Wednesday 9/13/17 ... Comps / Bonus Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Pesos]

Post Bonus Plays / requests / comments/ trends and concerns here.

 

[Pesos]

Soccer

UEFA Champions League

2:45pm ET

Liverpool v Sevilla

Referee: Danny Makkelie

Last Head-To-Heads at Liverpool:
Liverpool: 1-3 (Sevilla Win)

Recent Form:
Liverpool: 4-1-1
Sevilla: 4-0-2

KEY STAT: Liverpool have scored 14 goals in six outings this season

EXPERT VERDICT: Sevilla’s 2016 Europa League triumph denied Liverpool a place in last season’s Champions League but the Reds can gain compensation in their group opener at Anfield. Led by a clinical attacking unit, Liverpool look capable of putting any side to the sword and could prove too hot for Sevilla to handle.

RECOMMENDATION: Liverpool (3)

 

[Pesos]

Soccer

UEFA Champions League

2:45pm ET

Feyenoord v Manchester City

Referee: Szymon Marciniak

Last Head-To-Heads at Feyenoord:
none

Recent Form:
Feyenoord: 5-0-1
Manchester City: 5-0-1

KEY STAT: There were 67 goals in Feyenoord’s 17 Eredivisie home games last season

EXPERT VERDICT: Spectators at De Kuip have become accustomed to end-to-end football in recent seasons and goals looks assured when Manchester City visit Rotterdam. Feyenoord netted 56 goals in 17 home games last term and if City have an area of weakness in their ranks it is at the back.

RECOMMENDATION: Over 3.5 goals (2)

 

[Pesos]

Soccer

UEFA Champions League

2:45pm ET

Tottenham v Borussia Dortmund

Referee: Gianluca Rocchi

Last Head-To-Heads at Tottenham:
1-2 (Borussia Dortmund win)

Recent Form:
Tottenham: 4-1-1
Borussia Dortmund: 3-0-2

KEY STAT: Dortmund have won two of their last seven Champions League away games

EXPERT VERDICT: With European behemoths Real Madrid expected to dominate Group H, Spurs and Dortmund will know that their results against one another are likely to determine who progresses. The visitors boast far more European know-how but they head to Wembley with a lengthy injury list and without £97m departee Ousmane Dembele.

RECOMMENDATION: Tottenham (1)

 

[Pesos]

MLB

National League

Braves @ Nationals
Gohara allowed six runs in four IP (83 PT) in his first MLB start, a 12-8 loss to Texas. Braves’ first 5-inning record with him: 0-1

Scherzer is 2-0, 2.81 in his last five starts; over is 8-3 in his last 11 starts. He is 1-1, 3.20 in three starts vs Atlanta this season. Nationals are 10-3 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 17-8-2

Braves lost three of last five road games; over is 5-1-1 in their last seven games overall. Washington won six of last eight games; under is 4-1-1 in their last six home games.

Marlins @ Phillies
Straily is 2-0, 5.32 in his last four starts; Marlins scored 33 runs in the four games. Over is 4-1 in his last five starts. He is 3-1, 5.16 vs Philly this season. Marlins are 6-8 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 15-10-4

Nola is 1-3, 7.53 in his last five starts; under is 9-4 in his last 13 starts. He is 0-3, 11.93 vs Miami this season. Phillies are 7-4 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 11-6-7

Marlins lost 13 of last 15 games; over is 5-1 in their last six. Philly lost five of last eight games; under is 3-2 in their last five.

Pirates @ Brewers
Glasnow is making his first start since June 9; he is 0-3, 8.10 in his last four starts (over 9-2-2). Pirates are 2-3 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 5-7

Anderson is 2-0, 3.86 in his last three starts (over 2-0-1). Milwaukee is 5-4 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 12-7-2

Pirates lost six of their last seven games; under is 7-1 in their last eight. Milwaukee won four of last five games; they’re 5-2 in last seven home games. Under is 7-2-2 in their last 11 games.

Mets @ Cubs
Harvey is 1-1, 8.14 in his last five starts (over 3-1-1). Mets are 2-6 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 8-7

Lester is 2-0, 4.09 in his last two starts; Cubs scored 22 runs in those games. Over is 5-1 in his last six starts. Cubs are 10-6 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 12-10-6

Mets won five of last eight games; over is 10-4-2 in their last 16 games. Cubs lost six of last nine games; under is 7-4 in their last 11 home games.

Reds @ Cardinals
Mahle is 0-2, 3.60 in three starts this year (under 2-0-1). Reds are 0-2 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 0-2-1

Flaherty is 0-0, 6.00 in two MLB starts (over 1-1). This is his first home start. Cardinals’ first 5-inning record with him: 0-2

Reds lost six of last seven road games (under 4-2-1). St Louis won eight of last nine games; under is 6-3 in their last nine home games.

Rockies @ Diamondbacks
Marquez is 1-1, 5.24 in his last four starts; under is 8-1-1 in his last ten. He is 0-2, 3.94 in five starts vs Arizona this year. Colorado is 7-6 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 15-6-4

Corbin is 5-1, 2.48 in his last six starts; over is 8-3 in his last 11. He is 1-1, 5.87 in three starts vs Colorado this year. Arizona is 9-5 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 12-13-4

Rockies won eight of their last nine games; over is 6-1-1 in their last eight games. Arizona is lost four of last five games; over is 5-2-2 in their last nine home games.

Dodgers @ Giants
Darvish is 0-3, 9.49 in his last three starts; over is 4-1 in his last five starts. Dodgers are 2-1 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 2-3-1

Moore is 2-1, 3.38 in his last five starts; over is 3-1 in his last four. He is 0-1, 7.71 in three starts against the Dodgers this year. Giants are 5-9 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 4-18-6

Dodgers lost 15 of their last 17 games; over is 8-3 in their last 11 games. Giants are 4-13 in last 17 games; over is 4-1-1 in their last six.

_____________________________________________

American League
Orioles @ Blue Jays
Gausman is 1-2, 4.35 in his last four starts; under is 7-2 in his last nine. He is 2-0, 1.55 in five starts vs Toronto this year. Orioles are 6-8 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 14-15-1

Stroman is 0-1, 5.21 in his last four starts; over is 5-3-1 in his last nine starts. Toronto is 8-7 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 16-12-1

Orioles lost their last six games; under is 8-3 in their last 11 games. Toronto won its last four home games; under is 8-2-1 in their last 11 games.

Tigers @ Indians
Farmer is 2-2, 9.56 in his last four starts; over is 3-1-1 in his last five. Detroit is 3-0 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 3-4

Clevinger is 4-0, 1.23 in his last five starts; he’s thrown 18 consecutive scoreless innings. He is 3-0, 0.50 vs Detroit this year. Indians are 5-4 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 11-5-3

Tigers lost 10 of last 12 games; under is 8-2-1 in their last 11 road games. Cleveland won its last 20 games; under is 14-5 in their last 19 home games.

New York vs Tampa Bay (@ Citi Field in NYC- Rays are home team)
Garcia is 0-2, 6.57 in five starts for New York (under 4-1). NY is 1-2 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 0-4-1

Archer is 0-2, 9.28 in his last three starts; over is 3-1 in his last four. He is 1-1, 3.72 in three starts vs NY this season. Rays’ first 5-inning record with him: 17-8-5

This series is in the Mets’ stadium because of the hurricane. New York won seven of last ten games; eight of their last 11 road games went over. Tampa Bay lost four of last six games; under is 3-0 in their last three games.

