Week 10 Sharper Plays (YTD: 119-76-6 +$5,305.09)

[VoiceofReason101]

YTD: 119-76-6 +$5305.09
Week 1: 10-4 +$196.1 ($50 wagers went 2-2, swept rest)
Week 2: 1-0 +500.0 (4 Team/14 point teaser: ASU, NE, Okie St,T Tech)
Week 3: 13-12-3 +407 (5-1 on plays of $100 or more)
Week 4: 16-16 -$233.75 today (3-7 $50 wagers or more)
Week 5: 19-10 +$233.55
Week 6: 18-7-2 +6.25 ($1250)
Week 7: 17-8 +11.049 ($2,209.80)
Week 8: 12-7 +5.27 ($1,054) (7-2 on plays over 1 unit value)
Week 9: 13-12 -1.56 (Blah)



Lines will be out in 14 hours :drink:

 

[VoiceofReason101]

7 hours:drink:

 

[VoiceofReason101]

Unit values:

2 Units: $400
1 Units: $200
.5 Units: $100

Note: This is what I personally bet. A $1000 unit bettor would be up over 25k playing my games.

 

[clowncar]

There you are.

Ready for talking football today ??

Conference call in a few hours.

 

[sarcean]

Unit values:

2 Units: $400
1 Units: $200
.5 Units: $100

Note: This is what I personally bet. A $1000 unit bettor would be up over 25k playing my games.

By that logic a $10,000 unit bettor would be up over $250k too

 

[VoiceofReason101]

By that logic a $10,000 unit bettor would be up over $250k too

you betcha haha

 

[VoiceofReason101]

There you are.

Ready for talking football today ??

Conference call in a few hours.

Feeling mighty good about this card. :wink:

 

[VoiceofReason101]

1.5 Units: Oregon State -9 (will play at -13 for .5 unit)
1 Unit: LSU -24.5
.75 Unit: CAL -3 (mostly hedging my Oregon regular season play)
.50 Unit: Texas A&M -3 (-2.5 available)
.50 Unit: West Virginia -2.5 (will play at -3.5 for .25 Unit)
.50 Unit: Ole Miss -5 (will play at -6 for .25 Unit
.50 Unit: Virginia +1.5
.25 Unit: Texas -3.5 (Looking to middle later on the week)
.25 Unit: Miss St. -1.5 (no play at current number)
.25 Unit: Stanford -26.5 (no play at current number)


Games I'll eventually be on: Cinci (waiting for 3), Pitt (hoping to get 6 at least to even consider), Florida (waiting for 4, regardless I'm playing it), and possibly Okie St.



Note: guys I'm sorry I take so long to post but I'm really busy going over these games. Bookmaker simply made a huge mistake with Oregon St and I had to hit that pretty hard. As you can clearly see I've reduced my unit wager considerably considering the lines are just that much sharper. I feel good about this card and especially with the lines I got.


Good Luck

 

[VoiceofReason101]

1.5 Units: Oregon State -9 (will play at -13 for .5 unit)
1 Unit: LSU -24.5
.75 Unit: CAL -3 (mostly hedging my Oregon regular season play)
.50 Unit: Texas A&M -3 (-2.5 available)
.50 Unit: West Virginia -2.5 (will play at -3.5 for .25 Unit)
.50 Unit: Ole Miss -5 (will play at -6 for .25 Unit
.50 Unit: Virginia +1.5
.25 Unit: Texas -3.5 (Looking to middle later on the week)
.25 Unit: Miss St. -1.5 (no play at current number)
.25 Unit: Stanford -26.5 (no play at current number)


Games I'll eventually be on: Cinci (waiting for 3), Pitt (hoping to get 6 at least to even consider), Florida (waiting for 4, regardless I'm playing it), and possibly Okie St.



Note: guys I'm sorry I take so long to post but I'm really busy going over these games. Bookmaker simply made a huge mistake with Oregon St and I had to hit that pretty hard. As you can clearly see I've reduced my unit wager considerably considering the lines are just that much sharper. I feel good about this card and especially with the lines I got.


Good Luck

Oregon St. already at -13.5 :drink:
Ole miss up one point to -6
West Virginia up 1.5 points to -4
Stanford up 3.5 points to -30
Texas up to -6
Miss St. up to -3


one of my best feats yet d1g1t

 

[VoiceofReason101]

1.5 Units: Oregon State -9 (will play at -13 for .5 unit)
1 Unit: LSU -24.5
.75 Unit: CAL -3 (mostly hedging my Oregon regular season play)
.50 Unit: Texas A&M -3 (-2.5 available)
.50 Unit: West Virginia -2.5 (will play at -3.5 for .25 Unit)
.50 Unit: Ole Miss -5 (will play at -6 for .25 Unit
.50 Unit: Virginia +1.5
.25 Unit: Texas -3.5 (Looking to middle later on the week)
.25 Unit: Miss St. -1.5 (no play at current number)
.25 Unit: Stanford -26.5 (no play at current number)
.25 Unit: Air Force -10


Games I'll eventually be on: Cinci (waiting for 3), Pitt (hoping to get 6 at least to even consider), Florida (waiting for 4, regardless I'm playing it), Iowa (hoping to get 3) and possibly Okie St.

Added Air Force small.

