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Dave Cokin

Wednesday Bonus Play 1:10 AM MLB

(967) KANSAS CITY ROYALS at (968) MINNESOTA TWINS

Take: (967) KANSAS CITY ROYALS -125

It’s the rubber match of the three-game set between the Royals and Twins, with each team having registered an easy win over the first two games. My guess is that we’re going to get a closer result today, but I can see enough edges on one side to recommend a side, and that will be the Royals.

I think the offense here has to favor Kansas City. The Royals don’t have much sock to be sure, but they’ve got the right type of lineup to give Kevin Correia trouble. The Twins righty is pretty good at keeping the ball in the park, but he gives up a load of base hits. He’s actually the perfect pitcher for the Royals to knock around with singles and doubles, which is pretty clearly their game. Correia has not done well with this opponent and sure enough, the probable KC starters are an aggregate 50/141 against Correia.

The Twins are going to be a little compromised here. Rookie sensation Danny Santana is on the DL, and his absence has been felt since he went down. Joe Mauer got dinged up last night, and it appeared to be an oblique strain, so it’s difficult to envision him playing today. Kurt Suzuki might also end up resting, as the underrated catcher caught all nine innings in spite of the lopsided score last night, so he could be in the dugout today. Note that the Royals got their catcher, Salvador Perez, a few innings of pine time in the lopsided Tuesday clash, so I would imagine he’ll play today.

I am not a big Jason Vargas guy, but he’s a better option here than Correia. It’s much closer on the metrics, but there’s no way to ignore the fact that Vargas owns a nifty 1.75 road ERA, as opposed to Correia’s ugly 6.55 ERA at Target. I also would make Vargas a decent candidate to rebound from a very rough start last time out. Vargas could also benefit from the weather, as the forecast is wind blowing in, and for a fly ball pitcher like Vargas that’s a nice bonus.

Neither one of these teams is in good current form. The Royals have slumped some since their brief residence at the top of the AL Central. The Twins are not falling apart, but they’re kind of finding their level toward the bottom of the division. I like what’s on the way in that Minnesota system but the current Twins are simply not very good.

It’s a good line here, as the Royals are favored by right about what they ought to be based on the data. So this one doesn’t fall into the value category. But I see it as a good matchup for visitors, and I will therefore side with the Royals to get the series win with the victory today.
 
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Jim Feist

MLB Comp Pick for Wednesday July 02, 2014: 2:10 PM EST

(969) SEATTLE MARINERS VS (970) HOUSTON ASTROS

Take: (969) SEATTLE MARINERS

Reason: Your free pick for Wednesday, July 2nd, 2014, comes in baseball as Seattle and the Astros meet in Houston. Houston has home field but it's tough to trust starter Brad Peacock (2-4, 4.21 ERA(, who has walked 40 in 72+ innings along with 70 hits -- that's a lot of free passes and base runners! He also has been dealing with a bout of food poisoning. Seattle is in town with a very impressive road record and the Astros are 16-39 in their last 55 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Houston is 15-39 against a left-handed starter, 16-36 in their last 52 home games vs. a left-handed starter, and face tall southpaw Chris Young (7-4, 3.14 ERA). The Mariners are 9-3 in their last 12 road games and 3-0 the last three starts made by Young. And the Mariners are 9-2 in the last 11 meetings in Houston. Play Seattle.
 
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WNBA

Wednesday, July 2


Trend Report

7:00 PM
INDIANA vs. WASHINGTON
Indiana is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Indiana is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games when playing Washington
Washington is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home
Washington is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home

10:00 PM
CHICAGO vs. PHOENIX
Chicago is 4-12 SU in its last 16 games when playing Phoenix
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 6 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
Phoenix is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games when playing Chicago
Phoenix is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Chicago
 
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MLB

Wednesday, July 2


Trend Report

12:37 PM
MILWAUKEE vs. TORONTO
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 6 games when playing Toronto
Toronto is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Toronto is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing Milwaukee

1:05 PM
TAMPA BAY vs. NY YANKEES
Tampa Bay is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games when playing NY Yankees
NY Yankees are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
NY Yankees are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games

1:08 PM
OAKLAND vs. DETROIT
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Oakland's last 15 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Oakland is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Detroit is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Oakland
Detroit is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games

