Wednesday 8/26/15 service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

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[superbeets]

Champions League TODAY 19:45

FC Bruges

v

Man Utd

	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
BTEU		10/3	11/4	10/11	More markets

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RECENT FORM	LAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT FC BRUGES	RECENT FORM
HWHWADHWALAL​ Most recent​	Unknown	HDADHWAWHWHD​ Most recent​

EXPERT VERDICT: Man United lead the tie 3-1 after the first leg and bookmakers expect them to cruise into the group stage with few concerns. That appears fair but United got a scare in the first game when they went a goal down and this clash could throw up a few nervy moments too.

RECOMMENDATION: Both teams to score
1

 

[superbeets]

Capital One Cup TODAY 19:45

Barnsley

v

Everton

	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
SS1		5	16/5	8/13	More markets

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RECENT FORM	LAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT BARNSLEY	RECENT FORM
HWALAD*HWAWHD​ Most recent​	2 - 2 0 - 1 0 - 3 2 - 3	HLAWHLHDAWHL​ Most recent​

KEY STAT: Everton have scored two goals or more in five of their last six away games

EXPERT VERDICT: Barnsley have shown signs of improvement following a shaky start to the season, but they have too many defensive vulnerabilities to keep the Toffees at bay. Everton have shown some brutal attacking force but aren’t without problems at the back, so this League Cup tie may be lively.

RECOMMENDATION: Both teams to score
1

 

[superbeets]

Europa League Th 27Aug 19:45

Midtjylland

v

Southampton

	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
		3	23/10	19/20	More markets

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RECENT FORM	LAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT MIDTJYLLAND	RECENT FORM
HWAWAWHDADAD​ Most recent​	Unknown	HWAWADHLHDAD​ Most recent​

KEY STAT: Midtjylland have lost four of their last five Europa League matches

EXPERT VERDICT: Last week’s 1-1 draw leaves Southampton with work to do in Denmark, but Midtjylland were beaten at home by Panathinaikos at this stage last season. Saints have already beaten Vitesse in Holland and have conceded only once in three Europa League outings.

RECOMMENDATION: Southampton
2

 

[superbeets]

German Bundesliga Fr 28Aug 19:30

Wolfsburg

v

Schalke

	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
BTEU		19/20	11/4	5/2	More markets

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RECENT FORM	LAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT WOLFSBURG	RECENT FORM
ADNWND*AWHWAD​ Most recent​	1 - 1 4 - 0 1 - 4 2 - 1	ALHWALAWAWHD​ Most recent​

KEY STAT: Wolfsburg have not lost any of their last 25 domestic home games

EXPERT VERDICT: Wolfsburg have been adversely affected by the constant talk about Kevin de Bruyne’s future but they rarely put a foot wrong on home turf and should outfire Schalke in an entertaining match. The visitors are still getting used to the high-intensity style favoured by new coach Andre Breitenreiter.

RECOMMENDATION: Wolfsburg
2

 

[superbeets]

Championship Fr 28Aug 19:45

Blackburn

v

Bolton

	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
SS1		10/11	5/2	3	More markets

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RECENT FORM	LAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT BLACKBURN	RECENT FORM
HWHLHLADHDAL​ Most recent​	1 - 0 4 - 1 1 - 2 1 - 2	HLHDHLALALHD​ Most recent​

KEY STAT: Blackburn have lost one of their last six home games

EXPERT VERDICT: Neither of these north-west outfits has enjoyed the start to their Championship season, so both will be hoping to ease their fears with victory. Hosts Blackburn have been creating plenty of chances but have been slightly unfortunate, so should exacerbate their rivals’ relegation worries.

RECOMMENDATION: Blackburn
1

 

[superbeets]

Scottish Championship Fr 28Aug 19:45

Falkirk

v

Dumbarton

	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
ALBA		4/5	5/2	3	More markets

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RECENT FORM	LAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT FALKIRK	RECENT FORM
NWADHWHLAWAW​ Most recent​	3 - 3 1 - 1 2 - 0 1 - 2	AWAD*HWAWAD*HL​ Most recent​

KEY STAT: Dumbarton have lost one of their last six trips to Falkirk

EXPERT VERDICT: Both of these in-form teams should contribute to an entertaining encounter. Falkirk remain unbeaten while Dumbarton only lost their 100 per cent record on Saturday to joint-leaders Queen of the South. These two have had some lively tussles, including a 3-3 draw in January, and another could follow.

RECOMMENDATION: Both teams to score
3

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Jim Feist's Bonus Play for Wednesday, August 26

(909) COLORADO ROCKIES VS (910) ATLANTA BRAVES

Take: UNDER THE TOTAL.

