Week 10 39-35 +10 Units YTd

[Alex_Pooch]

Some early plays

2U ND -3
2U ND/Clem Under 45

Clemson has bad vibes… Dabo throwing players under the bus, turnovers all over the place and just a general inability to win games. They outplayers the Wolfpack and lost, outplayed fsu for most of the game and lost, etc. I don’t see them having much success against the ND defense. I also don’t see ND having a ton of success against clemson on offense so really like the under on this one, I think it can be a mid-30s game. I trust ND to take care of the football, make fewer mistakes, and use their defense to win this game in Death Valley.



1U PSU -10- I’ve been burned by Maryland for the last time. Penn state in a tough spot here on the road with a thrashing from Michigan on deck (Go Blue) but Maryland has issues, obviously. I can see Penn State being slow in this one but they’ll do enough to put it away by a few scores and be

 

[indiana]

Alex P......BOL with your action this week buddy....indy

 

[Alex_Pooch]

Adding the following:


1U AZ/ UCLA Under 50.5: I considered playing AZ +3 in addition to the under play here, but for now I will hold off. When I look at these two teams I see two strong defenses and offenses that have been a bit more volatile. I think Arizona is hitting it's stride at the right time and is slightly undervalued as a result of a few difficult losses on their schedule. However, the UCLA defense can make things difficult on Arizona, specifically if they can limit their run game, as they've done to others. On the other side of the Ball, Arizona has proved they can limit explosive offenses, and I don't view UCLA as that. I imagine this game being played in the 30s. I may play AZ as well, tbd.


1U Army +17.5: Air Force is the better team, but this is a service academy game and 17.5 is rich for that. Both of these defenses are familiar with the system and the clock runs in these games- that's why the unders have been so popular. However, rather than play an under 32, I'll take Army to keep it within 17 and a hook. If Army scores a touchdown, I imagine this cashes.


1U Nebraska -3: Ruhle has this team headed in the right direction with a legitimate shot at winning the west in year one (thanks to that division being booty cheeks). Michigan state is in shambles and their defense seemingly can't stop a gust of wind lately. Sparty has a date w/ Ohio state on deck and closes the season with PSU, even with a win here, they don't have anything to play for. I imagine half the roster is checking out their portal options. Huskers win big if they take care of the ball.


1U Kentucky -4: KY comes into this game on 3 game slide, to GA, Mizzou and TN, but have a good opportunity to get right, as I think they're the more talented team. This game is one of Kentucky's last legitimate chances to secure a bowl spot and will capitalize.





leans:


Arizona +3


Fresno -2.5


FSU -21.5 - hoping to catch a slightly better number.

 

[Alex_Pooch]

other leans I forgot to include but may play- trying to figure out which angles I like the most.
Mich -32.5 or Team Total Over 37.5 (-215)- For some reason my book doesn't have other numbers for TT w/ less juice? IDK
Mich 1H -20.5
Washington -3
Washington / USC over 76.5

 

[Alex_Pooch]

Rough start to the day- going to play a few of my means:

trusting my boys in blue to be focused, energized,’pissed off and make a statement tonihht
2U all
Michigan -31.5
Much 1H -20.5
Much Tt over 37 -220

1U Washington -2.5

 

[Alex_Pooch]

Week: 6-5 -2 Units
Season: 45-40 +8 units