week 12 's

[THEGAME9000]

Week 12

Ari 124
At 115
Bal125
Buf 118
Car 114
Chi 111
Cin 126
Cle 113
Dal 121
Den 127
Det 120
GB 128
Hou 118
Ind 124
Jax 108
Kc 126
Mia 122
Min 113
Ne 132
No 120
Nyg 115
Nyj 112
Oak 109
Phi 123
Pit 119
Stl 119
SD 123
Sf 122
Sea 127
Tb 115
Ten 110
Was 111

Pts.....................home favorite......................road favorite...................home pick
1.......................wwwlwwl..............................lllllwlwlll.......................+1w
2........................wlwlwwl..............................lwww...............................
3........................pwllwl................................lllwww..........................-3l,-3l,-3w,-3l,-3w
4........................lwwllw................................wlwlw...........................-4l
5........................lww....................................wpwll..........................-5p
6........................llwllllw................................wwwwl........................-6.5l,-6l,-6l
7........................lwl......................................wlwww........................-7w
8........................llwwwlww............................lwwwllw......................-8.5w
9........................lw......................................lwlll....................................
10......................wllwlw.................................lllwwlw.....................................
11......................lww....................................wwll......................................
12......................l.........................................................................................
13......................ww.....................................w................................................
14......................wwl.....................................lll..........................................
15......................lpw.....................................ww..........................................
16......................w.......................................w......................................
17..............................................................................................................
18................................................................w......................................
19......................l.........................................w.......................................
20......................l.......................................................................................
21...............................................................ww.................................
22..............................................................................................................
23..............................................................................................................
24.....................w.......................................l.......................................
25..............................................................................................................
26..............................................................................................................
27..............................................................................................................


should be able to squeeze 6 plays out this week...

russell...you obviously have a complete grasp of the workings of this system, feel free again to post them.

i app it...thanx

GAME.

 

[TomandJerry]

only these 6 plays that I see:
Kansas City
Philadelphia Eagles
Green Bay
Denver
Dallas
New Orleans

 

[TheSubstitute]

Jets?

 

[Lvtexholdm]

only these 6 plays that I see:
Kansas City
Philadelphia Eagles
Green Bay
Denver
Dallas
New Orleans

How ow did you come up with KC? They're 17 as Road Fav w/ NO DATA. Which means a NO PLAY.

 

[cruisin]

Thx for the early post Game.:toast:

 

[mickj]

How ow did you come up with KC? They're 17 as Road Fav w/ NO DATA. Which means a NO PLAY.

Yeah, put in Jets, take out KC.

 

[justanobserver]

I am trying to figure this out, what do the top and bottom numbers mean?

 

[TomandJerry]

Sorry, NFL week 12 plays

New York Jets
Dallas Cowboys
Philadelphia Eagles
New Orleans Saints
Denver Broncos
Green Bay Packers

 

[3pointdog]

So many injured on denver...

 

[THEGAME9000]

w12 plays..
philadelphia
detroit
green bay
indianapolis
ny jets
dallas

nobody seemed to grab them so there it is....

thursday

kc(7.5) at oak 43...
oak 2-12 ats after playing sd s 06
oak 2-7 ats last 9 thur games
kc 4-0 ats as favs on tnf
series...kc cov 9 of last 11 in oak s 03
...........road team cov 18 of last 22 s 03
...........only 5 of last 18 games exceeded 40pts (only 2 exceeded 43)
...........favs of 7+pts are 8-3 ats s 87

GAME.

 

[Green17]

Thanks as always Game. Appreciate that you got the numbers out before tonight's game.

 

[TomandJerry]

Favor 7+pt this season

REG and F and line <= -7 and season >= 2014
SU: 32-7-1 (10.90, 82.1%) Teaser Records ATS: 22-18-0 (2.02, 55.0%) avg line: -8.9 +6: 29-11-0 (72.5%) -6: 14-25-1 (35.9%) +10: 33-6-1 (84.6%) -10: 11-28-1 (28.2%) O/U: 23-16-1 (-0.05, 59.0%) avg total: 46.8 +6: 13-25-2 (34.2%) -6: 26-14-0 (65.0%) +10: 9-30-1 (23.1%) -10: 29-11-0 (72.5%)

 

[TomandJerry]

