DWAYNE BRYANTBASEBALL PLAYS
MLB TOTALS SYSTEM BEST BET $$$$$
Game: (977) Milwaukee Brewers at (978) Oakland Athletics
Date/Time: Jul 31 2019 10:07 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Total Under 9.0 (-101)
View Analysis
10:07 PM ET -- MLB
977 Milwaukee Brewers
978 Oakland Athletics
PLAY: UNDER 9 (-101)
BET SIZE: 4%
List Lyles & Anderson
4% play at 9 or higher
3% play at 8.5
No play below 8.5
DB's THOUGHTS:
Jordan Lyles makes his Brewers debut here. I think Lyles would feel more pressure if he were pitching in front of the home crowd, so being on the road tonight should be a plus for him. Lyles has faced these A's hitters a couple times before, and handled them rather well.
Brett Anderson is a ground ball pitcher. His 52.4% GB% ranks 10th among starters who have thrown at least 50 innings this season. And when he does give up a fly ball, he's better than most at keeping it in the park. His HR/FB rate is 13.3%, better than the league average for starters (15.4%).
Milwaukee has only averaged 3.9 runs in its nine road night games against lefty starters, with the Under going 6-3.
The Brewers pen is very solid, ranking 6th in both K/BB and WHIP. The A's pen owns a decent 11th-ranked WHIP. But what I like best about this Oakland bully is its #1 HR/FB rate (9%).
We also get Nick Mahrley behind the plate. Mahrley has shown a strong Under bias.
PLAY UNDER.