 

[VoiceofReason101]

Write ups (all plays were made with Bookmaker)

1.5 Units: Oregon State -9 (will play at -13 for .5 unit): This line had so much value that it made my eyes watered.
1 Unit: LSU -24.5: Miles knows spreads and runs up scores with the best of them. Having lost against a very good Georgia team this team will be licking their chops. Tulane is coming in battered and bruised my friends and that doesn't bold well against the express.
.75 Unit: CAL -3 (mostly hedging my Oregon regular season play): Have $500 on Oregon over 8 wins in a regular season total so here I am putting up a safety net ($150 worth)
.75 Unit: Texas A&M -3 (-2.5 available): Another safety net here being placed with my crappy over 6 regular season wins total for the buffs.
.50 Unit: West Virginia -2.5 (will play at -3.5 for .25 Unit): Too much value for a team that simply is more talented and faster than their opposition.
.50 Unit: Ole Miss -5 (will play at -6 for .25 Unit): If Hardy doesn't play I might buy back some (.25 Units or so)
.50 Unit: Virginia +1.5: My "U" fade machine is at it again. I will continue to double my wagers weekly until the "U" loses.
.25 Unit: Texas -3.5 (Looking to middle later on the week): This was a sick opening line. Going in I wanted to play tech thinking I might see a 6.5/7 but when they hung this -3.5 I had to make a quick decision so i hit it for 50.
.25 Unit: Miss St. -1.5 (no play at current number): Had this line at -3 so I couldn't pass this line up.
.25 Unit: Stanford -26.5 (no play at current number): Had this line around -29 so I hit this soft line for another 50 (probably should have hit for 100)
.25 Unit: Air Force -10: Army is a poor mans Air force ala Kansas was a poor mans Texas Tech this pass week. I feel the line doesn't have too much value hence the small wager.






Iowa, Cinci, Florida, and Okie St. are all still on my radar.

 

[nd2000]

1.5 Units: Oregon State -9 (will play at -13 for .5 unit): This line had so much value that it made my eyes watered.

Voice,

I really respect you man, but i think your eyes have fooled you badly here. Oregon State, at season's end, will prove to be a mediocre team at best. I made a post about this game in Conan's west coast thread.

 

[fadethepublic1]

.50 Unit: West Virginia -2.5 (will play at -3.5 for .25 Unit): Too much value for a team that simply is more talented and faster than their opposition.

Don't mean to be rude, but just wanted your opinion on why do you think the line is so low then? If what you say is true about more talent on Mountaineers, then shouldn't they be laying more than 3? I have UConn winning the game outright in this spot. I'm only on UConn if QB is playing. GL anyways Voice. You are a good capper and like watching people make money.

As always... aloha.

 

[VoiceofReason101]

Voice,

I really respect you man, but i think your eyes have fooled you badly here. Oregon State, at season's end, will prove to be a mediocre team at best. I made a post about this game in Conan's west coast thread.

As bad as you think Oregon State is which I respectfully disagree with ASU is much worse.

GL

 

[VoiceofReason101]

Don't mean to be rude, but just wanted your opinion on why do you think the line is so low then? If what you say is true about more talent on Mountaineers, then shouldn't they be laying more than 3? I have UConn winning the game outright in this spot. I'm only on UConn if QB is playing. GL anyways Voice. You are a good capper and like watching people make money.

As always... aloha.

This simply was a value and percentage play. I have WV winning 60% of the time against UCONN and -2.5 was a point or two too low(I had it at its current number -4). I'm not in love with the play hence the small wager. I think you can make a good case of playing UCONN at +4 as I wouldn't play WV at that number. I would probably consider playing UCONN small at +5.

I'm all about playing value and the percentages my friend. GL :toast:


Note: I may middle if it reaches 5.

 

[nd2000]

As bad as you think Oregon State is which I respectfully disagree with ASU is much worse.

GL

I don't think Oregon State is bad, i just don't think they are a team that is valuable as double digit chalk against a team that is somewhat competent. Washington, a truly awful team, hung with Oregon state pretty well last time out. Oregon State only outgained Wash 421-377, and they allowed the Huskies 8.6 yards/pass. It did not reflect on the scoreboard because incompetent Wash tossed in 4 turnovers, but a strong team, one that you would be wise to lay DD with, would have absolutely demolished a high school team like Washington.

 

[echamp76]

VOR, gl this weekend. Do you think that WVU might be a little full of themselves after the win over an SEC team? I know this is a huge revenge game for UCONN WVU drilled them last year in Morgantown. I am kinda leaning on UCONN on this one, WVU hasn't won a road game yet this year.

 

[AlwaysKeen]

GL voiceofreason...I appreciate all of your insight...

 

[VoiceofReason101]

I don't think Oregon State is bad, i just don't think they are a team that is valuable as double digit chalk against a team that is somewhat competent. Washington, a truly awful team, hung with Oregon state pretty well last time out. Oregon State only outgained Wash 421-377, and they allowed the Huskies 8.6 yards/pass. It did not reflect on the scoreboard because incompetent Wash tossed in 4 turnovers, but a strong team, one that you would be wise to lay DD with, would have absolutely demolished a high school team like Washington.

First off I'm not laying DD in this game. I got the number at 9 and its now 14.5. Why do you think that is? Its a rhetorical question.

I think Oregon State has a better defense and running game than ASU plus their playing at home. I can also argue that ASU is about to quit. Lastly -9 had huge value and the current line reflects that.

GL

 

[VoiceofReason101]

VOR, gl this weekend. Do you think that WVU might be a little full of themselves after the win over an SEC team? I know this is a huge revenge game for UCONN WVU drilled them last year in Morgantown. I am kinda leaning on UCONN on this one, WVU hasn't won a road game yet this year.

overconfidence and revenge factors are VERY overrated angles. WVU was able to run the ball with ease last year for one simple reason and that is speed. WVU has a lot of it while UCONN does not. Like I said before I think WVU wins 6 out 10 against UCONN so -2.5 was really tough to pass up.

Again if the line reaches +4.5/+5 you will not get any argument from me if you play UCONN plus the points.

It should be a great game IMHO

GL :drink: