Wednesday 7/16/14 service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

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[superbeets]

Champions League TODAY 19:45

Legia Warsaw

v

St Patrick's

	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
		1/8	13/2	10	More markets

​

RECENT FORM	LAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT LEGIA WARSAW	RECENT FORM
HWAWHLAWHWHL​ Most recent​	Unknown	HWHWADHWALAD​ Most recent​

KEY STAT: St Patrick’s have won only one of their last eight away matches

EXPERT VERDICT: Legia Warsaw beat TNS and Molde before going down to Steaua Bucharest on away goals in the final round of qualifying last year and the Polish champions should have too much for this Saints side. The Irish raiders have not been in sparkling domestic form, while Legia should be sharper for last week’s appearance in the Super Cup.

RECOMMENDATION: Legia Warsaw 3-0
1

 

[superbeets]

Europa League Th 17Jul 18:30

Lucerne

v

St Johnstone

	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
		4/7	13/5	4	More markets

​

RECENT FORM	LAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT LUCERNE	RECENT FORM
AWHLALHLALHW​ Most recent​	Unknown	HWADALHDALNW​ Most recent​

KEY STAT: Lucerne have won only three of the 20 European matches they have played

EXPERT VERDICT: Only a penalty shootout denied St Johnstone in their Europa League quest last season and they have another opportunity to progress when they face inconsistent Swiss side Lucerne. An away goal may be there for the taking, especially with highly-rated striker Stevie May staying put for the moment.

RECOMMENDATION: S May to score first
1

 

[superbeets]

Europa League Th 17Jul 19:45

Motherwell

v

Stjarnan

	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
		8/13	14/5	10/3	More markets

​

RECENT FORM	LAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT MOTHERWELL	RECENT FORM
ALHDALHWHWAW​ Most recent​	Unknown	ADHWAWHWAWHD​ Most recent​

KEY STAT: Both teams have scored in Stjarnan's last eight league matches

EXPERT VERDICT: Motherwell boss Stuart McCall insists his side are thoroughly prepared for their Icelandic opponents, but the test may be sterner than expected. Stjarnan are undefeated in their domestic league this season and will be confident of nicking an away goal after netting eight in the last round.

RECOMMENDATION: Both teams to score
1

 

[superbeets]

Europa League Th 17Jul 19:45

Aberdeen

v

FC Groningen

	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
		11/8	9/4	13/8	More markets

​

RECENT FORM	LAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT ABERDEEN	RECENT FORM
HDALAWHLHWAW​ Most recent​	Unknown	AWHWHWAWADHW​ Most recent​

KEY STAT: Groningen won nine of their final ten games last season, drawing the other

EXPERT VERDICT: Aberdeen swept past Latvian opponents Daugava Riva with minimal fuss, but face an extremely stern test against Groningen. The Dutch side finished their league campaign with a ten-game unbeaten run, including nine wins, and have the firepower to grab a result to take back home.

RECOMMENDATION: Groningen
2

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

WNBA
Long Sheet

Wednesday, July 16

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------



ATLANTA (15 - 5) at NEW YORK (7 - 13) - 7/16/2014, 11:00 AM

Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 10-19 ATS (-10.9 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 86-58 ATS (+22.2 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more since 1997.
NEW YORK is 35-20 ATS (+13.0 Units) after scoring 55 points or less since 1997.
ATLANTA is 35-18 ATS (+15.2 Units) in road games revenging a loss versus opponent since 1997.
NEW YORK is 6-13 ATS (-8.3 Units) in all games this season.
NEW YORK is 6-13 ATS (-8.3 Units) in May, June, or July games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 5-5 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
NEW YORK is 5-5 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
7 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TULSA (7 - 14) at MINNESOTA (16 - 6) - 7/16/2014, 1:00 PM

Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 38-25 ATS (+10.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 35-21 ATS (+11.9 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 25-15 ATS (+8.5 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.
TULSA is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) as an underdog this season.
TULSA is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TULSA is 6-5 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 10-1 straight up against TULSA over the last 3 seasons
8 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