A’s @ Red Sox
Cotton is 0-0, 11.00 in his last two starts; his last three starts went over. Oakland is 4-6 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 9-12-1

Fister is 3-1, 1.50 in his last four starts; under is 5-1-1 in his last seven. Red Sox are 3-4 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 5-6

A’s won five of their last six games; over is 9-1 in their last ten games. Boston won five of last six games; under is 8-5 in their last 13 games.

Mariners @ Rangers
Leake is 2-0, 3.46 in two starts for Seattle (under 2-0). This is his first road start for Seattle. —Mariners’ first 5-inning record with him: 2-0

Perez is 7-0, 3.74 in his last seven starts; Texas scored 61 runs in those 7 games. Over is 4-1 in his last five starts. He is 1-1, 4.41 in three starts vs Seattle this year. Texas is 8-8 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 13-12-3

Mariners lost six of their last seven road games; seven of their last eight games overall stayed under. Texas lost four of last six games; over is 12-3-1 in their last 16 games.

White Sox @ Royals
Giolito is 2-2, 3.55 in four starts this year (under 3-1). This is his first road start. Chicago’s first 5-inning record with him: 2-2

Skoglund is 1-2, 10.33 in four starts this year (over 2-2). Royals split his two home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 0-2-2

Chicago won three of its last three games; over is 5-2-1 in their last eight games. Royals are 6-4 in their last ten games; over is 8-4 in their last 12 games.

Astros @ Angels
Fiers is 1-3, 8.76 in his last five starts; over is 6-2-1 in his last nine starts. He is 2-0, 2.92 against the Angels this season. Astros are 7-5 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 12-12-3

Skaggs is 0-3, 8.10 in his last five starts; under is 5-3 in his last eight. Angels are 3-2 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 2-8-2

Astros lost four of their last five games, four of which went over the total. Angels lost four of last five games, all of which stayed under.

_____________________________________________

Interleague

Padres @ Twins
Lamet is 0-3, 2.78 in his last four starts (under 4-0); Padres scored total of three runs in those four games. San Diego is 4-5 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 9-7-2

Santana is 4-0, 4.56 in his last eight starts; over is 3-2 in his last five starts. Twins 7-8 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 16-7-6

Padres won three of last five games; under is 5-4 in their last nine road games. Minnesota is 4-5 in its last nine games; over is 6-2 in their last eight home games.

_____________________________________________

Record with this pitcher starting:
National League
Atl-Wsh: Gohara 0-1; Scherzer 19-8
Mia-Phil: Straily 14-15; Nola 11-13
Pitt-Mil: Glasnow 5-7; Anderson 11-10
NY-Chi: Harvey 6-9; Lester 16-12
Cin-StL: Mahle 0-3; Flaherty 2-0
Colo-Az: Marquez 16-9; Corbin 15-14
LA-SF: Darvish 3-3; Moore 9-19

American League
Balt-Tor: Gausman 15-15; Stroman 17-12
Det-Clev: Farmer 4-3; Clevinger 12-7
NY-TB: Garcia 2-3; Archer 15-15
A’s-Bos: Cotton 9-13; Fister 6-5
Sea-Tex: Leake 2-0; Perez 14-14
Chi-KC: Giolito 2-2; Skoglund 1-3
Hst-LAA: Fiers 15-12; Skaggs 5-7

Interleague
SD-Minn: Lamet 9-9; Santana 15-12
_____________________________________________

Pitchers allowing a run in first inning:
National League
Atl-Wsh: Gohara 1-1; Scherzer 6-27
Mia-Phil: Straily 6-29; Nola 6-24
Pitt-Mil: Glasnow 4-12; Anderson 6-21
NY-Chi: Harvey 8-15; Lester 9-28
Cin-StL: Mahle 0-3; Flaherty 0-2
Colo-Az: Marquez 7-25; Corbin 12-29
LA-SF: Darvish 4-6; Moore 9-28

American League
Balt-Tor: Gausman 9-30; Stroman 5-29
Det-Clev: Farmer 2-7; Clevinger 2-19
NY-TB: Garcia 4-5; Archer 10-30
A’s-Bos: Cotton 9-22; Fister 6-11
Sea-Tex: Leake 2-2; Perez 12-28
Chi-KC: Giolito 0-4; Skoglund 2-4
Hst-LAA: Fiers 8-27; Skaggs 7-12

Interleague
SD-Minn: Lamet 5-18; Santana 6-27

_________________________

Umpires
National League
Atl-Wsh: Under is 6-3 in last nine Bellino games.
Mia-Phil: Under is 8-2 in last ten Bucknor games.
Pitt-Mil: Five of last six BWelke games went over.
NY-Chi: Five of last six Danley games stayed under.
Cin-StL: Over is 8-5 in Barber games this season.
Colo-Az: Six of last seven Drake games went over.
LA-SF: Underdogs are 6-3 in last nine Gibson games.

American League
Balt-Tor: Home teams are 14-3 in last 17 Iassogna games.
Det-Clev: Over is 4-2-1 in last seven Wolcott games.
NY-TB: Under is 10-2 in last dozen Hernandez games.
A’s-Bos: Favorites won 8 of last 10 Wendelstedt games.
Sea-Tex: Over is 5-1-1 in last seven Carapazza games.
Chi-KC: Over is 6-2 in last eight Kulpa games.
Hst-LAA: Underdogs are 4-3 in last seven Blaser games.

Interleague
SD-Minn: Over is 12-4-1 in last 17 Reynolds games.
_____________________________________________

Interleague play
NL @ AL– 82-56 AL, favorites -$136
AL @ NL– 72-67 NL, favorites +$35
Total: 149-128 AL, favorites -$101

Totals in interleague games
NL @ AL: Over 70-66-4
AL @ NL: Over 74-59-7
Total: Over 144-125-11
_____________________________________________

Teams’ records in first five innings:
Team (road-home-total)- thru 9/12/17
Ariz 28-26-19……40-22–12……..68-48
Atl 27-34-9……25-39-8………..52-73
Cubs 32-31-8…….35-24-14………..67-55
Reds 22-42-9……..29-36–7……….51-78
Colo 38-28-7…….37-29-5………..75-57
LA 32-24-13…….41-25-9……….73-49
Miami 31-33-9…….35-26-10………66-59
Milw 35-27-10…….36-28-9……….70-55
Mets 31-35-4……..30-37-7……….61-72
Philly 19-43-16……26-32-8………..45-75
Pitt 31-35-7…….28-31-13………..60-66
St. Louis 30-32-9……38-24-10………..68-56
SD 21-42-8……..36-29–9…………57-71
SF 16-49-9……..28-31-12……….44-80
Wash 42-23-7……33-30-9………….75-53

Orioles 27-38-5……..30-37-7………57-75
Boston 30-32-10………34-36-2…….64-68
White Sox 22-38-10………29-42–4…….51-79
Cleveland 44-23-8……..36-24-8……….80-47
Detroit 27-37-10…….28-33-10……..55-70
Astros 36-27-11……..43-24-5………79-51
KC 26-33-10……..30-30-13…….56-63
Angels 26-39-8………29-28-13……..55-67
Twins 38-23-12………33-32-8……..70-54
NYY 33-38-7……….36-27-4…..…69-65
A’s 25-37-7……..32-32-12……..57-69
Seattle 27-36-9……..39-25-10………66-61
TB 36-29-11……..38-21-9……..74-50
Texas 34-26-11……..38-26-8……..72-52
Toronto 29-37-5……..30-32-11……..59-69

