Thanks for the thumbs up, Memphy. Not for that damned game, however.
Thursday had to be the worst beat of my gambling career. Certainly one of them.
Getting points (+2'), up 20-0 at the half. Last play of the game was a completed forward pass of 20 yards from Green Bay's 20. Then a reverse lateral of -16 yards. Then another lateral back to QB, Rogers, again at his 24 yd line. He can't throw another forward pass. There's nobody behind him to lateral to. All Detroit has to do is tackle the helpless soul and the game is over, or Rogers must run 76 yds for the winning TD. But the D lineman's hand glances off Roger's facemask as he reaches for Rogers, before pulling him down by the shoulder. Not the way the ref saw it who calls a bogus facemask. 15 yards and replay of the last play of the game. So Rogers gets to set up from the 35 yd line now. Detroit makes mistake number two (the bogus facemask being number one) by rushing only three guys, who Rogers sidesteps and in so doing goes right up to the line of scrimmage, winds up and uncorks from his ankle a 66 yd pass that comes down in the front of the endzone where all those eight Detroit guys were who did not rush Rogers. Of course they all are trying to cover GB's receivers when they should have been looking up for the 66 yd rainbow that's about to land. Nope. None of them are in front of or to the side of big TE Togers who jumps and gathers the ball in unimpeded. TD. Game over. Incredible. What a friggin' loss.
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YTD 62-44-3 +1651
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Sunday:
Minnesota +1 +100 (vs Seattle)
So we have a team here who no one believes in. How do I know that no one believes? Because they are 17-4 ATS over their last 21 games. 8-1 ATS as dogs in that stretch. Teddy Bridgewater has 8 TDs in 11 games this year. That stat right there is why no one believes. But I'm sticking by the ATS stats. They are the King Stat in our game. Oh yea. One other stat in Minny's favor. Since 2001, Week 13 non Div Home Dogs are 23-11 ATS.
Thursday had to be the worst beat of my gambling career. Certainly one of them.
Getting points (+2'), up 20-0 at the half. Last play of the game was a completed forward pass of 20 yards from Green Bay's 20. Then a reverse lateral of -16 yards. Then another lateral back to QB, Rogers, again at his 24 yd line. He can't throw another forward pass. There's nobody behind him to lateral to. All Detroit has to do is tackle the helpless soul and the game is over, or Rogers must run 76 yds for the winning TD. But the D lineman's hand glances off Roger's facemask as he reaches for Rogers, before pulling him down by the shoulder. Not the way the ref saw it who calls a bogus facemask. 15 yards and replay of the last play of the game. So Rogers gets to set up from the 35 yd line now. Detroit makes mistake number two (the bogus facemask being number one) by rushing only three guys, who Rogers sidesteps and in so doing goes right up to the line of scrimmage, winds up and uncorks from his ankle a 66 yd pass that comes down in the front of the endzone where all those eight Detroit guys were who did not rush Rogers. Of course they all are trying to cover GB's receivers when they should have been looking up for the 66 yd rainbow that's about to land. Nope. None of them are in front of or to the side of big TE Togers who jumps and gathers the ball in unimpeded. TD. Game over. Incredible. What a friggin' loss.
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YTD 62-44-3 +1651
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Sunday:
Minnesota +1 +100 (vs Seattle)
So we have a team here who no one believes in. How do I know that no one believes? Because they are 17-4 ATS over their last 21 games. 8-1 ATS as dogs in that stretch. Teddy Bridgewater has 8 TDs in 11 games this year. That stat right there is why no one believes. But I'm sticking by the ATS stats. They are the King Stat in our game. Oh yea. One other stat in Minny's favor. Since 2001, Week 13 non Div Home Dogs are 23-11 ATS.
, although that Lions play hurtHi Willy. I almost left my TV in Friday's trash after that Lions debacle. Good luck, man.
Add:
Buffalo -3' +106 (vs Hou)
So which NFL QB has the fewest interceptions thrown over the past 7 games? Tom Brady? Nope. Aaron Rogers? Nope. Would you believe Tyrod Taylor? Nope. Well you better, 'cause he has one pick over his past 7 starts. Le Sean McCoy is finally healed. And the Bills get home from a three game road trip that wound through New York, New England, and Kansas City. Methinks that the emerging Texans will today slip on the ice on the Eastern shore of Lake Erie that is Buffalo.
Add:
Buffalo -3' +106 (vs Hou)
So which NFL QB has the fewest interceptions thrown over the past 7 games? Tom Brady? Nope. Aaron Rogers? Nope. Would you believe Tyrod Taylor? Nope. Well you better, 'cause he has one pick over his past 7 starts. Le Sean McCoy is finally healed. And the Bills get home from a three game road trip that wound through New York, New England, and Kansas City. Methinks that the emerging Texans will today slip on the ice on the Eastern shore of Lake Erie that is Buffalo.
Add:
Cleveland +8 -108 (vs Cincy)
Damn. Coulda had +10 two hours ago.
Last year these teams split, 24-3; 30-0. A month ago Cincy thumped the Brownies on Monday night, 31-10. My guess is that those Brownies want to return the stain to Bengal panties. Austin Davis? He must suck, right? I mean the third string QB on the lowly Browns. Last year, Austin Davis quarterbacked the St Louis Rams for 10 games. He got an 85.1 QB rating for his efforts. Nothing to write home about, right? Until you consider the team he quarterbacked. Even with rookie sensation, Gurley, St Louis has by far the most pathetic offense in the NFL this year. They had the same motley crew of receivers last year and no Gurley to keep the safeties from coming up. 85.1 isn't bad with that putrid offense. When Hoyer went down last Monday, Davis mopped up by driving the Browns for the tying score in 10 throws. Maybe he can catch the Bengals in letdown mode before taking on the other Division tough guy, Pittsburgh, next week.
Cleveland +8 -108 (vs Cincy)
Damn. Coulda had +10 two hours ago.
Last year these teams split, 24-3; 30-0. A month ago Cincy thumped the Brownies on Monday night, 31-10. My guess is that those Brownies want to return the stain to Bengal panties. Austin Davis? He must suck, right? I mean the third string QB on the lowly Browns. Last year, Austin Davis quarterbacked the St Louis Rams for 10 games. He got an 85.1 QB rating for his efforts. Nothing to write home about, right? Until you consider the team he quarterbacked. Even with rookie sensation, Gurley, St Louis has by far the most pathetic offense in the NFL this year. They had the same motley crew of receivers last year and no Gurley to keep the safeties from coming up. 85.1 isn't bad with that putrid offense. When Hoyer went down last Monday, Davis mopped up by driving the Browns for the tying score in 10 throws. Maybe he can catch the Bengals in letdown mode before taking on the other Division tough guy, Pittsburgh, next week.
Add:
Carolina -6' -102 (@ NOr)
Another team that gets much less respect than they deserve. 11-0 going into the Super Scary Dome. No it isn't. The Aints are 3-6 SU and 2-7 ATS in their last 9 Home Dome appearances. Katrina ain't showing up today to get the game cancelled. Since 2001, Week 13 Division Road Favs are 22-17 ATS. Carolina in a romp.
Carolina -6' -102 (@ NOr)
Another team that gets much less respect than they deserve. 11-0 going into the Super Scary Dome. No it isn't. The Aints are 3-6 SU and 2-7 ATS in their last 9 Home Dome appearances. Katrina ain't showing up today to get the game cancelled. Since 2001, Week 13 Division Road Favs are 22-17 ATS. Carolina in a romp.