Away favor of 7pt or more this season

REG and AF and line <= -7 and season >= 2014 SU: 5-1-0 (8.33, 83.3%) Teaser Records ATS: 4-2-0 (-0.08, 66.7%) avg line: -8.4 +6: 5-1-0 (83.3%) -6: 2-4-0 (33.3%) +10: 5-1-0 (83.3%) -10: 1-5-0 (16.7%) O/U: 4-2-0 (0.58, 66.7%) avg total: 47.1 +6: 2-4-0 (33.3%) -6: 5-1-0 (83.3%) +10: 1-5-0 (16.7%) -10: 5-1-0 (83.3%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 28.2 129.3 37.2 25.0 279.3 0.8 5.0 11.5 7.0 4.5 28.0 Opp 20.7 68.2 37.7 22.3 231.7 1.5 5.7 4.0 2.7 7.3 19.7 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 06, 2014 view Monday 5 2014 Seahawks Redskins away 7-0 10-7 0-3 10-7 27-17 -7.0 45.5 10 3.0 -1.5 0.8 -2.2 W W U 0 Oct 12, 2014 view Sunday 6 2014 Broncos Jets away 3-7 14-0 7-3 7-7 31-17 -9.0 47.5 14 5.0 0.5 2.8 -2.2 W W O 0 Oct 12, 2014 view Sunday 6 2014 Chargers Raiders away 7-7 7-7 7-7 10-7 31-28 -7.0 43.5 3 -4.0 15.5 5.8 9.8 W L O 0 Nov 09, 2014 view Sunday 10 2014 Cowboys Jaguars away 10-7 14-0 7-0 0-10 31-17 -7.0 45.5 14 7 2.5 4.8 -2.2 W W O 0 Nov 09, 2014 view Sunday 10 2014 Broncos Raiders away 3-3 17-7 21-0 0-7 41-17 -12.0 50.5 24 12.0 7.5 9.8 -2.2 W W O 0 Nov 16, 2014 view Sunday 11 2014 Broncos Rams away 0-10 7-3 0-3 0-6 7-22 -8.5 50.0 -15 -23.5 -21.0 -22.2 1.2 L L U 0 Nov 20, 2014 view Thursday 12 2014 Chiefs Raiders away -7.0 42.5 Nov 23, 2014 view Sunday 12 2014 Packers Vikings away -9.5 48.5

 

[TomandJerry]

Home favor 7+pt 2014

REG and HF and line <= -7 and season >= 2014

SU: 27-6-1 (11.35, 81.8%) Teaser Records ATS: 18-16-0 (2.40, 52.9%) avg line: -9.0 +6: 24-10-0 (70.6%) -6: 12-21-1 (36.4%) +10: 28-5-1 (84.8%) -10: 10-23-1 (30.3%) O/U: 19-14-1 (-0.16, 57.6%) avg total: 46.8 +6: 11-21-2 (34.4%) -6: 21-13-0 (61.8%) +10: 8-25-1 (24.2%) -10: 24-10-0 (70.6%)

Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 29.1 118.5 34.4 22.8 258.7 1.0 6.4 9.5 5.3 7.5 29.0 Opp 24.5 92.8 36.0 21.6 215.0 1.6 4.0 4.4 3.8 5.2 17.6

Day Week Season Team Opp Site Final Line Total SUr ATSr OUr Sunday 4 2014 Steelers Buccaneers home 24-27 -7.0 45.0 L L O Thursday 5 2014 Packers Vikings home 42-10 -9.0 47.5 W W O Sunday 5 2014 Broncos Cardinals home 41-20 -8.5 47.0 W W O Sunday 5 2014 Chargers Jets home 31-0 -7.0 44.0 W W U Sunday 5 2014 Saints Buccaneers home 37-31 -10.0 48.0 W L O Sunday 6 2014 Bengals Panthers home 37-37 -7.0 44.0 P L O Sunday 6 2014 Seahawks Cowboys home 23-30 -8.5 47.0 L L O Thursday 7 2014 Patriots Jets home 27-25 -9.5 44.5 W L O Sunday 7 2014 Packers Panthers home 38-17 -7.0 49.5 W W O Sunday 7 2014 Ravens Falcons home 29-7 -7.0 49.5 W W U Thursday 8 2014 Broncos Chargers home 35-21 -9.0 51.5 W W O Sunday 8 2014 Browns Raiders home 23-13 -7.0 44.0 W W U Sunday 8 2014 Chiefs Rams home 34-7 -7.0 44.0 W W U Monday 8 2014 Cowboys Redskins home 17-20 -9.5 49.5 L L U Sunday 9 2014 Bengals Jaguars home 33-23 -10.5 44.0 W L O Sunday 9 2014 Chiefs Jets home 24-10 -9.0 41.5 W W U Sunday 9 2014 Fortyniners Rams home 10-13 -10.5 44.0 L L U Sunday 9 2014 Seahawks Raiders home 30-24 -13.5 44.0 W L O Sunday 10 2014 Cardinals Rams home 31-14 -7.0 43.5 W W O Sunday 10 2014 Packers Bears home 55-14 -9.0 53.0 W W O Sunday 10 2014 Ravens Titans home 21-7 -10.0 44.0 W W U Sunday 10 2014 Seahawks Giants home 38-17 -9.5 44.5 W W O Monday 10 2014 Eagles Panthers home 45-21 -7.0 48.0 W W O Sunday 11 2014 Chargers Raiders home 13-6 -9.5 44.5 W L U Sunday 11 2014 Redskins Buccaneers home 7-27 -7.0 45.5 L L U Sunday 11 2014 Saints Bengals home 10-27 -7.0 51.0 L L U Sunday 12 2014 Broncos Dolphins home -7.0 48.5 Sunday 12 2014 Colts Jaguars home -14.0 50.5 Sunday 12 2014 Eagles Titans home -11.0 48.5 Sunday 12 2014 Fortyniners Redskins home -9.0 44.0 Sunday 12 2014 Patriots Lions home -7.0 48.5

