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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Northfield: Wednesday 7/1 Analysis + Pick Four ticket
By Jeremey Day

DRF HARNESS

Race 8 - $10,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Jeremey’s $1 Pick Four Play:

3,5,9 / 3 / 1,2,4,9 / 3,5 =$24


Best Bet: ROJAN’S LAST SHOT (5th)

Spot Play: SOUTHERN SANDY (2nd)

Race 1

(8) UN POCO DE LOCO four-year-old trotter needs some racing luck from a tough post but will offer a big price against a suspect bunch. (5) MM'S SHINING STAR trotting mare makes her second career start and has room to improve. (4) STURDY'S BABY looks to offer low value but is one of few in the race who's shown a decent burst of speed.


Race 2

(3) SOUTHERN SANDY pacing filly makes her career debut off a solid qualifier; threat. (8) BEAUTIFUL RED doesn't look the best on paper but does face easier. (7) MISS HAILLEY OBK filly is 0 for her career and couldn't stay close off a perfect trip last out; command a price.

Race 3

(6) VICTORY BOOK just missed at this level last start; big chance. (8) STIRLING BOUDICA trotting mare has some ability and just needs to stay trotting for a chance late. (4) JESSE'S PRIDE has just been racing evenly but finds a field full of question marks.

Race 4

(2) IDONTTHANKYOUCAN takes a huge drop in competition and will be tough to beat; short price. (3) DOLORD lightly raced 4-year-old could be one of few threats to the top choice and has been racing gamely. (1) CAMS BEST SHADOW looks to be in line for a ground-saving trip; use underneath.

Race 5

(1) ROJAN'S LAST SHOT trotted a big effort last week in the series final. If the 4-year-old puts in a similar effort it's lights out. (6) BLUE JACKET LUKE owns ability but needs a smooth trip. (2) MS JETTA mare faces tougher and will need more off a nice win.

Race 6

(4) ST ELIAN'S FIRE takes a huge drop in class and should be able to handle this bunch with a trouble-free trip. (7) IVANA HANOVER is the other dropper in the race, however the mare has been very dull in her last few; use caution. (1) PEEK A BUE KID gets a good driver change with the best post.

Race 7

In a field that's a combined 0 for 130 on the year, (3) KHOLTON'S REI picks up the top driver and has been pacing faster than most of the field. (1) EXPRESSO FORTE is 0 for 16 on the year but should get a crack late. (5) UCAN CALL ME REI just needs a smooth trip for a chance at a piece late.

Race 8

(3) AB'S JESSE HALL gets sent out second start for high percentage connections. If the 4-year-old stays trotting he could be tough to catch. (5) DUNKS BROTHER four-year-old has really started to turn it around as of late; threat. (9) SAM'S PROFILE just missed to a better bunch last out.

Race 9

(3) ST LADS GIDGET got an easy win at this level last out; fires early. (9) SLIDN TO YA RONNIE gets sent out for capable connections but needs to work out a trip from the second tier. (5) KALLISTA well bred mare makes her third start back off a layoff and should be primed for a better effort.

Race 10

In a weak and inconsistent field (2) HICKORY HAWKEYE drops down to the bottom level and will be used aggressively. (1) TIDEWATER TOMCAT rarely wins but gets the best post and should be in line for an ideal trip up close. (9) PANDAPOCKET picks up a top driver and should be closer turning for home.

Race 11

(5) GUTH well bred trotter has rally blossomed after a slow start. If the 4-year-old puts in a similar effort to his last few he's a winner. (3) SONG OF THE VALLEY lightly raced filly will look to make it two straight to start out the year. (2) AKNUSTI has flashed some ability and owns good gate speed; threat.

Race 12

In another weak field, (2) HIGH STAKES BANKER put in a solid qualifier and is versatile. (1) LARRY P drops back down to the bottom level but needs more; command a price. (4) SON OF A SPUR owns some back class but has just been racing evenly.

Race 13

(9) BB'S HARLEY gets sent out for proven connections with the top driver. (6) HARVARD'S Z TAM comes off a nice victory on the fair circuit; threat. (4) BLESSING STONE has been facing much tougher at a different track.

Race 14

(9) SBM GEORGIAN STAR has some question marks coming into the race but when right owns a class edge on the field. (4) SAY IT'S TRUE was close at this level last out and just needs a good setup for a chance late. (7) SAY IT BEST scored for new connections first out last week and could have more to offer.

Race 15

(1) TED'S DREAM GIRL four-year-old should be in line for a much easier trip from the rail. (2) KELLY BLUE CHIP well bred mare makes her third start back off a layoff against a suspect bunch. (3) YOU RAISE ME UP could look to shake loose late for a piece; use underneath.