1:10 PM
KANSAS CITY vs. MINNESOTA
Kansas City is 12-6 SU in its last 18 games when playing Minnesota
Kansas City is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Minnesota is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
Minnesota is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Kansas City

2:10 PM
SEATTLE vs. HOUSTON
Seattle is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Seattle's last 23 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 5 games when playing at home against Seattle
Houston is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games

3:10 PM
CLEVELAND vs. LA DODGERS
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 6 games
Cleveland is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Dodgers's last 6 games at home
LA Dodgers are 6-2 SU in their last 8 games

3:40 PM
CINCINNATI vs. SAN DIEGO
Cincinnati is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games
Cincinnati is 13-5 SU in its last 18 games on the road
San Diego is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Diego's last 6 games when playing at home against Cincinnati

6:05 PM
COLORADO vs. WASHINGTON
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Colorado's last 13 games when playing on the road against Washington
Colorado is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 7 games
Washington is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games at home

7:05 PM
ARIZONA vs. PITTSBURGH
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arizona's last 5 games
Arizona is 6-12 SU in its last 18 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Pittsburgh's last 10 games when playing Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games

7:05 PM
TEXAS vs. BALTIMORE
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Texas's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Texas's last 5 games when playing Baltimore
Baltimore is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing Texas
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games when playing Texas

7:10 PM
NY METS vs. ATLANTA
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of NY Mets's last 13 games on the road
NY Mets are 8-15 SU in its last 23 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Atlanta is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing NY Mets

7:10 PM
CHI CUBS vs. BOSTON
Chi Cubs are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chi Cubs's last 6 games when playing Boston
Boston is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games

7:10 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. MIAMI
Philadelphia is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Philadelphia is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Miami
Miami is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games

8:10 PM
LA ANGELS vs. CHI WHITE SOX
LA Angels are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against Chi White Sox
The total has gone OVER in 6 of LA Angels's last 7 games when playing Chi White Sox
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Chi White Sox's last 7 games when playing LA Angels
Chi White Sox are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games when playing LA Angels

10:15 PM
ST. LOUIS vs. SAN FRANCISCO
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Louis's last 5 games
St. Louis is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
San Francisco is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Francisco's last 6 games at home
 

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Anyone interested on joining a buy group for LBSMuggler picks? let me know he was 55-26 on June, over 400 units made.

PM or send me an email on
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MLB
Long Sheet

Wednesday, July 2


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CINCINNATI (43 - 40) at SAN DIEGO (37 - 47) - 3:40 PM
JOHNNY CUETO (R) vs. TYSON ROSS (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO is 40-27 (+14.8 Units) against the money line in home games in day games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 38-29 (+11.2 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 681-748 (+61.1 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 27-11 (+14.5 Units) against the money line when playing on Wednesday over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 20-10 (+10.3 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
CINCINNATI is 618-692 (+45.1 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 493-537 (+51.8 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 107-70 (+26.5 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 3 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 380-328 (+67.2 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 213-173 (+44.4 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1997.
SAN DIEGO is 37-47 (-11.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SAN DIEGO is 25-35 (-12.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less this season.
SAN DIEGO is 37-47 (-11.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
SAN DIEGO is 28-40 (-14.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN DIEGO is 4-1 (+3.0 Units) against CINCINNATI this season
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.7 Units)

JOHNNY CUETO vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
CUETO is 3-2 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 4.62 and a WHIP of 1.256.
His team's record is 4-2 (+1.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-4. (-2.0 units)

TYSON ROSS vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
ROSS is 2-0 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 1.29 and a WHIP of 1.143.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.1 units)

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COLORADO (36 - 48) at WASHINGTON (45 - 38) - 6:05 PM
TYLER MATZEK (L) vs. DOUG FISTER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 45-81 (-24.0 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 194-256 (-69.0 Units) against the money line in July games since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 45-20 (+23.6 Units) against the money line when playing on Wednesday over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 2-0 (+2.0 Units) against COLORADO this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

TYLER MATZEK vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
No recent starts.