WNBA

Wednesday, July 16

Trend Report

11:00 AM
ATLANTA vs. NEW YORK

Atlanta is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against New York
Atlanta is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against New York
New York is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of New York's last 8 games when playing at home against Atlanta

1:00 PM
TULSA vs. MINNESOTA

Tulsa is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Tulsa is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games
Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Minnesota is 16-1 SU in its last 17 games when playing Tulsa

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Wednesday Horse Racing Spot Picks

SPOT PLAYS

For Wednesday
TRACK (RACE) HORSE, MORNING LINE

Charles Town (7th) Pigeon Chris, 5-1
(8th) Royal Fireworks, 6-1

Delaware Park (2nd) Ninety Five South, 4-1
(5th) It's a Plane, 7-2

Evangeline Downs (1st) Mr. Erin, 3-1
(9th) I Love Pickles, 3-1

Indiana Grand (3rd) Hooched Express, 5-1
(6th) Act Courageous, 10-1

Mountaineer (6th) Happy Hattie, 6-1
(9th) Humor's Punch, 4-1

Penn National (1st) Critical Thinker, 4-1
(6th) Left Foot Slewie, 8-1

Presque Isle Downs (2nd) Never On Time, 4-1
(5th) Zenzelda, 3-1

Suffolk Downs (7th) Marciannie, 4-1
(9th) Island Blossom, 6-1

Thistledown (4th) Sarayu, 6-1
(7th) Impetuous Bay, 7-2

Woodbine (3rd) Elgin, 6-1
(5th) More Than Special, 7-2

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Delaware Race 5 for Wednesday, July 16, 2014
Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Delaware - Race #5 - Post: 3:03pm - Maiden Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $18,000 Class Rating: 67

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#3 OURS IS A DOUBLE (ML=9/2)
#7 IT'S A PLANE (ML=7/2)
#1 ROYAL L. S. (ML=8/1)


OURS IS A DOUBLE - Sophisticated selectors will tell you that this entrant has strong early speed. IT'S A PLANE - I like to wager on this handicapping theory, a thoroughbred coming back off a sharp effort within the last month or so. Rode this mount on June 30th and Perez is back again in the irons this time. This gelding's last speed fig recorded on Jun 30th is tops in last race speed figures. ROYAL L. S. - Really figure this horse is going to be really close near the finish line.

Vulnerable Contenders: #2 SEEKING FAME (ML=4/1), #4 GRONK (ML=5/1), #8 RUNNING ON WISHES (ML=8/1),

SEEKING FAME - Quite unimpressive speed rating last time around the track at Delaware at 5 furlongs. Don't believe this questionable contender will improve too much in today's event. GRONK - I just don't have a good sensation about this questionable contender in this race. RUNNING ON WISHES - Can't play this vulnerable equine in today's sprint of 5 1/2 furlongs. Hasn't even hit the board in a short distance event lately. Doubtful that this animal will finish better than he did last out when placing fourth. Unlikely that the speed rating he notched on June 25th will hold up in this race.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Bet on #3 OURS IS A DOUBLE to win if we can get at least 9/5 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:
3 with [1,7]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [1,3,7] Total Cost: $6

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
[1,3,7] with [1,3,7] with [1,2,3,5,7] with [1,2,3,5,7] Total Cost: $36

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Charles Town - Race #3 - Post: 7:59pm - Claiming - 6.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $11,000 Class Rating: 64

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#8 WAY POINT (ML=5/2)


WAY POINT - Couchenour brings her right back. I advocate you stick with this strong mare. She keeps getting closer at the finish with each and every start. This mare should be in top form, this far into her form cycle.

