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Balmoral: Wednesday 9/3 Analysis
By Jeremey Day
DRF HARNESS:
Race 6 - $10,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Best Bet (34 - 63 / $138.80): SKYWAY BRENLIN (5th)

Spot Play: POWERFUL ABOVE ALL (4th)



Race 1

(7) BLUE SWAN went a big qualifier last out and has a ton of talent. (10) TINY PRANCER should offer good value from a tough post against a very weak and inconsistent field. (3) PONDA PREMIER has yet to put it all together but could be close.


Race 2

(7) LIMA REAL EASY has been facing much tougher open sire stake company and now drops down; big chance. (5) LET'S NOT DWELL has a nice pedigree and has flashed talent despite tiring last start. (2) MR PEARL has steadily been improving as part of a good-looking entry.

Race 3

(7) STARRY SKYS mare went way too fast last out and still almost held on. The mare finds a field with few contenders and just needs to ration out her speed. (5) FOUR HOUR NAP looks to be in line for a great trip up close; threat. (6) KITTY O'BRIEN seven-year-old is always capable especially with a fast pace to close into; fires late.

Race 4

(8) POWERFUL ABOVE ALL sophomore trotter comes into the race off a break but will offer a big price and could upset with some racing luck. (9) SOUTHERNCOMFORTZONE probably has the most upside in the race but has also had trouble staying trotting. (5) CERTAINLY raced well in his last start before being scratched.

Race 5

(1) SKYWAY BRENLIN lightly raced pacer has a big engine and should be in a great spot turning for home. (2) ITS A BIG SECRET is in the same boat as the top choice and could certainly hit the wire first. (9) CATCH THE WAVE sprinted a big last quarter last out but will have a lot more work to do; use underneath.

Race 6

(5) HEARTLAND LIBERTY sports a terrible record on the year but finds a really soft spot. The pacer needs a smooth trip for his best chance. (9) YERMANOS has shown signs of turning it around recently but does get a low percentage pilot. (2) PARKED ONDA STREET closed the most ground in the race last out and should be closer turning for home.

Race 7

(5) OCEAN GIRL sophomore filly pacer faces older but improved nicely in her last start. (6) WESTERN COWGIRL mare made another break last out and is tough to play but can go a decent mile when she stays pacing. (7) ALWAYS A JEWEL just races evenly but could hit the ticket underneath with a decent effort.

Race 8

In a field with two contenders (7) ENCHANTRESS LADY will need to bring her `A' game to stay undefeated in five starts. (6) CARDINAL WIND has been trotting up a storm against much better besides the top choice. (2) SWAN PRINCESS put in a game effort last out but is best used underneath.

Race 9

(2) JOYFUL GAME gets a huge driver change and should win with a smooth trip. (7) VAL'S WAY exploded late last out from way back. The filly has the look of a pacer who just figured it out. (1) MS SOLONGBYEBYE has been much better in her last three and should be in a great spot early.
 
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SPOT PLAYS

For Wednesday

TRACK (RACE) HORSE, MORNING LINE

Belterra (2nd) Slacker, 3-1

(5th) Pickemuptruck, 3-1

Charles Town (3rd) Timber Thunder, 4-1

(5th) More Than Candy, 3-1

Del Mar (7th) Zendai, 5-1

(9th) Stormy Adieu, 7-2

Delaware Park (3rd) Sangrio Wilko, 4-1

(5th) Thedamageisdone, 7-2

Indiana Downs (1st) Mr. Providence, 6-1

(9th) Miss Omeara, 8-1

Mountaineer (5th) Ace Basin Baby, 7-2

(7th) Cute Boy, 7-2

Penn National (1st) Market at Close, 7-2

(5th) Do Dolan, 7-2

Presque Isle Downs (2nd) Livin n' Paradise, 7-2

(8th) Carnival Ride, 3-1

Suffolk Downs (4th) Kallies Kruisin, 4-1

(8th) Faisal Prince, 9-2

Thistledown (2nd) Who Dat Charlie, 5-1

(5th) Dakota Council, 5-1


 

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International TODAY 19:45
IrelandvOman
1374.png
3178.png
HOMEDRAWAWAY
PMSK1/4

5

17/2

More markets
RECENT FORMLAST HEAD-TO-HEADSIN IRELANDRECENT FORM
ADHLHLNDNDHL
Most recent
position02.26.0.png



  • 4 - 1
ADHDHDHWAWAW
Most recent
position05.26.0.png


KEY STAT: Oman have kept clean sheets in nine of their last ten matches

EXPERT VERDICT: Anyone expecting an easy home win for Ireland over Oman may be disappointed. When the fixture was announced it may not have seemed great preparation for the start of the Euro 2016 qualifiers but Oman are a well-organised side – conceding just one goal in their last ten games – and may maintain parity until half-time.

RECOMMENDATION: Draw-Ireland double result
1


 

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International TODAY 19:45
GermanyvArgentina
1084.png
128.jpg
HOMEDRAWAWAY
BT117/20

5/2

16/5

More markets
RECENT FORMLAST HEAD-TO-HEADSIN GERMANYRECENT FORM
NDNWND*NWAWND*
Most recent
position07.26.0.png



  • 1 - 0
  • 1 - 3
  • 0 - 1
  • 1 - 1
NWNWND*NWND*ND*
Most recent
position06.26.0.png


KEY STAT: Argentina are unbeaten in their last ten friendly matches

EXPERT VERDICT: Lionel Messi has been back among the goals in La Liga and his absence may slightly hinder Argentina as they bid to exact a small measure of revenge over World Cup final conquerors Germany. However, Germany are heading into a new era after the retirements of Philipp Lahm and Miroslav Klose and it may take them a little time to adjust.

RECOMMENDATION: Argentina
1


 

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International TODAY 20:00
EnglandvNorway
909.png
1896.png
HOMEDRAWAWAY
ITV4/9

16/5

13/2

More markets
RECENT FORMLAST HEAD-TO-HEADSIN ENGLANDRECENT FORM
HWNDNDNLNLND
Most recent
position03.26.0.png



  • 0 - 0
  • 1 - 1
  • 4 - 0
  • 4 - 0
NWNLADALHDHD
Most recent
position03.26.0.png


KEY STAT: England have not won any of their last five matches

EXPERT VERDICT: England are enduring a difficult run of form but can get back to winning ways with a narrow success over Norway at Wembley. Norway amassed just 12 points in a weak World Cup qualifying group but can keep things tight against a Three Lions side weakened by injuries to Theo Walcott and Ross Barkley.

RECOMMENDATION: England to win 1-0
1


 

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