wllllwllwllwl..........................lwllwllll..............................
7.............lwlp.....................................pllwllwlwllw..........................
8.............wwwlwwww.........................wwlwl...............................
9.............ww......................................wllwl.................................
10...........wll.......................................llww..................................
11...........wllwww.................................wplwwl..............................
12...........lww......................................w.......................................
13...........lww......................................wlw..................................
14...........w.........................................llllw.................................
15............llw........................................lwww...............................
16..............................................................................................
17...........ll..................................................................................
18............l..........................................w.....................................
19.......................................................ww...................................
20.............w..........................................l......................................
21..............................................................................................
22..............................................................................................
23..............................................................................................
24..............................................................................................
25..............................................................................................

You might want to look at a couple games with the "what have you done for me lately " slant...
Never bet against a streak mentality of gambling tends to pan out more times than the "overdue" mentality.

Ny(2) at phi 41.5...
Ny 13-4 ats off su b2b home wins s 93
Phi 1-13 ats at home vs div opp if off a non-div road game
Phi 4-15 under before hosting dallas s 97
Series..all favs of less than 2pts are 5-0 ats s 02 (check game time line)

I'll post the rest of the games later tonight, there is a lot of info...

GAME.

 

[THEGAME9000]

doesn't pay to rush....Philadelphia is favored by 1, not ny by 2...sorry....

GAME.

 

[TheSubstitute]

Since Philly and NYG are both 119, what do you look at and who's the play tonight according to the numbers?

 

[THEGAME9000]

I can't believe this but also the "home team picks" on the 2pt line should read...
2pts........."the home fav section ".........."road fav section ".........+2.5w,-2.5w

Again, I apologize....

 

[B2B]

Thank You Games.
GL

 

[THEGAME9000]

Since Philly and NYG are both 119, what do you look at and who's the play tonight according to the numbers?

You can look at that scenario as out of the 4 home teams who were a "pick" (identical #'s), the home team covered 3 of them...now make it 4 with philly...

 

[THEGAME9000]

You'll dig some of the insights for this weekend, I'll pop them up in the morning

GAME.

 

[dasyhrd]

Thx GAME

 

[richporter]

can someone confirm the plays make sure i'm starting to fully comprehend this thanks in advance

 

[greenchris]

can someone confirm the plays make sure i'm starting to fully comprehend this thanks in advance

Here's what I came up with...
Miami (Buf 4 L's in a row)
Chicago (Wash 4-7-1)
Jax (Tenn 4-7-1)
Minn (GB 2-6-2)
Indy (Oak 6-13)
SF (LA 4 L's in a row)
AZ (Sea 4-9)
Hou (Cin 4-7-1)
Balt (Pit 4-6)
Den (KC 2-6-2)
Det (Dal 4 L's in a row)

Looks like all the plays are plays against the higher ranked team and all (except Houston) are plays on the Dog. Interested to see how this ties into the insights for the week.

Someone want to check my numbers in case I missed any? Happy holidays! cheersgif

 

[greenchris]

Saw this posted in Piranha's thread..."Everything I have in my database shows the exact same trend. Books know that the holidays are a big time for recreational guys to bet. Hence taking more dogs and road teams than you otherwise would."

Might be a good time for Rolltide to check this, but if true then Game's plays would line up perfectly...

 

[isellgel]

All information is useful and mixed in with other factors it can pay off but I tabulated this system as 4-4 going into Sunday.
I like using the teams ratings to see how strong a team they are & value vs. their opponents
Does anyone know its season record?

 

[mickj]

All information is useful and mixed in with other factors it can pay off but I tabulated this system as 4-4 going into Sunday.
[/QUOTE

4-4 against closing but if you played Houston in contests/earlier in week you also won.