%age of times teams score in first inning
Team (road-home-total)- thru 9/12/17
Ariz 22-71……..25-72………..47
Atl 17-69……….19-75………36
Cubs 20-71……..25-73………..45
Reds 29-74……..26-72……….55
Colo 20-73……..25-71..……..45
LA 20-70……..26-74..…….46
Miami 31-73……..26-71………..57
Milw 24-72……27-74…..……51
Mets 31-70……..25-74……….56
Philly 17-78……..21-67……….38
Pitt 21-73……..22-73……….43
StL 15-72……..23-71………..38
SD 23-71……….24-73……….47
SF 17-75……….21-72……….38
Wash 26-72……..28-72……….54

Orioles 16-71……..24-75……….40
Boston 20-72……..17-72……….37
White Sox 22-70……20-75……….42
Clev 22-76……..24-70………46
Detroit 17-73…….26-71………43
Astros 21-75……..28-70………49
KC 18-70……..16-75………..34
Angels 27-75……..20-71……….47
Twins 17-71……..19-72……….36
NYY 19-77……..18-67……….37
A’s 17-69……..27-76………44
Seattle 21-72…….25-76……….46
TB 22-74……..24-72………46
Texas 28-72……..30-72………58
Toronto 24-72……..21-76………45

 

[Pesos]

MLB Trend Report

12:10 PM
DETROIT vs. CLEVELAND
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Detroit's last 9 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 18 of Detroit's last 25 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
Cleveland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games at home

1:10 PM
NY YANKEES vs. TAMPA BAY
The total has gone OVER in 8 of NY Yankees's last 11 games on the road
NY Yankees are 5-2 SU in their last 7 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 7 games when playing at home against NY Yankees
Tampa Bay is 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing at home against NY Yankees

2:15 PM
CHI WHITE SOX vs. KANSAS CITY
Chi White Sox are 3-6 SU in their last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chi White Sox's last 9 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Kansas City's last 9 games when playing at home against Chi White Sox
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Kansas City's last 9 games

7:05 PM
MIAMI vs. PHILADELPHIA
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games on the road
Miami is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Philadelphia is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Miami

7:05 PM
ATLANTA vs. WASHINGTON
Atlanta is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Atlanta is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Washington
Washington is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games at home

7:07 PM
BALTIMORE vs. TORONTO
Baltimore is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Baltimore's last 5 games
Toronto is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Toronto is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

7:10 PM
OAKLAND vs. BOSTON
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oakland's last 5 games
Oakland is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Boston's last 12 games when playing Oakland
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Oakland

8:05 PM
SEATTLE vs. TEXAS
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Seattle's last 16 games when playing on the road against Texas
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Texas's last 9 games
Texas is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games

8:05 PM
NY METS vs. CHI CUBS
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Mets's last 5 games on the road
NY Mets are 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Chi Cubs are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games at home
Chi Cubs are 10-3 SU in their last 13 games when playing at home against NY Mets

8:10 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. MILWAUKEE
Pittsburgh is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 6 games

8:10 PM
SAN DIEGO vs. MINNESOTA
The total has gone OVER in 12 of San Diego's last 18 games on the road
San Diego is 2-11 SU in its last 13 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing San Diego
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Minnesota's last 8 games at home

8:15 PM
CINCINNATI vs. ST. LOUIS
Cincinnati is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing St. Louis
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 6 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Louis's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of St. Louis's last 6 games

9:40 PM
COLORADO vs. ARIZONA
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Colorado's last 6 games when playing on the road against Arizona
Colorado is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Arizona is 14-4 SU in its last 18 games
Arizona is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Colorado

10:07 PM
HOUSTON vs. LA ANGELS
Houston is 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing LA Angels
Houston is 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Angels
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Angels's last 5 games
LA Angels are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games when playing Houston

10:08 PM
LA DODGERS vs. SAN FRANCISCO
LA Dodgers are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Dodgers's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of San Francisco's last 7 games
San Francisco is 5-13 SU in its last 18 games

 

[Pesos]

MLB Trend Report

DETROIT @ CLEVELANDThe total has gone OVER in 7 of Detroit's last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 18 of Detroit's last 25 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
Cleveland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Cleveland is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Detroit

NY YANKEES @ TAMPA BAY
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Yankees's last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
NY Yankees is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing NY Yankees
Tampa Bay is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games when playing NY Yankees

CHI WHITE SOX @ KANSAS CITY
Chi White Sox is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Kansas City
Chi White Sox is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
Kansas City is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Chi White Sox
Kansas City is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Chi White Sox

ATLANTA @ WASHINGTON
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Atlanta's last 15 games when playing on the road against Washington
Atlanta is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Washington
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Washington's last 15 games when playing at home against Atlanta
Washington is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games at home

MIAMI @ PHILADELPHIA
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Miami
Philadelphia is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games

BALTIMORE @ TORONTO
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Baltimore's last 5 games when playing on the road against Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Baltimore's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing at home against Baltimore
Toronto is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Baltimore

OAKLAND @ BOSTON
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oakland's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oakland's last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Oakland
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games when playing at home against Oakland

SEATTLE @ TEXAS
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Seattle's last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Seattle's last 16 games when playing on the road against Texas
Texas is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games when playing at home against Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Texas's last 16 games when playing at home against Seattle

NY METS @ CHI CUBS
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Mets's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of NY Mets's last 9 games
Chi Cubs is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against NY Mets
Chi Cubs is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games at home

PITTSBURGH @ MILWAUKEE
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Milwaukee's last 10 games when playing Pittsburgh

SAN DIEGO @ MINNESOTA
San Diego is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
San Diego is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Minnesota is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games when playing San Diego
Minnesota is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against San Diego

CINCINNATI @ ST. LOUIS
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 6 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
Cincinnati is 11-5 ATS in its last 16 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
St. Louis is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
St. Louis is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

COLORADO @ ARIZONA
Colorado is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Colorado is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Arizona is 14-4 SU in its last 18 games
Arizona is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Colorado

HOUSTON @ LA ANGELS
Houston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Angels
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games on the road
LA Angels is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home
LA Angels is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Houston

LA DODGERS @ SAN FRANCISCO
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Dodgers's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Dodgers's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of San Francisco's last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Francisco's last 5 games when playing at home against LA Dodgers

 

[Pesos]

MLB Long Sheet

ATLANTA (65 - 78) at WASHINGTON (88 - 56) - 7:05 PM
LUIZ GOHARA (L) vs. MAX SCHERZER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 87-56 (+9.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
WASHINGTON is 62-29 (+24.6 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
ATLANTA is 133-171 (+4.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 56-58 (+17.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 69-82 (+24.9 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 30-30 (+15.3 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 22-15 (+12.1 Units) against the money line in September games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 62-70 (+11.4 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 48-52 (+23.7 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 54-59 (+21.6 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 12-5 (+12.0 Units) against the money line in road games after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 64-85 (+15.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 35-42 (+13.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 7-7 (+5.4 Units) against WASHINGTON this season
8 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.5 Units)

LUIZ GOHARA vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
No recent starts.

