STATSYSTEMS SPORTS NFL STAT/SHEETS
TUESDAY, SEPTEMBER 23rd 2014
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
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***** National Football League Information - Week #4 *****
(ALL RESULTS ATS) - Against The Spread - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Each and every week during the 2014-15 National Football League season we will analyze all of your daily football action, featuring all our Highly-Rated (Situational & Match-up) Power Trends, along with some of our Situational Analysis (Betting Systems) that pertain to some of that days match-ups. Content contained in this report remains exclusive private property of Stat/Systems Sports. Database information may not be reused or disseminated in any form without express written consent of the publisher.
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Opening Line Report - Week #4
Vegas Insider Ryan Taylor
As we hit Week #4 of the National Football League season, the better matchups are in the NFC, starting with the undefeated Philadelphia Eagles traveling to face the suddenly underwhelming San Francisco 49ers. The Eagles (3-0 SU, 2-1 ATS) have been the comeback kings, rallying from behind in all three victories, including Sunday’s 37-34 shootout home win over Washington. Philadelphia, which trailed 17-7 in the second quarter, failed to cash as 4-point chalk.
The Niners, meanwhile, have dumped two in a row after a strong win at Dallas to open the season, and Sunday’s loss was particularly stunning. San Francisco led 14-6 at halftime at Arizona, but didn’t score the rest of the way in a 23-14 loss as a 3-point favorite – with backup QB Drew Stanton pacing the Cardinals to the upset. Despite that, Bookmaker.eu lines manager John Lester pegged the 49ers 4-point favorites “The Eagles can’t afford another slow start here,” Lester tells StatSystems Sports.
“The Niners are desperate for a win at this point, especially in their new stadium. I wouldn’t be surprised if we get a lot Philly money from their backers and the public.”
•New Orleans Saints (-2.5) @ Dallas Cowboys
The Saints finally got off the deck after their 0-2 straight-up and against the spread start, dropping Minnesota 20-9 for the win and cover as 10-point favorites Sunday. The Cowboys (2-1 SU and ATS) have won and covered two in a row, including posting the largest regulation comeback in team history Sunday, coming back from a 21-0 second-quarter hole to win 34-31 as 1.5-point favorites at St. Louis. Lester has more interest in the total than the spread. “These are two below-average defenses, so we shaded toward the Over and sent out 53,” he said.
“We know that the Saints are a different team on the road, but the bettors believe in them, not the Cowboys. We opened with Dallas as a 2.5-point dog and quickly saw action on New Orleans.”
•New England Patriots (-3.5) @ Kansas City Chiefs
The Patriots haven’t exactly been inspiring early on this season, and Sunday was no different. Laying 14 points against visiting Oakland, New England (2-1 SU, 1-2 ATS) scored an ugly 16-9 victory. The Chiefs (1-2 SU, 2-1 ATS), another playoff team from last season off to a sluggish start, got their first win Sunday, ripping host Miami 34-15 as 5.5-point underdogs. Lester thinks New England will be better prepared at K.C., rising to the level of the opponent. “We’ve seen the Pats sleepwalk through games where they are double-digit chalk, and I fully expect them to be more focused this week heading to Arrowhead, which is still a difficult place to play,”
Lester, of Bookmaker.eu, said. “We released Chiefs +3.5, and the early money came in on New England.”
•Green Bay Packers @ Chicago Bears (N/A)
The Packers (1-2 SU) have yet to cover this season (0-2-1 ATS) and the push came in their lone victory, a Week #2 win at the New York Jets that required coming back from a 21-3 deficit. Green Bay managed just one score in a 19-7 loss at Detroit Sunday. The Bears, meanwhile, stumbled out of the gate by losing to Buffalo at home, but made a big comeback of their own in Week #2, rallying past host San Francisco for a 28-20 win as 7-point pups. It should be a typical NFC North slugfest, but with Chicago visiting the Jets in the Monday night game to wrap up Week #3, Lester hasn’t sent out a line yet.
“If there aren’t any major injuries for the Bears against New York, we will likely make them a small favorite with the home-field edge,” Lester told us. Early lines for this game popping up, have this spread around a pick’em.
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NFL line watch - Week #4
Expert Handicapper Jude Ravo
Each and every week during the 2014-15 pro football season, right here in our Mid-Week Report, StatSystemsSports.net Expert Handicapper Jude Ravo looks at the National Football League odds and tells you which spread to bet now, which one to bet later, and which total to watch as the week plays out. “Until next week, enjoy and as always the very best of luck” -Jude!