 

[TomandJerry]

Since 1994, teams cover 8 or more cons games, next game likely

SU: 5-2-0 (2.00, 71.4%) Teaser Records ATS: 2-4-1 (-0.86, 33.3%) avg line: -2.9 +6: 5-1-1 (83.3%) -6: 1-6-0 (14.3%) +10: 6-0-1 (100.0%) -10: 0-7-0 (0.0%) O/U: 3-4-0 (-1.50, 42.9%) avg total: 42.9 +6: 2-5-0 (28.6%) -6: 3-4-0 (42.9%) +10: 2-5-0 (28.6%) -10: 3-4-0 (42.9%)

Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 28.4 118.0 24.9 14.7 156.1 1.6 4.9 8.3 2.7 5.9 21.7 Opp 30.4 131.4 32.3 17.4 191.3 1.4 2.9 7.1 3.4 5.9 19.7

Day Week Season Team Opp Site Final Line Total SUr ATSr OUr Monday 15 2003 Eagles Dolphins away 34-27 2.0 37.0 W W O Sunday 16 2003 Eagles Fortyniners home 28-31 -7.0 42.0 L L O Sunday 12 2004 Steelers Redskins home 16-7 -10.0 35.5 W L U Sunday 13 2004 Chargers Broncos home 20-17 -3.0 47.5 W P U Sunday 9 2007 Patriots Colts away 24-20 -4.5 56.0 W L U Thursday 12 2011 Fortyniners Ravens away 6-16 4.0 39.0 L L U Sunday 11 2014 Chiefs Seahawks home 24-20 -1.5 43.5 W W O Thursday 12 2014 Chiefs Raiders away -7.0 42.5

 

[TomandJerry]

Good luck to all.

Thanks GAME.

 

[THEGAME9000]

T&J...
nothing i like better than reading stats and # charts, one of my favorite vices i enjoy tremendously...nice.

insights up now then i'll pop back in a while to take one more spin at that elusive 6-bag payday i let get away from me last week...maybe i can correct the mistake i made on the last one.

off to the races...

week 12

Cle at atl(3) 47.5...
cle 1-6 ats in 1st of b2b road games s 10
cle 2-5 under in 1st of b2b road games s 10

ten at phi(11) 48.5...
ten 1-6-1 ats off mnf s 04
phi 9-2 ats after allowing 40+pts s 95
phi 10-1 over at home vs afc s 09

det at ne(7) 47.5...
det 15-4 over on the road vs afc s 05
**home teams who scored 35+pts last game vs visitor on 2nd straight road game have went over 32-11 s 91

gb(8) at min 48.5...
series...home dogs are 12-4 ats s 87
...........pt totals have been same or higher in min 13 of last 16 years (52pts in gb)
**home dogs of 7+pts are 29-16 ats s 90 if the road fav scored 30+pts in last game

jax at ind(13.5) 49.5...
series...road team covered 11 of last 15 s 07
...........teams split ats wins 8 of last 11 years s 03 (ind cov 1st)
**road dogs off a bye and 3 su losses are 27-11 ats s 80
**LUCK won last 4 straight games vs jax by an ave of 24.5pts**

cin at hou(1.5) 43.5...
cin 8-1 ats as a dog off a su win as a dog s 08
cin 12-5 ats off a su win of 10+pts s 11

tb at chi(5.5) 46.5...
chi 10-1 ats ats before playing det s 08
chi 12-4 ats after hosting minn s 98
chi 1-11-1 ats as favs in 2nd of b2b home games s 07
(tough game, lovie comes home and the difference between stats and coincidental stats)

ari at sea(7) 41...
sea 6-2 ats as div home favs s 10
sea 9-0 ats before playing sf s 08
sea 14-3-1 ats at home before playing a div road game s 07
series...4 of last 5 games in sea averaged 28pts per game s 09

stl at sd(5) 43.5...
stl 2-7 ats on the road after allowing 10pts or less s 03
stl 8-1 over after playing afc s 11