DOUG FISTER vs. COLORADO since 1997
FISTER is 1-0 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 0.667.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.0 units)

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ARIZONA (35 - 50) at PITTSBURGH (43 - 40) - 7:05 PM
CHASE ANDERSON (R) vs. CHARLIE MORTON (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 35-50 (-15.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ARIZONA is 35-50 (-15.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
PITTSBURGH is 140-111 (+24.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 138-110 (+22.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 31-20 (+10.2 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 116-92 (+22.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 76-50 (+17.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 45-49 (-32.6 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -150 to -175 since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against ARIZONA this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

CHASE ANDERSON vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
No recent starts.

CHARLIE MORTON vs. ARIZONA since 1997
MORTON is 2-1 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 4.50 and a WHIP of 1.464.
His team's record is 2-3 (-0.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-3. (-1.3 units)

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NY METS (37 - 47) at ATLANTA (46 - 38) - 7:10 PM
JACOB DEGROM (R) vs. JULIO TEHERAN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
NY METS are 25-58 (-23.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 116-69 (+31.6 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 36-15 (+16.3 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.
TEHERAN is 9-1 (+8.7 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
NY METS are 61-66 (+15.8 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 61-66 (+15.8 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 5-3 (+1.5 Units) against NY METS this season
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.1 Units)

JACOB DEGROM vs. ATLANTA since 1997
No recent starts.

JULIO TEHERAN vs. NY METS since 1997
TEHERAN is 1-0 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 1.50 and a WHIP of 1.167.
His team's record is 2-1 (+0.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-0. (+3.1 units)

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PHILADELPHIA (36 - 47) at MIAMI (40 - 43) - 7:10 PM
COLE HAMELS (L) vs. TOM KOEHLER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 109-136 (-29.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 11-27 (-18.3 Units) against the money line when playing on Wednesday over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 109-134 (-27.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 79-105 (-29.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 50-64 (-23.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
HAMELS is 18-28 (-17.0 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
HAMELS is 61-58 (-25.5 Units) against the money line against division opponents since 1997. (Team's Record)
HAMELS is 18-28 (-17.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
HAMELS is 12-19 (-12.7 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
HAMELS is 7-15 (-14.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
MIAMI is 33-21 (+17.2 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 30-25 (+7.5 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
MIAMI is 386-380 (+35.6 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 6-5 (+1.1 Units) against MIAMI this season
7 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.3 Units)

COLE HAMELS vs. MIAMI since 1997
HAMELS is 9-12 when starting against MIAMI with an ERA of 3.20 and a WHIP of 1.078.
His team's record is 12-19 (-19.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 18-12. (+3.9 units)

TOM KOEHLER vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
KOEHLER is 0-1 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 4.91 and a WHIP of 1.455.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-2. (-2.1 units)

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ST LOUIS (44 - 40) at SAN FRANCISCO (47 - 36) - 10:15 PM
ADAM WAINWRIGHT (R) vs. RYAN VOGELSONG (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 3-12 (-10.4 Units) against the money line in road games in July games over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 8-21 (-13.3 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 47-36 (+7.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 47-36 (+7.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 73-37 (+28.3 Units) against the money line in home games after shutting out their opponent since 1997.
SAN FRANCISCO is 23-15 (+9.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
VOGELSONG is 42-28 (+16.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
VOGELSONG is 42-27 (+17.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
VOGELSONG is 29-17 (+14.2 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
VOGELSONG is 24-14 (+14.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
ST LOUIS is 117-74 (+22.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 74-38 (+27.2 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
WAINWRIGHT is 68-30 (+26.5 Units) against the money line after a loss since 1997. (Team's Record)
SAN FRANCISCO is 39-44 (-19.2 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 4-12 (-12.9 Units) against the money line in home games in July games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 72-83 (-20.2 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 4-1 (+3.8 Units) against ST LOUIS this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.1 Units)

ADAM WAINWRIGHT vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
WAINWRIGHT is 4-5 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 3.17 and a WHIP of 1.169.
His team's record is 5-5 (-1.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-6. (-3.2 units)

RYAN VOGELSONG vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
VOGELSONG is 3-5 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 5.43 and a WHIP of 1.409.
His team's record is 4-6 (-1.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-3. (+3.1 units)