 

[superbeets]

Champions League TODAY 19:00

B36 Torshavn

v

The New Saints

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RECENT FORM	LAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT B36 TORSHAVN	RECENT FORM
ADHDHLAWHWAW​ Most recent​	Unknown	HWAWHWHDALAD​ Most recent​

KEY STAT: B36 have won two of their 34 European ties

EXPERT VERDICT: B36 are top of the Faroese League and unbeaten in ten in that competition, though this is a step up. They have twice given Linfield a decent run in recent campaigns but full-time professionals TNS, fresh from a treble-winning campaign, should be good enough to secure a crucial away win.

RECOMMENDATION: TNS
1

 

[superbeets]

Europa League Th 2Jul 17:00

Alashkert

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St Johnstone

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RECENT FORM	LAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT ALASHKERT	RECENT FORM
HLALHWADAWHW​ Most recent​	Unknown	HWAWHDHDHDAW​ Most recent​

KEY STAT: St Johnstone have lost one of their last nine fixtures

EXPERT VERDICT: St Johnstone failed to win any of their four Europa League qualifiers last season but should have the edge over ordinary Armenian side Alashkert in the capital, Yerevan. Recent experience of European football should be an advantage for St Johnstone and they have nothing to fear from Alashkert, who finished 23 points adrift in last season's Armenian title race.

RECOMMENDATION: St Johnstone
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[superbeets]

Europa League Th 2Jul 20:45

West Ham

v

FC Lusitans

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RECENT FORM	LAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT WEST HAM	RECENT FORM
ALADHWALHLAL​ Most recent​	Unknown	AWADHLHDHLAW​ Most recent​

KEY STAT: West Ham have conceded one or no goals in six of their last eight home games

EXPERT VERDICT: West Ham are unlikely to be anywhere near 100 per cent at this stage of the summer but should still have few problems in their first qualifying round first leg against Andorran side Lusitans. Slaven Bilic will want his players to be getting into good habits from the start of his reign and keeping a clean sheet will be a priority.

RECOMMENDATION: West Ham to win 4-0
1

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

July Good Month/Bad Month Pitchers
By MARC LAWRENCE

Fireworks and the MLB All-Star game signal the month of July. It also signifies the start of the second half of the MLB campaign. The key to each and every team’s fortune lies on the pitching staff. Can they sustain or will they unravel like a cheap suit? Stay tuned.

What we do know is certain pitchers love hurling this time of the season while others tend to get lit up like a roman candle on the 4th of July.

Listed below are hurlers that have enjoyed a two-to-one or better success ratio in team-starts over the course of the last three seasons during the month of July. On the flip side, we've also listed pitchers that struggle in July, winning 33 percent or less of their team-start efforts To qualify, pitchers must have made a minimum of 10 starts, with at least one start each July over the last three years. And for your convenience, alongside each record we break down each pitcher’s greatest success or greatest failure rate either home (H) or away (A) within his good or bad month.

Note: * designates a categorical repeat appearance by this pitcher, maintaining status quo from last season’s April list.

GOOD MONTH PITCHERS:

Chen, Wei-Yin • 10-3 / 5-1 H

The Orioles' Chen is having another solid season as his 2.90 ERA indicates he's just not gotten a lot run support which is explains his 3-4 record. Very good life on a low to mid 90's fastball and if the Baltimore bats stay hot, the wins will come for Chen.

Colon, Bartolo • 11-5 / 5-0 A

Hard to believe the rolly-polly 42-year old right-hander is still around in the big leagues and still throwing 80 percent fastballs at his age. Though he still has a winning record, Colon 's ERA is almost five and opposing teams are hitting .282 against him. Let's see if he has a typical July for him as his numbers are beginning to slip.

Fister, Doug • 12-3 / 5-1 H

Started the season poorly, got injured and is working his way back. You know Fister is on his game when there are a lot of ground ball outs or lazy fly balls. Has to keep top of hand on top of the ball to get the sinking action he needs.

Hellickson, Jeremy • 8-4 / 4-1 A

Really nothing more than a back of the rotation pitcher with ordinary stuff. Hellickson can put together two or three quality starts than get hit like a stalled car on the tracks with a train coming. Not sure he will have same success this month going from Tampa Bay to Arizona.

Hernandez, Felix • 11-5 / 5-2 A

After a sensational first two months, King Felix saw his ERA jump from 1.91 in late May to 3.24 on June 22. He only had 21 strikeouts in that five starts stretch and allowed nine or more fly balls on three different occasions, very unusual for Hernandez. Still opposing hitters are only batting .204 against and chances are he will return to being the King.

*Hudson, Tim • 11-4 / 7-1 A

Another elder statesman who turns 39 this month, Hudson enjoyed a long and great career. No question he's at the end of the line with opposing hitters batting .291 against vs. .251 lifetime but still capable of quality starts and keeping San Francisco in games when he takes the ball.

*Kershaw, Clayton • 13-4 / 7-2 A

As July commences, Kershaw will be working a three-game losing for the first time in his career. Nothing physically wrong with the three-time Cy Young winner, just pitching into bad luck and making a mistake or two a game which we are not used to seeing. However, there is no doubt he could be unbeatable this month like in the past.

