weEk 10 upsets and picks!!!!!!!!! including GOTW

[thesportsforecaster]

YTD 27-20-3 ATS + 130 UNITS

GOTW 5-1 ATS (Game of the Week) + 98 UNITS



1ST GAME (GOTW)

COWBOYS AT STEELERS -2.5


1.Steelers are the only NFL team to lose key players to all key positions QB WR RB TE OL DL DB & LB and now they are finally getting healthy at all positions, with Big Ben coming back last week. too early in my opinion, and it showed Big Ben didn't get warmed up and in sync vs the ravens till the 4th quarter and played well but it was too late !!!!
2. Ben Roethisberger is 11-3 at home in the months of Nov & Dec since 2013
3. The Cowboys last 4 games have allowed opposing QB's a competion percentage of 70%
4. Cowboys are hurting in the secondary Claiborne and Church are out !! and the Cowboys have a poor pass rush !!
5. The Cowboys haven't beaten a playoff team all year!!!!
6. The Cowboys are getting pounded and this line hasn't moved at all!!! I smell trap city!!!!
7. The Steelers are way better than there 4-4 record and very tough to beat at home, and are 4-1 this year when Big Ben plays !!!!
8. I see the Steelers jumping to a big lead and will force Prescott to air it out, and he is due for a bad game period, I see bad turnovers and no big comeback for Big D this time !!!
9. Steelers have droped 3 straight loses no f****ing they drop 4 at home this game is a critical win for the steelers
10. Come Monday you will all start reading the QB controversy to bring back a healthy Tony Romo!!!! Dak has done a excellent job for a back up QB but he is not taking this team to the promised land quite yet !!! He is still a Rookie !!!


TAKING STEELERS -2.5 (GOTW) 25 UNITS !!!!!!!!

STEELERS 31 COWBOYS 20


CHEERS


TSF

 

[OverThinker]

Agree with all except #10, yes there will be chatter and maybe dal makes huge mistake and goes with romo but here where we disagree in a big way. This whole "dak isn't ready to lead dal in playoffs as a rookie" talk that coming from everywhere of late to me is bogus. Dak has had as much playoff success as romo already! Lol.

outside of that couldn't agree more with the play, I have it 35-24 steelers and like you think they jump out early and force this into a game dal can't control with the rushing attack.. gl with all your plays

 

[thesportsforecaster]

Agree with all except #10, yes there will be chatter and maybe dal makes huge mistake and goes with romo but here where we disagree in a big way. This whole "dak isn't ready to lead dal in playoffs as a rookie" talk that coming from everywhere of late to me is bogus. Dak has had as much playoff success as romo already! Lol.

outside of that couldn't agree more with the play, I have it 35-24 steelers and like you think they jump out early and force this into a game dal can't control with the rushing attack.. gl with all your plays

Nice hearing for you Overthinker Iam glad that we are on the same side !!!! I have always been a big Romo backer, and I think he deserves a shot back at QB once he is fully heathly, he is a gamer and has a ton of experience, maybe not playoff experience but if Dallas makes a deep run, I would prefer Romo at the helm and if he fails you have dak ready to go !! The Cowboys owe it to Romo just my opinion !!!!


cheers


tsf

 

[thesportsforecaster]

2nd game large play

FALCONS -1.5 AT EAGLES


1. Eagles are 3-0 at home this year with a combined score of 84-23 on the visiting teams
2. The Eagles have been on the road for four of its past 5 games with all road games versus teams with a winning record, of which 3 of those road games were versus divisional rivals!!! The only game they had in that span at home, was versus then an unbeatable Vikings team which the Eagles beat handily!!
3.The Falcons are crazy good at Offense they are currently averaging 6.8 YardsPerPlay over last 10 games which is insane !! Regresion is due it has to be !! There problem is they have an average Defense especially on the road!!!
4. The Eagles have a good pass Defense they will slow down the Falcons pass Offense
5. Falcon's are too me in a bad spot versus the Eagles!!! they had a huge win versus the Packers two back and last thurs beat divisional rival's the Bucs, and are on there bye next week, I see a tired team that can't wait till that week off to regenerate and make there run !!!
6 The Eagles are coming off two tough loses and will be the more desperate team to try and save there season !!!
7. Conclusion Carson Wentz and company possibly overachieved in the early part of the season, but ran into a tough schedule and that tough road swing of games and are back home getting points????.... this to me is another shady line ??


TAKING EAGLES +1.5 LARGE PLAY 15 UNITS


EAGLES 34 FALCONS 31



CHEERS




TSF

 

[OverThinker]

Nice hearing for you Overthinker Iam glad that we are on the same side !!!! I have always been a big Romo backer, and I think he deserves a shot back at QB once he is fully heathly, he is a gamer and has a ton of experience, maybe not playoff experience but if Dallas makes a deep run, I would prefer Romo at the helm and if he fails you have dak ready to go !! The Cowboys owe it to Romo just my opinion !!!!


cheers


tsf

I understand your romo stance and I'm just having fun, he close to if not elite and the murry year where they got jobbed in Green Bay on the "NFL doesn't know what a catch is" play to dez they very well could have went to the SB. My thing is while everything you saying is legit this is Dak's team he lead to this point and it impossible for me to say he hasn't earned the right to play it out when he helped get them here. selfishly as a dez fantasy owner id prefer romo for that reason alone, I do think it be a mistake for Dallas tho ..

