Week 11 #'s

[THEGAME9000]

I mentioned a couple of weeks back when week 9 #'s selections went 3-6-3 ats, that for those familiar with the #'s, they tend to rebound fast so I posted week 10 and left it at that.
Week 10 gave 9 selections or plays or leans, etc..etc....the 9 selections returned an outcome of 7-2 ats.
Some things can just almost be expected...

Week 11 is truly the reason I created the #'s system, there are very few rivalry games and a lot of match ups where teams don't or haven't played each other regularly.
This limits stats and info to help make choices

Week 11 suggests 12 plays, so for this week I'm just going to post the #'s and go with that


Week 11

Ari 124
Atl 123
Bal 120
Buf 125
Car 121
Chi 112
Cin 120
Cle 107
Dal 124
Den 123
Det 118
Gby 116
Hou 115
Ind 115
Jax 110
Kc 123
La 119
Mia 117
Min 122
Ne 129
No 117
Nyg 118
Nyj 116
Oak 119
Phi 124
Pit 126
Sd 119
Sf 110
Sea 127
Tb 118
Ten 116
Was 119

Pts..........home favs.............................road favs..........................home pick
1.............lwlllllpp................................lwlwlwlwll.......................
2.............wllwlpllwll............................wlwwlwpwl...........................+2.5w
3.............wlwwl..................................lwpwl..................................
4.............wlll.......................................ww....................................
5.............wwwwwl..............................wlwwlww.............................
6.............wllllwllw...............................lwllwl..................................
7.............lwl......................................pllwllwlw...........................
8.............wwwlwww............................wwlwl...............................
9.............w........................................wllw...............................
10...........wl........................................llw.....................................
11...........wllww...................................wpl..................................
12...........lww.............................................................................
13...........lw........................................w.....................................
14...........w.........................................llllw.................................
15............l..........................................lww...................................
16..............................................................................................
17...........ll..................................................................................
18............l..........................................w.....................................
19..............................................................................................
20.......................................................l......................................
21..............................................................................................
22..............................................................................................
23..............................................................................................
24..............................................................................................
25..............................................................................................

I might post some stats on a few games but for the most part I'm going to just trust the #'s for week 11

If there is a problem locating the 12 plays it suggests, I'll drop back in and list them.

GAME.

 

[THEGAME9000]

One of the plays was on New Orleans +3.5, so technically there should only be 11 left after that Thursday night game

 

[shale]

Thursday				vegas line
No 117		on no
Car 121	hf 4	1-3 ats		-3.5
Sunday
Ten 116	rf 1	4-6 ats
Ind 115		on indy		-2.5
Jax 110		6-1 ats
Det 118	hf 8	on det		-6
Tb 118		on kc
Kc 123	hf 5	5-1 ats		-7
Chi 112		on chi
Nyg 118	hf 6	3-6 ats		-7.5
Ari 124	rf 2	5-3-1 ats
Min 122		on ari		-2.5
Buf 125	rf 5	5-2 ats
Cin 120		on buf		-2.5
Bal 120		on bal
Dal 124	hf 4	1-3 ats		-7.5
Pit 126	rf 19	none
Cle 107		none
Mia 117		on mia		-2
La 119	hf 2	3-7-1 ats
Ne 129	rf 19	none
Sf 110		none
Phi 124		on sea
Sea 127	hf 3	3-2 ats		-6.5
Gby 116		on was
Was 119	hf 3	3-2 ats		-3
Monday
Hou 115		on hou
Oak 119	hf 4	1-3 ats		-6
(neutral field)

 

[THEGAME9000]

Shale, love the layout and version you created...I appreciate it...the more simple the better.
Cle elands # dropped down to 107...red flag anytime somebody drops down to 108 or lower, that's when they usually cover at least
Pit probably wins, probably...but Cleveland should cover at least.....now someone just has to have the insanity to take them.
(Fool or a genius)...????
When #'s are too low its a good "bet on", when #'s climb too high...133,134 and up...a good "bet against"...

 

[indiana]

G/9000.............appreciate the info and thought's...........BOL with all your action this weekend............indy

 

[bigwang]

Thanks game. Hope you sweep the board tmrw with your money plays.

 

[THEGAME9000]

Like I said, I'll pop up just a few stats on some games early tomorrow along with my week 11 ride...

 

[Green17]

Thank you Game. Always appreciate the info.

 

[RoosterStu]

Good luck 9000

 

[XSPower]

Good luck today.....