Liriano Francisco • 10-5 / 5-2 H

Despite a below .500 record, the Pirates lefty has held opposing hitters to .189 and his WHIP is 1.01. All Liriano needs is a few more runs from his Pittsburgh teammates and his three-pitch arsenal will start adding up to more victories.

Lohse, Kyle • 12-5 / 8-1 H

The Milwaukee right-hander season has mirrored that of his Brewers teammates with a 4-9 record and 6.28 ERA. Besides allowing well over a hit an inning, Lohse has given up almost as many home runs as walks permitted (19 vs.20) this campaign. No sure Lohse will duplicate past success.

*Porcello, Rick • 9-4 / 6-1 H

Almost every off-season signing has backfired for Boston including bringing in Porcello. His sorry 4-8 record is well-deserved as his 5.54 ERA indicates. Enemy hitters are getting great cuts and knocking him around for a .286 batting average. Like Lohse, Porcello has one of the worst ERA's among hurlers with 10 or more starts. Can he turn it around?

Price, David • 12-4 / 7-1 A

Though he does not win every time, it has to make any manager very comfortable to be handing the ball to Price every five games. Expertly commands two and four-seam fastballs and can strikeout anybody with his a couple of hard-breaking curves or changeups. Has almost a 5-to-1 K/W ratio and fun to watch as a maestro.

Samardzija, Jeff • 10-5 / 5-2 H

After a strong season a year ago, has returned to prior form of most of his career on the other side of Chicago. He's not fooling anybody with a .286 BA allowed and he's on pace to surrender 27 homers. Needs big July to help the White Sox.

Scherzer, Max • 11-4 / 6-2 H

The best pitcher in baseball in 2015 thus far with a minuscule 1.79 ERA and WHIP you need reading glasses to find at 0.79. In 110 1/3 innings he fanned 130 and walked 14 (not a misprint), with one hit batter that prevented perfect game. Walks around the mound like he's king of the jungle... and he is.

*Tillman, Chris • 10-5 / 5-1

It has not been an easy campaign for the Baltimore hurler with a losing record, with an ERA over 5.50 the first three months of the season and a wayward WHIP of 1.51. The top four hitters on the opposing teams lineup card have .375 OBP against Tillman. He will have to regain confidence to match past numbers this month.

Volquez, Edinson • 10-5 / 6-2 A

Having a good year with the defending AL champion Royals at 8-4 with a 3.18 ERA and doing splendid work controlling lefty batters who are at just .210 against Volquez. Should continue with another stellar July.


BAD MONTH PITCHERS:

Hammel, Jason • 2-11 / 0-4 H

Not many pitchers actively want to pitch in Wrigley Field and for the Chicago Cubs, but Hammel is a rare exception. The Greenville, SC native might have stunk it up for other teams with a below .500 record and 4.46 ERA, but Hammel is 5-3 with 2.92 ERA on the north side of Chi-Town this season. Will his turnaround continue?

Haren, Dan • 3-8 / 0-6 A

Having a much stronger year than anticipated with a 3.38 ERA and WHIP of 1.01. Haren was about ready to retire but decided to give one more shot, but has not won in four starts with poor run support and not being as effective as he was the first two months. On a lousy team without Giancarlo Stanton, Haren might be in line for another miserable month.

Keuchel, Dallas • 4-10 / 1-4 H

Be all appearances, the Astros ace might be doing a 180-degree turn based on previous July's. Now extremely confident in his abilities, the Houston lefty has a .194 BA conceded and a WHIP under one (0.96). Why opposing managers even have a left-handed bat in the lineup is a mystery since they are hitting a feeble .136 against Keuchel.

*Norris, Bud • 2-11 / 1-6 A

Though Baltimore has blossomed to take over first place in the AL East, Norris has not been a part of their turnaround. The right-hander's ERA is 'down' to around 7.00 and his WHIP of 1.61 explains how hittable he's been, plus walking other batters. Looks like ‘Play Against’ material until further notice.

Strasburg, Stephen • 5-12 / 2-8 H

Strasburg was a wreck, but maybe the time on the DL has straightened out his arm, body and head. In his last two starts of June, Strasburg had 15 strikeouts and just eight hits allowed in 12 innings. Do not imagine baseball bettors are willing to compare him to teammate Scherzer yet, and will take a wait and see attitude on the 26-year old.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

MLB Betting Cheat Sheet: Dodgers overrated away from home
By Jeese Schule

Here’s a comprehensive look at betting notes for the mid-week major-league schedule:

Dodgers Overrated On The Road

What do the Colorado Rockies, Atlanta Braves, Seattle Mariners and Oakland A’s all have in common? Well in addition to the fact that all four teams rank among the worst in the major leagues, all four clubs have a better road record than the LA Dodgers. That’s right folks, the mighty Dodgers are just 16-22 on the road this season. That hasn’t stopped the Bookmakers from routinely making them the favorite, and that is the case here again in Arizona (-117 on Tuesday).