MAX SCHERZER vs. ATLANTA since 1997
SCHERZER is 6-4 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 3.75 and a WHIP of 1.212.
His team's record is 8-5 (+0.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-8. (-5.4 units)
_____________________________________________________________________

MIAMI (68 - 76) at PHILADELPHIA (55 - 89) - 7:05 PM
DANIEL STRAILY (R) vs. AARON NOLA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 2-9 (-9.2 Units) against the money line in September games this season.
MIAMI is 60-82 (-29.7 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 32-33 (+7.4 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
STRAILY is 34-26 (+13.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
STRAILY is 18-9 (+10.7 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
PHILADELPHIA is 55-89 (-18.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 31-61 (-21.6 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 35-70 (-27.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 9-8 (+3.8 Units) against MIAMI this season
9 of 16 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

DANIEL STRAILY vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
STRAILY is 4-1 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 3.90 and a WHIP of 1.662.
His team's record is 4-1 (+2.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-0. (+5.0 units)

AARON NOLA vs. MIAMI since 1997
NOLA is 1-3 when starting against MIAMI with an ERA of 5.24 and a WHIP of 1.253.
His team's record is 2-4 (-2.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-2. (+2.0 units)
_____________________________________________________________________

NY METS (63 - 81) at CHICAGO CUBS (78 - 66) - 8:05 PM
MATT HARVEY (R) vs. JON LESTER (L)
Top Trends for this game.
NY METS are 63-81 (-27.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
NY METS are 0-15 (-15.0 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +175 to +250 over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 13-41 (-28.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
NY METS are 6-21 (-14.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
HARVEY is 12-20 (-14.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
HARVEY is 21-31 (-18.7 Units) against the money line after a loss since 1997. (Team's Record)
HARVEY is 14-28 (-18.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997. (Team's Record)
LESTER is 30-8 (+18.8 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
LESTER is 97-39 (+35.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997. (Team's Record)
NY METS are 432-448 (+33.6 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 78-66 (-21.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 41-32 (-13.3 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 57-54 (-26.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 40-37 (-16.2 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 826-774 (-159.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY METS is 2-2 (+0.1 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS this season
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.9 Units)

MATT HARVEY vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
HARVEY is 2-0 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 2.77 and a WHIP of 0.808.
His team's record is 3-1 (+2.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-2. (-1.2 units)

JON LESTER vs. NY METS since 1997
LESTER is 4-2 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 4.20 and a WHIP of 1.377.
His team's record is 5-2 (+2.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-3. (-0.4 units)
_____________________________________________________________________

PITTSBURGH (68 - 78) at MILWAUKEE (76 - 69) - 8:10 PM
TYLER GLASNOW (R) vs. CHASE ANDERSON (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 9-6 (+3.6 Units) against MILWAUKEE this season
11 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+8.6 Units)

TYLER GLASNOW vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
GLASNOW is 0-1 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 4.27 and a WHIP of 1.264.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-0. (+0.0 units)

CHASE ANDERSON vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
ANDERSON is 4-2 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 3.37 and a WHIP of 1.367.
His team's record is 5-4 (+2.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-5. (-1.5 units)
_____________________________________________________________________

CINCINNATI (62 - 83) at ST LOUIS (76 - 68) - 8:15 PM
TYLER MAHLE (R) vs. JACK FLAHERTY (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 6-21 (-13.4 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
CINCINNATI is 31-31 (+7.6 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
CINCINNATI is 54-57 (+5.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
ST LOUIS is 79-74 (-25.0 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 51-53 (-23.7 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 62-55 (-15.6 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 36-41 (-23.5 Units) against the money line in home games after a win over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 8-6 (+3.9 Units) against ST LOUIS this season
8 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.5 Units)

TYLER MAHLE vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
No recent starts.

JACK FLAHERTY vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
No recent starts.
_____________________________________________________________________

COLORADO (80 - 65) at ARIZONA (83 - 62) - 9:40 PM
GERMAN MARQUEZ (R) vs. PAT CORBIN (L)
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 446-704 (-134.8 Units) against the money line in road games in night games since 1997.
ARIZONA is 83-62 (+16.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ARIZONA is 46-27 (+12.3 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
ARIZONA is 38-27 (+10.3 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
ARIZONA is 59-42 (+11.6 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
ARIZONA is 62-47 (+9.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
ARIZONA is 33-29 (+6.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
COLORADO is 80-65 (+17.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
COLORADO is 19-11 (+12.1 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
COLORADO is 25-23 (+14.2 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +175 over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 39-34 (+15.0 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
COLORADO is 17-11 (+9.2 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
COLORADO is 6-0 (+11.9 Units) against the money line in road games in September games this season.
COLORADO is 37-25 (+17.4 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
COLORADO is 25-16 (+15.2 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.
COLORADO is 43-36 (+7.5 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
COLORADO is 33-25 (+17.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
COLORADO is 10-6 (+11.0 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 9-8 (-0.5 Units) against COLORADO this season
11 of 15 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+6.8 Units)

GERMAN MARQUEZ vs. ARIZONA since 1997
MARQUEZ is 0-2 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 3.94 and a WHIP of 1.180.
His team's record is 1-4 (-3.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-0. (+5.1 units)

PAT CORBIN vs. COLORADO since 1997
CORBIN is 6-3 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 4.93 and a WHIP of 1.380.
His team's record is 11-4 (+6.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-10. (-5.8 units)
_____________________________________________________________________

LA DODGERS (93 - 52) at SAN FRANCISCO (57 - 90) - 10:15 PM
YU DARVISH (R) vs. MATT MOORE (L)
Top Trends for this game.
LA DODGERS are 82-75 (-16.2 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 2-11 (-20.7 Units) against the money line in September games this season.
LA DODGERS are 154-177 (-61.2 Units) against the money line when playing on Wednesday since 1997.
LA DODGERS are 33-33 (-24.1 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
LA DODGERS are 134-98 (-12.4 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 39-46 (-21.1 Units) against the money line in road games after a win over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 67-59 (-23.9 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
DARVISH is 12-16 (-13.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
DARVISH is 30-28 (-22.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997. (Team's Record)
SAN FRANCISCO is 57-90 (-36.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 22-39 (-18.4 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 38-58 (-19.8 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 40-64 (-30.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
MOORE is 9-27 (-19.1 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 7-8 (+2.6 Units) against LA DODGERS this season
8 of 15 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.5 Units)

YU DARVISH vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
No recent starts.

MATT MOORE vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
MOORE is 3-3 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 5.36 and a WHIP of 1.302.
His team's record is 3-5 (-1.9 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-5. (-2.4 units)
_____________________________________________________________________

DETROIT (60 - 84) at CLEVELAND (89 - 56) - 12:10 PM
BUCK FARMER (R) vs. MIKE CLEVINGER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 60-84 (-22.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
DETROIT is 24-38 (-14.0 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
DETROIT is 55-172 (-60.8 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +175 to +250 since 1997.
DETROIT is 40-64 (-21.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
CLEVELAND is 40-15 (+15.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
CLEVELAND is 30-8 (+18.8 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive wins this season.
DETROIT is 42-29 (+21.6 Units) against the money line in road games in day games over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 3-8 (-12.0 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Wednesday this season.
CLEVELAND is 54-48 (-20.7 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 42-55 (-30.3 Units) against the money line in home games after shutting out their opponent since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 12-6 (+2.4 Units) against DETROIT this season
9 of 16 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.2 Units)

BUCK FARMER vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
FARMER is 0-3 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 9.45 and a WHIP of 1.800.
His team's record is 0-3 (-3.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-3. (-3.8 units)

MIKE CLEVINGER vs. DETROIT since 1997
CLEVINGER is 3-1 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 2.70 and a WHIP of 1.250.
His team's record is 3-1 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-1. (+2.2 units)
_____________________________________________________________________

CHI WHITE SOX (57 - 87) at KANSAS CITY (72 - 72) - 2:15 PM
LUCAS GIOLITO (R) vs. ERIC SKOGLUND (L)
Top Trends for this game.
CHI WHITE SOX are 17-43 (-17.7 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +175 over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 28-60 (-22.1 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 72-72 (+5.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 86-69 (+14.5 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 77-64 (+16.1 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 26-20 (+9.3 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 56-52 (+8.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
KANSAS CITY is 38-34 (+6.7 Units) against the money line after a win this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHI WHITE SOX is 7-8 (+0.4 Units) against KANSAS CITY this season
8 of 14 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.0 Units)

LUCAS GIOLITO vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
No recent starts.

