week #13 picks

[i'mshockedshocked]

I find that most of the time, lines move against me on the games I like as the week progresses, so I have some early picks for week #13:

1.) KC(PK) at Oak. I think the line goes to -2. Have to keep playing team on a roll like this

2.) NYG(+1) vs NYJ. I just think the NYG are the better team. Should be favored by 3

3.) TB(-1.5) vs Atl. Throwing in the towel on Atl after today

4.) Seat(PK) at MINN Like last year, I see Seattle starting their move now.

 

[i'mshockedshocked]

sorry...correction to #1...KC(-3) NOT KC(PK). Still taking KC on a roll.

 

[i'mshockedshocked]

update to Wk#13. Last week I went 4-5 to bring YTD record to 33-33, clinging to .500 as always. Updates to WK#13 picks:

3.) I am reversing the TB(+1.5) bet, taking Atl(-1.5) and eating the vig. My system says to take Atl. So I will now have NO PLAY on the game. So now just have 3 bets so far in WK #13.

 

[i'mshockedshocked]

So in addition to KC(-3), NYG(+1) ( shoulda waited), and Seat(PK), I am adding:

4.) DALL(+4.5)-120 vs Wash. Just the kind of game to screw most bettors. YOu would think Dallas would give it up after thanksgiving massacre, and Skins have gone to lead in East after. Public of course on Wash, but line is holding tight and even coming in. I smell smart money on Dallas

5.) Atl(+1) vs TB I will scream like I did on TNF ( I had Detroit) and on MNF( I had Cleveland) if TB winds up winning. Cause my gut tells me TB but my system has a strong play on Atl, so I have to switch sides.

 

[i'mshockedshocked]

Finally, I am not counting it as a play, but I think that there is a good correlated play in taking NO(+7) and the Over 49.5 in the same game. Seems to me that if NO covers, which I think they will...just the kind of spot where NO will play above their level..I mean they can beat anybody if they are in the zone.... they do so by scoring alot of points, so it either goes Car and under or NO and over.

 

[United]

Good luck this week.

 

[i'mshockedshocked]

Thanks United, I am due for some of it!

 

[indiana]

S/S.........solid looking card...........BOL with all your action Sunday...........indy

 

[i'mshockedshocked]

Thanks Indiana..appreciate it