Wednesday's MLB...

[CollegeKingRex]

Interesting day yesterday. Lose a little when it was all said and done, very frustrating to lose the 2 big bets (White SOX ML and RL and STL/CIN OVER) early in the day... good rally late to get the late totals home in Miami, Phoenix and Detroit (interesting, 2 of the 3 had home BKB games last night).

Figured out to 4-4 and down 242, now at 6-8 and -702 this week and 26-33-1 and down 987 for the year.

This is a special week, as we get to stalk the umps three times, M, W and F... Fifteen new series mean 15 new crews and the only one I know of is that Cuzzi will be behind the plate in Chicago for the Seattle game tonight (that's O'Nora's crew, he is friends with a guy I communicate with).... so 14 crews are still out there.... Here are some guys who could be behind HP tonight and their pertinent stats....

Fletcher - 11.0 rpg, 60.33 strike percentage, 1-3 O/U
Hickox - 9.5, 63.41, 2-0 - K% very high, only 2 games though...
B. Welke - 7.4, 61.78, 2-2
Everitt - 10.0, 61.44, 3-2
A. Hernandez - 10.4, 61.44, 3-2 scarily familiar to Everitt
West - 9.2, 62.27, 2-3
Dreckman - 11.8, 59.71, 3-2 ... A CLUB MEMBER...
Cousins - 13.14, 61.42, 5-2 ... at the very least an honorary member...
Cuzzi - 10.67, 62.32, 4-2
Bucknor - 9.8, 60.59, 2-3
T. Welke - 15.20, 62.67, 4-0 ... hard to buck the first and last stats...
Cooper - 9.0, 62.24, 2-3
Nauert - 9.4, 60.73, 3-2 ... numbers evict him, for the time being, after last game
Fairchild - 13.5, 62.36, 2-0 (fill in for Iassogna or Kraft, working with
Kulpa and Scott's crew)
Hudson - 11.67, 63.17, 2-0 ... you can THROW OUT his high strike percentage, it's May and that only means 2 things, the Kentucky Derby and HO HO HO Hudson = OVER = $$$

Back in a little bit with some thoughts on some sides... Nice gig here, first week and I'm getting Thursday AND Friday off. Preliminary plans will send me to the beach tonight after the stalk and I finish betting the bases for Thursday... then staying all day tomorrow and leaving around 1 Eastern Friday in order to get back in time to scan the card for a couple of hours and stalk the Friday night guys from my girl's house about 5:30 Eastern...

:thumbsup2:

 

[rfb]

hudson has been money over...think marsh was as well

you have plenty of umps that live between those lines ..... makes a sure thing a bit more difficult

good luck with your picks

 

[CollegeKingRex]

Pedro going good for Mets and Snell was good last time out for PIT, BUT... Dreckman, he of the 11.8 runs per game and 59.71 percent strikes called... goes out.

Gonna try it OVER the small number in the Mets game...

The play: OVER 7 -111 - 333 to win 300 in Snell/Pedro.
Back for maybe one or two more...

 

[rfb]

hope you are wrong there....i took pitt in the game with the big odds...don't want a high scoring affair....think pitt would probably lose out in that type of game....

but if the mets are going to win...hope it goes over for ya

 

[CollegeKingRex]

I disagree buddy. The Pirates would have a better chance in a high-scoring game because that means Pedro doesn't have his best stuff, and at those odds, wouldn't you WANT to get into the Met bullpen (despite how gaudy their stats have been so far, they're not THAT good, it's by and large a product of playing 18 of the first 24 vs. teams with losing records)....

Adding KC/Minny OVER. Actually went OVER 10.5 plus 115, as I don't see this one falling 10.

Mays and Radke are turds. Mays pitched for these Twinkees last year and has put up gaudy numbers (0-3, 11.17, 2.16) thus far, and Radke has been equally bad for the Twins (2-3, 8.89, 1.78).

They won't get support from the HP ump tonight, with Bucknor back there. That guy has called 63 percent OVERS since the start of 2004 and this one fits nicely.

That'll do it for me until Ho Ho Ho Hudson comes out of the bushes and appears out west.

The play: OVER 10.5 plus 115 at Pinny - 300 to win 345

GL!

 

[CollegeKingRex]

OK, taking a stab at Dodger OVER. Pinny was charging FORTY-TWO cents to buy to 7 and just 16 to sell to 8. I'll stick with the 7.5. Tim Welke behind the plate, he's up there with league leaders surrendering 15.20 RPG. His strike percentage is an ordinary 62.67 but he's had four games and they all went OVER.

Seo has had his struggles at times and the Dodgers' bullpen is gassed after those awful efforts Sunday and Tuesday.

Young is off to a decent start but I'm not fooled. The Pads are 2-7 in their last 9 in LA and I expect the Dodgers to have a chance to win it by outhitting the Fathers. Not as big as the other ones, but..

The play: OVER 7.5 -108 - 216 to win 200

Beach-bound in 20 mins now that the STALK is over...

Ho Ho Ho, Take Your Base Hudson in Oakland. That merits OVER. He's done 2 games and while the K% isn't out of line, he's a timely ump. He knows when guys can get on and score, and when they can't, he calls useless strikes... lol... Cleveland 12-2 last 14 OVER the total.

The play: OVER 9 -105 at CRIS - 315 to win 300

Have a good one, I'm off to the beach, see you tomorrow...