ERIC SKOGLUND vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
No recent starts.
_____________________________________________________________________

BALTIMORE (71 - 74) at TORONTO (68 - 77) - 7:05 PM
KEVIN GAUSMAN (R) vs. MARCUS STROMAN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
BALTIMORE is 59-85 (-26.5 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 26-44 (-16.6 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
BALTIMORE is 61-94 (-26.7 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 44-54 (-12.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
BALTIMORE is 13-29 (-16.8 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss this season.
BALTIMORE is 212-341 (-107.8 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1997.
GAUSMAN is 11-26 (-15.4 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 since 1997. (Team's Record)
GAUSMAN is 14-27 (-13.8 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
GAUSMAN is 9-22 (-13.2 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
BALTIMORE is 159-148 (+8.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 32-28 (+6.0 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
TORONTO is 68-77 (-20.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TORONTO is 22-30 (-13.6 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
TORONTO is 29-34 (-18.1 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 39-52 (-21.8 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
TORONTO is 27-41 (-19.7 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
TORONTO is 63-60 (-19.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
STROMAN is 17-20 (-13.4 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 11-7 (+4.9 Units) against TORONTO this season
13 of 17 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+8.9 Units)

KEVIN GAUSMAN vs. TORONTO since 1997
GAUSMAN is 4-3 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 3.31 and a WHIP of 1.383.
His team's record is 8-4 (+4.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-8. (-4.9 units)

MARCUS STROMAN vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
STROMAN is 3-3 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 4.47 and a WHIP of 1.280.
His team's record is 5-4 (-0.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-3. (+1.8 units)
_____________________________________________________________________

NY YANKEES (78 - 66) at TAMPA BAY (72 - 74) - 1:10 PM
JAIME GARCIA (L) vs. CHRIS ARCHER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
NY YANKEES are 78-66 (-5.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
NY YANKEES are 18-29 (-11.5 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 this season.
NY YANKEES are 11-20 (-10.2 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
GARCIA is 43-49 (-25.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997. (Team's Record)
TAMPA BAY is 32-28 (+7.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
NY YANKEES are 22-13 (+11.1 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss this season.
TAMPA BAY is 140-167 (-34.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 73-79 (-19.4 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
ARCHER is 26-37 (-18.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
ARCHER is 9-20 (-13.3 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
ARCHER is 9-22 (-15.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
NY YANKEES is 9-6 (+1.5 Units) against TAMPA BAY this season
8 of 14 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.3 Units)

JAIME GARCIA vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
No recent starts.

CHRIS ARCHER vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
ARCHER is 6-6 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 2.82 and a WHIP of 0.988.
His team's record is 8-8 (-0.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 7-8. (-1.7 units)
_____________________________________________________________________

OAKLAND (63 - 81) at BOSTON (82 - 62) - 7:10 PM
JHAREL COTTON (R) vs. DOUG FISTER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 200-268 (-54.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 21-48 (-20.9 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
OAKLAND is 9-26 (-13.0 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
OAKLAND is 33-55 (-16.3 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
OAKLAND is 32-49 (-14.2 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
BOSTON is 42-22 (+20.0 Units) against the money line in September games over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 60-57 (-13.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 370-292 (-46.5 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.
BOSTON is 41-39 (-9.3 Units) against the money line after a win this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
OAKLAND is 3-2 (+1.9 Units) against BOSTON this season
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.0 Units)

JHAREL COTTON vs. BOSTON since 1997
No recent starts.

DOUG FISTER vs. OAKLAND since 1997
FISTER is 8-7 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 2.95 and a WHIP of 1.241.
His team's record is 10-9 (+1.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 9-9. (-1.3 units)
_____________________________________________________________________

SEATTLE (72 - 73) at TEXAS (72 - 72) - 8:05 PM
MIKE LEAKE (R) vs. MARTIN PEREZ (L)
Top Trends for this game.
LEAKE is 9-20 (-16.1 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
TEXAS is 72-72 (+3.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TEXAS is 45-31 (+15.0 Units) against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 92-63 (+15.7 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 75-59 (+19.5 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 124-97 (+31.0 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 124-106 (+18.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 26-15 (+15.0 Units) against the money line after allowing 10 runs or more over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS is 37-34 (+8.3 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
TEXAS is 36-39 (-10.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
TEXAS is 15-20 (-10.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 9-5 (+4.8 Units) against TEXAS this season
8 of 14 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.8 Units)

MIKE LEAKE vs. TEXAS since 1997
LEAKE is 0-1 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 2.33 and a WHIP of 1.138.
His team's record is 1-2 (-1.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-1. (+0.0 units)

MARTIN PEREZ vs. SEATTLE since 1997
PEREZ is 6-3 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 3.54 and a WHIP of 1.548.
His team's record is 8-5 (+3.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 11-2. (+9.0 units)
_____________________________________________________________________

HOUSTON (87 - 57) at LA ANGELS (73 - 71) - 10:05 PM
MICHAEL FIERS (R) vs. TYLER SKAGGS (L)
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 30-35 (-16.5 Units) against the money line in September games over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 18-21 (-12.8 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.
LA ANGELS are 73-71 (+8.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
LA ANGELS are 224-174 (+41.4 Units) against the money line at home when the money line is +125 to -125 since 1997.
LA ANGELS are 55-51 (+7.0 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
LA ANGELS are 52-48 (+9.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
LA ANGELS are 40-30 (+15.9 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
HOUSTON is 24-12 (+11.2 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 this season.
HOUSTON is 46-26 (+11.4 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
HOUSTON is 32-18 (+8.2 Units) against the money line in road games in night games this season.
HOUSTON is 29-16 (+9.5 Units) against the money line in road games after a win this season.
HOUSTON is 16-6 (+10.3 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 9-5 (+2.1 Units) against LA ANGELS this season
8 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.3 Units)

MICHAEL FIERS vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
FIERS is 3-2 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 4.40 and a WHIP of 1.186.
His team's record is 4-3 (-0.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-2. (+0.8 units)

TYLER SKAGGS vs. HOUSTON since 1997
SKAGGS is 2-2 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 3.37 and a WHIP of 1.275.
His team's record is 3-2 (+0.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-2. (+0.9 units)
_____________________________________________________________________

SAN DIEGO (65 - 80) at MINNESOTA (75 - 69) - 8:10 PM
DINELSON LAMET (R) vs. ERVIN SANTANA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 75-69 (+9.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MINNESOTA is 51-38 (+15.2 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
MINNESOTA is 53-49 (+6.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
SAN DIEGO is 65-80 (+6.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SAN DIEGO is 49-51 (+13.5 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
SAN DIEGO is 48-57 (+6.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
SAN DIEGO is 78-74 (+23.1 Units) against the money line in road games after allowing 10 runs or more since 1997.
SAN DIEGO is 7-2 (+8.6 Units) against the money line after getting shut out this season.
SAN DIEGO is 80-94 (+15.2 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 32-41 (+16.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 66-88 (-26.3 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 27-38 (-16.0 Units) against the money line in home games after a win over the last 2 seasons.
SANTANA is 2-8 (-9.6 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
SANTANA is 11-19 (-12.3 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
SANTANA is 22-32 (-18.1 Units) against the money line when playing on Wednesday since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 2-1 (+1.0 Units) against SAN DIEGO this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.7 Units)

DINELSON LAMET vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
No recent starts.

