Week 10 Codebreaker Beware of some, don't over think others

[Codebreaker]

Be careful of VT at Miami. The line opened VT +3 then quickly ran to VT -2 1/2. VT will have fits with Miami's front 7. This will be the best defense front 7 VT has faced since Clemson. Josh Jackson has not shown me much. Miami is going to lock down Cam Philips and come after Jackson with really fast guys. I don't see VT scoring more then 10 on offense in this one. VT has a poor running game from its RB's. Jackson takes off and runs a little but couldn't vs Clem and won't vs Miami. I don't see VT out rushing Miami at home and I don't see them scoring 27. Miami wins this game 20+ to 10.

Clemson -7 over NCst. I don't see how NCst scores more then 10 on that defense. They squeezed out 14 vs ND. Clemson is 10 times better on defense then ND. Of course if Bryant gets hurt the game is tighter but I see NcSt 7 or less points Clemson 20+ points.

1st Two games Miami -3 over VT

Clem -7 over Ncst

Lots more to come.

 

[Codebreaker]

Miami +2 1/2 I meanthno:

 

[Codebreaker]

PSU -7.5 vs Mich St

Penn St will not be effected by the game at OSU. Just too much talent and leadership. The QB and RB are leaders Franklin is
just average. w-thumbs!^

 

[exploited17]

Mich St is coming off that triple OT game. But I'm not laying 7.5 on the road even though I expect Penn St to win and probably cover. I have said Miami is wearing down for the past few werks. Could barely beat NC. It is time they lose. But, I'm also not taking V Tech as road favorite against a still pretty good Miami team. T will stay far away from those games as I feel trapped by them

 

[Codebreaker]

I hear ya brother. VT/Miami is not easy money like UGA or ND last week. These games tend to be determined by turnovers. I know VT
pretty well unless they find a QB, 5 more WR's and a RB VT will struggle against Miami just like they did at home against Clemson.

Miami will still need to score and not turn the ball over. This should be a low scoring game 20-10 Miami? Miami being at home helps
I don't know about Miami being tired I think more like bored for that group of 19 year olds.

VT will get Miami's A game they were embarrassed at VT last year.

Throw me a few games you like

 

[exploited17]

It is too early to say for sure. I will look at ALL games but for right npw these lines and teams interest me as early leans without huge research
Marshall +9
Tulsa +12
Iowa +16.5
Wash St -1.5 (really need to research this weird line)
Sj ST +24
Tx AM +15

 

[tmader7]

PSU -7.5 vs Mich St

Penn St will not be effected by the game at OSU. Just too much talent and leadership. The QB and RB are leaders Franklin is
just average. w-thumbs!^

Franklin is "average!?!?" Which variety of Colorado Kush you smoking, gotta be some really strong shit. Took Vandy to 3 straight bowl games and then basically raised a Penn State program from the ashes to a Top 10 ranking. Wow, should all football coaches be that "average."

~T~

 

[Codebreaker]

I eat mushrooms man no weed for me.

 

[tmader7]

I eat mushrooms man no weed for me.

LMFAO! The "Silly" type or the ones you buy in the grocery store, combing through the produce department looking for that MILF to hand a cucumber to, LOL. GL with the action.

~T~

 

[StevieRay]

Camping many moons ago about to go run the Nolichucky at spring level water which is no easy task, I got out of tent and saw one of the guys making what I thought was coffee. I said sweet as I'm usually first one up before Day break making it. Little did I know he was boiling down some shrooms making tea for a psychedelic trip down the river. Lol

 

[Greenbacks]

I love V Tech -2.5

Good luck with the others

 

[Codebreaker]

Yes when I'm bored or having a bad day I like to hang around the produce dept watching MILF's touch the cucumbers
and fondle the peaches. On a good day I might catch one fondling the melons.w-thumbs!^

Shroom tea is not for me.

No doubt Miami has not looked as sharp or focused as VT over the past few weeks

Vt's offense is not very good. They have played no one except Clemson. They caught WVU in the 1st game and should have lost
Vt's defense is good. However they have struggled with a pass rush and the Mike linebacker gets lost in games and misses a lot of tackles.
The boundary corner is a safety he struggles with burners.

I had VT losing at home to Clemson that was easy. This game is a lot closer to a 50-50. Reicht is a good coach with a lot of experience
in the SEC. He has good players and should be able to exploit a weakness. Fuente is a good coach too and has a more disciplined group
I'm not likely to bet on this game. I like obvious blowouts like UGA vs UF. These 2 teams are closely matched and are playing for everything.

 

[billbeater]

Love Clem$on!!!
Cash it!
:toast:

 

[ScottL]

Great contribution Billbeater. Especially love the analysis and support you posted for your Play.

 

[AcesandFaces]

Yes when I'm bored or having a bad day I like to hang around the produce dept watching MILF's touch the cucumbers
and fondle the peaches. On a good day I might catch one fondling the melons.w-thumbs!^

Shroom tea is not for me.