Reason: Your Bonus Play Wednesday, August 26th 2015 is in the MLB contest between the Colorado Rockies and the Braves in Atlanta. Atlanta is a big park, great for pitchers, and the Under is 9-2-3 when the Braves face a left-handed starter. They face southpaw Yohan Flande (3.94 ERA), who has thrown well for Colorado with the team 4-2 his last 6 appearances. He allowed 2 runs on 3 hits his last start, throwing 7 innings against Washington at Coors Field. The under is 3-0-1 when Flandes goes on 4 starts with 5 days of rest, plus the team is 24-11 under the total against the National League East. Atlanta has a weak offense, 29th in baseball in runs scored, last in slugging. Shelby Miller (2.50 ERA) goes for the home team having a terrific season, with a 2.01 ERA at home. He doesn't get any support and the under is 8-1 in Miller's last nine starts overall, plus 12-2-1 under when he squares off against a team with a losing record. Play the Rockies/Braves under the total.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

MLB

National League
Mets @ Phillies
Colon is 1-2, 6.18 in his last five starts (over 4-1).

Eickhoff threw six shutout innings in winning his MLB debut (75 PT).

Mets won 11 of last 12 games with Philly; five of last six went over total. New York won six of last seven games; eight of their last nine went over total. Phillies won four of their last seven; six of their last eight went over total.

Padres @ Nationals
Ross is 0-1, 4.00 in his last three starts; his last three road starts went over.

Gonzalez is 0-2, 12.91 in his last two starts; six of his last seven went over.

Padres lost four of last five games with Washington; five of last six series games went over. San Diego won seven of last ten games (over 9-2 in last 11). Nationals won fiveof last seven games (over 6-3-1 in last ten).

Rockies @ Braves
Flande is 2-0, 3.90 in his five starts (over 3-2) this year.

Miller is 0-3, 4.02 in his last five starts; eight of his last nine stayed under.

Colorado won six of last seven games with Atlanta; four of last six stayed under the total. Rockies lost nine of last 12 games (over 7-5). Braves are 1-8 in their last nine games (over 6-3).

Pirates @ Marlins
Locke is 0-2, 6.43 in his last four starts; over is 4-0-2 in his last six.

Narveson is making first start since 2012; he was 21-17, 4.86 in 56 starts for the Brewers in 2010-11.

Pirates won nine of last 12 games with Miami; last five stayed under total. Pittsburgh won ten of last 13 games; six of last seven stayed under. Marlins lost five of last seven games; over is 6-4-1 in their last eleven.

Dodgers @ Reds
Anderson is 1-2, 6.88 in his last three starts (under 4-2-1 in his last seven).

Holmberg is 0-3, 9.22 in his last three starts; four of his last six went over.

Dodgers won their last four games with Cincinnati; three of last five series games went over. LA lost five of last six games, scoring 14 runs- six of last seven stayed under. Reds lost 10 of last 11 games (over 4-2 in last six).

Cardinals @ Diamondbacks
Lackey is 1-2, 3.67 in his last five starts; his last three went over.

Corbin is 2-0, 4.50 in his last five starts (over 4-1).

St Louis won 10 of last 12 games with Arizona; under is 7-3-1 in last 11 series games. D'backs won four of last six games (over 4-1-1). Cardinals won their last three games (over 4-0-1 last five), scoring 24 runs.

Cubs @ Giants
Hendricks is 1-0, 7.24 in his last three starts; four of his last six went over.

Peavy is 1-2, 5.94 in his last three starts (over 3-2 last five at home).

Cubs won last five games with the Giants (over 4-1); Chicago won last six games overall, scoring 40 runs (over 8-3 in last 11). SF lost five of its last six games; under is 5-2-2 in their last nine games

American League
Astros @ Bronx
McHugh is 1-2, 1.67 in his last four starts; nine of his last ten stayed under.

Pineda is making first start since July 24; he 0-2, 6.94 in his last two starts-- four of his last five stayed under.

Astros lost three of last five games with Bronx; six of last eight in series stayed under total. Houston won six of last eight games (under 7-1). Bronx lost four of last six games overall; under is 7-5-1 in their last thirteen.

Angels @ Tigers
Santiago is 0-3, 5.67 in his last five starts; three of his last four stayed under.

Verlander is 0-2, 1.80 in his last three starts; Detroit scored seven runs in his last four outings-- five of his last six stayed under.

Angels won their last eight games with Detroit (under 5-3); Halos gave up 51 runs in losing four of last five games- six of their last seven went over. Tigers lost last five games, allowing 31 runs; four of their last six stayed under.

Twins @ Rays
Duffey is 2-0, 1.32 in his last two starts (over 2-1 in his MLB starts).

Archer is 0-1, 2.84 in his last three home starts; three of his last four starts overall went over the total.

