Wednesday 7/12/17 service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Red Dog Sports
Jul 12 '17, 12:00 PM in 42m
Soccer | RC Lens vs Troyes AC
Play on: OVER 2½ -135

Over 2.5

I like the over when Lens and Troyes meet in soccer on Wednesday at 12 noon. This match takes place in France. I think we see a 2-1 score so take the over.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

WNBA Betting Recap - 7/3-7/9

League Betting Notes (Monday, July 3 through Sunday, July 9)

-- Favorites went 8-4 straight up (SU)
-- Favorites went 8-4 against the spread (ATS)
-- Home teams posted a 9-3 SU record
-- Home teams posted a 9-3 ATS record
-- The 'over/under' went 6-6

Team Betting Notes

-- Atlanta (8-8) clawed back to .500 by going 2-1 SU/ATS in the past week. The Dream have also pieced together a 3-0 SU/ATS mark at home over their past three outings.

-- Chicago (4-12) slapped the brakes on a three-game losing streak in a shocking way on Thursday, stunning Minnesota (13-2) by a 100-76 score as a 14-point underdog. The win for the Sky also ended an 0-3 ATS skid.

-- Connecticut (10-7) has rolled up four consecutive victories while going 4-0 ATS, winning by an average of 12.5 points per game during the span. The Sun improved to 11-2 ATS over the past 13 outings, and 13-4 ATS overall on the season. Total bettors are also fond of the Sun, as the 'over' has hit in three of the past four, and 9-2 over the past 11 outings.

-- Dallas (9-10) split a home-and-home with the Dream, winning by 10 at home on July 5 and losing in the ATL by 20 points on July 9. The 'over' cashed in each of the outings.

-- Indiana (7-9) lost their only appearance in the past week, as the pesky Dream dealth them a 21-point loss down south. The Fever have looked sick lately, winning just once over the past four outings while also going 1-3 ATS during the span. The 'under' has been a dependable play for Indiana, going 5-2 over the past seven contests.

--Los Angeles (12-5) lost back-to-back games in the past week, a rarity for the Sparks. While L.A. has been impressive at home, going 7-0 SU/4-3 ATS, the Sparks have stumbled to a 5-5 SU/ATS record away from home. The good news is they'll be home for their only game this week against the Sun. They beat Connecticut 87-79 while covering a 2 1/2-point number in New England on June 27.

-- The Lynx have covered three in a row or better just once this season from June 3-11. The 'over' has been rather consistent, however, going 5-1 for Minnesota across the past six outings.

-- Phoenix (10-6) has pieced together a season-best three-game winning streak, covering each of the outings, too. They'll look to keep it going against the Dream at home Wednesday before a home-and-home with the Lynx on Friday and Sunday. The Merc were dumped at home, 91-83, in Phoenix on June 30. The 'over' has connected in four of the past five for Brittney Griner and company.

-- Washington (10-8) will look to salvage their road trip in Indianapolis on Friday night. The Mystics opened their road trip 0-3 SU/ATS, and they're just 3-6 SU/ATS in nine games away from the nation's capital this season.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

WNBA

Wednesday, July 12

Trend Report

12:00 PM
SAN ANTONIO vs. INDIANA
San Antonio is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Indiana
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of San Antonio's last 22 games when playing Indiana
Indiana is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against San Antonio
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indiana's last 5 games when playing at home against San Antonio

12:30 PM
DALLAS vs. CHICAGO
Dallas is 6-12 ATS in its last 18 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Dallas's last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Chicago's last 18 games at home
Chicago is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games at home

3:00 PM
CONNECTICUT vs. SEATTLE
Connecticut is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Connecticut's last 11 games
Seattle is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games when playing Connecticut
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games when playing at home against Connecticut

10:00 PM
ATLANTA vs. PHOENIX
Atlanta is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Atlanta's last 9 games when playing Phoenix
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Phoenix's last 9 games when playing Atlanta
Phoenix is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

WNBA
Dunkel

Wednesday, July 12


Atlanta @ Phoenix

Game 657-658
July 12, 2017 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Atlanta
105.102
Phoenix
120.997
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Phoenix
by 16
165
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Phoenix
by 7
160 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Phoenix
(-7); Over

Connecticut @ Seattle

Game 655-656
July 12, 2017 @ 3:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Connecticut
114.867
Seattle
115.862
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Seattle
by 1
159
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Connecticut
by 1
168
Dunkel Pick:
Seattle
(+1); Under

Dallas @ Chicago

Game 653-654
July 12, 2017 @ 12:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Dallas
110.458
Chicago
103.592
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Dallas
by 7
172
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Dallas
by 2 1/2
167 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Dallas
(-2 1/2); Over

