Wednesday 7/13/16 service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

WNBA Betting Recap - 7/4-7/10
By Joe Williams

League Betting Notes (Monday, July 4 through Sunday, July 10)

-- Favorites went 13-4 straight up (SU)
-- Underdogs went 9-8 against the spread (ATS)
-- Home teams posted a 12-5 SU record
-- Road teams posted a 10-7 ATS record
-- The 'under' went 9-8

Team Betting Notes

-- Indiana (9-11) posted a road win against Seattle (7-13) Sunday, and the Fever have come alive with road wins in four of the past five away from home. In addition, they have covered five in a row on the road while the 'over' is 5-1 in their past six games overall. The Fever have suddenly emerged as a favorite play of bettors at the window.

-- Dallas (9-12) had a 13-1 'over' streak going from May 18 through June 28, but now the 'under' has hit in four of their past five games. Talk about streaky. After a 4-0 ATS run from June 14-21, the Wings are just 3-5 ATS over the past eight outings.

-- Los Angeles (18-1) thumped Washington (9-12) in Sunday's game for the win and a rare cover. After starting the season 8-2 ATS in their first 10 games the Sparks are just 2-7 ATS over their past nine outings.

-- The 'over' connected for the Mystics Sunday, something which had been a frequent occurence earlier in the season. The over opened 12-0 for Washington, but Sunday's total was just their third over in the past eight outings.

-- The difficult season continues for Phoenix (8-13), as the Mercury dropped the third straight game on the road in Chicago (8-11). The Merc have covered just two of their past six games overall. For the Sky, they have been rather erratic this season, too. They're just 1-4 ATS over the past five games, and 2-8 ATS over the past 10 outings.

-- San Antonio (5-15) dropped another one on the road in New York (5-15), but they were able to cover again. Despite their difficulty picking up wins, they are a respectable 8-4 ATS over the past 12 games. The Stars are also an impressive 7-3 ATS in their past 10 road games this season.

-- After a magical start to the season it has been tough sledding for Minnesota (16-4) lately. They have won just three of the past seven straight up, and the Lynx has posted a 2-5 ATS record during the underwhelming stretch.

-- Connecticut (5-14) dropped another against Atlanta (11-9), and they narrowly missed against the number Sunday to snap a four-game cover streak. As far as the Dream is concerned, they have won and covered three in a row, and they're 5-1 ATS in their past six games overall.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

CFL Betting Recap - Week 3
By Joe Williams

League Betting Notes

-- Underdogs went 2-1-1 SU in Week 3
-- Underdogs went 4-0 ATS in Week 3
-- Road teams posted a 2-1-1 SU record in Week 3
-- Road teams posted a 4-0 ATS record in Week 3
-- The 'Under' went 2-1-1 in Week 3

Team Betting Notes

-- Ottawa (2-0-1) and Calgary (1-1-1) battled to a 26-26 tie in a great game in the nation's capital. It was the first non-cover for the RedBlacks all season, while the Stampeders covered for the second consecutive weekend. The Stamps are 0-2-1 SU and 1-2 ATS in their past three games away from home including last season's playoffs.

-- After an impressive opening week win, Hamilton (1-2) tumbled into the basement with a surprising 28-24 setback against Winnipeg (1-2). The Tiger-Cats have averaged just 13.5 points per game after posting 42 in the opener, and they have allowed 28.0 PPG in the past two with the 'under' cashing in each game.

-- The Blue Bombers picked up their first win and cover, and their offense continues to improve each week. After opening with 14 points, they posted 22 points in Week 2 and 28 in Week 3. The 'under is 2-1 heading into their showdown with Edmonton (1-1).

-- Saskatchewan (0-2)'s rough ride continued in Edmonton Friday night, narrowly missing out on a breakthrough victory. While they covered against the Esks, the Roughriders haven't won in regulation in their past 15 road games, including the playoffs.

-- The BC Lions (2-1) tasted defeat for the first time this season, tumbling at home against Toronto (2-1). However, for the third straight week the 'under' cashed for the Lions.

-- After an opening week defeat, the Argos have won and covered in their past two games, both on the road. The 'under' also hit after an 'over' result in Week 1. Toronto covered has won and covered four straight regular season games on the road, and the 'under' is 5-1 in their past six away games including the postseason.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Northfield: Wednesday 7/13 Analysis + Pick Four Ticket
By Jeremey Day

DRF HARNESS

Race 8 - $10,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Jeremey’s $1 Pick Four Play:

1,3 / 2,3,4 / 2 / 1,2,4,5,9 = $30


Best Bet: ANASTASIA WHINNIE (12th)

Spot Play: IN THEORY (11th)


Race 1

(3) WESTERN HELENS BOY gelding got caught in a bad spot last week but will look to rebound for his second win at this level. (5) TOMSAMERICANDREAM beat a really soft bunch last bunch last race; threat. (4) PRIME I has been competitive at this level.