Minnesota lost four of last seven games with Tampa Bay; over is 8-3 in last 11 series games. Twins won last five games, scoring 37 runs; four of their last six stayed under. Rays won three of last five (under 4-3 in last seven).

Orioles @ Royals
Chen is 2-0, 1.86 in his last three starts (under is 6-3-1 in his last ten).

Cueto is 2-0, 0.53 in two home starts for KC; over is 5-3 in his last eight starts.

Orioles lost their last eight games with Kansas City; under is 6-4 in last ten series games. Baltimore lost seven of last eight games; four of their last five stayed under total. Royals won nine of last 11 games (over 3-1-1 last five).

Blue Jays @ Rangers
Price is 3-0, 1.78 in his last four starts; six of his last eight stayed under.

Lewis is 6-1, 3.38 in his last seven starts; four of his last six stayed under.

Toronto won five of last six games with Texas; eight of last 11 games stayed under total. Blue Jays won six of last seven games; they scored 42 runs in last four-- their last six went over. Rangers won eight of last 11 games (under is 7-1-1 in their last nine games).

Red Sox @ White Sox
Porcello is 0-2, 6.43 in his last three starts; under is 6-3-1 in his last ten.

Sale is 3-0, 2.11 in his last three starts; five of his last six went over.

Red Sox lost four of last six games with Chicago; eight of last nine series games got over total. Boston won five of last eight games; over is 13-1-1 in its last fifteen games. White Sox won four of last six games; seven of their last eight went over.

A's @ Mariners
Bassitt is 1-1, 1.59 in his last four starts; five of his last six stayed under.

Hernandez is 2-3, 8.48 in his last five starts; five of his last six went over.

Oakland lost eight of last 11 games with Seattle; A's are 4-10 in their last 14 games overall, but scored 24 runs in last three games, winning twice. Mariners lost seven of last 11 games (over 8-2-1).

Interleague
Brewers @ Indians
Nelson is 3-0, 2.04 in his last six starts; (over 3-2 in last five on road).

Anderson is 0-2, 10.70 in his last four starts (over 3-1 in last four).

Brewers won eight of last ten games with Cleveland; last six went over the total. Milwaukee lost five of last seven games (over 5-0-1 in last six). Indians lost three of last four games; over is 6-3 in their last nine.

Win-loss records this year for team with this starting pitcher:
NY-Phil-- Colon 11-13 (2-9 last 11); Eickhoff 1-0
SD-Wsh-- Ross 14-12 (9-3 last 12); Gonzalez 13-10 (1-4 last 5)
Pitt-Mia-- Locke 13-11; Narveson 0-0
Col-Atl-- Flande 3-2; Miller 10-15 (1-11 last 12)
LA-Cin-- Anderson 12-12; Holmberg 1-4
StL-Az-- Lackey 13-12 (1-4 last 5); Corbin 5-4 (4-1 last 5)
Chi-SF-- Hendricks 14-10 (5-0 last 5); Peavy 5-6

Hst-NY-- McHugh 15-10 (0-3 last 3); Pineda 11-8
LA-Det-- Santiago 12-12 (1-5 last 6); Verlander 2-10
Minn-TB-- Duffey 2-1; Archer 15-11
Tor-Tex-- Price 18-7/3-1; Lewis 13-12 (6-1 last 7)
Balt-KC-- Chen 15-9 (5-1 last 6); Cueto 2-3
Bos-Chi-- Porcello 9-11 (3-9 last 12); Sale 15-9
A's-Sea-- Bassitt 3-6; Hernandez 16-9

Mil-Clev-- Nelson 13-12 (6-1 last 7); Anderson 4-4 (0-3 last 3)

Times this starting pitcher allowed a run in first inning:
NY-Phil-- Colon 8-24; Eickhoff 0-1
SD-Wsh-- Ross 8-26; Gonzalez 2-23
Pitt-Mia-- Locke 6-24; Narveson 0-0
Col-Atl-- Flande 2-5; Miller 5-25
LA-Cin-- Anderson 9-24; Holmberg 1-5
StL-Az-- Lackey 5-25; Corbin 1-9
Chi-SF-- Hendricks 6-24; Peavy 2-11

Hst-NY-- McHugh 8-25; Pineda 7-19
LA-Det-- Santiago 8-24; Verlander 3-12
Minn-TB-- Duffey 1-3; Archer 6-26
Tor-Tex-- Price 4-25; Lewis 5-25
Balt-KC-- Chen 6-24; Cueto 0-5
Bos-Chi-- Porcello 4-20; Sale 8-24
A's-Sea-- Bassitt 1-9; Hernandez 7-23

Mil-Clev-- Nelson 8-25; Anderson 2-6

Umpires
NY-Phil-- Five of last seven Dreckman games stayed under.
SD-Wsh-- Four of last five Davidson games went over.
Pitt-Mia-- Six of last eight Fagan games stayed under.
LA-Cin-- Four of last five Nelson games stayed under.
Col-Atl-- Five of last seven Carapazza games went over.
StL-Az-- Over is 7-2-1 in last ten Hoberg games.
Chi-SF-- Last three Blakley games went over the total.