Spread To Bet Now
•New England Patriots (-4) @ Kansas City Chiefs
Angst is in no short supply in New England, where the offense looks worse than it has in more than a decade and there are rumors that at 37 years old, Tom Brady can no longer cover up whatever might be ailing the rest of the skill-position players. When word starts to creep across the country about New England’s issues, the line could melt down to a field goal. Meanwhile, the Chiefs are fresh off a big victory over the Dolphins (who manhandled the Patriots only a few weeks ago) and look like they at last have a little life. Alex Smith may not be the new Bart Starr, but he’s still better than any QB the Patriots have faced this season. Kansas City backers should grab the extra point ASAP before this becomes a field-goal line.
Spread To Wait On
•Detroit Lions @ New York Jets (Pick)
Early money is heavily on the Lions as bettors were no doubt influenced by Detroit’s victory over Green Bay Sunday. But hang on a bit. The Lions are not the same team on grass as they are on turf, and while the Jets aren’t football Einsteins, Rex Ryan has some talent to work with. If serious public money continues to flow in on the Lions, in a few days the Jets might even be getting a point or a point and a half before this one kicks off. If so, it would be an ideal situation for bettors who recognize that the Lions are two different teams – depending on where the game is played.
Total To Watch
•Tennessee Titans @ Indianapolis Colts (45.5)
Yes, games against the Jaguars still count. The Colts put 44 on the board down in Jacksonville Sunday and should be pedal to the metal again this week against the 1-2 Titans. Tennessee has given up 59 points in its last two games after taking advantage of a Chiefs team that couldn’t get out of its own way on opening day. With the Titans no more than an average defensive team and the Colts lighting it up and playing at home, the 45.5 frankly looks like a gift for Over players.
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Gridiron Trends - Week #4
Systems Analyst Larry Hertner
•SAN DIEGO is 23-3 ATS (+19.7 Units) against AFC South division opponents since 1992.
The average score was SAN DIEGO 28.5, OPPONENT 17.4.
•DALLAS is 40-12 OVER (+26.8 Units) in home games versus good passing teams with a completion percentage of 61% or better since 1992.
The average score was DALLAS 27.1, OPPONENT 25.5.
•PITTSBURGH is 33-3 (+30.7 Units) against the money line in home games after a playing a game where 50 total points or more were scored since 1992.
The average score was PITTSBURGH 24.7, OPPONENT 15.5.
•ATLANTA is 13-33 (-23.3 Units) against the 1rst half line in road games after gaining 6 or more yards/play in their previous game since 1992.
The average score was ATLANTA 8.7, OPPONENT 14.1.
•NEW ORLEANS is 16-2 OVER (+13.8 Units) the 1rst half total versus dominant ball control teams, 32+ minutes TOP, 21+ FD's per game since 1992.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 15.8, OPPONENT 15.1.
•MIKE MCCARTHY is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) versus mistake prone teams - 60+ penalty yards per game as the coach of GREEN BAY.
The average score was MCCARTHY 26.2, OPPONENT 17.1.
•REX RYAN is 11-1 OVER (+9.9 Units) versus excellent ball control teams, 32 or more possession minutes/game as the coach of NY JETS.
The average score was RYAN 21.9, OPPONENT 23.7.
•BILL BELICHICK is 30-3 (+26.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) as the coach of NEW ENGLAND.
The average score was BELICHICK 29.7, OPPONENT 18.5.
•BILL BELICHICK is 19-5 (+13.5 Units) against the 1rst half line in road games versus poor rushing defenses - allowing >=130 rushing yards/game as the coach of NEW ENGLAND.
The average score was BELICHICK 17.4, OPPONENT 7.6.
•SEAN PAYTON is 14-2 OVER (+11.8 Units) the 1rst half total versus excellent passing teams with a completion percentage of 64% or better as the coach of NEW ORLEANS.
The average score was PAYTON 17.6, OPPONENT 13.2.
Situational Analysis Of The Week
•Play Against - Underdogs of +140 to +325 versus the money line (TAMPA BAY) - off a loss by 10 points or more to a division rival, terrible team, winning 25% or less of their games on the season, after a game where they committed 3 or more turnovers.