Mad Max as the Road Warrior

Max Scherzer is the hottest hurler in the majors at the moment, coming off three very impressive wins. He tossed a complete game no hitter against the Brewers on June 14, and followed up with a no-hitter (near perfect game) against the Pirates six days later. His last start was another good one in a win at Philadelphia, and he’ll be on the road in Atlanta on Thursday in pursuit of his 10th win of the season.

Home Run Race Heating Up

Giancarlo Stanton is still out in front, and he was the favorite to run away with it, but he’s now sidelined for 4-6 weeks with a broken hand. Colorado’s Nolan Arenado is all of a sudden right in the thick of things with seven home runs in the last week. He’s got 24 for the season, tied with Bryce Harper, while Cincinnati’s Todd Frazier has 25, two fewer than the leader Stanton.

Pitching Notes

*Matt Cain is scheduled to make his season debut for the Giants on Thursday in Miami, but the big news will be who starts on the mound for the Marlins in that game. Miami ace Jose Fernandez is set to make is 2015 debut for the Marlins, despite allowing four runs on six hits in a rehab assignment in Triple-A.

*Johnny Cueto is having another fine season, and he’ll start at home in a matinee against the Twins on Wednesday. go to askthebookie. There might not be a better bet than Cueto at home during the day. He’s 2-1 with a 1.78 ERA at home this season, and 2-2 with a 2.98 ERA during the day. Going back to 2012, he’s 25-7 at home with a 2.13 ERA, and 25-4 with a 1.78 ERA in day games.

Hitting Notes

*Robinson Cano has been having a disappointing season for the Mariners, but he might have a favorable matchup to look forward to on Wednesday against San Diego. The 32 year old is hitting .402 with four home runs and 15 RBIs in 87 career at bats versus Shields.

*Yanel Escobar is hitting .349 with a pair of home runs and 13 RBIs in the month of June, and he’s really picked up the slack for the Nats who have been missing a couple of their best hitters. With Ryan Zimmerman and Jason Werth sidelined by injuries, the Nats haven’t missed a beat, winning eight of their last nine heading into Monday’s game.

Weather Notes

* There is a 66 percent chance of thunderstorms in Baltimore when the Orioles host the Texas Rangers at Camden Yards Tuesday.

* Early forecasts for Wednesday predict a 54 percent chance of thunderstorms at Turner Field when the Atlanta Braves host the Washington Nationals.

Umpire Trends

* The Under has gone 4-1 in the last five games Will Little has worked behind home plate. He’ll be working the plate in Toronto when the Jays host the Red Sox Tuesday.

* Over bets have cashed the last four times Bob Davidson has called pitches. He’ll be behind the dish in Cincinnati when the Minnesota Twins visit the Reds in interleague action Wednesday.

Totals Streak

New York Yankees (8-4 O/U): The Yankees have been involved in quite a few slugfests lately, and they’ve been on the wrong side of quite a few of those. The fact that Michael Pineda, C.C. Sabathia and Masahiro Tanaka have all been roughed up in the past week is cause for concern in New York. The Yankees are 41-32 O/U for the season, and they’ve scored a major league best 271 runs in night games.

Injury Notes

*Giancarlo Stanton leads the majors in home runs (27), and RBIs (67). He’s going to be out for 4-6 weeks after having surgery to repair a broken bone in his hand. That’s a huge blow for a Miami team that ranks near the bottom of the major leagues in scoring, and sits 11.5 games back of Washington in the NL East.

*Tim Lincecum might have been in danger of losing spot in the rotation anyway, but that decision may be a lot easier for Bruce Bochy if the former Cy Young winner is placed on the DL for the first time in his career. The right-hander was hit in the arm by a line drive in the second inning against Colorado on Saturday.

 

[superbeets]

Europa League Th 2Jul 21:05

Shkendija

v

Aberdeen

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RECENT FORM	LAST HEAD-TO-HEADSAT SHKENDIJA	RECENT FORM
AWHWAWHWALHW​ Most recent​	Unknown	HWAWALHLADHL​ Most recent​

KEY STAT: Shkendija have kept one clean sheet in their last seven home games

EXPERT VERDICT: Aberdeen battled through to the third qualifying round of last season's Europa League and have high hopes of making a strong start to the 2015-16 competition when facing Macedonian side Shkendija in Skopje. Shkendija lost 3-2 on aggregate to Moldovan side Zimbru Chisinau at the same stage of last year's tournament and the Aberdeen tie looks a shade tougher for them.

RECOMMENDATION: Aberdeen to win 1-0
1

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Porcello is winless in over a month

Rick Porcello has been struggling, with the Red Sox only winning one of the right-handers past seven starts. To be specific, the last time Porcello got the win was May 16 against the Seattle Mariners.