Hst-NY-- Home side won 11 of last 13 Holbrook games.
LA-Det-- Over is 3-1-1 in last five Scott games.
Min-TB-- Four of last six Baker games stayed under.
Bos-Chi-- Underdogs won seven of last nine Miller games (over 4-1 L5).
Balt-KC-- Four of last five West games went over total.
A's-Sea-- Five of last seven Schrieber games went over.
Tor-Tex-- Under is 5-1-2 in last eight Hickox games.

Mil-Clev-- Home side won last six TWelke games.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

At the Gate - Wednesday
By Mike Dempsey

Triple Crown winner American Pharoah is not scaring anyone away from Saturday’s Travers (G1) where he will face a field of nine.

The race has a juiced up purse of $1.6 million and American Pharaoh drew the two post and was installed as the 1-5 morning line favorite for the Mid-Summer Classic.

The Bob Baffert trainee will ship to Saratoga from Southern California on Wednesday and comes to the Spa riding an eight-race winning streak. His last start was a much the best win in the Haskell Invitational (G1) at Monmouth Park. He earned a career best 109 Beyer Speed Figure despite getting geared down in deep stretch by jockey Victor Espinoza.

The second choice on the morning line is Frosted at 6-1. The Kiaran McLaughlin trainee was the runner up in the Belmont Stakes (G1) and last out was second in the Jim Dandy (G2) over the Saratoga main track.

The winner of the Jim Dandy was Texas Red. The Keith Desormeaux trainee is 8-1 on the morning line. The colt won last year’s Breeders’ Cup Juvenile (G1).

It is a blockbuster card coming up on Saturday at Saratoga. In addition to the Travers we have four Breeders’ Cup Challenge “Win and You’re In” races on tap.

Post Positions and Odds for the $1.6 million Travers:
1. Upstart Ortiz Jr./Violette 15-1
2. American Pharoah Espinoza/Baffert 1-5
3. Mid Ocean Franco/Weaver 50-1
4. Texas Red Desormeaux/Desormeaux 8-1
5. Frammento Ortiz/Zito 30-1
6. Frosted Rosario/McLaughlin 6-1
7. Keen Ice Castellano/Romans 12-1
8. Tale of Verve Stevens/Stewart 30-1
9. King of New York Leparoux/McPeek 50-1
10. Smart Transition Velazquez/Shirreffs 20-1


Here is today’s opening race from Saratoga to get the day off to a good start:

SAR Race 1 Clm $12,500 (1:00 ET)
5 Colonel Juanita 5-1
6 D'Princess 2-1
3 Darling Bridezilla 4-1
2 Time for Angie 3-1

Analysis: Colonel Juanita tracked the early pace and tired to finish seventh last out against $25,000 foes in her first start off the claim by the Sharp barn. The filly was a game second two back for this tag. The switch back to dirt will suit and this barn does good with recent claims. The barn is 21% winners moving runners from turf to dirt.

D'Princess pressed the early pace and tired to finish sixth last out against $40,000 claimers and drops into an easier spot here tagged for just $12,500. She won in gate to wire fashion three back for a $32,000 tag. She owns a solid pace profile throughout and fits well here although the price is going to be on the light side.

Wagering
WIN: #5 to win at 3-1 or better.
EX: 5,6 / 2,3,5,6
TRI: 5,6 / 2,3,5,6 / 1,2,3,5,6


Today’s Featured Race of the Day from Saratoga:

SAR Race 9 The John's Call (5:26 ET)
6 Da Big Hoss 4-1
4 Holiday Star 7-2
1 Global Strike 9-5
3 Morning Calm 5-1

Analysis: Da Big Hoss stalked the early pace, came with a good four wide run and finished up gamely for the runner up spot and was placed first via a DQ to beat Alw-2 optional claimers in his first go off the claim by the maker barn. He was claimed two back out of a win versus $50,000 claimers. He has now won three of his seven career starts on turf and looks headed in the right direction. He looks as if he will handle the extra ground and has the pedigree to do it. He is by Lemon Drop Kid out of a Touch Gold mare.

Holiday Star was a game winner of the Cape Henelopen at Delaware Park last out going 1 1/2 miles. The Motion trainee was beaten in this race last year by a tough nose in a three way photo finish. He is a Grade 3 winner, taking the Sycamore at Keeneland last fall. His best puts him right in the mix here.