(44-1 over the last 10 seasons.) (97.8%, +42.3 units. Rating = 7*)
The average money line posted in these games was: Team favored with a money line of: -170
The average score in these games was: Team 28.5, Opponent 13 (Average point differential = +15.5)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0, +0 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (10-0, +10 units).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (15-1, +13.3 units).
Since 1983 the situation's record is: (133-36, +44.5 units).
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NFL Week #4 Matchup
Systems Analyst Todd Smith
Thursday, 9/25/2014
#101 NY GIANTS @ #102 WASHINGTON - 8:25 PM
The Giants notched their first win of the season on Sunday, picking off Ryan Fitzpatrick three times on their way to a 30-17 home victory. The Redskins, meanwhile, lost in Philadelphia in a 37-34 shootout despite holding Philadelphia star running back LeSean McCoy to just 22 yards on 19 carries. The Redskins will again be led by quarterback Kirk Cousins, who threw for 427 yards against the Eagles. Since the start of last season, Washington is 4-1 ATS when Cousins has taken the majority of the snaps versus 3-10 ATS when Robert Griffin III has been
at quarterback.
•HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
--NY GIANTS is 26-18 against the spread versus WASHINGTON since 1992.
--NY GIANTS is 28-15 straight up against WASHINGTON since 1992.
--25 of 44 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992.
--NY GIANTS is 22-21 versus the first half line when playing against WASHINGTON since 1992.
--25 of 43 games in this series have gone OVER THE FIRST HALF TOTAL since 1992.
--Under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings.
--Giants are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
--Underdog is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
--Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Washington.
•KEY STATS
--NY GIANTS are 62-33 UNDER after having lost 2 out of their last 3 games since 1992.
--NY GIANTS are 34-16 ATS after gaining 175 or more rushing yards last game since 1992.
--NY GIANTS are 39-15 UNDER away after having lost 2 out of their last 3 games since 1992.
--WASHINGTON is 5-17 ATS at home when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) since 1992.
--WASHINGTON is 12-28 ATS at home in the first month of the season since 1992.
--WASHINGTON is 37-59 ATS as a home favorite since 1992.
Sunday, 9/28/2014
#251 MIAMI vs. #252 OAKLAND - 1:00 PM
Two struggling teams meet in London’s Wembley Stadium. The Dolphins hosted the Chiefs last week and lost 34-15 due in large part to their inability to pick up yards in key situations - Miami was just 4-of-15 on third down and 0-of-2 on fourth down in the game. Expect them to lean heavily on running back Lamar Miller against an Oakland defense that’s given up more rushing yards than any NFL team except for the Jaguars. The Raiders have the last-ranked offense in the NFL, as they’re averaging a paltry 254.3 yards per game while scoring only 37 points over three games this season.
•HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
--MIAMI is 10-5 against the spread versus OAKLAND since 1992.
--MIAMI is 12-3 straight up against OAKLAND since 1992.
--8 of 15 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992.
--MIAMI is 9-6 versus the first half line when playing against OAKLAND since 1992.
--9 of 14 games in this series have gone UNDER THE FIRST HALF TOTAL since 1992.
--Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.
--Dolphins are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 meetings.
--Underdog is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
•KEY STATS
--MIAMI is 36-16 ATS against AFC West division opponents since 1992.
--MIAMI is 7-0 UNDER versus defenses allowing >=130 rushing yards/game over L3 seasons.
--MIAMI is 7-0 UNDER against teams who force 0.75 or less turnovers/game on the season since 1992.
--OAKLAND is 16-36 ATS after scoring 7 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games since 1992.
--OAKLAND is 19-40 ATS when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) since 1992.
--OAKLAND is 25-9 ATS away vs. poor punt coverage teams, allowing >= 12 yards per return since 1992.
#253 GREEN BAY @ #254 CHICAGO - 1:00 PM
The Packers travel to Chicago after gaining just 223 total yards in a 19-7 loss in Detroit. Expect Green Bay to be able to have more success, particularly through the air, against a Bears defense that’s been decimated by injuries in the secondary - at one point in their 27-19 Monday night win over the Jets, the Bears were lining up with rookies Brock Vereen and newly signed Ahmad Dixon as their two safeties. The Packers have enjoyed success when playing in Chicago in recent years, going 4-0 (SU and ATS) in their past four trips to Soldier Field. Green Bay LB Clay Matthews (groin) is questionable for this game.
•HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
--GREEN BAY is 28-16 against the spread versus CHICAGO since 1992.