ERVIN SANTANA vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
SANTANA is 3-0 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 1.77 and a WHIP of 0.953.
His team's record is 3-2 (+0.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-0. (+5.1 units)

 

[Pesos]

Wednesday's Diamond Notes

Hottest team: Indians (20-0 last 20) vs. Tigers
The American League pennant will have to go through Cleveland once again. The Indians tied the 2002 Oakland Athletics’ record for most consecutive victories by an AL team after blanking the Tigers, 2-0 on Tuesday. Cleveland hasn’t allowed more than two runs in seven straight wins, while yielding only five runs in the past six victories over Detroit in September.

The Indians go for win number 21 in a row in a matinee at Progressive Field as Mike Clevinger takes the mound. The right-hander hasn’t given up a run in his last three starts, while striking out 22 batters in his past 18 innings of work. Clevinger owns a perfect 3-0 record against the Tigers this season, yielding one run in 18 innings, while scattering eight hits.

Coldest team: Dodgers (1-11 last 12) at Giants
Although Los Angeles snapped its 11-game losing skid in Tuesday’s 5-3 victory at San Francisco, the Dodgers still qualify for this category. It wasn’t easy, as closer Kelsey Jansen escaped a bases-loaded jam to give Los Angeles its first win since September 1 at San Diego, which was also started by Clayton Kershaw. The Dodgers have lost 15 in a row when Kershaw doesn’t toe the rubber, with the last victory by a starter other than the Cy Young winner coming on August 25 against Milwaukee.

Yu Darvish will look to extend the winning streak to two at AT&T Park as the right-hander has lost his past three starts, all as a favorite of -200 or higher. In Darvish’s previous two outings, he has allowed 10 earned runs in only 7.1 innings of work, but he does boast a 2-1 record in three road starts with the Dodgers since getting traded from Texas in late August.

Hottest pitcher: Doug Fister, Red Sox (5-7, 3.91 ERA)
In Fister’s first four starts with Boston, the Sox lost three times, while allowing 18 runs in that span. The right-hander has turned things around recently, as Boston has compiled a 4-2 record in his past six starts, including a pair of dominating performances against red-hot Cleveland. Fister has tossed at least seven innings in four consecutive starts, including recent victories over the Blue Jays and Yankees. The Red Sox continue their series with the A’s after Boston pounded Oakland on Tuesday, 11-1.

Coldest pitcher: Tyler Glasnow, Pirates (2-6, 7.45 ERA)
Pittsburgh couldn’t capitalize off Monday’s shutout of Milwaukee as the Pirates lost last night at Miller Park. Things won’t get easier as Glasnow searches for his first victory since May 18. Granted, the right-hander has been pitching at Triple-A the last few months, but he finished his tenure with the big club losing his final three starts, while giving up 16 runs in that span.

Biggest OVER run: Athletics (9-1 last 10)
Oakland’s offense took the night off on Tuesday following a productive weekend against Houston. The A’s topped the nine-run mark in all four victories against the Astros, but could muster only a single run in Tuesday’s 11-1 blowout at Boston. Another OVER can be in the works at Fenway Park as Jharel Cotton has registered three straight OVERS for Oakland, while allowing at least five runs in four of his past five road starts.

Biggest UNDER run: Orioles (5-0 last five)
Baltimore is going backwards at the wrong time by dropping its sixth consecutive game on Tuesday, 3-2 in walk-off fashion to Toronto. The Orioles’ offense isn’t helping the cause by scoring two runs or fewer in five losses during this stretch. Kevin Gausman looks to end Baltimore’s recent woes as the right-hander was knocked around in his past outing against the Yankees by allowing five earned runs in a 9-1 defeat. In spite of that OVER against New York, the Orioles are 7-2 to the UNDER in Gausman’s last nine starts.

Matchup to watch: Astros vs. Angels
Houston is still firmly in control of the AL West, but the Astros were tripped up this past weekend in a four-game sweep by the Athletics. The Astros likely won’t get home-field advantage in the American League as the Indians have passed Houston in that department following Cleveland’s massive winning streak. However, the Astros did end their losing streak on Tuesday behind Justin Verlander in a 1-0 shutout of the Angels to send Los Angeles to its fourth defeat in the last five games.

Lance McCullers, Jr. was set to start for the Astros, but he was scratched due to arm fatigue. Mike Fiers will take the mound in McCullers’ place, looking for his first victory since August 23 against the Nationals. The right-hander hasn’t pitched well of late, allowing 14 earned runs in a pair of starts against the Rangers and Mets, while giving up two earned runs in an inning of relief of a 9-8 setback at Oakland last Friday. Fiers has seen success against the Angels this season by posting a 2-0 record, including a 5-3 victory in Anaheim back in May.

Tyler Skaggs counters for Los Angeles, as the southpaw is winless in his last five trips to the mound. The Angels are 1-4 in this stretch with the only victory coincidentally coming against the Astros in a dramatic 7-6 triumph as L.A. erased a 6-1 deficit. The Angels’ offense has been quiet of late by scoring one run or fewer in three of its last four losses, but the Halos own a solid 7-1 record in their last eight Game 2’s of a home series.

Betcha didn’t know: The Twins have the ability to bust out the bats at any given time. Minnesota dropped a 20-spot earlier this season in a blowout of Seattle, while ripping San Diego on Tuesday, 16-0. The Twins have responded well after scoring in double-digits by posting a 6-2 record in their next game in the last eight opportunities in this situation. Following last night’s win, Minnesota has compiled nine consecutive victories over National League opponents.

Biggest public favorite: Nationals (-325) vs. Braves

Biggest public underdog: Yankees (+105) vs. Rays

Biggest line move: Mariners (-105 to -110) at Rangers

 

[Pesos]

MLB Umpire Assignment

915 Detroit Tigers +255 Over 9 -115
916 Cleveland Indians -280 Under 9 -105
Quinn Wolcott 2017: 15-12, 15-9 o/u (2016: 15-15, 18-11 o/u)
Indians are 5-2 in their last 7 games with Wolcott behind home plate.
Tigers are 2-6 in their last 8 games with Wolcott behind home plate.

921 New York Yankees +107 Over 8 -110
922 Tampa Bay Rays -117 Under 8 -110
Angel Hernandez 2017: 14-12, 13-13 o/u (2016: 14-17, 13-15 o/u)
Yankees are 5-0 in their last 5 games with Hernandez behind home plate.
Rays are 1-5 in their last 6 games with Hernandez behind home plate.

917 Chicago White Sox +137 Over 10 -110
918 Kansas City Royals -147 Under 10 -110
Ron Kulpa 2017: 17-11, 12-15 o/u (2016: 17-14, 17-12 o/u)
White Sox are 7-0 in their last 7 games with Kulpa behind home plate.
Over is 6-1-1 in Kulpas last 8 games behind home plate.
Over is 4-1 in Kulpas last 5 Royals games behind home plate.

901 Atlanta Braves +280 Over 8 -110
902 Washington Nationals -310 Under 8 -110
Dan Bellino 2017: 15-11, 6-16 o/u (2016: 13-16, 14-13 o/u)
Under is 16-6-4 in Bellinos last 26 games behind home plate.
Over is 5-1 in Bellinos last 6 Braves games behind home plate.
Nationals are 2-5 in their last 7 games with Bellino behind home plate.
Braves are 1-4 in their last 5 games with Bellino behind home plate.