Wagering
WIN: #6 to win at 3-1 or better.
EX: 4,6 / 1,3,4,6
TRI: 4,6 / 1,3,4,6 / 1,3,4,5,6

Live Longshots:
These are price plays for exotic players looking to find a couple of extra contenders to use in their trifecta and superfecta wagers. Or for those with smaller bankrolls, you might want to get in a small win-place wager.

Saratoga
R2: #4 City Siren 8-1
R3: #2 My Man Al 8-1
R5: #1 Stormy Rocit 8-1
R6: #5 Sean and Matt 10-1
R7: #7 Compliance Officer 8-1
R8: #2 Milam 10-1

Good luck today!

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Pocono Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 11 - Post: 9:30 - 1 mile. TROT - Class Rating: 85 - Purse:$16000 - 3 & 4 YEAR OLDS NW 5 EXT. PM RACES OR $50,000 LIFETIME PA PREFERENCE MOHEGAN SUN POCONO DRIVER`S CHOICES: MATT KAKALEY #3 OVER #6 NO.3 PRAIRIE FORTUNE - 1ST TIME LASIX


CONSORTIUM CHOICES


Chatsworth Consortium

# 7 PIERCEWAVE HANOVER 7/2


# 3 PRAIRIE FORTUNE 5/2


# 6 SPECIAL ACTION 5/1

Look no further than PIERCEWAVE HANOVER as the wager in this race. This race could be controlled by this gelding. Just one look at the avgerage speed rating will confirm that. A really strong class horse should not be be passed over. With an average class number of 86 all signs point here for the winner. Could most definitely dominate this pack given the 85 speed rating recorded in his most recent affair. PRAIRIE FORTUNE - Could be the most respectable in the field of starters here, showing formidable figures of late. Average speed is a solid 89. Look for a great improvement from this entry who races with first time Lasix today. SPECIAL ACTION - One of the most favorable win figures with this driver-handler make this gelding dangerous. With Napolitano in the sulky, watch out for this standardbred to get the trip to the winner's circle.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Harrah's Philadelphia

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 10 - Post: 3:40 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 83 - Purse:$8500 - CLAIMING $10,000 PA PREFERENCE


CONSORTIUM CHOICES


Chatsworth Consortium

# 3 GOOD CITATIONS 5/2


# 7 CRIMSON CRUISER 4/1


# 6 OSCEOLA GOLD 4/1

If you want a nice play in this race, feast your eyes on GOOD CITATIONS. Really liked this gelding's last race. Ran a strong 77 speed figure. Major player. Looks like a strong pick in this field of starters and his successful winning percentage says he has the raw talent to take the whole enchilada this time. CRIMSON CRUISER - Seems to have a very nice class advantage based on the horses he has faced. Napolitano is racking up the wins most recently. Outstanding win clip makes this race horse our choice. OSCEOLA GOLD - This contest could be controlled by this gelding. A single look at the avgerage TrackMaster Speed Rating will confirm that. Should be in the hunt again in this one, looking to increase that already high lifetime winning statistic.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Remington Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 3 - Claiming - 5.0f on the Turf. Purse: $15950 Class Rating: 86

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE JUNE 26, 2015 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000. OKLAHOMA BRED CLAIMING PRICE $12,500. (IF MANAGEMENT DEEMS IT NECESSARY TO TAKE THIS RACE OFF THE TURF, IT WILL BE RUN


RECOMMENDED CHOICES

The Walker Group Picks

# 9 TEY'S BIG BOY 7/2


# 4 COUNCIL OAK 5/1


# 6 TOBES THE MAN 5/2


I've got to go with TEY'S BIG BOY. With a nice Equibase class rating average of 95, has one of the strongest class advantages in this field. Recently McMahon has been on fire which may give the edge to this gelding. Is a definite contender - given the 79 speed rating from his most recent race. COUNCIL OAK - Earnings per start in turf sprint races is strong for this pony. Overall the Equibase Speed Figures of this horse look respectable in this affair. TOBES THE MAN - Has run solidly when racing a turf sprint race. Has competed soundly in turf sprint races.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Thistledown

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 1 - Claiming - 5.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $10300 Class Rating: 70

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE AUGUST 26. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 122 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000


RECOMMENDED CHOICES

The Walker Group Picks

# 3 BOLD WOLF 5/2


# 7 WINNING WORTH 9/2


# 5 DR. COPPER 7/2


I've got to go with BOLD WOLF. He has been running admirably and the Speed Figures are among the best in this group. This group is much softer than the last one he ran against. Could beat this group of horses given the 63 Equibase Speed Figure put up in his last outing. WINNING WORTH - Has solid early pace and will most likely fare solidly versus this group of horses. Recorded a formidable speed figure in the latest race. Can run another good one in this race. DR. COPPER - At the top in earnings per start at the distance/surface in this field of horses. Reliable average speed figs in dirt sprint races make this animal a solid contender.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Presque Isle Downs - Race #7 - Post: 7:55pm - Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $25,000 Class Rating: 96