No doubt Miami has not looked as sharp or focused as VT over the past few weeks

Vt's offense is not very good. They have played no one except Clemson. They caught WVU in the 1st game and should have lost
Vt's defense is good. However they have struggled with a pass rush and the Mike linebacker gets lost in games and misses a lot of tackles.
The boundary corner is a safety he struggles with burners.

I had VT losing at home to Clemson that was easy. This game is a lot closer to a 50-50. Reicht is a good coach with a lot of experience
in the SEC. He has good players and should be able to exploit a weakness. Fuente is a good coach too and has a more disciplined group
I'm not likely to bet on this game. I like obvious blowouts like UGA vs UF. These 2 teams are closely matched and are playing for everything.

So, just to be clear, you are NOT playing Miami FL. +2.5 as you originally indicated in your first post?

 

[Codebreaker]

Vegas favored Miami -3 to open. Joe public quickly ran to VT, Miami +2 1/2. I don't put a lot of value on line movement it's the 22 guys on the field that
I focus on plus coaching. VT is ripe for a good stout defense to shut them down just like Clemson did. Miami is not quite Clemson on defense but has a very serviceable front 7 that will shut VT's running game down sans Jackson breaking a few runs off. Can Jackson beat Miami thru the air? Cam Philips is the only returning WR from last year. Since Clemson Savoy as emerged as a 2nd WR. Jackson has not impressed me with his passing game. He can hit the short stuff okay but deep middle and long balls seem to be jump balls except if the WR is wide open. I think Miami has a fast enough front 7 to keep Jackson from running wild and a secondary that can shut down Phillips and limit Savoy. Because so much is at stake in this game I see a low scoring conservative game. If anyone wants to take a chance and get aggressive on offense I see Miami having the edge there. Miami has better skill players in space on offense. Bud Foster tends to
take risks in the secondary to stop the run. Can Miami hit a few speedsters in space to make Bud pay for his aggression?

On balance VT is more disciplined and well coached in what they do. Miami has better athletes and speed everywhere. The game is at Miami and everything is on the line. The loser is out of the coastal race and will be playing UF in the Belk Bowl. The ACC wants to see Miami and Clemson in ACC champ game does a critical holding or PI call show up mysteriously against VT?

I don't like to lose even small bets. That is the only reason I would not bet this game. But if i were not so thin skinned or egotistical I would throw a little on Miami ML or a little on VT -2 1/2

 

[AcesandFaces]

Vegas favored Miami -3 to open. Joe public quickly ran to VT, Miami +2 1/2. I don't put a lot of value on line movement it's the 22 guys on the field that
I focus on plus coaching. VT is ripe for a good stout defense to shut them down just like Clemson did. Miami is not quite Clemson on defense but has a very serviceable front 7 that will shut VT's running game down sans Jackson breaking a few runs off. Can Jackson beat Miami thru the air? Cam Philips is the only returning WR from last year. Since Clemson Savoy as emerged as a 2nd WR. Jackson has not impressed me with his passing game. He can hit the short stuff okay but deep middle and long balls seem to be jump balls except if the WR is wide open. I think Miami has a fast enough front 7 to keep Jackson from running wild and a secondary that can shut down Phillips and limit Savoy. Because so much is at stake in this game I see a low scoring conservative game. If anyone wants to take a chance and get aggressive on offense I see Miami having the edge there. Miami has better skill players in space on offense. Bud Foster tends to
take risks in the secondary to stop the run. Can Miami hit a few speedsters in space to make Bud pay for his aggression?

On balance VT is more disciplined and well coached in what they do. Miami has better athletes and speed everywhere. The game is at Miami and everything is on the line. The loser is out of the coastal race and will be playing UF in the Belk Bowl. The ACC wants to see Miami and Clemson in ACC champ game does a critical holding or PI call show up mysteriously against VT?

I don't like to lose even small bets. That is the only reason I would not bet this game. But if i were not so thin skinned or egotistical I would throw a little on Miami ML or a little on VT -2 1/2

Understood. Thank you for the thorough response. Much appreciated.

BOL to you.

 

[tmader7]

"Yes when I'm bored or having a bad day I like to hang around the produce dept watching MILF's touch the cucumbers
and fondle the peaches. On a good day I might catch one fondling the melons."

Sounds like you caught the reference there, LOL. GL with the action, gonna stay clear of this game. IMO, Miami should have no problem covering but not my kind of game. In fact we got a lot of games with ranked teams facing each other. Makes for a difficult day wagering. GL!

~T~

 

[Codebreaker]

I followed Ticojoe on another site. He does his homework and wants to win. That's 80% of this game. I don't know smaller programs so I'm going to follow his NIU and E Michigan picks as a parlay. I'll buy 6 points in both games cause I like to win more then the money. I also want to have a reason to watch slow white kids compete.

 

[BillyBob]

Hey Codebreaker,

I am new here. Been apart of many forums over the years.

I have noticed your impressive record so far. Great job.

Do you have an opinion on the Navy Temple game? I really like Navy.

Thanks a lot.