San Antonio @ Indiana

Game 651-652
July 12, 2017 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Antonio
100.235
Indiana
107.170
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Indiana
by 7
149
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Indiana
by 9
158 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
San Antonio
(+9); Under

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

WNBA
Long Sheet

Wednesday, July 12

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SAN ANTONIO (1 - 16) at INDIANA (7 - 9) - 7/12/2017, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN ANTONIO is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in road games this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in a road game where where the total is greater than or equal to 150 this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in road games in May, June, or July games this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 56-36 ATS (+16.4 Units) in road games against Eastern conference opponents since 1997.
SAN ANTONIO is 56-36 ATS (+16.4 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1997.
SAN ANTONIO is 23-13 ATS (+8.7 Units) after allowing 75 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 4-1 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 3-2 straight up against SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DALLAS (9 - 10) at CHICAGO (4 - 12) - 7/12/2017, 12:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) against Eastern conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 8-17 ATS (-10.7 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 18-29 ATS (-13.9 Units) after allowing 75 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 14-26 ATS (-14.6 Units) after scoring 75 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in home games this season.
CHICAGO is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in a home game where where the total is greater than or equal to 150 this season.
CHICAGO is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in home games in May, June, or July games this season.
CHICAGO is 12-24 ATS (-14.4 Units) in home games after allowing 75 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 4-1 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 4-1 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CONNECTICUT (10 - 7) at SEATTLE (8 - 9) - 7/12/2017, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 44-27 ATS (+14.3 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game after 15+ games since 1997.
SEATTLE is 61-37 ATS (+20.3 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game since 1997.
CONNECTICUT is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in all games this season.
CONNECTICUT is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road games this season.
CONNECTICUT is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in a road game where where the total is greater than or equal to 150 this season.
CONNECTICUT is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in July games over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in May, June, or July games this season.
CONNECTICUT is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) on Wednesday over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when playing with 3 or more days rest over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) against Western conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) after a division game this season.
CONNECTICUT is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) after allowing 75 points or more this season.
CONNECTICUT is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) after scoring 75 points or more this season.
CONNECTICUT is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 10-0 ATS (+10.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record after 15+ games after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game this season.
CONNECTICUT is 25-10 ATS (+14.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 37-59 ATS (-27.9 Units) off an upset win as an underdog since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 3-3 against the spread versus CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
CONNECTICUT is 4-2 straight up against SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ATLANTA (8 - 8) at PHOENIX (10 - 6) - 7/12/2017, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 58-38 ATS (+16.2 Units) on Wednesday since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 3-2 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 4-1 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

How often do the best teams at the MLB All-Star break win the World Series?

The Houston Astros and Los Angeles Dodgers are the two best teams in baseball at the All-Star break, but will either club play in World Series?

Oddsmakers see this as the most likely Fall Classic matchup, priced at +750 to clash in the World Series, with the Dodgers (+400 to win) and Astros (+450) at the top the futures book. It got us wondering, how often the best teams at the break end up representing their respective leagues in the World Series?

Looking back over the last 15 years, we found the National League teams with the best record won the pennant just once (6.66 percent win rate). The American League, on the other hand, sent its best team from the break to the World Series four times over the last 15 years.

The average winning percentage at the break from AL World Series representatives is .587 while the NL is at .550.

Speaking about winning percentages, this year’s Dodgers and Astros own the two highest win percentages (.678, .674) at the break over the last 16 seasons. Only one other team ever cracked .670 at the midseason mark in the sample size (Detroit Tigers 2007).

We also wanted to know what the average price at the All-Star break was for the teams who ended up winning the World Series.

The average preseason price on the eventual World Series champion sits at +2,070 and the average price at the All-Star break is about +1,332. Only one of the last nine MLB champions had the best record in its league at the break (2013 Red Sox).

The 2016 Chicago Cubs became just the fifth team since 1995 to finish with the best regular season record and win the World Series.

So, if you think either the Astros or Dodgers are going to win the World Series this year, it might make sense to wait for either club to cool off a bit before placing your futures bet. It wouldn’t hurt either to examine a few other teams above .500 but playing below their full potential.

Remember, four of the last eight World Series champions were priced at 10/1 or better on September 1. The 2011 St. Louis Cardinals were 999/1 to win the World Series at MGM Resorts sportsbooks in Las Vegas on September 12 when they were 4.5 games out of playoff position. One lucky bettor grabbed them and won over $375,000 on two separate bets.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Roz Wins

Roz's Wednesday, July 12, 2017, Free Pick

WNBA: Play the Dallas Stars.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Sharp Bettor

Sharp Bettor's Free Pick for Wednesday, July 12, 2017

7/12 12:00 PM WNBA (655) CONNECTICUT SUN VS (656) SEATTLE STORM.

Take: (656) SEATTLE STORM