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#5 METROLINER (ML=5/1)
#1 VIRGINIA COLONY (ML=4/1)
#7 CALEB'S A SURVIVOR (ML=5/1)
#6 CAPT. ZIPPOUNAS (ML=3/1)


METROLINER - Looking like a potential overlay today at odds of 5/1. Finished fourth in last race at Presque Isle Downs but was close at the finish line. This gelding's last speed rating is strong enough to triumph here, I'll play him right back this time around. Earnings per start (EPS) is something that I think can be a very valuable factor. This thoroughbred is ranked numero uno in this bunch. VIRGINIA COLONY - The rider has had great success with this equine in the past. Didn't ride last time but gets back in the saddle today. Lets try to beat the favorites with this gelding. Just missed last out, but ran a respectable race. CALEB'S A SURVIVOR - Wright brings him back again. I advocate you stay with this hot gelding. This gelding has been posting some excellent workout times. CAPT. ZIPPOUNAS - This thoroughbred coming off a sharp try in the last 30 days is a contender in my opinion. Took a class drop last time out at Presque Isle Downs. Sideris keeps him at the same level in this field. I think that's a good move.

Vulnerable Contenders: #2 AWOL ADAM (ML=7/2), #4 MUSIC CRITIK (ML=9/2), #3 TROUBLE X TWO (ML=6/1),

AWOL ADAM - Improbable that the speed fig he recorded on August 10th will be enough in this clash. MUSIC CRITIK - Would have to move up off that sixth place finish last time to make an impact here. Don't believe this mount will make a winning move in today's race. That last speed fig was somewhat easily forgotten when compared with today's class rating. TROUBLE X TWO - 6/1 odds isn't enough for this thoroughbred when examining the most recent efforts.


STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#5 METROLINER is going to be the play if we are getting 5/1 or better

EXACTA WAGERS:
None

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
None

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Woodbine - Race #4 - Post: 8:20pm - Maiden Claiming - 8.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $18,000 Class Rating: 66

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#3 ERIE BREEZE (ML=5/2)


ERIE BREEZE - This mare is in good condition. Ran third on Aug 9th. Searching through the pps for this race, I noted right away this horse's last effort was more than meets the eye. Showed good speed, fell back, and then ran evenly.

Vulnerable Contenders: #8 JEFFREYS GIRL (ML=3/1), #2 SAVED THRU FAITH (ML=7/2), #1 APACHE GAL (ML=6/1),

JEFFREYS GIRL - This questionable contender ran a disappointing speed rating last time out. She shouldn't show signs of improvement and will likely get beat in today's event running that number. SAVED THRU FAITH - Didn't finish in the money on Jul 26th at Woodbine. Followed it up with another lackluster performance. This filly garnered a speed figure in her last contest which likely isn't good enough today. APACHE GAL - Recorded a most unsatisfactory speed figure in the last race in a $10,000 Maiden Claiming race on Aug 16th. Improbable to see an improved performance off of that figure.


STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Play #3 ERIE BREEZE to win if you can get odds of 1/1 or more

EXACTA WAGERS:
3 with 5

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Skip

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by Rick Needham at Saratoga

RACE #9 - SARATOGA RACE COURSE - 5:18 PM EASTERN POST


The John's Call Stakes

13.0 FURLONGS TURF THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD STAKES $100,000.00 PURSE

#1 GLOBAL STRIKE
#6 DA BIG HOSS
#4 HOLIDAY STAR
#5 RUM TUM TUGGER

This 1 5/8th mile turf race was inaugurated in 2004 and named in honor of John's Call, who competed on the flat and over jumps, winning or placing in 30 of 40 starts and earning $1,571,267. Purchased as a yearling in 1992 by Douglas Joyce for $4,000 and trained by Tom Voss, the gelding had his best year in 2000, when he won the Sword Dancer Invitational by 9½ lengths, becoming at age 9 the oldest runner to win a Grade 1 race at Saratoga. That year he also won the Grade 1 Turf Classic Invitational at Belmont Park and finished third in the Grade 1 Breeders' Cup Turf. In 2006, the race was run at 1 3/16 miles on the dirt. Here in the 12th renewal of this stakes test, #1 GLOBAL STRIKE has hit the board in four straight, winning twice, with three of those "board hit efforts," including a win in his last start, also qualifying as "POWER RUNS." Jockey Javier Castellano and Trainer Todd Pletcher send him to the post for the "Wednesday Feature" ... they've hit the board with an impressive 57% of nearly 200 entries saddled as a team to date. The 4-1 shot, #6 DA BIG HOSS, has hit the board in five straight winning twice, including a "POWER RUN WIN" in his 2nd race back. Jockey Irad Ortriz Jr. has been in his irons on one previous occasion, posting a win, en route to a +470% return on investment in the process, and Ortiz is back today here at "The Spa" for his 2nd ride, gunning for back-to-back "Circle Trips!"