Since that 'W,' Porcello has given up 4.7 runs per outing while averaging 6 innings pitched.

The Red Sox visit the Toronto Blue Jays Wednesday.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Mariners winning as this pitcher has been dealing

The Seattle Mariners have won their past four starts when Taijuan Walker takes the bump. Walker has been on-fore in those starts, posting a 4-0 record while only allowing six earned runs over 26.1 innings pitched.

The M's have been giving Walker some much needed run support, as they have scored 5.8 runs per contest in the youngsters four starts.

Seattle faces the San Diego Padres at Petco Park Wednesday.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Orioles had a perfect month with Chen on the mound

Wei-Yin Chen was nothing but good to the Baltimore Orioles in June, with the team going 4-0 in the lefties four starts.

Chen went 2-0 in those games with a 2.13 ERA. The pitcher tossed 25.1 innings while only surrendering six runs and 23 hits during June.

The O's will send Chen to the mound against the Rangers Wednesday.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

MLB

Brewers @ Phillies
Lohse is 1-5, 7.34 in his last seven starts; five of the seven went over.

Harang is 0-7, 6.48 in his last seven starts; four of his last five went over.

Milwaukee lost four of last six games with the Phillies; road team won eight of last nine in series. Over is 7-2-1 in last ten series games. Brewers won six of last eight games overall- over is 6-1-1 in those eight. Phillies lost five of last six games; over is 9-1-1 in their last eleven.

Giants @ Marlins
Heston is 3-1, 2.70 in his last four starts; eight of his last ten went over.

Haren is 0-3, 4.42 in his last three starts; his last four stayed under.

Giants are 5-4 in last nine games with Miami; they've won four of last six games overall, with last five going over. Marlins lost seven of their last nine games (under 5-3-1).

Nationals @ Braves
Fister is 1-2, 6.43 in his last four starts; six of his last eight went over.

Wisler is 1-1, 5.25 in his first two MLB starts (under 2-0).

Washington won its last nine games with Atlanta; three of last four stayed under the total. Nationals won nine of last ten games (under 6-4). Braves lost six of their last seven games; six of their last eight stayed under.

Cubs @ Mets
Lester is 0-4, 4.54 in his last six starts, five of which stayed under.

Colon is 1-3, 5.79 in his last four starts; four of his last five stayed under.

Cubs won their last seven games with the Mets (under 5-1-1). Chicago lost five of last six games overall, scoring seven runs; under is 8-1-1 in their last ten games. NY won fourof last five, allowing five runs; nine of its last eleven games stayed under.

Dodgers @ Diamondbacks
Anderson is 2-0, 1.71 in his last three starts; three of his last four went over.

Ray is 1-3, 3.20 in his last four starts; four of his last six stayed under.

Dodgers won eight of last nine games with Arizona (over 6-2-1). LA won four of last six games; five of their last eight stayed under. D'backs lost four of last five games; seven of their last nine games went over.

American League
Red Sox @ Blue Jays
Porcello is 0-6, 7.07 in his last seven starts; four of his last five stayed under.

Buehrle is 2-0, 2.00 in his last five starts; three of his last four stayed under.

Boston lost five of last eight games with Toronto but won last two; Red Sox are 8-4 in last 12 games overall- four of their last five stayed under. Blue Jays lost three of last four games (under 5-1 in last six).

Rangers @ Orioles
Martinez is 0-2, 7.11 in his last three starts; three of his last four went under.

Chen is 2-0, 2.13 in his last four starts; his last eight all stayed under.

Texas lost nine of last 12 games with Baltimore; over is 6-2-1 in last nine games in series. Rangers lost seven of last ten games; over is 4-2-2 in their last eight games. Orioles won seven of last ten games; under is 4-2-1 in their last seven.

Indians @ Rays
Carrasco is 2-1, 3.54 in his last three starts; five of his last seven went over.

Colome is 0-1, 3.76 in his last five starts; Tampa Bay scored total of 13 runs in his last six outings.

Cleveland is 6-3 in last nine games with Tampa Bay; five of last eight series games stayed under total. Indians lost seven of last 11 games; six of their last eight went over the total. Tampa Bay lost seven of last nine games; under is 6-4-1 in their last 11.

Royals @ Astros
Volquez is 4-0, 2.96 in his last four starts; over is 4-1-1 in his last six.

Velasquez is 0-0, 3.72 in his four starts (over 2-2).

Royals lost last five games with Houston; road team won six of last eight in series. KC lost last two games, scoring one run. Astros won last three games, allowing two runs; six of their last seven stayed under the total.

Bronx @ Angels
Eovaldi is 2-0, 3.00 in his last two starts; seven of his last eight went over.

Shoemaker is 0-2, 6.32 in his last three starts; three of his last four went over.

Bronx won seven of last ten games with the Angels; four of last six series games went over. Bronx is 3-7 in its last ten games overall; ten of their last 13 went under the total. Angels won seven of last nine home games; eight of their last ten overall stayed under the total.