Vulnerable Contenders: #5 CRAZY BEAR (ML=2/1), #2 CASTLE'S GIRL (ML=9/2), #4 LEGENDARY HEART (ML=5/1),

CRAZY BEAR - The probable favorite is vulnerable here with the lack of workouts. CASTLE'S GIRL - The speed figure last time out doesn't fit very well in this race when I look at the class figure of today's race. Mark this horse as a likely underlay. LEGENDARY HEART - This mare hasn't had any recent success in short distance events. Not easy to wager on her in this race.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Go with #8 WAY POINT on top if we're getting at least 1/1 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:
None

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Skip

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Skip

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Camarero

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 2 - Maiden Claiming - 7.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $4950 Class Rating: 31

FOR NATIVE MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 121 LBS. CLASIFICADOS EN $3,500 Y DEBUTANTES ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $3,500.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 3 MUSIQUITA 3/1

# 4 STAR BRUNETTE 7/5

# 2 LA JUEZA 20/1

MUSIQUITA looks to be a quite good contender. STAR BRUNETTE - This filly looks very good for this event since Texidor has a strong win percentage with horses going this distance. LA JUEZA - I expect a decent performance from this equine whose handler has one of the most favorable return on investment percentages with horses running at this distance and surface. Reason to like this filly as she has in the irons one of the best jocks using winning percentages over the last month.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Suffolk Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 7 - Claiming - 8.3f on the Dirt. Purse: $9000 Class Rating: 66

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE JANUARY 16. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 8 LUSESITA 3/1

# 2 MARCIANNIE 4/1

# 4 WITH MY DADDY 6/1

LUSESITA looks respectable to best this field. Has garnered sound Speed Figures in dirt route races in the past. Overall the Equibase speed figs of this racer look very good in this competition. MARCIANNIE - This racer is in the upper half of this group in earnings per start at the distance/surface. This field of horses is much less demanding than the last one she was up against. WITH MY DADDY - Has decent front-end speed and will probably fare very well versus this group of horses. Could best this field based on the speed figure - 63 - of her last effort.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Northfield Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 11 - Post: 9:20 - 1 mile. TROT - Class Rating: 82 - Purse:$5500 - NON WINNERS $400 PER START IN 2014. AE: N/W $3000 IN LAST 5 STARTS THAT ARE N/W $30,000 IN 2014. AE: N/W 6 PARI-MUTUEL RACES. AE: CLAIMING $6000

CONSORTIUM CHOICES
Chatsworth Consortium


# 3 NORDIC VENTURE 2/1

# 5 TALLADEGA HANOVER 4/1

# 1 HAT 6/1

NORDIC VENTURE will not be denied the score in this race. Cannot put a finger on it, but favor this gelding for a bet. Good for a win bet just off the great prior class markings. Have to like this nice horse. Wrenn and Morgan have a really good working relationship. Amazing results from their outings. TALLADEGA HANOVER - Worth serious consideration here on the basis of the ratings in the TrackMaster SR department alone. The group gives this horse a respectable chance to take this race, class ratings are tops in the field of starters. HAT - Has one of the most compelling win percentages in the bunch and may be able to add to those numbers right here.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Northfield: Wednesday 7/16 Analysis
By Ken Walters

DRF HARNESS


Race 8 - $10,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Best Bet: BOILER BREES (8th)

Spot Play: ARTISTIC DREAMER (6th)


Race 1

(5) TIMER just missed in last and the twice beaten favorite gets one more chance to gain the nod. (2) LINUS BE WORTHY has enough speed to argue the early pace but has not shown the stamina to stay the course in last year or two. (9) DODGEME DISPISEME has to clear early traffic but seems to be rounding into a winning effort so do not ignore.

Race 2

(8) OIL SLICKER made a huge rally in last to set a new life mark. (3) HIT BY LIGHTNING has been second best last four and looms as the second half of the exacta once again. (7) CODYTHECLOWN has been right there in most recent races and cannot be ignored.

Race 3

(2) NORMAS ROSE fit much better this level when in against similar in last and has a decent post. (5) IKNOWWHATBOYSLIKE won last despite a break but moves up a bit. (1) PASSIONATEPRINCESS should be close at the end from the rail but did break in last.

Race 4

(9) LOCK THREE won last and need only get around or through early traffic to be the one to fear in the lane. (2) SONICPEDIA has speed and should be on the lead to the late stages. (4) QUICK KIL has been nailed last two after setting the pace but faces a challenge for the lead this evening.