Race 2

(4) SLIPPERY SLOPE well bred 5-year-old makes his career debut off two very nice qualifiers. (8) EVERYROSEHASATHORN two-year-old filly has room to improve in her second lifetime start. (2) STYLE ONE just missed last week showing a nice late closing kick.

Race 3

In a really weak field, (3) SNOWSON appears to be getting better and gets a nice starting post with options. (9) SAM HAYES six-year-old needs a good setup but can pick up the pieces in the right scenario. (1) ST ELIANS'S FIRE drops down in class with the best post.

Race 4

(3) FEELIN THE SEA has been knocking on the door at this level and has hit the board in four straight. (7) JAKES CHANCE filly pacer makes her first start back this year off a decent qualifier. The 3-year-old has some upside. (6) MICAH looks primed for an improved effort third start back off a long layoff.

Race 5

(9) COME ON HERBIE four-year-old will look to make it two straight wins to kick off his career. (1) RAILROAD LANE should be much closer turning for home this week with the best post. (2) ANASTASIA GUNNER three-year-old owns ability but has been very inconsistent.

Race 6

(2) OAKS CROWN pacer needed his first lifetime start and will offer a big price in a field full of question marks. (7) REAL SEXY LADY 2-year-old faces older but could have the talent to compete with these. (1) ABSOLUTE HEAVEN well bred filly gets sent out first start for the top barn.

Race 7

(1) FORT COMMANDER finds a soft spot to do some damage; short price. (3) GREEN ACRELOLLYPOP hasn't been able to get a win in over two years. The trotter will offer a huge price and might be a sleeper on the bottom of your tickets. (2) SPIES AND LIES takes a significant drop in class against a suspect bunch.

Race 8

(3) VINCENT VEGA should offer the best price of the contenders especially with the top driver opting elsewhere. (1) AMAZON ART well bred 10-year-old was the top drivers choice off a big effort. (5) GLORY BEACH also scored an easy win last week but looks to need more.

Race 9

In a very inconsistent field of trotters, (4) PL HUMANITY can turn it around with some racing luck despite the last two poor efforts. (2) AISLING was sharp for this barn a few starts ago. (3) MUSTODIAN faces weaker but has just been racing evenly; use caution.

Race 10

(2) TIDEWATER TEDDY nine-year-old set a lifetime mark last out after not winning a race all of last year. If the pacer repeats that effort everybody else is racing for second. (6) DIVULGE could have gained some confidence off the easy win down in class. (5) BOURBANS BEST is one for twenty-seven on the year; use underneath.

Race 11

(9) IN THEORY has been facing much tougher and should be closer turning for home. (5) LUCPARK four-year-old can't seem to get on track this year but has hit the board consistently at this level. (1) MORELAND FLASH picks back up the top driver with the best post.

Race 12

(4) ANASTASIA WHINNIE looks to offer decent value. The 9-year-old has a win and two seconds in her last three starts down at this level. (5) HERBEDONE also takes a significant drop in class; threat. (6) JOYEUX DREAM the driver opted to the top choice but does come off a nice win; needs more.

Race 13

(5) BEANS AND WEENIES eleven-year-old got trounced last out against weaker, however the pacer picks up a huge driver change and does have a class advantage against most of the field. (4) MIDNIGHT DRAGON stallion probably needed his last two efforts after short layoff. (2) BLESSING STONE looks to be in line for a nice trip up close. The pacer also picks up a big driver change.

Race 14

(6) OK FAME pacer makes his second start fort the top barn. The 6-year-old just missed against a better bunch. (4) OUR MCLOVIN is only one for nineteen on the year, however the pacer's one win was at this level. (5) HAWAII AND SUN pacer makes his first start in a new barn; top driver's choice.

Race 15

(9) PLAYMAKER will offer a monster price in a weak and inconsistent field. The pacer could shake loose late at a big price. (1) RAY'S WESTERN pacer is one of the horses to beat picking up a huge driver change with the best post. (4) JED KIDD SQUAKING could improve second start for a new barn.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Northfield Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 4 - Post: 7:00 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 63 - Purse:$4400 - FILLIES & MARES NON WINNERS $7500 LIFETIME.