Interleague
Twins @ Reds
May is 0-3, 5.71 in his last four starts; four of his last five stayed under.

Cueto is 0-1, 4.42 in his last three starts; under is 2-1-1 in his last four home starts.

Minnesota won six of last eight games with Cincinnati; eight of last twelve series games stayed under. Twins lost six of their last ten games. Reds lost four of last five games; six of their last eight games went over.

Pirates @ Tigers
Burnett is 0-2, 2.20 in his last four starts, three of which stayed under. Pirates scored total of six runs in the four games.

Simon is 0-1, 12.00 in his last two starts; his last four all went over.

Pirates lost four of last six games with Detroit; they won three of last four games overall; six of their last eight went over. Tigers won five of last eight games- their last 11 games all went over.

White Sox @ Cardinals
Quintana is 0-1, 3.79 in his last three starts; five of his last six went under.

Lackey is 2-0, 2.05 in his last three starts; seven of his last ten stayed under.

White Sox won five of last seven against St Louis, last five of which stayed under total. Chicago lost three of last five games overall, with three of last four going over total. Cardinals won six of last seven, allowing eleven runs; four of their last five games stayed under.

Rockies @ A's
Bettis is 2-0, 2.92 in his last two starts; six of his last nine went over.

Hahn is 3-1, 3.48 in his last five starts; over is 4-1-1 in his last six.

Colorado lost four of last five games with Oakland; visiting team won eight of last nine games in series. Rockies are 6-4 in last ten games; over is 6-2-1 in their last nine. A's lost four of last five games;under is 4-0-3 in their last seven home games.

Mariners @ Padres
Walker is 4-0, 2.05 in his last four starts; four of his last six stayed under.

Shields is 0-2, 6.85 in his last four starts; six of his last eight went over.

Seattle lost three of last five games with San Diego; under is 7-2-1 in last ten series games. Mariners lost five of last eight games; under is 5-1-1 in their last seven. Padres are 5-9 since changing managers; over is 3-2 in their last five.

Win-loss records this year for team with this starting pitcher:
Mil-Phil-- Lohse 6-10; Harang 5-11
SF-Mia-- Heston 10-5; Haren 8-7
Wsh-Atl-- Fister 4-5; Wisler 1-1
Chi-NY-- Lester 8-7; Colon 9-6
LA-Ariz-- Anderson 8-7; Ray 2-4

Bos-Tor-- Porcello 7-8; Buehrle 9-6
Tex-Balt-- Martinez 9-6; Chen 9-5
Clev-TB-- Carrasco 9-6; Colome 3-9
KC-Hst-- Volquez 11-4; Velasquez 2-2
NY-LA-- Eovaldi 9-6; Shoemaker 7-7

Pitt-Det-- Burnett 8-7; Simon 8-6
Min-Cin-- May 6-8; Cueto 8-6
Chi-StL-- Quintana 6-9; Lackey 9-6
Colo-A's-- Bettis 7-2; Hahn 6-9
Sea-SD-- Walker 7-8; Shields 9-7

Times this starting pitcher allowed a run in first inning:
Mil-Phil-- Lohse 7-16; Harang 5-16
SF-Mia-- Heston 1-15; Haren 1-15
Wsh-Atl-- Fister 3-9; Wisler 1-2
Chi-NY-- Lester 6-15; Colon 4-15
LA-Ariz-- Anderson 4-15; Ray 1-6

Bos-Tor-- Porcello 2-15; Buehrle 9-15
Tex-Balt-- Martinez 3-15; Chen 3-14
Clev-TB-- Carrasco 7-15; Colome 2-12
KC-Hst-- Volquez 4-15; Velasquez 1-4
NY-LA-- Eovaldi 6-15; Shoemaker 4-14

Pitt-Det-- Burnett 4-15; Simon 3-14
Min-Cin-- May 5-14; Cueto 5-14
Chi-StL-- Quintana 7-15; Lackey 3-15
Colo-A's-- Bettis 2-9; Hahn 4-15
Sea-SD-- Walker 4-15; Shields 4-16

Umpires
Mil-Phil-- Last four Hamari games stayed under.
SF-Mia-- Home side won nine of last 12 Hernandez games.
Wsh-Atl-- Five of last six Bucknor games stayed under.
Chi-NY-- Three of last four Fagan games went over.
LA-Ariz-- Five of last seven Muchlinski games stayed under.

Bos-Tor-- Last five Cuzzi games stayed under total.
Tex-Balt-- Under is 5-1-1 in last seven Tumpane games.
Clev-TB-- Favorites won eight of last nine Johnson games.
KC-Hst-- Six of last eight Emmel games went over total.
NY-LA-- Five of last six Culbreth games stayed under.