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OAKLAND (51 - 32) at DETROIT (46 - 34) - 1:05 PM
JESSE CHAVEZ (R) vs. JUSTIN VERLANDER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 3-10 (-9.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
OAKLAND is 51-32 (+10.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
OAKLAND is 72-55 (+17.7 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 34-16 (+18.0 Units) against the money line in July games over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 49-28 (+12.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
OAKLAND is 161-113 (+43.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 96-74 (+22.1 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 67-48 (+17.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 7-12 (-13.2 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Wednesday over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 51-45 (-17.7 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 11-15 (-11.1 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters this season.
DETROIT is 40-35 (-22.5 Units) against the money line in home games after a win over the last 2 seasons.
VERLANDER is 24-30 (-26.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
VERLANDER is 10-16 (-20.8 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
VERLANDER is 8-12 (-14.6 Units) against the money line in home games in day games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
VERLANDER is 23-29 (-26.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
VERLANDER is 15-19 (-18.1 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
VERLANDER is 5-9 (-11.4 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 4-2 (+2.5 Units) against OAKLAND this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.8 Units)

JESSE CHAVEZ vs. DETROIT since 1997
CHAVEZ is 0-1 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 4.50 and a WHIP of 1.667.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)

JUSTIN VERLANDER vs. OAKLAND since 1997
VERLANDER is 12-6 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 2.14 and a WHIP of 1.035.
His team's record is 12-8 (+1.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 7-13. (-6.8 units)

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TAMPA BAY (37 - 49) at NY YANKEES (41 - 41) - 1:05 PM
JAKE ODORIZZI (R) vs. VIDAL NUNO (L)
Top Trends for this game.
TAMPA BAY is 37-49 (-25.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 3-9 (-9.3 Units) against the money line when playing on Wednesday this season.
TAMPA BAY is 8-16 (-11.4 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.
ODORIZZI is 5-11 (-8.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
TAMPA BAY is 22-5 (+13.2 Units) against the money line in July games over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 537-618 (+19.8 Units) against the money line against division opponents since 1997.
NY YANKEES are 18-22 (-10.0 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
NY YANKEES are 18-22 (-10.0 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field this season.
NY YANKEES are 19-26 (-12.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 6-3 (+2.3 Units) against NY YANKEES this season
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

JAKE ODORIZZI vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
ODORIZZI is 0-0 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 6.75 and a WHIP of 1.750.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.3 units)

VIDAL NUNO vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
NUNO is 0-0 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 3.45 and a WHIP of 1.213.
His team's record is 2-1 (+1.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-2. (-1.1 units)

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KANSAS CITY (43 - 40) at MINNESOTA (38 - 44) - 1:10 PM
JASON VARGAS (L) vs. KEVIN CORREIA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 17-13 (+9.7 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
CORREIA is 103-102 (+23.0 Units) against the money line in all games since 1997. (Team's Record)
CORREIA is 48-39 (+16.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 since 1997. (Team's Record)
CORREIA is 100-100 (+20.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field since 1997. (Team's Record)
KANSAS CITY is 64-57 (+11.3 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 47-41 (+15.5 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 58-52 (+9.0 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 34-23 (+15.4 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 20-44 (-20.0 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 14-37 (-19.8 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 5-3 (+3.6 Units) against KANSAS CITY this season
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.0 Units)

JASON VARGAS vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
VARGAS is 3-3 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 4.45 and a WHIP of 1.602.
His team's record is 5-5 (-1.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-5. (-1.9 units)

KEVIN CORREIA vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
CORREIA is 0-4 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 5.16 and a WHIP of 1.655.
His team's record is 1-7 (-5.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-5. (-2.1 units)

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SEATTLE (46 - 38) at HOUSTON (36 - 49) - 2:10 PM
CHRIS YOUNG (R) vs. BRAD PEACOCK (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 51-61 (-21.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 319-296 (-73.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1997.
SEATTLE is 46-38 (+9.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SEATTLE is 25-16 (+14.4 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
SEATTLE is 32-27 (+11.6 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 18-9 (+11.6 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
SEATTLE is 22-15 (+11.1 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field this season.
SEATTLE is 26-20 (+9.2 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
HOUSTON is 38-88 (-35.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 44-82 (-26.6 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 9-42 (-25.6 Units) against the money line in July games over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 16-41 (-20.3 Units) against the money line in home games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 44-82 (-26.6 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 31-90 (-36.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 9-41 (-21.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 5-7 (+0.7 Units) against SEATTLE this season
7 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.8 Units)