--GREEN BAY is 32-13 straight up against CHICAGO since 1992.
--23 of 45 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992.
--GREEN BAY is 26-19 versus the first half line when playing against CHICAGO since 1992.
--25 of 45 games in this series have gone UNDER THE FIRST HALF TOTAL since 1992.
--Under is 11-2 in the last 13 meetings.
--Packers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
--Favorite is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
--Road team is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings.
--Under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings in Chicago.
--Packers are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 meetings in Chicago.
•KEY STATS
--GREEN BAY is 29-12 OVER after being outgained by opp by 100+ total yards last game since 1992.
--GREEN BAY is 211-168 OVER in all lined games since 1992.
--GREEN BAY is 155-114 ATS in games played on a grass field since 1992.
--CHICAGO is 1-8 ATS versus poor defensive teams - allowing >=350 yards/game over the L2 seasons.
--CHICAGO is 2-10 ATS versus division opponents over the L3 seasons.
--CHICAGO is 4-13 ATS in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the L3 seasons.
#255 BUFFALO @ #256 HOUSTON - 1:00 PM
Two teams coming off of their first losses of the young season meet in Houston. While the Bills suffered a 22-10 home loss to the Chargers, Texans quarterback Ryan Fitzpatrick threw his first three interceptions of 2014 in a 30-17 loss to the Giants. Expect Buffalo to try to establish its running game against a Houston defense that allowed 193 rushing yards to the Giants. While the Bills are 3-11 ATS after playing a game at home since the start of the 2012 season, the Texans are 0-8 ATS since the start of last season after playing their last game on the road. Houston RB Arian Foster (hamstring) is questionable for this one.
•HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
--HOUSTON is 3-2 against the spread versus BUFFALO since 1992.
--HOUSTON is 3-3 straight up against BUFFALO since 1992.
--4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992.
--BUFFALO is 4-2 versus the first half line when playing against HOUSTON since 1992.
--3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE FIRST HALF TOTAL since 1992.
--Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
•KEY STATS
--BUFFALO is 11-23 ATS as a road underdog of 3 points or less since 1992.
--BUFFALO is 3-11 ATS after playing a game at home over the L3 seasons.
--BUFFALO is 15-39 ATS away after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games since 1992.
--HOUSTON is 0-8 ATS after playing their last game on the road over the L2 seasons.
--HOUSTON is 0-6 ATS off a road loss over the L2 seasons.
--HOUSTON is 9-1 OVER at home versus defenses allowing <=90 rushing yards/game since 1992.
#257 TENNESSEE @ #258 INDIANAPOLIS - 1:00 PM
Tennessee enters this one off a 33-7 loss in Cincinnati on Sunday, as quarterback Jake Locker threw two interceptions in his second straight underwhelming performance. The Colts, meanwhile, won 44-17 in Jacksonville behind 370 yards and four touchdown passes from quarterback Andrew Luck. Expect the Indianapolis defense to try to put pressure on Locker in order to prevent him from getting comfortable like he did against Kansas City in Week #1. The Colts have won five straight (SU and ATS) versus the Titans. Tennessee QB Jake Locker (wrist) and Indianapolis WR T.Y. Hilton (ankle) are both questionable.
•HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
--INDIANAPOLIS is 14-12 against the spread versus TENNESSEE since 1992.
--INDIANAPOLIS is 19-8 straight up against TENNESSEE since 1992.
--18 of 27 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992.
--INDIANAPOLIS is 14-10 versus the first half line when playing against TENNESSEE since 1992.
--17 of 27 games in this series have gone UNDER THE FIRST HALF TOTAL since 1992.
--Under is 14-4 in the last 18 meetings.
--Titans are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
--Under is 8-1 in the last 9 meetings in Indianapolis.
--Titans are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 meetings in Indianapolis.
•KEY STATS
--TENNESSEE is 11-2 ATS after scoring 14 points or less in 2 straight games since 1992.
--TENNESSEE is 7-0 OVER after scoring 7 points or less in first half in 2 straight games over L3 seasons.
--TENNESSEE is 12-2 OVER vs. teams with 32+ minutes TOP, 21+ FD’s per game since 1992.
--INDIANAPOLIS is 10-1 ATS in a home game where total is greater than or equal to 45.5 over L3 seasons.
--INDIANAPOLIS is 7-0 ATS in a home game where total is between 45.5 and 49 points over L3 seasons.