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Northfield: Wednesday 8/26 Analysis + Pick Four ticket
By Jeremey Day

DRF HARNESS

Race 8 - $10,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Jeremey’s $1 Pick Four Play:

2 / 3,4 / 1,2,9 / 1,2,6,7 = $24


Best Bet: STRAWBERRYS ON TOP (13th)

Spot Play: CHERRYHILL CHIP (2nd)


Race 1

(4) BLACK DENIM N LACE well bred mare is one of few in the race with upside. (2) MY D JET raced gamely last start at this level from a tough post; threat. (3) FEDERAL LANE will offer a big price and owns some gate speed which could put him on the ticket underneath.

Race 2

(9) CHERRYHILL CHIP picks up a big driver change and is capable with a good setup. (6) HEP is 0 for the year but finds a very weak field; threat. (1) SAM HAYES takes a huge drop in competition with the best post.

Race 3

(3) ENRICHMENT four-year-old makes his third start back off a long layoff and should be primed for an improved effort. (6) ROLL THE PRESS well bred trotter comes off a win at the fair track and also should be better with a start under his belt after more than a three year layoff. (9) UN POCO DE LOCO barely held on last week and gets a negative driver change; use caution.

Race 4

(6) HARD COLD CASH picks up the top driver in a weak field. (2) STAND YOUR GROUND owns a nice qualifying victory over the track and has plenty of room to improve against a suspect bunch. (7) KALLISTA has just been racing evenly; command a price.

Race 5

(1) MS JETTA should greatly benefit from the rail; fires early. (3) STIRLING BOUDICA owns a good burst of speed and has been competitive at this level. (2) SOMEDAY LU has been facing much tougher and should be in line for a nice trip up close.

Race 6

(2) BANK DEPOSIT is 0 for 18 on the year but has been pacing much faster than most of the field. (4) J K DELIGHT gets set out for a top barn against softer. (6) AMERICAN HEART filly makes her second career start and should show some improvement.

Race 7

In a tough race to gauge, (6) BOSCO'S ANGEL has been competitive against better on the year but needs a good setup. (9) TRENTS RINGER picks up a top driver down in class; threat. (1) AKNUSTI gelding can hit the ticket at a price if he minds his manners.

Race 8

(2) CHARLIE B dropped and popped last week down in class and will look to make it two straight wire to wire wins. (1) DRAGON SPIKE comes off a nice qualifier but might need a start after a month off. (3) HERES HOOTER has just been racing evenly; use underneath.

Race 9

(4) ULTIMATE WINNER faces much weaker competition and picks up the top driver. (3) REGAL GLIDE is inconsistent from week to week but a good effort puts him in the mix. (1) UNLIMITED WINNER has some question marks coming off a scratch but is definitely capable when right.

Race 10

(9) DONNA PARTY is one of few contenders in the race getting sent out for capable connections. (2) ZIP IT LOCK IT has shown a decent burst of speed but needs a smooth trip. (1) BLACK LACE gets the best post in a weak field.

Race 11

(6) TORY will look to make it two straight against a slightly better bunch. (2) PARNELL owns an easy wire to wire win last time down at this level. (1) MASTEROFCEREMONIES will offer value in a wide open and evenly matched race.

Race 12

(6) TIJUANA PARTY will be tough to beat with a similar effort to his most recent. (3) DICK'S DANDY has room for improvement picking up a huge driver change. (5) IRON N STEEL is 0 for 27 on the year; use underneath.

Race 13

(4) STRAWBERRYS ON TOP will be very tough to beat with a trouble-free trip. (3) MOONLIT SHARK is 0 for the year and has lacked pop late but does get a nice post with options. (8) LIL MISS NYALATION gets a slight upgrade in the bike but needs to find a way into the race; use underneath.

Race 14

(6) MOMA JEAN'S CROWN has a good record dropping down to the bottom level. (8) NINO MARINO has trouble on the turns but is one of the faster trotters in the race. (3) DOUBLE O JESSE is just now back in racing shape and finds a weak field.