 

[OverThinker]

Wow man we really have similar views on this card! along with saints who I grabbed -1.5 early in week those my favorite plays for many of same reasons you listed.

 

[thesportsforecaster]

Wow man we really have similar views on this card! along with saints who I grabbed -1.5 early in week those my favorite plays for many of same reasons you listed.

Thats what I enjoy about this forum, sharing information good bad or indifferent !!!!!!! At first glance I was looking at the saints and they have been pounded by the sharps to -3 now???? good luck with your plays !!!


cheers


tsf

 

[powerz]

#5.5 - SOS difference between Cowboys and Steelers 5 points.....I have not seen a margin that wide all year. Boys about to learn they are not elite

On the Steelers & Falcons - GL this week

 

[thesportsforecaster]

3rd pick large play

SEAHAWKS AT PATRIOTS -7.5


1. The Seahawks must travel all the way east off a monday night battle with the Bills to play the best team in the NFL the Patriots on short rest, and the Pats who are rested coming off their bye !!!!
2. The Seahawks defense have too be a tired bunch last 3 games versus the Cardinals, Saints, and Bills the have played 244 snaps and 122.5 mins !!! compared too the NFL average of 193 snaps and 90 mins !!!
3. The Seahawks have a great CB in Sherman but the Pats dont have a No 1 receiver so he shuts down himself in theory, the Pats are unstoppable in the middle with Gronk and Bennett which the Seahawks will try to double cover TRY???
4. The Seahawks running game is non existent all of a sudden, which is ranked 30th and averaging 75 YPG... can you say they badly miss beast mode M Lynch !!!!
5. HC Mastermind Bill Bellichek is 12-4 ATS coming off the bye
6. Tom Brady has a QB rating to date get this unbelievable 133.9 !!!! The all time record is 122.5 Aaron Rodgers 2011. Brady seems to get better with age !!!!
7. The Patriots are adding another piece to there Offense in Dion Lewis like Tom Brady needs more options !!!
8. The Seahawks will trade scores early with the Pats and just when it seems they have a chance the Patriots will pull away and win and cover the number !!!


TAKING THE PATRIOTS -7.5 15 UNITS LARGE PLAY


CHEERS


TSF
.

 

[uscmd]

Like the Pit and NE calls.

Big Ben has won about 67% of his starts. When you add to that he's under .500 against teams that are below .500, you see just how great he is in games like this one......'Game of the Week' type games. Adding the health factor and the need for a win, and maybe the sound of footstep pressure for Dak......and it seems to justify, what at first was a strange line.

BOL!!! :toast:

 

[uscmd]

tsf......one more pro-pit factor.

In division, Dal has trailed in 4th qtr in each game. Their non div sched, v chi, @ sf, v cin, @ gb, and @cle. Every one of those teams is having a down year. So there are 7-1 records that are much different than other teams 7-1. And Pit has had injurys at every key position, and finally they are getting healthy.

Again.......bol.

 

[XSPower]

Thanks and good luck today

 

[thesportsforecaster]

4th and final pick (small lean)

TEXANS AT JAGUARS -2.5


1. The Jaguars are finally home, this is there 2nd home game in there last 6 games they have had an extremely tough go travelling to London in a tight game versus the colts, a gutty win in Chicago, a very embarrassing loss in Tennessee, and last week's loss in K.C.
2. The Jaguars lost last week versus the Chiefs which they should of won!!! RB Ivory fumbled on the Chiefs goaline before breaking the plain with 12 seconds left, Ivory rushed for 100+ yards for the first time this year and now runs vs the 28th ranked run defense in the texans.
3. The Jaguars outplayed the Chiefs out gaining them in yardage 450-230 with 25 first downs, but bad mistakes killed them with 4 turnovers !!!
4. The Jaguars offense looked better last week under new OC Hackett if they can limit mistakes today they should win !!! QB Bortles has to play better mistake free ball
5. The Texans have not won on the road yet this year
6. Heavy sharp money has poured in on the jags moving the line to 2.5 i like it under the field goal
7. The Jaguars are 12-5 ATS coming off a 2 game road trip at home in its last 17 instances



TAKING JAGUARS -2.5 5 UNITS (SMALL LEAN)


JAGUARS 24 TEXANS 17


CHEERS:toast: GOOD LUCK TODAY BOYS!!!!!



TSF

 

[thesportsforecaster]

Thanks and good luck today

CHEERS TO YOU XS :toast: ALL THE BEST TODAY


TSF

 

[thesportsforecaster]

Like the Pit and NE calls.

Big Ben has won about 67% of his starts. When you add to that he's under .500 against teams that are below .500, you see just how great he is in games like this one......'Game of the Week' type games. Adding the health factor and the need for a win, and maybe the sound of footstep pressure for Dak......and it seems to justify, what at first was a strange line.

BOL!!! :toast:

Lets get that Steeler's and Patriots money today usc !!!!!!


cheers :toast:



tsf

 

[fadetheaction]

Love the Patriots however Steelers have little or no pass rush and do not stop the run well. My personal choice is the over as I believe Ben and AB will attempt to "light it up." On board all the way with the Brady Bunch. He is on a "search and destroy mission." Both games should be enjoyable. Best to everyone.

 

[indiana]

S/caster.........BOL with all your action today.......lov Pitt..........indy