CHRIS YOUNG vs. HOUSTON since 1997
YOUNG is 3-0 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 3.28 and a WHIP of 1.135.
His team's record is 4-0 (+4.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-1. (+1.0 units)

BRAD PEACOCK vs. SEATTLE since 1997
PEACOCK is 2-2 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 6.92 and a WHIP of 1.500.
His team's record is 3-2 (+2.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-2. (+1.0 units)

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TEXAS (37 - 46) at BALTIMORE (44 - 39) - 7:05 PM
MILES MIKOLAS (R) vs. CHRIS TILLMAN (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 4-1 (+3.0 Units) against TEXAS this season
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.9 Units)

MILES MIKOLAS vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
No recent starts.

CHRIS TILLMAN vs. TEXAS since 1997
TILLMAN is 3-1 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 4.66 and a WHIP of 1.310.
His team's record is 3-2 (+4.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-4. (-3.3 units)

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LA ANGELS (47 - 35) at CHI WHITE SOX (39 - 46) - 8:10 PM
TYLER SKAGGS (L) vs. JOHN DANKS (L)
Top Trends for this game.
LA ANGELS are 117-117 (-21.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 6-14 (-9.4 Units) against the money line in road games after a win this season.
LA ANGELS are 725-713 (+60.9 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997.
CHI WHITE SOX are 102-145 (-30.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 97-139 (-30.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 52-89 (-29.4 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
DANKS is 28-40 (-19.5 Units) against the money line in home games in night games since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
LA ANGELS is 5-0 (+5.1 Units) against CHI WHITE SOX this season
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.1 Units)

TYLER SKAGGS vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
No recent starts.

JOHN DANKS vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
DANKS is 3-4 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 3.20 and a WHIP of 1.237.
His team's record is 4-6 (-2.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 6-3. (+2.5 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MILWAUKEE (51 - 34) at TORONTO (46 - 39) - 12:35 PM
WILY PERALTA (R) vs. J.A. HAPP (L)
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 9-20 (-12.7 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 62-83 (-30.7 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 51-34 (+14.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 23-10 (+16.0 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +125 over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 27-16 (+13.6 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 21-12 (+9.4 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
MILWAUKEE is 43-37 (+14.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against MILWAUKEE this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

WILY PERALTA vs. TORONTO since 1997
No recent starts.

J.A. HAPP vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
HAPP is 3-3 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 5.53 and a WHIP of 1.654.
His team's record is 4-4 (+0.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-4. (-0.3 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CLEVELAND (40 - 43) at LA DODGERS (48 - 38) - 3:10 PM
TREVOR BAUER (R) vs. HYUN-JIN RYU (L)
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 3-13 (-10.0 Units) against the money line in road games against left-handed starters this season.
LA DODGERS are 19-7 (+10.4 Units) against the money line in July games over the last 2 seasons.
RYU is 18-4 (+12.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
CLEVELAND is 132-114 (+18.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 126-108 (+16.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 7-12 (-12.6 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Wednesday over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA DODGERS is 1-1 (-0.2 Units) against CLEVELAND this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.1 Units)

TREVOR BAUER vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
BAUER is 1-0 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 0.500.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)

HYUN-JIN RYU vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
No recent starts.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHICAGO CUBS (36 - 46) at BOSTON (38 - 46) - 7:10 PM
TRAVIS WOOD (L) vs. BRANDON WORKMAN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO CUBS are 163-244 (-46.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 375-416 (-89.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 163-244 (-46.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 72-115 (-33.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 35-67 (-28.3 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 669-670 (-156.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
BOSTON is 28-12 (+14.2 Units) against the money line when playing on Wednesday over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 69-45 (+18.0 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 30-23 (+16.4 Units) against the money line in July games over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 38-47 (-16.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
BOSTON is 46-50 (-21.9 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 36-43 (-14.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
BOSTON is 12-20 (-12.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO CUBS is 2-0 (+3.2 Units) against BOSTON this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.0 Units)

TRAVIS WOOD vs. BOSTON since 1997
No recent starts.