Min-Cin-- Five of last seven Wendelstedt games stayed under.
Colo-A's-- Last six Hallion games went over the total.
Sea-SD-- Underdogs won eight of last ten Everitt games.
Pitt-Det-- Six of last seven Hudson games stayed under.
Chi-StL-- Home side won six of nine Wolcott games.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Running Aces

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 6 - Post: 8:50 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 81 - Purse:$4000 - HORSES & GELDINGS N/W $2000 IN LAST 4 STARTS AE: CLAIMING $5000 W/ALLOWANCES RUNNING ACES NO. 2 & 3 UNCOUPLED MUTUEL ENTRY


CONSORTIUM CHOICES


Chatsworth Consortium

# 7 ROCK ALLSTAR 10/1


# 1 DA TERROR 3/1


# 5 MARCED CARD 6/1


ROCK ALLSTAR will not be denied the victory in this one especially at 10/1. Could be the best in the field of horses here, showing competitive ratings of late. Avg speed is a solid 83. A nice class horse cannot be overlooked. With an average class rating of 88 all signs point to yes. Certainly should be given a look based on the nice speed fig recorded in the most recent race. DA TERROR - Looks like a strong choice in this pack and his successful winning percentage says he has the raw talent to take the whole enchilada in this contest. Unquestionably the class of the group with an average rating of 81. A nice choice. MARCED CARD - Longo is racking up the wins within the recent past. Fantastic win percent makes this interesting entrant our pick. Has one of the top win pcts in the group of horses and may be able to add to those percentages right here.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Hoosier Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 3 - Post: 5:55 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 71 - Purse:$6325 - FILLIES AND MARES - INDIANA SIRED WINNERS OF 1 BUT NOT MORE THAN 3 EXT PM RACES OR $10,500 LT TO BE CLAIMED FOR $10,000


CONSORTIUM CHOICES


Chatsworth Consortium

# 2 VIRGINNAIRE 4/1


# 4 TOPVILLE CHEETAH 15/1


# 6 SKYWAY SONOMA 7/2


VIRGINNAIRE looks competitive to best this group of animals. This filly getting the score wouldn't be impossible, a chance. TOPVILLE CHEETAH - May be the most respectable in the grouping here, showing formidable ratings of late. Avg speed is a solid 73. Has to be given a look based on the respectable speed rating earned in the last race. SKYWAY SONOMA - Overall ratings appear nice. Can't throw out at this point.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Delaware

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 3 - Claiming - 8.3f on the Dirt. Purse: $12000 Class Rating: 63

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE MAY 1, 2015 ALLOWED 3 LBS. A RACE SINCE MARCH 1, 2015 ALLOWED 5 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $6,250, IF FOR $5,000, ALLOWED 3 LBS.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES

The Walker Group Picks

# 1 SUMMER COCKTAIL 9/5


# 5 COMPETITIVE DREAM 5/2


# 2 DOC OF THE COURT 7/2


SUMMER COCKTAIL has a very good shot to take this race. Overall the speed figures of this equine look strong in this race. Conditioner has strong win rate (16 percent) at this distance and surface. Earned a solid speed figure last time out. COMPETITIVE DREAM - Could best this field based on the Equibase Speed Fig - 56 - of her last outing. DOC OF THE COURT - Could best this field based on the Equibase Speed Figure - 59 - of her last affair. Hard to pass on this filly with Blanco in the saddle.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Indiana Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 5 - Maiden Special Weight - 5.0f on the Turf. Purse: $32000 Class Rating: 64

FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 118 LBS. IF THIS RACE IS TAKEN OFF THE TURF, IT WILL BE RUN AT 5 FURLONGS ON THE MAIN TRACK.



RECOMMENDED CHOICES

The Walker Group Picks

# 6 RANGE RIDER 5/2


# 2 FLYING AROUND 5/1


# 5 WONDERFUL REMARK 2/1


RANGE RIDER is the top bet in this race. Has to be given a shot here on the basis of the numbers in the speed section alone. Look for a very strong pace improvement from this horse who enters with second time Lasix today. With a quite good 60 speed fig last time out, will clearly be a factor in this contest. FLYING AROUND - It's a good signal that Rivelli is using Valdivia on this entrant. With a quite good 59 speed figure last time out, will definitely be a factor in this race. WONDERFUL REMARK - Expect a strong outing with the class drop. There is a formidable chance that this entry's late pace will improve with second time Lasix.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Tampa Bay - Race #8 - Post: 4:12pm - Maiden Claiming - 5.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $13,000 Class Rating: 74

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#8 PRIVATE SAFE (ML=20/1)
#1 BREAK AWAY BULL (ML=5/1)
#3 QUINNEHTUKQUT (ML=15/1)


PRIVATE SAFE - I believe Parra is making a good move here. This colt can only be aided by the shorter trip. Always watch out for the longer priced horse when a trainer has an 'uncoupled' entry in a race. In my opinion, you need 'class' to be successful on the grass. This one has the highest average Equibase class figure in the field. Parra drops him down to this class level. You don't need too much more handicapping knowledge to figure that this animal should run well at this level. BREAK AWAY BULL - This gelding was impressive in finishing ninth on a slow track on May 14th. A signal that he should do well against these ponies in his first turf try. Last race out, finished ninth on a sloppy track at Indiana Downs. Should do much better right here. QUINNEHTUKQUT - This dam (Umiak) has had solid success with first out winners, cashing 67 pct of the time. The trainer here (Boileau) has a super ROI with 1st time starters.