dal(4) at ny 47.5...
dal 8-1 ats off a bye s 05
dal 7-2 over off a bye s 05
series...team who covered 1st game, covered 2nd 10 of last 13 years (dal cov 1st)
...........2nd game of series has been the lower scoring 18 of last 23 years (1st game 52pts)
**road favs off a bye are 46-18-3 ats s 02

bal at no(3) 50...
bal 6-1 ats on mnf s 08
bal 11-3 ats off a bye s 00
bal 3-12 under after covering as a dd fav s 00
no 7-1 ats as favs off a su dd loss s 08

ny at buf(2.5) 41.5...
ny 3-15 under off a bye s 97
buf 2-8-1 ats as a fav off a su dog win s 05
buf 6-27 ats after playing mia s 97
series...teams split ats wins 7 of last 9 years (buf cov 1st)

back up tonight..

GAME.

 

[THEGAME9000]

this week i'm going to try and call the outcome of 3 games, all div rivalries...
taking 3 games from the #'s selections along with some other intangibles we'll try these...

green bay
over gb/min
indianapolis
over jax/ind
ny jets
under ny/buf

this year's afc south rivalries already played watched the dogs go 1-4 ats
this year's afc east rivalries already played watched the dogs go 4-2 ats
this year's nfc north rivalries already played watched the dogs go 1-5 ats

in these games some insights line up in agreement and some don't.
in the ny/buf game it's a #'s selection with history on it's side
in the gb/min game it's a #'s selection, some history, and rodgers and green bay in the zone, playing to keep up with det for div title and get to post season vs teddy bridgewater
in the jax/ind game it's a #'s selection with luck at home off a loss, playing to keep a div lead and take a playoff spot vs a less than average team..(luck took the last 4 straight from them by an ave of 24pts each)

i know you're wondering why stick the jets in there when you got philly at home vs tenn,...or dallas over hapless nyg (losers of a hundred in a row), also a div rivalry.

too many pts with philly, and never trust the giants when they suck, they'll get ya everytime.

GAME.

 

[TomandJerry]

GAME, here is some stats you need to update on your database, it is a little bit different.

REG and team = Browns and A and n:A and season >= 2010

SU: 1-10-0 (-10.18, 9.1%) ATS: 4-7-0 (-1.91, 36.4%) avg line: 8.3 O/U: 2-9-0 (-9.41, 18.2%)

REG and team = Browns and A and n:A and season >= 2011

SU: 0-8-0 (-11.25, 0.0%) ATS: 3-5-0 (-2.38, 37.5%) avg line: 8.9 O/U: 1-7-0 (-8.00, 12.5%) avg total: 41.8

REG and team = Titans and rest = 5 and season >= 2004

SU: 4-6-0 (-9.70, 40.0%) ATS: 1-8-1 (-9.55, 11.1%) avg line: 0.1 O/U: 4-5-1 (1.35, 44.4%) avg total: 45.0

REG and team = Lions and A and not C and season >= 2004

SU: 8-13-0 (-3.05, 38.1%) ATS: 12-9-0 (1.24, 57.1%) avg line: 4.3 O/U: 16-5-0 (7.52, 76.2%) avg total: 42.8

REG and H and points >= 35 and op:A and o:A and season >= 1991

SU: 107-44-0 (7.36, 70.9%) ATS: 78-71-2 (1.32, 52.3%) avg line: -6.0 O/U: 81-69-1 (0.64, 54.0%) avg total: 43.9

REG and H and points >= 35 and op:A and o:A and season >= 2008

SU: 43-13-0 (7.23, 76.8%) ATS: 27-28-1 (1.43, 49.1%) avg line: -5.8 O/U: 32-23-1 (2.63, 58.2%) avg total: 45.9

REG and team = Patriots and pppoints >= 35 and ppoints >= 35 and points >= 35 and season >= 2003

SU: 5-0-0 (13.20, 100.0%) ATS: 2-2-1 (5.20, 50.0%) avg line: -8.0 O/U: 2-3-0 (0.50, 40.0%) avg total: 50.7

REG and pppoints >= 35 and ppoints >= 35 and points >= 35 and season >= 2003

SU: 17-1-0 (13.28, 94.4%) ATS: 7-10-1 (3.03, 41.2%) avg line: -10.2 O/U: 11-7-0 (3.97, 61.1%) avg total: 50.2

 

[THEGAME9000]

Love factual data, especially in chart and table formats, I could look at them forever, but the ones that interest me are ones that stand the test of time, landing on one side or the other for long stretches...the 17-3's ats over 10 years or 0-9's over 7 or 8 years..(just mythical examples)...once a factual stat or outcome gets to the 11-12-1,(again just an example), it becomes unusable, all trends or records that go off just above or below .500 serve to muddy the water , so to speak.
But that doesn't mean I don't love reading them.
I'm always up for as much info as I can get..I'm a freak like that, I appreciate it.