BRANDON WORKMAN vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
No recent starts.
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
WNBA
Long Sheet

Wednesday, July 2


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INDIANA (7 - 9) at WASHINGTON (7 - 10) - 7/2/2014, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 100-135 ATS (-48.5 Units) as an underdog since 1997.
INDIANA is 37-57 ATS (-25.7 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 6 points since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games when playing with 2 days rest over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
INDIANA is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) after a division game this season.
WASHINGTON is 253-307 ATS (-84.7 Units) in all games since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 22-38 ATS (-19.8 Units) on Wednesday since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 159-199 ATS (-59.9 Units) vs. division opponents since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 19-39 ATS (-23.9 Units) after 3 or more consecutive unders since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 11-24 ATS (-15.4 Units) in home games off a upset loss as a favorite since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 6-4 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 6-4 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
7 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHICAGO (8 - 8) at PHOENIX (11 - 3) - 7/2/2014, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in road games off an upset win as an underdog since 1997.
PHOENIX is 34-52 ATS (-23.2 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 14-27 ATS (-15.7 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 12-26 ATS (-16.6 Units) in a home game where where the total is greater than or equal to 150 over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 26-40 ATS (-18.0 Units) after allowing 75 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 16-30 ATS (-17.0 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 2-2 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 3-1 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
 
Joined
May 19, 2007
Messages
205,324
Tokens
MLB
Short Sheet

Wednesday, July 2


Cincinnati at San Diego, 3:40 ET
Cueto: CINCINNATI 15-26 in road games after scoring 2 runs or less
Ross: SAN DIEGO 40-27 in home games in day games

Colorado at Washington, 6:05 ET
Matzek: COLORADO 6-28 as a road underdog of +150 to +200
Fister: WASHINGTON 15-6 OVER as a favorite of -150 or more

Arizona at Pittsburgh, 7:05 ET
Anderson: ARIZONA 19-30 after scoring and allowing 3 runs or less
Morton: PITTSBURGH 38-23 after scoring and allowing 3 runs or less

NY Mets at Atlanta, 7:10 ET
Degrom: NY METS 47-33 OVER as an underdog of +125 to +175
Teheran: ATLANTA 14-4 OVER off a one run win over a division rival

Philadelphia at Miami, 7:10 ET
Hamels: 12-20 as a favorite
Koehler: MIAMI 21-11 after 3 or more consecutive home games

St Louis at San Francisco, 10:15 ET
Wainwright: ST LOUIS 2-9 in road games after 6 or more consecutive road games
Vogelsong: 9-3 TSR as an underdog of +125 to +175

Oakland at Detroit, 1:05 ET
Chavez: OAKLAND 7-0 in road games after 2 straight games with no home runs
Verlander: 10-16 TSR as a home favorite

Tampa Bay at NY Yankees, 1:05 ET
Odorizzi: TAMPA BAY 7-13 after allowing 1 run or less
Nuno: NY YANKEES 26-13 after a game with a combined score of 4 runs or less

Kansas City at Minnesota, 1:10 ET
Vargas: KANSAS CITY 28-14 when the money line is -100 to -150
Correia: MINNESOTA 149-107 after a win by 6 runs or more

Seattle at Houston, 2:10 ET
Young: SEATTLE is 7-0 in road games after scoring 9 runs or more
Peacock: HOUSTON 16-41 in home games against division opponents

Texas at Baltimore, 7:05 ET
Mikolas: TEXAS 6-20 as an underdog of +100 to +150
Tillman: 33-18 TSR in all games

LA Angels at Chicago White Sox, 8:10 ET
Skaggs: LA ANGELS 6-14 in road games after a win
Danks: CHI WHITE SOX 17-12 after having lost 2 of their last 3 games

Milwaukee at Toronto, 12:35 ET
Peralta: MILWAUKEE 21-12 after a loss
Happ: TORONTO 61-80 when the money line is +125 to -125

Cleveland at LA Dodgers, 3:10 ET
Bauer: CLEVELAND 3-13 in road games against left-handed starters
Ryu: LA DODGERS 43-18 after having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games

Chicago at Boston, 7:10 ET
Wood: CHICAGO CUBS 10-3 after scoring 3 runs or less 3 straight games
Workman: BOSTON 3-11 revenging a loss vs opponent as a home favorite
 

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