903 Miami Marlins +101 Over 9 -105
904 Philadelphia Phillies -111 Under 9 -115
CB Bucknor 2017: 10-12, 7-14 o/u (2016: 14-15, 12-15 o/u)
Phillies are 0-4 in their last 4 games with Bucknor behind home plate.

919 Baltimore Orioles +109 Over 8½ -120
920 Toronto Blue Jays -119 Under 8½ +100
Dan Iassogna 2017: 17-6, 13-9 o/u (2016: 18-13, 16-12 o/u)
Home team is 21-8 in Iassognas last 29 games behind home plate.
Home team is 4-1 in Iassognas last 5 Orioles games behind home plate.
Home team is 16-5 in Iassognas last 21 Blue Jays games behind home plate.

923 Oakland Athletics +181 Over 10 -110
924 Boston Red Sox -192 Under 10 -110
Hunter Wendelstedt 2017: 12-12, 12-9 o/u (2016: 18-9, 8-16 o/u)
Home team is 5-0 in Wendelstedts last 5 games behind home plate.
Home team is 10-1 in Wendelstedts last 11 Red Sox games behind home plate.
Red Sox are 4-10 in their last 14 games with Wendelstedt behind home plate.
Athletics are 1-5 in their last 6 games with Wendelstedt behind home plate.

905 New York Mets +258
906 Chicago Cubs -285
Kerwin Danley 2017: 12-8, 7-12 o/u (2016: 15-15, 13-17 o/u)
Under is 27-11-1 in Danleys last 39 games behind home plate.
Cubs are 4-0 in their last 4 games with Danley behind home plate.
Mets are 4-1 in their last 5 games with Danley behind home plate.

925 Seattle Mariners -108 Over 11 -105
926 Texas Rangers -102 Under 11 -115
Stu Scheurwater 2017: 15-17, 14-17 o/u (2016: 6-6, 8-4 o/u)
Home team is 4-0 in Scheurwaters last 4 games behind home plate.

907 Pittsburgh Pirates
908 Milwaukee Brewers
Chris Guccione 2017: 17-9, 12-13 o/u (2016: 19-12, 9-19 o/u)
Pirates are 13-3 in their last 16 games with Guccione behind home plate.
Brewers are 1-4 in their last 5 games with Guccione behind home plate.

929 San Diego Padres +138 Over 9 -115
930 Minnesota Twins -148 Under 9 -105
Jim Reynolds 2017: 14-13, 15-9 o/u (2016: 10-19, 15-14 o/u)
Over is 12-4-1 in Reynolds' last 17 games behind home plate.
Over is 5-0 in Reynolds' last 5 Twins games behind home plate.
Under is 11-3 in Reynolds' last 14 Padres games behind home plate.

909 Cincinnati Reds +153 Over 9 -105
910 St. Louis Cardinals -163 Under 9 -115
Sean Barber 2017: 8-5, 8-5 o/u (2016: 10-7, 7-10 o/u)
Cardinals are 4-1 in their last 5 games with Barber behind home plate.
Reds are 1-4 in their last 5 games with Barber behind home plate.

911 Colorado Rockies +135 Over 9 -115
912 Arizona Diamondbacks -145 Under 9 -105
Rob Drake 2017: 14-11, 13-10 o/u (2016: 17-8, 10-14 o/u)
Rockies are 7-3 in their last 10 games with Drake behind home plate.
Diamondbacks are 6-15 in their last 21 games with Drake behind home plate.
Over is 5-0 in Drakes last 5 games behind home plate.
Over is 4-1 in Drakes last 5 Diamondbacks games behind home plate.

927 Houston Astros
928 Los Angeles Angels
Cory Blaser 2017: 15-12, 13-14 o/u (2016: 12-17, 7-21 o/u)
Home team is 7-0 in Blasers last 7 games behind home plate.
Angels are 6-2 in their last 8 games with Blaser behind home plate.
Astros are 7-3 in their last 10 games with Blaser behind home plate.
Under is 9-4 in Blasers last 13 games behind home plate.
Under is 4-0 in Blasers last 4 Angels games behind home plate.
Under is 4-0 in Blasers last 4 Astros games behind home plate.

913 Los Angeles Dodgers -215 Over 7½ -110
914 San Francisco Giants +195 Under 7½ -110
Greg Gibson 2017: 15-13, 15-13 o/u (2016: 16-12, 14-14 o/u)
Home team is 7-1 in Gibsons last 8 games behind home plate.
Home team is 21-7 in Gibsons last 28 Giants games behind home plate.
Home team is 24-8 in Gibsons last 32 Dodgers games behind home plate.
Dodgers are 4-0 in their last 4 games with Gibson behind home plate.
Giants are 5-2 in their last 7 games with Gibson behind home plate.

 

[Pesos]

MLB Top Trends

ATLANTA @ WASHINGTON
Play OVER ATLANTA on the total in Road games when playing against a team with a winning record. The record is 22 Overs and 6 Unders this season (+15.2 units)

NY METS @ CHICAGO CUBS
Play OVER NY METS on the total in All games in night games. The record is 61 Overs and 29 Unders this season (+29.15 units)

NY METS @ CHICAGO CUBS
Play OVER NY METS on the total in Road games in night games. The record is 32 Overs and 13 Unders this season (+17.8 units)

SEATTLE @ TEXAS
Play OVER SEATTLE on the total in All games when playing on Tuesday. The record is 49 Overs and 20 Unders for the last three seasons (+28.8 units)

SAN DIEGO @ MINNESOTA
Play OVER MINNESOTA on the total in Home games after a loss. The record is 55 Overs and 29 Unders for the last two seasons (+24.5 units)

SAN DIEGO @ MINNESOTA
Play OVER MINNESOTA on the total in All games when playing against a team with a losing record. The record is 78 Overs and 45 Unders for the last two seasons (+28.8 units)

CINCINNATI @ ST LOUIS
Play OVER CINCINNATI on the total in All games as a road underdog of +175 to +250. The record is 10 Overs and 1 Unders this season (+8.9 units)

COLORADO @ ARIZONA
Play OVER ARIZONA on the total in Home games when playing on Tuesday. The record is 18 Overs and 4 Unders for the last two seasons (+14.05 units)

COLORADO @ ARIZONA
Play OVER ARIZONA on the total in Home games when playing on Tuesday. The record is 26 Overs and 8 Unders for the last three seasons (+17.5 units)

 

[Pesos]

StatFox Super Situations

MIAMI at PHILADELPHIA
Play On - All teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (PHILADELPHIA) below average hitting team (AVG <=.255) against a decent starting pitcher (ERA=3.70 to 4.20) -NL, with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better on the season-NL 103-62 over the last 5 seasons. ( 62.4% | 42.7 units ) 15-15 this year. ( 50.0% | 0.4 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends

ATLANTA at WASHINGTON
ATLANTA is 31-24 (+17.6 Units) against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start this season. The average score was: ATLANTA (5.2) , OPPONENT (5.0)

 

[Pesos]

Diamond Trends - Wednesday

TOP SU TREND:
The Mariners are 11-0 since Jul 15, 2017 past the first game of a series after their bullpen did not allow a run last game.

TOP OU TREND:
The Giants are 0-14 OU (-2.43 ppg) since Apr 27, 2010 as a home dog past the first game of a series after they allowed 5+ walks last game.

TOP STARTER TREND:
The Cubs are 10-0 since Apr 11, 2016 when Jon Lester starts at home when they won as an away favorite in his last start.

TOP CHOICE TREND:
The Blue Jays are 14-0 since May 15, 2009 as a favorite after a game as a home dog in which Jose Bautista struck out at least twice.