CONSORTIUM CHOICES


Chatsworth Consortium

# 3 FEELIN THE SEA 7/5


# 9 FRISKIE ZENA 8/1


# 1 FLIRTATIOUSLY 10/1


All signs point to FEELIN THE SEA for the selection. This filly getting the win wouldn't be impossible, a chance. Feel the need for speed, this race horse has been turning in some outstanding speed figures averaging around 67. This nice horse looks dangerous considering the high class figures. Don't throw out of any exotics. FRISKIE ZENA - Could dominate this bunch, just look at the TrackMaster speed fig - 62 - from her most recent effort. The handicapping team keenly points out that when Loy trains this harness racer, the odds of finishing in the top three go way up. FLIRTATIOUSLY - Not many folks know, but the 1 slot here at Northfield Park has been terrific for an above average win stat.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Harrah's Philadelphia

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 12 - Post: 4:20 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 91 - Purse:$13000 - NW $10,500 IN LAST 5 STARTS STARTERS IN A CLASS HIGHER THAN NW15000 OR A WINNER THIS CLASS IN LAST START INELIGIBLE PA PREFERENCE


CONSORTIUM CHOICES


Chatsworth Consortium

# 3 ANNIESWESTERNCARD 7/2


# 2 BESTJETYET 3/1


# 7 TWIN B TENACIOUS 4/1


ANNIESWESTERNCARD has a great shot to take this race. Pace makes the race is a favorite saying of this brain trust. Pace markings here point to a bang-up play. Always excellent driver/conditioner pair. 26 percent winners when they team up to do work. Gingras will be looking to take the whole enchilada in this contest, has been real tough recently. Win percentage this last month is a sparkling 21. BESTJETYET - High winning stat makes this entrant an excellent play to take home the dough. Harness players love to play the driver of this gelding - really good win statistic in recent times. TWIN B TENACIOUS - He has been going to post admirably and the TrackMaster speed figs are among the best in the field of starters. The 92 average class rating may give this gelding a distinct edge in the group.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Assiniboia Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 3 - Optional Claiming - 8.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $11000 Class Rating: 91

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, OR RESTRICTED OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OR CLAIMING $10,000 OR CLAIMING $15,000 FOR 3-YEAR-OLDS. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE IN 2016 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 3 MYSTORYNMSTIKNTOIT 2/1

# 2 JON Q 9/5

# 4 GIANTSTEPSBDANCING 4/1

MYSTORYNMSTIKNTOIT is my choice. Is worth taking a close look at and may be a wager - strong speed figs (78 average) at today's distance and surface as of late. Has a strong record at the distance and surface, which makes me have to support this gelding. This gelding has posted some nice finishing positions in his last several efforts. JON Q - Has respectable Equibase Class Figures relative to this group - worth a look. Demonstrates the look of a money-making play, averaging a solid 89 Equibase Speed Figure which is one of the most competitive in this group. GIANTSTEPSBDANCING - Has run solidly when running a dirt route race. In this field, this one is highly ranked earnings per start in dirt route events.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Camarero Race Track

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 5 - Claiming - 7.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $5750 Class Rating: 57

FOR NATIVE THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OR WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $5,000 OR LESS OR WHICH HAVE NOT WON $10,000 SINCE JANUARY 13, 2016. THREE YEAR OLDS, 116 LBS.; OLDER, 120 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCEJUNE 29 ALLOWED 1 LBS. A RACE SINCE JUNE 13 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE MAY 13 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $3,500.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 8 OCEANICO 20/1

# 4 PARTICIPANTE 5/2

# 6 CAPOTERO 5/1

OCEANICO looks formidable to best this group of horses especially at a such a nice price. Will make a strong outing versus this field of horses. PARTICIPANTE - Has decent Equibase speed figs and has to be considered for a bet in this race. With a nice class rating average of 69, has one of the best class advantages in this group.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Louisiana Downs - Race #2 - Post: 3:42pm - Claiming - 8.3 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $11,000 Class Rating: 60

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#5 SWAY SPLENDID (ML=5/1)
#6 STRING ATTACK (ML=12/1)
#2 BAD TEMPTATION (ML=5/2)


SWAY SPLENDID - Was in a $12,500 Claiming race at Louisiana Downs in the last race. That race had a class rating of 72 and he is moving down right here in this race. A certain solid contender. STRING ATTACK - Smith drops him down to this level. You don't need too much more from the pp lines to think this horse has a good chance at this level. This gelding should find these state breds easier than what he faced in his last race on Jun 10th. Last ran at Louisiana Downs and finished fourth. Reviewing his PP data, I see he was close at the wire, within five of the winner. BAD TEMPTATION - This gelding faced open company last time out. Moving into a restricted state bred today. Is well worth a look. Gelding looks like the lone speed here. He may turn the race into a procession. He keeps getting closer at the finish with each and every start. Recent speed figures show powerful pattern of improvement.

Vulnerable Contenders: #4 COUSHATTA MAN (ML=3/1), #8 STRETCH A MAN (ML=7/2), #3 JOE CHASE (ML=9/2),

COUSHATTA MAN - Difficult to keep stabbing at this sort of 'bridesmaid' horse. Tough for this closer horse to get up today. Without a hot pace to stir things up, the lone early speed is going to make it awfully hard to get the job done. STRETCH A MAN - No early speed in this group to help set-up his late kick. Hard to wager on this entrant out of the June 11th affair. Only faced maidens in that one. JOE CHASE - Awfully tough to play any horse that just won a Maiden Claimer, then steps up to face winners.


STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Put your money on #5 SWAY SPLENDID on the nose if you can get odds of 4/1 or more

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [2,5,6]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [2,5,6] Total Cost: $6

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
[2,5,6] with [2,5,6] with [2,3,5,6,8] with [2,3,5,6,8] Total Cost: $36

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Woodbine - Race #4 - Post: 8:15pm - Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $39,800 Class Rating: 79

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#1 SWEET CORINNA (ML=6/1)
#7 FEBRUARY ROSE (ML=8/1)


SWEET CORINNA - Faced tougher last race out at Belmont Park. Based on Equibase class figures, this is a weaker bunch, so I will put this animal on my list of contenders. Speed figures on the grass point to this thoroughbred as a legit contender. Has the best in the field for this dist-surf. FEBRUARY ROSE - Last two races were sprints. Longer races have to be her best game and she should be considered a play in this route. She got a decent rating the last time she tried this distance. This equine is tops in EPS (earnings per start). She looks strong in today's contest. Finished seventh at Woodbine last out. Was close at the end and at odds of 8/1 in this race, she looks like a possible contender.

Vulnerable Contenders: #4 CRAZY JANEY (ML=5/2), #8 PERFECT ELLA (ML=3/1), #2 CONQUER THE SKY (ML=4/1),

CRAZY JANEY - Hasn't been winning these days when made the chalk horse. Take a look at her record. When examining today's Equibase class figure, she will have to garner a much better speed rating than last out to battle in this turf route. PERFECT ELLA - This horse hasn't shown too much in the last couple races. CONQUER THE SKY - This horse hasn't shown too much in the last couple events.

Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: The Turf Man - FEBRUARY ROSE - This steed, posting the top average class figure, figures to give these thoroughbreds a run for their money.


STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Have to go with #1 SWEET CORINNA on the win end if we get at least 3/2 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [1,7]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Skip

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
None

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by Rick Needham at Belmont Park

RACE #4 - BELMONT PARK - 3:04 PM EASTERN POST

8.0 FURLONGS DIRT FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD ALLOWANCE $77,000.00 PURSE

#4 LITERATA
#2 COINWHATSHELIKES
#3 DAISY CUTTER
#6 WEBLEY

#4 LITERATA is the overall speed leader in this allowance field racing at the mile distance on the dirt, and has hit the board in "POWER RUN FASHION" in each of her last five outings, including a "POWER RUN WIN" facing better company (+7) in her 3rd race back.Jockey Irad Ortiz and Trainer Rudy Rodriguez send her to the post ... they've hit the board with 58% of more than 225 entries saddled as a team to date. #2 DOINWHATSHELIKES, a 10-1 BOMB, has posted a quartet of "Circle Trips" in her respective last five outings, including a trio of "POWER RUN WINS" being embedded in this recent streak of racing consistency.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

SPOT PLAYS

For Wednesday


TRACK (RACE) HORSE, MORNING LINE


Belmont Park (4th) Literata, 3-1
(9th) Princessofthieves, 4-1

Delaware Park (1st) El Tio Piano, 4-1
(5th) Jeremy's Song, 3-1

Evangeline Downs (2nd) Forest Henri, 6-1
(6th) Zackarooney, 7-2


Finger Lakes (2nd) My Italian Rule, 4-1
(7th) Lady Rhubarb, 4-1


Indiana Grand (7th) One Better, 6-1
(8th) Grand Ginjo, 6-1


Louisiana Downs (3rd) Kate's Dancer, 3-1
(7th) Back Stage Bonita, 5-1


Mountaineer (1st) Broadmoor de Light, 6-1
(7th) Go Heat, 3-1


Penn National (2nd) Wild Imagination, 6-1
(5th) L P's Tiger, 8-1


Presque Isle Downs (2nd) Shakespeare's Girl, 4-1
(5th) Stormy Monse, 7-2


Thistledown (2nd) Invite Therightbay, 6-1
(6th) Back for Dinner, 6-1


Woodbine (2nd) Hawk's Well, 3-1
(4th) Conquer the Sky, 4-1

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Wednesday's six-pack

-- All nine starters for AL's All-Star team are age 27 or younger.

-- Arizona Cardinals are -4.5 over the Patriots in Week 1; a handicapping quandary, since Jimmy Garoppolo will be New England's quarterback.

-- Wil Myers' brother drilled him in the ribs with a pitch at the Home Run Derby.

-- Minnesota Timberwolves haven't made NBA playoffs since 2004.

-- NFL teams who travelled three time zones LY were 17-14-1 vs spread; 9-6-1 going from west to east, 8-8 going from east to west. .

-- Someone has to explain to me what this Pokeman stuff is. No freakin' idea.