Week 1 game insights

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my plays will be up later in the week.

WEEK 1

MIA at ATL(4) 43...
mia 1-4-1 ats in reg sea openers s 03
atl 9-2 ats in reg sea openers s 98
atl 5-11-1 under as favs s 06

KC at BAL(10.5) 37...
kc 8-1 ats as dd dogs s 98
bal 3-11 under in reg sea openers s 95

PHI at CAR 43.5...
whoever ends up being favored makes the difference.
phi 16-5 -1 over as dogs s 05
car 1-5 ats before playing at atl s 03
car 0-8 ats as fav in 1st reg sea home game s 98
car 2-11 under in reg sea home opener s 96

JAX at IND(7) 44.5...
jax 8-2 ats in reg sea openers s 99 (lost last 2)
jax 8-0-1 ats in 1st underdog role of season s 00
ind 2-5 ats at home vs jax s 02 (only 1 game decided by more than 7pts)
ind 0-5 under in opener if o/u line is 45+pts s 99

DET at NOR(13) 48.5...
det 5-1 ats in opener s 03
det 10-1 ats as dd dogs s 06
no 3-7-1 ats before b2b road games s 02
no 2-8 under in reg sea opener s 99

NYJ at HOU(4.5) 43.5...
ny 13-1 ats before hosting neng s 93 PAYCHECK.
hou 1-4 ats in reg sea opener s 04

DAL(5.5) at TB 39...
dal 7-1 ats before hosting nyg s 00
dal 14-3 ats before playing nyg s 00
dal 10-2 over in 1st reg sea road game s 97
tb 3-15 under in reg sea opener s 91

SF at ARI(6.5) 46.5...
sf 4-1-1 ats in reg sea opener s 03
sf 7-1 ats as div road dogs s 06
ari 1-4 ats at home vs sf s 04
ari 2-6 ats as a fav of 7+pts s 99
ari 7-1 over as a fav of 7+pts s 99
in series...the road team has went 7-1-1 ats in last 9 matchups
the su loser of the superbowl has went 0-9 ats in following reg sea opener s 00

WAS at NYG(6.5) 37.5...
was 5-1 ats as div road dogs s 07
was 18-7 ats as road dogs of 3.5-6.5pts s 96
was 3-11-1 under as div road dogs s 03
ny 3-8-1 under at home before b2b road games s 02
in series...in last 9 straight games played in ny s 00, no game has exceeded 36 total points

STL at SEA(7.5) 41...
stl 0-5 ats as div road dog s 07
stl 1-7-1 ats in reg sea opener s 00
stl 0-8-1 ats in reg sea road opener s 00
stl 1-7 under in reg sea opener s 01
sea 8-3 ats as div home favs s 05
in series...the home team is 8-3 ats in last 11 games

BUF at NE(10.5) 47.5...
buf 4-0 ats in sea opener s 05
buf 1-6 under in 1st div road game s 02
buf 2-9 under in reg sea opener s 98
ne 3-14 under as div home favs of 7+pts s 97
in series..buffalo is 8-1 ats in sept matchups s 85

SD(9) at OAK 43...
sd 7-2 ats as div road favs s 04
oak 0-4 ats in reg sea opener s 05
oak 0-7 ats in last 7 home games vs sd
oak 2-12 ats as div home dogs s 03
oak 2-49-1 ats in su home losses s 97
in series...favorite covered 13 of last 16 and sd has covered 11 of last 12

EXTRA POINTS

cle 1-8-1 ats in reg sea openers s 99
in chi/gb series, the road team is 10-0 ats in sept matchups s 81

in week 3 preseason, i mentioned a trend that ran "across the board" for that week.
i got lucky and it proved to go 5-0 ats in the games it applied to, another across the board trend runs for this week and could apply to several games...
regular season week 1 games with a closing total of 44+pts have went 3-16 under s 05.

my personal plays won't be put up until friday night or saturday because as you can see many of my choices for week 1 can be affected by the change of a point either way on the sides and totals.

GAME.:103631605
 

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Game 9000,Its good to see you back again this year and wanted to wish you the BOL for the upcoming NFL season and I see we have a "paycheck" game to start the season.Gravy :103631605
 

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what's up gravy....good seeing ya.

it'll be a good opening week and a 4-0 monday night.

gl to ya for 21 straight weeks.

GAME.:103631605
 

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Handicapper
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I see lots of stats but no insight! Good luck on the upcoming season.

Big Lou
 

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Good to see you back again, Game. GL on the upcoming season and thanks for all the work you put in every year. :toast:
 

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Game,
you are a valuable asset to this forum. I see we agree in certain areas and regarding certain plays. cant wait for the season to finally arrive. I wrote back to you in my thread. lets make that money. best of luck to you the entire season.
 

mhk

"I can't be faded", Dr. Dre
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I knew that Buc season openers usually went Under ( I go to them), but 3-15? More than I thought......Good stuff..
 

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I see lots of stats but no insight! Good luck on the upcoming season.

Big Lou


BIG LOU...

insight, is simply the name of my thread as it has been for the last decade.
in order for me to provide actual insight on these games i would have to be internally connected to each of the teams, that is the only way anyone could truly provide insight; i definately don't want to change the thread title to "week 1 game opinions". lol.

gl this year my friend.

GAME.
 

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JUMPMAN, GURU, MHK...

this will be a good year for all of us, i just got that feeling...
guru, like you said, i just can't wait to get this puppy rollin!

GAME.@)
 

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GAME, thanks for the stats.

Like NYJ & PHI, love the Niners and Chargers.

BUF looks like a sharp play, but with their young oline, no Lynch/Jackson w/wrist injury, and TO having limited practice, NE looks poised to blow them out. It will be hard for BUF's weak secondary to keep up with all those weapons running around.

GL GAME, I hope it's a long and profitable season for the both of us.
 

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W-PIX...

your right with buf/ne, taking buffalo in that game will definately be a leap of faith.
gl and kill'em all this weekend!

GAME.:103631605
 

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Hi Game 9000,

i like your paycheck game a lot, but i just came across this fact and want to share with you.

One thing I wanted to say was that this is the most new head coaches in the league since 2006. If anyone remembers what happened in the first week of 2006, there were 10 underdogs that covered, and only 6 favorites.

Even though both Atl and Bal won last year with the new head coach and QB in the first week. The difference is they started at home. Both teams lost their first game on the road. Things will be alot faster for Sanchez this week and he won't be playing against a 3rd string.


NYJ at HOU(4.5) 43.5...
ny 13-1 ats before hosting neng s 93 PAYCHECK.
hou 1-4 ats in reg sea opener s 04

Hope it still a nice opening paycheck.
Thanks.
 

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pgcluu..

if you remember when i introduced the paycheck games a few years back, the beauty of these plays was that...no matter who, no matter what, no matter where, regardless of what circumstances surrounded it....it just covers, period.

it'll be on something of mine this week.

GAME.:103631605
 

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i got it. thanks.


pgcluu..

if you remember when i introduced the paycheck games a few years back, the beauty of these plays was that...no matter who, no matter what, no matter where, regardless of what circumstances surrounded it....it just covers, period.

it'll be on something of mine this week.

GAME.:103631605
 

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GAME!!!!!!


GL this year...

Got the same feeling as you... Looking to big season for all of us :)
 

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early games

ny jets+4.5
jacksonville+7 *
under 44.5 jax/ind
under 49 det/no *

late games

san francisco+6.5 *
under 46 sf/ari
seattle-7.5 *
under 46 chi/gb

monday

buffalo+10.5
under 47.5 buf/ne *
san diego-9.5
over 43 sd/oak

GAME.
 

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