Race 5

(7) SMALLSREED was second best in last but two prior were monster wins. (2) DREAM KID closed down on the speed in last and loom as strong threat once more. (5) BUILDING WEALTH has been giving it his best in recent and won last from the pocket.

Race 6

(3) ARTISTIC DREAMER was parked from outside post in last and never got close, prior was late closing bid. He drops in class and moves in and should be tough to deny. (1) FRANCO NATURA N gets the rail which is a welcome release from last two posts. (9) CATCH THAT ANGEL faces modest well-matched group and could be tough if he gets to the lead.

Race 7

(2) ACTION EAR TO EAR has speed and knows how to win. (3) ROYAL CAT closed gamely in last but came up a nose short. (4) BLUES INTHEKEYOFC was burdened by the post and a break in last. closed with trot at 44-1 and might surprise on best.

Race 8

(1) BOILER BREES looks like a now-or-never shot at first glance from the rail off last few outings. (5) JP ORAZIO has gone well at Northfield in all his recent effors over the track and is the main threat. (6) SINGIN BLUES has speed and should be on the lead heading home.

Race 9

(9) HEZATRAIN has finished full of trot last fwe and was a just-missed beaten favorite in last. (8) TWILIGHT METEOR was an impressive winner in last but the post hurts. (5) LETS UST DANCE came wide into the stretch, took a short lead but flattened out in most recent outing.

Race 10

(1) OUR CROWN LAW N was parked all night in last and faded in the lane. Beaten favorite has the rail and no excuse. (6) WATTAFINE RUSTY closed strongly, held well and won last impressively. (7) ALLAMERICAN LASER has closed well in last few including big win a few back and should be coming home through the lane.

Race 11

(3) NORDIC VENTURE was odds-on to win last and did. Faces pretty much the same and looms as the one to beat. (6) ROCKIN H CHEERY O can rough it on the front or rally from the back. Off the pace might be his best shot tonight. (2) BEAUTY CHIP has flashed late speed in last two winning most recent.

Race 12

(2) OUTAMYSPACE closed strongly to win going away against this kind and gets the call to repeat. (3) J F COOKIN has flashed some good late speed last three and is the one to fear. (9) FREEFALL won four back, did poorly three back, won two back, did poorly in last and such inconsistency must be noted becasue he can win this using the same logic despite last disaster.

Race 13

(4) LITTLE AMOS drops down looking for a payday and his best makes him a strong possibility. (1) REDICATION has not seen the rail in a while and breaks a long string of outside posts. (7) PANDAPOCKET has won from this post two back but failed in last. Splitting the difference makes him a possibility in well matched field.

Race 14

(5) TIDBIT has little to beat and should be tough to deny in here. (7) MACH TO THE LIMIT drops to a more competitive level and earns long look. (9) R MASTER SCOTT faces weak bunch and may have a surprise in store for the unaware.

Race 15

(2) BASILIO BLUE CHIP seeks third straight and has been well bet in all of recent. Looks pretty simple at first glance. (1) CANT SLAY ME was parked forever in last, has speed, moves in and is the main threat. (4) COSMOS can find a hole and suck along for minor spoils.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Balmoral: Wednesday 7/16 Analysis
By Jeremey Day

DRF HARNESS


Race 6 - $10,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Best Bet (26 - 46 / $108.40): ENCHANTRESS LADY (4th)

Spot Play: STRYKER (6th)


Race 1

(8) ON MY OWN is high risk high reward as the filly has more ability than the field if she stays pacing. (1) BC'S FANCY DANCER was much improved last out for a new trainer and gets the best post; threat. (2) MEGYN HOTSPUR has flashed a decent burst of speed and needed her last start.

Race 2

(10) MAPLE GROVE JOE gets a huge driver change finds and a weak and inexperienced field. (3) KY LUCKY gets sent out for connections that have had some nice first-time starters win recently. The freshman trotter makes his debut off an excellent qualifier. (6) FOX VALLEY SKYLAR has yet to win in twenty-five career attempts but has been improving steadily.