 

[THEGAME9000]

Ten at ind(2.5) 52.5...
Ten 0-7 ats as div road dogs s 14
Ten 2-9 ats after scoring 35+pts s 09
Ten 1-11 ats after a su win of 14+Pts s 10
Ind 13-5 over off a bye s 99
Series..ind covered 6 of last 8 at home vs ten s 08
".........ind 7-2-1 ats over last 10 games

Jax at det(6.5) 47.5...
Jax 16-6 over vs nfc s 11
Det 12-7 over at home vs afc s 07
**home teams off a bye with a su + ats win before the bye are 26-8-2 ats s 80

Tb at kc(7.5) 44.5...
Tb 14-3-1 ats in game 10 of reg sea s 98
Tb 15-7 ats as a dog after scoring 28+pts s 07
Kc 16-5-1 ats at home off a su win of 3pts or less s 91

Ari at min(2.5) 40...
Ari 14-1 ats as a dog of less than 4pts s 12
Ari 4-12-1 under as non-div road dogs s 11

Buf at cin(2.5) 47.5...
Buf 12-3 ats in 2nd of b2b road games s 08
Buf 17-5 ats off a su road loss s 12
Cin 0-3-1 ats as a fav off mnf s 06
Series...5-0 over last 5 meetings s 07

Pit(8) at cle 44.5...
Pit 11-2 ats after allowing 28+pts s 13
Pit 3-12 ats as favs in 1st of b2b road games s 07
Cle 5-1 ats as a home dog off a su loss of 21+pts s 05
Cle 12-5 ats in 1st of b2b home games s 09

Ne(12) at sf 51...
Ne 5-12 ats as favs of 12+pts s 08 (3-0 last 3)
**new eng is 9-1 su and 8-2 ats on the road off a su home loss s 06 (ave score ne 32-16)

Gb at was(3) 49...
Gb 10-2-1 ats before mnf s 06 (8-0 ats last 8)
Gb 13-8 ats after a game vs afc s 11
Was 2-12 su in game 10 of reg sea s 02
Was 11-25-1 under before playing dallas s 97

Hou at oak(6) 46...
Hou 8-2-2 ats after playing jax s 08
Hou 16-7-2 ats in 2nd of b2b road games s 04
Hou 11-4 over off a su road win s 12
Oak 4-10 under after playing den s 08

The ride....

Detroit
Over jax/det
Kansas City
Buffalo
Over buf/cin
Cleveland
Baltimore
Indianapolis
Over. Ten/ind
Houston

GAME.

 

[XSPower]

Thanks and good luck today!!!

 

[TomandJerry]

The ride....

Detroit
Over jax/det
Kansas City
Buffalo
Over buf/cin
Cleveland
Baltimore
Indianapolis
Over. Ten/ind
Houston

GAME.


best of luck this week GAME and thanks the info.

 

[doogieboy]

Shale... You da man!!! As a Game said, thanks for the ex format!!!!
And to Game, thanks for sharing!!!
GL Today

 

[doogieboy]

No Dolphins at 3-7-1????

 

[B2B]

Thanks Game n Shale

 

[isellgel]

Thanks Shale, It makes it much easier to read.


What is the Ride?

 

[B2B]

Games, can you share the Week12# for Thursday game.
Thanks

 

[shale]

Updated for the week through sunday night:

.
.
.

 

[shale]

Thursday				vegas line
No 117		on no	Saints
Car 121	hf 4	1-3 ats	win	-3.5
Sunday
Ten 116	rf 1	4-6 ats	Indy
Ind 115		on indy	win	-2.5
Jax 110	w	6-1 ats	Det
Det 118	hf 8	on det	win	-6
Tb 118		on kc	KC
Kc 123	hf 5	5-1 ats	loss	-7
Chi 112		on chi	Chi
Nyg 118	hf 6	3-6 ats	win	-7.5
Ari 124	rf 2	5-3-1 ats	Ari
Min 122		on ari	loss	-2.5
Buf 125	rf 5	5-2 ats	Buf
Cin 120		on buf	win	-2.5
Bal 120		on bal	Bal
Dal 124	hf 4	1-3 ats	loss	-7.5
Pit 126	rf 19	none	n/a
Cle 107		none	n/a
Mia 117		on mia	Mia	-2
La 119	hf 2	3-7-1 ats	win
Ne 129	rf 19	none	n/a
Sf 110		none	n/a
Phi 124		on sea	Sea
Sea 127	hf 3	3-2 ats	win	-6.5
Gby 116		on was	Was
Was 119	hf 3	3-2 ats	win	-3
Monday
Hou 115		on hou	pending
Oak 119	hf 4	1-3 ats	outcome	-6
(neutral field)