--INDIANAPOLIS is 12-2 ATS off a road blowout win by 21 points or more since 1992.
#259 CAROLINA @ #260 BALTIMORE - 1:00 PM
The Panthers lost 37-19 at home to the Steelers on Sunday night, setting a franchise low in rushing attempts with 10. Carolina’s defense allowed Pittsburgh to rush for 264 yards, which was the third-highest total in Panther history. They’ll go up against a Baltimore running game that has rushed for the eighth-most yards in the NFL through three games, thanks in part to rookie Lorenzo Taliaferro picking up 91 yards on 18 carries in Sunday’s 23-21 win in Cleveland. Panthers RB DeAngelo Williams will likely play, while RB Jonathan Stewart (knee) and RB Mike Tolbert (leg) will not.
•HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
--CAROLINA is 3-1 against the spread versus BALTIMORE since 1992.
--CAROLINA is 3-1 straight up against BALTIMORE since 1992.
--2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992.
--BALTIMORE is 2-2 versus the first half line when playing against CAROLINA since 1992.
--4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE FIRST HALF TOTAL since 1992.
•KEY STATS
--CAROLINA is 8-1 ATS as a road underdog of 7 points or less over the L3 seasons.
--CAROLINA is 40-24 UNDER in September games since 1992.
--CAROLINA is 20-8 ATS after gaining 50 or less rushing yards last game since 1992.
--BALTIMORE is 18-3 UNDER after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite since 1992.
--BALTIMORE is 41-25 ATS at home off 1 or more straight overs since 1992.
--John Harbaugh is 60-47 ATS in all lined games as coach of BALTIMORE.
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#261 DETROIT @ #262 NY JETS - 1:00 PM
The Lions head to New York to take on the Jets after defeating the Packers 19-7 in Detroit last week. The Lions defense was stifling, holding Aaron Rodgers to just 162 yards and one touchdown. They also limited the Packers to just 76 rushing yards. That does not bode well for the Jets, a team that relies heavily on the run. Matthew Stafford threw for 246 yards with no touchdowns and two interceptions against Green Bay, but a matchup with a miserable Jets’ secondary is just what the doctor ordered for the Lions’ QB. That secondary could also be without Dee Milliner (quad), who is questionable for the Jets.
•HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
--NY JETS is 3-3 against the spread versus DETROIT since 1992.
--NY JETS is 3-3 straight up against DETROIT since 1992.
--3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992.
--NY JETS is 4-1 versus the first half line when playing against DETROIT since 1992.
--5 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE FIRST HALF TOTAL since 1992.
•KEY STATS
--DETROIT is 37-56 ATS as a road underdog of 7 points or less since 1992.
--DETROIT is 54-31 OVER in non-conference games since 1992.
--DETROIT is 6-17 ATS off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival since 1992.
--NY JETS are 0-6 ATS vs. excellent kickoff return teams, 24+ yards per return over the L3 seasons.
--NY JETS are 26-12 ATS versus good defensive teams - allowing <=285 yards/game since 1992.
--Rex Ryan is 7-0 OVER vs. teams who give up 17 or less points/game as coach of NY JETS.
#263 TAMPA BAY @ #264 PITTSBURGH - 1:00 PM
The Buccaneers were thoroughly embarrassed in a 56-14 loss to the Falcons on Thursday night. Quarterback Josh McCown suffered a thumb injury that will keep him sidelined for the next few weeks; he’ll be replaced by Mike Glennon, who inherits an offense that is averaging only 163.3 passing yards per game, the NFL’s worst mark through three weeks. The Steelers won 37-19 in Carolina Sunday night behind 454 yards of total offense. They’ll now face a Tampa Bay defense that allowed 488 total yards to the Falcons. Buccaneers RB Doug Martin (knee) hasn’t played since Week #1 and is questionable for this one.
•HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
--PITTSBURGH is 4-1 against the spread versus TAMPA BAY since 1992.
--PITTSBURGH is 4-1 straight up against TAMPA BAY since 1992.
--4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992.
--PITTSBURGH is 4-1 versus the first half line when playing against TAMPA BAY since 1992.
--4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE FIRST HALF TOTAL since 1992.
--Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
--Buccaneers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
•KEY STATS
--TAMPA BAY is 1-9 ATS in the first half of the season over the L2 seasons.
--TAMPA BAY is 56-30 UNDER in the first month of the season since 1992.
