Week 1 Plays from Esso

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mws

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I'm leaning the other way with UW/Rutgers. Although I have to admit I got it at UW -20.5. Under 3 td's was the key for me. If it had been more than that I would have laid off the game. This is some pretty heavy road travel for Chris Ash, who is coaching Rutgers for the first game ever as a head coach. It's always a concern to me to bet on a team going on the road against a top 10 defense that can potentially shut you out.

Look what Rutgers did last year against comparable defenses without WR Carroo. It was ugly, and they'll be without Carroo every game this year. Meanwhile the Rutgers D was one of 4 that managed to allow at least 9.0 yards per pass last year (along with Rice, SMU, and Texas State). UW won 3 conference games by 35+ last year, and I think Esso's number is short. And it's tough for a new coach in the road in his first game. I would love to have the number you got on this game.
 

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Feb 20, 2016
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UGA to win East +275 - Essentially I think if they beat Tennessee they win the East. Of course it's no guarantee if they lose to Florida or another random game because I'm pretty sure they lose in Oxford. I think there's a good chance they go 7-1 but I also think they can win it at 6-2 as long as they beat Tennessee and don't get stuck in a crazy 3-way tiebreaker with Florida which I think is unlikely.

FBS:
Georgia St +3.5
San Jose St +6
Louisville -38.5
Penn St -18.5
Rutgers +25
Vanderbilt -3

FCS (any game including an FCS team):
Grambling St -45
Fordham +30
EMU -37
Kennesaw St -22

Futures:

BYU +7.5 at Utah
Notre Dame +1 vs Stanford
Washington +4.5 vs Oregon (half bet)
BYU -1.5 vs Utah St (not sure why this was even a line)
Army +12 at Navy

Temple +700 to win AAC (0.30 risk)
VT +370 to win Coastal (0.66 risk)
Minny +1300 to win Big10 West (0.25 risk)
UGA to win SEC East +275
 

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Thanks for sharing. Late start for me this summer as Ms. Outhouse and I have enjoyed many worldly trips. Only one instead of three times this year to LV, but trip #2 is coming in about 10 days.

Don't have too many thoughts on your plays right now, but Temple +700 sounds like a reasonable risk that could even be hedged late in the year.



Adding:
UGA to win East +275 - Essentially I think if they beat Tennessee they win the East. Of course it's no guarantee if they lose to Florida or another random game because I'm pretty sure they lose in Oxford. I think there's a good chance they go 7-1 but I also think they can win it at 6-2 as long as they beat Tennessee and don't get stuck in a crazy 3-way tiebreaker with Florida which I think is unlikely.

FBS:
Georgia St +3.5
San Jose St +6
Louisville -38.5
Penn St -18.5
Rutgers +25
Vanderbilt -3

FCS (any game including an FCS team):
Grambling St -45
Fordham +30
EMU -37
Kennesaw St -22

Futures:

BYU +7.5 at Utah
Notre Dame +1 vs Stanford
Washington +4.5 vs Oregon (half bet)
BYU -1.5 vs Utah St (not sure why this was even a line)
Army +12 at Navy

Temple +700 to win AAC (0.30 risk)
VT +370 to win Coastal (0.66 risk)
Minny +1300 to win Big10 West (0.25 risk)
UGA to win SEC East +275
 

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Looks like some deep pockets might be with you on Vandy, Esso with only 33% of the bets backing the Commodores the line pushed through the 3 and up to -3.5 now. South Caro has recruited better of the last 5 years ranked #22 versus #40 for Vandy but it does "feel" like the right side. Are the Gamecocks really going with a Frosh QB opening night on the road?
 

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Looks like some deep pockets might be with you on Vandy, Esso with only 33% of the bets backing the Commodores the line pushed through the 3 and up to -3.5 now. South Caro has recruited better of the last 5 years ranked #22 versus #40 for Vandy but it does "feel" like the right side. Are the Gamecocks really going with a Frosh QB opening night on the road?

The cupboard is completely bare in Columbia. I think there is a real chance they win less than 5 games this year.
 