 

[Pesos]

MLB Betting Picks & Tips

New York at Tampa Bay (-120); Total: 8.5
Jaime Garcia and Chris Archer square off at Citi Field as the Yankees and Rays wrap up their early-week set in the home of the Mets. The teams have split the first two games of this series and the Rays are a short favorite for Wednesday afternoon’s contest. The Rays have had their issues against left-handed pitching this season, but Jaime Garcia has had his share of issues overall this season. The Garcia acquisition hasn’t been what the Yankees were looking for. He has a 5.11 ERA with a 5.58 FIP and a 5.07 xFIP in 24.2 innings of work across five starts. The long ball has been the problem for Garcia thus far with four home runs allowed. He has also issued 16 walks against just 20 strikeouts.

League changes can be challenging. Garcia is throwing to a new set of catchers. He’s facing lineups with a DH every five days. The AL is a tougher league to pitch in, even though some of the best offenses this season reside in the NL. A drop in control and command for Garcia makes things really tough with his new team. He hasn’t buried his team in any of his starts, so you have to apply some context here. He only allowed more than three earned runs once in his first start with the Yankees. Still, he isn’t giving New York any kind of length, with less than six innings in all five starts.

I won’t be backing Chris Archer today. Archer left his outing two starts ago with some forearm discomfort. The Rays’ medical staff assured Archer and the coaches that he was fine and he pitched on regular rest. He allowed eight runs, six earned, on nine hits across three innings of work. I need to see that Archer is healthy and effective before I back him again.

Miami at Philadelphia (-110); Total: 9
The pillow fight that is the Marlins and Phillies series features a pitching matchup of Dan Straily against Aaron Nola tonight. After yesterday’s 9-8 thriller, we’re seeing the total climb a little bit on this game. That’s a surprise with Nola, who has been a sharp darling on a bad team, a proverbial oasis in the barren desert, this season. I would expect to see a line move on the Phillies this morning.

Dan Straily has a 3.95 ERA with a 4.43 FIP and a 4.77 xFIP. With Straily’s declining strikeout rate, I’m honestly surprised that he has been able to keep his ERA under 4. Straily went from a 27.4 percent K% in April to a 24.5 percent in May to a 23.4 percent in June to a 14 percent in July to a 23.9 percent in August to a 14.3 percent in September. Straily’s walk rate is back up to around eight percent after sitting below five percent in June and July. It has been a weird season for Straily, who shined early, struggled in the middle, bounced back later, and is now scuffling again. In the second half, even with his fly ball heavy profile, Straily has allowed a .328 BABIP against. That’s not the type of guy that I am interested in backing.

Aaron Nola has a 3.71 ERA with a 3.27 FIP and a 3.51 xFIP on the season. After battling injuries last year and injuries earlier this year, Nola has worked 148 MLB innings and 10.1 more at the Triple-A level. This is a career high in innings pitched for him. From June 22 to August 12, Nola strung together a long list of starts with two or fewer runs allowed. In the five starts since, he has allowed 22 runs. He’s still missing bats at a decent clip, but his command has gone by the wayside.

Still, to me, Nola is the side here. He’s the higher-upside play and the Phillies lineup has gotten a lot more talented and a lot more interesting with Nick Williams and Rhys Hoskins. Jorge Alfaro and JP Crawford are also signs of the youth movement. Aaron Altherr is back around the team after dealing with a persistent hamstring problem. The Phillies have some incentive to play out the string with all these young players. That isn’t really the case for Miami. The Phillies are a buy team for a good portion of the rest of the season in my humble opinion.

Baltimore at Toronto (-115); Total: 8.5
Kevin Gausman is the preferred side from sharp players as the Orioles and Blue Jays get together at the Rogers Centre. The Jays are countering with Marcus Stroman. This looks like a little bit of a numbers play, as Stroman has a 3.18 ERA with a 3.85 FIP and a 3.56 xFIP. We’re seeing more ERA/FIP-induced line moves because the league average HR/FB% is so out of whack. Stroman has a 77.6 percent LOB%, so the market is probably looking to fade that metric as well. The problem that I have with a Stroman fade is that he’s an extreme ground ball guy and the Orioles aren’t the type of offense to string a lot of innings together. They need to hit home runs to be effective.

Gausman has some signs of positive regression with a .345 BABIP against, a 4.99 ERA with a 4.75 FIP and a 4.50 xFIP, and few decent starts here in recent weeks. Gausman has faced Toronto five teams this season and the Jays haven’t had much success, which is probably a consideration as well. Team vs. pitcher sample sizes aren’t a great barometer of anything with small sample sizes, but bettors will look for edges wherever and whenever they can.

The line on Toronto was too high at -130, so I get the numbers grab. It isn’t enough to make me want to play Baltimore at this reduced price.

Seattle (-110) at Texas; Total: 11
I’m faced with a dilemma on Wednesday night. As I talked about at the time of the trade, Mike Leake was a guy that I wanted to fade coming over to the American League. He has been good so far in his two starts with four earned runs allowed on 14 hits in 13 innings of work. The 12/1 K/BB ratio is pretty impressive. It is just two starts, though, and he faced Oakland and Anaheim at home. Now Leake goes out on the road against the Texas Rangers. This is the fade spot that I’ve been looking for with the league change and with a couple of unsustainable metrics for Leake.

Unfortunately, Martin Perez is the guy on the other side. Perez has a 4.81 ERA with a 4.50 FIP and a 4.68 xFIP. He has a profile that you simply don’t want to touch in any capacity. His GB%, which was one of his few positive assets, has gone down this season and his HR/FB% has still gone up. He has no command with a .336 BABIP against. I’ll wait around and see if this line moves into playable range, but I can tell you that I probably won’t be very invested, despite a situation that would normally be favorable.

Houston (-125) at Los Angeles; Total: 8
Mike Fiers will get the start in place of Lance McCullers as the Astros take on the Angels and Tyler Skaggs. Tuesday’s line move was dead wrong against Justin Verlander. I talked about how great of a fit I think he is for the Astros. Today, I’m not sure what to make of this line. Angel Stadium is the type of park that can suppress the biggest issue for Fiers. It is not a good park for hitting for power. Fiers has allowed a 19.6 percent HR/FB% with 31 HR allowed in 149.2 innings of work. He actually has a solid strikeout rate. His walk rate is a bit high, but he has done a good job of stranding runners. He has a 4.87 ERA with a 5.44 FIP and a 4.64 xFIP on the year.

Tyler Skaggs has had some command issues of his own in his 12 starts this season. The left-hander missed all of 2015 and most of 2016 with Tommy John and related setbacks. He has a 4.86 ERA with a 4.39 FIP and a 4.47 xFIP in his 63 innings of work. He has missed some bats, but has also hit some barrels. His last start was his first really good one from a strikeout standpoint in a few outings, but he has allowed six home runs over his last five starts and has been really extreme to the fly ball side in three of his last four outings. It’s not a bad plan in Anaheim, so maybe it works for him here, but it didn’t work well in Texas two starts ago.

These two guys feel pretty similar to me. When you consider that the Astros have the more reliable bullpen and the better lineup, the line is about right. I don’t see an edge one way or another in this spot. It’s a card without a whole lot of action today.

 

[Pesos]

Dave Cokin ; MLB

San Diego +138

 

[Pesos]

Scott Rickenbach ; MLB

Tampa Bay -114

 

[Pesos]

Cappers Club ; MLB

Detroit U9.5

 

[Pesos]

Tony Karpinski ; MLB

NYY U8

 

[Pesos]

Power Sports ; MLB

Minnesota -148

 

[Pesos]

Big Al ; MLB

STL -158