Race 3

(7) PARKLANE SPARKLE has slightly disappointed but this could be the spot to get back on track. (6) GET THE TERROR is one of few threats in the race; versatile. (3) WESTERN COWGIRL could be overplayed based on his last effort; use caution.

Race 4

(1) ENCHANTRESS LADY well bred mare was an impressive winner first out and should have much more to offer. (4) SCAT KITTY CAT needed her first in over three years and has plenty of room to improve. (2) POLARS BIG SPENDER has been competitive but would need much more to upset; use underneath.

Race 5

(8) ITSALLABOUTTONIGHT three-year-old has really stepped his game up in his last two efforts and can break his maiden with a smooth trip. (5) ARLO GRAM lightly raced colt has some upside in a weak field. (7) TIME MACHINE could be sitting on a good effort after a nice first lifetime start.

Race 6

(2) STRYKER went a huge effort last start racing gamely, being used multiple times. A similar effort would make him tough to get by. (3) BELL VALLEY ART makes his first start for new connections; big chance. (1) JUSTLIVINTHEDREAM has not won a race in a very long time but has been knocking on the door; use underneath.

Race 7

(2) SATIN SLAYER veteran pacer has been super in his last two and finds an evenly matched field to do some damage. (3) BABYSHOEBUYER mare closed a ton of ground last out and will be much closer turning for home. (5) BLUE GEM got a victory against a softer bunch but could hit the ticket with a smooth trip.

Race 8

(7) CLASS STAR doesn't inspire the best confidence but finds a very inconsistent field and should offer a great price. (4) SWAN PRINCESS has been facing much tougher competition but does have some breaking issues; threat. (6) SWAN LIFE TO LIVE filly raced evenly last out and would need more to hit the top spot.

Race 9

(3) KITTY O'BRIEN has been racing gamely and is always a threat late with honest fractions to close into. (1) MOON BAY DANCER looks to make it three straight but will offer a much lower price; use caution. (5) CAMILLE ROSE rarely wins but is sharp showing pace on both ends of the mile.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Jim Feist

WNBA Comp Pick for Wednesday, July 16, 2014: 1:05 PM ET

WNBA (603) TULSA SHOCK VS (604) MINNESOTA LYNX

Take: over

Reason: Minnesota is the defending WNBA Champion and they are playing very good again this year at 16-6. At home they have been even better, posting a 9-1 mark. Tonight they have to lay double digits against Tulsa. Tulsa is 7-14 on the season and 3-7 on the road. Tulsa scores a lot of points so covering double digits will be tough here for Minnesota against a team that average over 80 ppg. And, if we look at the last six games for the Shock, they have gone to OT in three of those games. Over has been a very good play in Tulsa Shock games, going over in 10 of the last 13 contests and 16 of the last 21 road games. And, the last five times these teams have met, all five have gone OVER. This is due in part to Tulsa being the 4th best offensive team in the league, averaging 82 ppg and 5th in rebounding (34.4 rpg). Take the OVER and look for lots of points in this one.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Art Aronson

Tulsa Shock vs. Minnesota Lynx

1* Bonus Play on the Minnesota Lynx.

The visiting Tulsa Shock (7-14) are coming off a 91-74 loss to the Washington Mystics at home. Glory Johnson had 20 points and 11 rebounds while Skylar Diggins chipped in with 16 points in a losing cause. Note that Johnson and Diggins were the only Shock players to score in double digits as the team shot just 39 percent from the field collectively. The Minnesota Lynx (16-6) are coming off a 77-60 win over Seattle on the road. Maya Moore scored 16 of her game-high 26 points in the third quarter to lead the way. Note that the Lynx have lost just one game at home and I think they take care of business here. And note that Tulsa has lost four of its last five in Minnesota. The Lynx are a dominant 9-1 in home games and are just two games back of the Western Conference leading Phoenix; suffice it to say, this is a golden opportunity for the home side. Tulsa is 1-5 ATS this month and 0-3 ATS after playing three consecutive home games, while Minnesota is 6-3 ATS versus poor defensive teams allowing 77 points or more this season. All signs point to a blowout, consider laying the points in this matchup.

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