Vulnerable Contenders: #4 LOCK N ROLL (ML=9/5), #2 RISING CREEK (ML=2/1), #5 INEEDITYESTERDAY (ML=6/1),

LOCK N ROLL - No accomplishments for this mount in a short distance race over the last two months tells me that this gelding is in a very difficult spot RISING CREEK - If he goes off close to the oddsmaker's morning line of 2/1, I'll have to pass. INEEDITYESTERDAY - No favorable outcomes for this entrant in a short distance event over the last 60 days tells me that this gelding is in a very difficult circumstance When scrutinizing today's class rating, he will have to record a much better speed figure than last out to be competitive in this turf sprint.


STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#8 PRIVATE SAFE to win at post-time odds of 7/2 or better

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [1,3,8]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [1,3,8] Total Cost: $6

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Skip

SUPER HIGH 5 WAGERS:
None

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Woodbine - Race #1 - Post: 1:00pm - Maiden Claiming - 8.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $25,400 Class Rating: 73

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#2 CHIEFROLL'NTHUNDER (ML=8/5)


CHIEFROLL'NTHUNDER - Taking a trip down the ladder based on class rating points; has the form to make his presence felt. Earnings per race is something that I believe can be a very valuable handicapping aspect. This thoroughbred is ranked number one in this group.

Vulnerable Contenders: #6 SEEKING THE BAY (ML=5/2), #3 HUTCHY (ML=4/1), #4 WAR FAN (ML=6/1),

SEEKING THE BAY - Just can't wager on this less than sharp equine. Didn't show me anything positive last time around the track or on October 24th. HUTCHY - Hasn't been getting close at all of late. WAR FAN - This colt has had countless races at Woodbine and still no wins.

Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: Hal - CHIEFROLL'NTHUNDER - Coming off his last race with the top speed figure of 82 at Woodbine. He is the gelding to beat today.


STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#2 CHIEFROLL'NTHUNDER is the play if we get odds of 1/1 or better

EXACTA WAGERS:
None

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Handicapped by Rick Needham at Belmont Park

RACE #1 - BELMONT PARK - 1:20 PM EASTERN POST

7.0 FURLONGS DIRT THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD $16,000.00 CLAIMING $28,000.00 PURSE

#1 ROUNDUPTHELUTE
#2 FACE
#7 HOWABOUTWE
#4 S S DIXIE

#1 ROUNDUPTHELUTE takes a class drop (-11), and is the overall speed and pace profile leader in this claiming field this afternoon sprinting at today's "specialized distance" of 7.0 furlongs on the dirt, and has produced a quartet of "POWER RUNS" in his last five starts, facing better company in each of those "adventures" than he will face in this field today. Jockey Cornelio Velasquez and Trainer David Jacobson send him to the post for the "Wednesday Opener" ... they've hit the board with 55% of more than 225 entries saddled as a team to date. #2 FACE, has hit the board in "POWER RUN FASHION" in two of his last three outiongs, including a "POWER RUN WIN" to break his maiden in his "first asking."

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

SPOT PLAYS

For Wednesday


TRACK (RACE) HORSE, MORNING LINE


Belmont Park (7th) Majestic Jessica, 7-2
(8th) Fashion Fund, 4-1


Delaware Park (1st) Casalinga, 8-1
(4th) King's Obsession, 6-1


Evangeline Downs (2nd) Teddy Roosevelt, 6-1
(7th) My Ronnie's On, 6-1


Gulfstream Park (3rd) Artiebabe, 7-2
(4th) Pure Talent, 3-1


Hastings (4th) Mr. Bowling, 3-1
(7th) C. A. Miss, 9-2


Indiana Grand (3rd) Smooth Caramel, 9-2
(8th) Kela's Boy, 4-1


Louisiana Downs (4th) Red Pistol, 5-1
(5th) Crazy Darrel, 6-1


Mountaineer (2nd) Ridge Dance, 5-1
(9th) Polyushko, 5-1


Penn National (1st) Literary Lady, 7-2
(7th) Rebel Spy, 3-1


Presque Isle Downs (1st) Pronunciation, 6-1
(2nd) Raffie's Delight, 5-1


Tampa Bay Downs (6th) Bo's Bullet, 7-2
(7th) Houngun, 4-1


Thistledown (1st) Teddy's Prayer, 7-2
(6th) I Wish, 4-1


Woodbine (6th) Light My Path, 3-1
(9th) Precarious, 3-1