Race 15

(7) STRIPE'N STAR has just been racing evenly but picks up a huge driver change against a weak and inconsistent bunch. (1) VANISCAPE gets some much needed post relief down in class. (6) EARLYMORNINARRIVAL has been dreadful in his last two but can hit the board at a big price with some racing luck.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

SPOT PLAYS

For Wednesday


TRACK (RACE) HORSE, MORNING LINE


Charles Town (1st) Sharpasabowlnball, 10-1
(6th) Mint to Fly, 3-1


Delaware Park (3rd) Wendy Wend, 3-1
(8th) King Henry, 4-1


Del Mar (1st) Dad's Princess, 5-1
(4th) Anythingscookin, 6-1


Evangeline Downs (3rd) Putsy's Pal, 8-1
(6th) Jobay, 3-1


Indiana Grand (6th) Garland's Spirit, 9-2
(7th) Avie Niner, 8-1


Louisiana Downs (2nd) Kevil Kid, 6-1
(7th) Keystone Strike, 9-2


Mountaineer (5th) Iloveadixiechick, 5-1
(6th) S S Much Ado, 9-2


Penn National (6th) Ponselle, 9-2
(8th) Michael's Tribute, 6-1


Presque Isle Downs (7th) Caleb's a Survivor, 5-1
(8th) O Wow, 3-1


Remington Park (5th) Gray Area, 8-1
(8th) Southern Parkway, 4-1


Saratoga (3rd) Linkappleyard, 7-2
(9th) Da Big Hoss, 4-1


Thistledown (1st) Dapper Tapper, 8-1
(8th) Class Ready, 8-1


Woodbine (2nd) Feelin Groovy, 6-1
(3rd) Catchmeifyoucant, 6-1

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

MLB Preview: Astros (70-57) at Yankees (69-56)

Game: 3
Venue: Yankee Stadium
Date: August 26, 2015 1:05 PM EDT

Collin McHugh has gotten almost no offensive support in his last three starts. He'll have to hope that his next one isn't coming one day too late to change that trend.

Following his team's highest-scoring game of the season, McHugh looks to give the Houston Astros a second straight win over the New York Yankees as well as the returning Michael Pineda on Wednesday in the Bronx.

McHugh (13-7, 3.96 ERA) has gone 1-2 in his last four outings despite a 1.67 ERA. The right-hander, who pitched seven innings and gave up one run in a 1-0 loss to Tampa Bay on Thursday, has received no runs of support in his last two games and one in his past three.

McHugh, who's allowed two or fewer runs six times in his previous seven outings, won his only start against the Yankees 3-1 at home June 28 with eight innings of two-hit, one-run ball.

He'll look to turn in the third straight scoreless performance by a Houston starter in this series. Scott Feldman went eight innings in Monday's 1-0 loss and Dallas Keuchel pitched seven and allowed three hits Tuesday.

Astros starters have given up two or fewer runs in 17 of the past 19 games. Houston boasts the best ERA in the AL at 3.32.

McHugh won't need to be nearly that good if the Astros (70-57) can duplicate their latest offensive performance. Houston pounded Ivan Nova and went on to a 15-1 victory Tuesday, one night after managing four hits.

'We needed an offensive outburst like that,' said manager A.J. Hinch, whose team had scored 17 runs in its previous eight games.

Carlos Gomez and Evan Gattis each homered and drove in four runs for the Astros, winners of six of eight and nine of 13. Gattis is batting .333 in his past nine games and .409 in six career contests against New York.

Wednesday's game could be testy after Gomez jawed with players in New York's dugout after flipping his bat aside when he flied out in the sixth inning, then stood nose to nose with catcher John Ryan Murphy before they were separated. Both benches and bullpens emptied, but the teams quickly went their respective ways without any pushing or shoving.

'I don't mean to disrespect anybody,' Gomez said. 'If you're screaming at me, I'm going to scream at you back.'

'I just told him, `Play the game right,'' Yankees manager Joe Girardi said. 'Show a little professionalism to the pitcher.'

The return of Pineda (9-7, 3.97) from a DL stint due to a forearm strain appears timely for the Yankees with CC Sabathia headed to the disabled list with a knee problem. It's anybody's guess, though, what the right-hander will deliver.

Pineda's season-long inconsistency continued in his last two starts July 18 and 24, as he gave up nine runs in 11 2-3 innings in losses to Seattle and Minnesota. Those efforts followed a three-start stretch in which he posted a 1.25 ERA - the first being an eight-inning effort as he allowed two earned runs opposite McHugh on June 28 to suffer the defeat.

The right-hander has posted a 2.57 ERA in two career starts against the Astros. He owns the best strikeout-to-walk ratio in the majors among pitchers who have thrown at least 100 innings (117/15).

New York (69-56) has lost four of six, scoring 16 runs, and fell out of a first-place tie with Toronto in the AL East with the latest loss.

Carlos Correa has recorded two doubles in three at-bats against Pineda.