--TAMPA BAY is 201-159 UNDER in all lined games since 1992.
--PITTSBURGH is 46-25 ATS as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.
--PITTSBURGH is 89-58 OVER after allowing 75 or less rushing yards last game since 1992.
--PITTSBURGH is 24-11 ATS at home after playing a game where 50+ total points were scored since 1992.
#265 JACKSONVILLE @ #266 SAN DIEGO - 4:05 PM
The Jaguars were embarrassed at home by the Colts on Sunday to fall to 0-3 both straight-up & versus the spread on the young season. It’s the fourth straight season that Jacksonville has gotten off to a terrible start: The Jaguars went 1-4 SU & ATS over their first five games of 2011, 1-4 SU & 1-3-1 ATS to begin 2012, and 0-5 both SU & ATS to start 2013. Quarterback Chad Henne was benched in the loss to Indianapolis, so rookie Blake Bortles takes over as Jacksonville’s starter. The Chargers are coming off of a 22-10 win in Buffalo, but they’ll be without either of their top two running backs, Ryan Mathews and Danny Woodhead.
•HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
--SAN DIEGO is 4-2 against the spread versus JACKSONVILLE since 1992.
--SAN DIEGO is 4-2 straight up against JACKSONVILLE since 1992.
--5 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992.
--SAN DIEGO is 4-2 versus the first half line when playing against JACKSONVILLE since 1992.
--3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE FIRST HALF TOTAL since 1992.
--Over is 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings.
--Favorite is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
--Jaguars are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
•KEY STATS
--JACKSONVILLE is 0-7 ATS in September games over the L2 seasons.
--JACKSONVILLE is 5-13 ATS in all lined games over the L2 seasons.
--JACKSONVILLE is 7-0 OVER away after 2 straight losses by 10 or more points over the L3 seasons.
--SAN DIEGO is 13-1 ATS at home against AFC South division opponents since 1992.
--SAN DIEGO is 12-3 UNDER against conference opponents over the L2 seasons.
--SAN DIEGO is 9-1 ATS in September games over the L3 seasons.
#267 PHILADELPHIA @ #268 SAN FRANCISCO - 4:25 PM
Despite the fact that the Eagles have yet to put together a complete game of solid football, Philadelphia finds itself at 3-0 straight-up after a 37-34 victory over the Redskins. The 49ers, meanwhile, fell to 1-2 after a 23-14 loss to a Carson Palmer-less Cardinals team. While the Eagles will likely try to speed up the tempo of this game, expect the 49ers to attempt to control the clock. The last time these teams met was in Week #4 of the 2011 season, a game that San Francisco won, 24-23, despite being a 10-point road underdog. Eagles LB Mychal Kendricks (calf) and 49ers TE Vernon Davis (ankle) are both questionable for this one.
•HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
--PHILADELPHIA is 9-5 against the spread versus SAN FRANCISCO since 1992.
--PHILADELPHIA is 8-6 straight up against SAN FRANCISCO since 1992.
--9 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992.
--PHILADELPHIA is 9-5 versus the first half line when playing against SAN FRANCISCO since 1992.
--11 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE FIRST HALF TOTAL since 1992.
--Over is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings.
--Eagles are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
--Road team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
--Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in San Francisco.
--Eagles are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings in San Francisco.
•KEY STATS
--PHILADELPHIA is 31-12 UNDER after a playing a game where 60+ total points were scored since 1992.
--PHILADELPHIA is 157-123 ATS against conference opponents since 1992.
--PHILADELPHIA is 64-43 ATS away in games played on a grass field since 1992.
--SAN FRANCISCO is 18-5 ATS off an upset loss as a road favorite since 1992.
--Jim Harbaugh is 36-21 ATS in all lined games as coach of SAN FRANCISCO.
--SAN FRANCISCO is 7-0 UNDER vs. good offensive teams - scoring 24+ points/game over L2 seasons.
#269 ATLANTA @ #270 MINNESOTA - 4:25 PM
The Falcons dominated both sides of the ball in a 56-14 demolition of the Buccaneers on Thursday night. They’ll now face a Vikings team that lost 20-9 in New Orleans on Sunday and hasn’t scored a touchdown since less than five minutes into the game against the Patriots two weeks ago. Minnesota will go with rookie quarterback Teddy Bridgewater in place of the injured Matt Cassel, so expect Atlanta to try to apply as much pressure as possible. Wide receiver Roddy White (hamstring) is questionable for Atlanta, while Kyle Rudolph (groin) is out for Minnesota.
•HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
--ATLANTA is 5-3 against the spread versus MINNESOTA since 1992.
--ATLANTA is 5-4 straight up against MINNESOTA since 1992.
--6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992.
--MINNESOTA is 4-4 versus the first half line when playing against ATLANTA since 1992.
--5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE FIRST HALF TOTAL since 1992.
--Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.
--Favorite is 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
•KEY STATS
--ATLANTA is 12-2 UNDER after gaining 400+ total yards/game over their last 3 games since 1992.
--ATLANTA is 18-38 ATS after gaining 6.5+ yards/play in their previous game since 1992.
--ATLANTA is 6-0 OVER as a favorite over the L2 seasons.
--MINNESOTA is 19-5 OVER vs. teams outscoring opponents by 10+ PPG on the season since 1992.
--MINNESOTA is 36-17 OVER after being outgained by opp by 100+ total yards last game since 1992.
--MINNESOTA is 10-1 ATS at home vs. teams outscoring opponents by 10+ PPG on the season since 1992.
#271 NEW ORLEANS @ #272 DALLAS - 8:30 PM
The Saints are back on the road one week after a 20-9 win in their home opener against the Vikings. They now face a Dallas defense that quarterback Drew Brees torched to the tune of 392 passing yards in a 49-17 blowout last November 10. That game was in New Orleans, however, where the Saints are 8-1 ATS since the start of last season - that stands in stark contrast to the 3-10 ATS mark they’ve posted over their past 13 regular season road games. Dallas, however, is just 2-10 ATS at home under current head coach Jason Garrett when facing defenses that allow a completion percentage of at least 61 percent.
•HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
--NEW ORLEANS is 8-2 against the spread versus DALLAS since 1992.
--NEW ORLEANS is 8-2 straight up against DALLAS since 1992.
--5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992.
--NEW ORLEANS is 9-1 versus the first half line when playing against DALLAS since 1992.
--5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE FIRST HALF TOTAL since 1992.
--Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
--Saints are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 meetings.
--Underdog is 8-1 ATS in their last 9 meetings.
•KEY STATS
--NEW ORLEANS is 0-6 ATS as a road favorite over the L2 seasons.
--NEW ORLEANS is 16-6 OVER as a road favorite of 3 points or less since 1992.
--NEW ORLEANS is 13-3 UNDER against conference opponents over the L2 seasons.
--DALLAS is 17-3 OVER at home vs. teams averaging 260 or more passing yards/game since 1992.
--DALLAS is 76-52 UNDER when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
--DALLAS is 16-6 OVER at home vs. teams with a completion pct. of 64% or better since 1992.
Monday, 9/29/2014
#273 NEW ENGLAND @ #274 KANSAS CITY - 8:35 PM
The Patriots have won with defense the past couple of weeks, keeping opponents out of the end zone since less than five minutes into the first quarter of their game against the Vikings two weeks ago. Kansas City was led in its 34-15 win in Miami by RB Knile Davis, who carried 32 times for 132 yards and a touchdown in place of injured RB Jamaal Charles (ankle). The Chiefs return home for the first time since they were embarrassed by the Titans, 26-10, in the season opener. Charles and Kansas City safety Eric Berry (ankle) both enter the week as questionable for this one.
•HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
--NEW ENGLAND is 7-3 against the spread versus KANSAS CITY since 1992.
--NEW ENGLAND is 6-4 straight up against KANSAS CITY since 1992.
--5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992.
--KANSAS CITY is 5-5 versus the first half line when playing against NEW ENGLAND since 1992.
--5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE FIRST HALF TOTAL since 1992.
--Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.
--Patriots are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings.
•KEY STATS
--NEW ENGLAND is 9-1 OVER after having won 2 out of their last 3 games over the L2 seasons.
--NEW ENGLAND is 9-1 ATS away after allowing 75 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games since 1992.
--NEW ENGLAND is 26-10 ATS away after allowing 17 points or less in 2 straight games since 1992.
--KANSAS CITY is 6-17 ATS at home against AFC East division opponents since 1992.
--KANSAS CITY is 27-13 UNDER at home in the first month of the season since 1992.
--Andy Reid 19-7 OVER in home games after having lost 2 out of their last 3 games in all games he has coached since 1992.
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