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The cupboard is completely bare in Columbia. I think there is a real chance they win less than 5 games this year.

I completely agree. I jumped all over the under 5 + 115.

If they don't beat Vandy I don't believe they win more than 3.
 

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Feb 20, 2016
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South Alabama +31.5 at Mississippi St - I see a lot of folks still high on Miss St and whoever ends up taking over for Dak appears to have the ability to run be it Wyatt or Fitzgerald but with a conference game looming in week 2 I just think the line is too high. My PR made it 26 so while I don't love the situation I certainly don't hate it either.

FBS:
Georgia St +3.5
San Jose St +6
Louisville -38.5
Penn St -18.5
Rutgers +25
Vanderbilt -3
South Alabama +31.5

FCS (any game including an FCS team):
Grambling St -45
Fordham +30
EMU -37
Kennesaw St -22

Futures:

BYU +7.5 at Utah
Notre Dame +1 vs Stanford
Washington +4.5 vs Oregon (half bet)
BYU -1.5 vs Utah St (not sure why this was even a line)
Army +12 at Navy

Temple +700 to win AAC (0.30 risk)
VT +370 to win Coastal (0.66 risk)
Minny +1300 to win Big10 West (0.25 risk)
UGA to win SEC East +275
 

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Adding:
Oregon St/Minnesota Under 51.5

FBS:
Georgia St +3.5
San Jose St +6
Louisville -38.5
Penn St -18.5
Rutgers +25
Vanderbilt -3
South Alabama +31.5

Totals:
Oregon St/Minnesota Under 51.5

FCS (any game including an FCS team):
Grambling St -45
Fordham +30
EMU -37
Kennesaw St -22

Futures:

BYU +7.5 at Utah
Notre Dame +1 vs Stanford
Washington +4.5 vs Oregon (half bet)
BYU -1.5 vs Utah St (not sure why this was even a line)
Army +12 at Navy

Temple +700 to win AAC (0.30 risk)
VT +370 to win Coastal (0.66 risk)
Minny +1300 to win Big10 West (0.25 risk)
UGA to win SEC East +275
 

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Feb 20, 2016
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Adding:
Tulane/Wake Under 44.5

FBS:
Georgia St +3.5
San Jose St +6
Louisville -38.5
Penn St -18.5
Rutgers +25
Vanderbilt -3
South Alabama +31.5

Totals:
Oregon St/Minnesota Under 51.5
Tulane/Wake Under 44.5

FCS (any game including an FCS team):
Grambling St -45
Fordham +30
EMU -37
Kennesaw St -22

Futures:

BYU +7.5 at Utah
Notre Dame +1 vs Stanford
Washington +4.5 vs Oregon (half bet)
BYU -1.5 vs Utah St (not sure why this was even a line)
Army +12 at Navy

Temple +700 to win AAC (0.30 risk)
VT +370 to win Coastal (0.66 risk)
Minny +1300 to win Big10 West (0.25 risk)
UGA to win SEC East +275
 

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Feb 20, 2016
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Adding:
West Virginia -10
Army +17

FBS:
Georgia St +3.5
San Jose St +6
Louisville -38.5
Penn St -18.5
Rutgers +25
Vanderbilt -3
South Alabama +31.5
West Virginia -10
Army +17

Totals:
Oregon St/Minnesota Under 51.5
Tulane/Wake Under 44.5

FCS (any game including an FCS team):
Grambling St -45
Fordham +30
EMU -37
Kennesaw St -22

 

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Feb 20, 2016
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Adding:
Toledo/Ark St U66.5

FBS:
Georgia St +3.5
San Jose St +6
Louisville -38.5
Penn St -18.5
Rutgers +25
Vanderbilt -3
South Alabama +31.5
West Virginia -10
Army +17

Totals:
Oregon St/Minnesota Under 51.5
Tulane/Wake Under 44.5
Toledo/Ark St U66.5

FCS (any game including an FCS team):
Grambling St -45
Fordham +30
EMU -37
Kennesaw St -22

 

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