Wednesday 4/26/17 service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Trends - Atlanta at Washington


ATS Trends


Atlanta
•Hawks are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win.
• Hawks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
• Hawks are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 1 days rest.
• Hawks are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
• Hawks are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
• Hawks are 8-17 ATS in their last 25 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
• Hawks are 6-13 ATS in their last 19 vs. NBA Southeast.
• Hawks are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 Wednesday games.
• Hawks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games.



Washington
•Wizards are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
• Wizards are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.
• Wizards are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 Conference Quarterfinals games.
• Wizards are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
• Wizards are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
• Wizards are 7-18-1 ATS in their last 26 games playing on 1 days rest.
• Wizards are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up loss.
• Wizards are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
• Wizards are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games following a ATS loss.


OU Trends


Atlanta
•Under is 8-0 in Hawks last 8 Wednesday games.
• Under is 7-1-1 in Hawks last 9 games playing on 1 days rest.
• Under is 15-5-1 in Hawks last 21 vs. NBA Southeast.
• Under is 3-1-1 in Hawks last 5 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
• Under is 11-4-1 in Hawks last 16 road games.
• Under is 18-7-1 in Hawks last 26 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
• Under is 15-6-1 in Hawks last 22 Conference Quarterfinals games.
• Under is 10-4-1 in Hawks last 15 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
• Under is 9-4-1 in Hawks last 14 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
• Under is 9-4 in Hawks last 13 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.



Washington
•Over is 5-1-1 in Wizards last 7 Conference Quarterfinals games.
• Over is 8-2 in Wizards last 10 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
• Over is 16-5 in Wizards last 21 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
• Under is 3-1-1 in Wizards last 5 games playing on 1 days rest.
• Over is 3-1-1 in Wizards last 5 overall.
• Over is 3-1-1 in Wizards last 5 games following a straight up loss.
• Over is 3-1-1 in Wizards last 5 vs. Eastern Conference.
• Over is 3-1-1 in Wizards last 5 vs. NBA Southeast.
• Over is 3-1-1 in Wizards last 5 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
• Over is 18-7-1 in Wizards last 26 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
• Over is 17-7 in Wizards last 24 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
• Over is 7-3 in Wizards last 10 home games.


Head to Head


•Favorite is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.
• Home team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.
• Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Washington.
• Hawks are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Washington.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Trends - Chicago at Boston


ATS Trends


Chicago
•Bulls are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
• Bulls are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
• Bulls are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up loss.
• Bulls are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss.
• Bulls are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
• Bulls are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 road games.
• Bulls are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
• Bulls are 22-8 ATS in their last 30 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
• Bulls are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games playing on 2 days rest.
• Bulls are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
• Bulls are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 Wednesday games.



Boston
•Celtics are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 Wednesday games.
• Celtics are 8-18 ATS in their last 26 games following a straight up win.
• Celtics are 6-18 ATS in their last 24 games playing on 2 days rest.
• Celtics are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
• Celtics are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
• Celtics are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
• Celtics are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 home games.


OU Trends


Chicago
•Over is 7-0 in Bulls last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
• Over is 4-0 in Bulls last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
• Over is 4-1 in Bulls last 5 games playing on 2 days rest.
• Under is 4-1 in Bulls last 5 Wednesday games.
• Under is 4-1 in Bulls last 5 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
• Under is 7-2 in Bulls last 9 overall.
• Under is 7-2 in Bulls last 9 vs. Eastern Conference.
• Under is 6-2 in Bulls last 8 vs. NBA Atlantic.
• Under is 6-2 in Bulls last 8 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
• Under is 5-2 in Bulls last 7 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
• Under is 5-2 in Bulls last 7 Conference Quarterfinals games.
• Over is 7-3 in Bulls last 10 road games.
• Under is 7-3 in Bulls last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
• Under is 40-18 in Bulls last 58 games following a ATS loss.
• Under is 35-16 in Bulls last 51 games following a straight up loss.



Boston
•Under is 5-1-1 in Celtics last 7 games following a straight up win.
• Under is 4-1 in Celtics last 5 games playing on 2 days rest.
• Over is 6-2-1 in Celtics last 9 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
• Under is 23-8 in Celtics last 31 Conference Quarterfinals games.
• Under is 8-3-1 in Celtics last 12 vs. NBA Central.
• Under is 7-3-1 in Celtics last 11 Wednesday games.


Head to Head


•Over is 21-7 in the last 28 meetings in Boston.
• Under is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings.
• Favorite is 9-3 ATS in the last 12 meetings.
• Road team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Stephen Nover

Giants +105

The Giants are banged-up, but the pitching matchup clearly is their favor making them worthy of being a home 'dog.

Dodgers starter Alex Wood is a borderline rotation starter. He didn't look good in his last start giving up four runs and seven hits while failing to finish the fifth inning this past Friday at Arizona. Lifetime against the Giants, Wood is 0-2 with a 6.89 ERA. LA is 0-5 in Wood's last five starts.

By contrast, Johnny Cueto is an elite pitcher. He has a career 2.74 ERA versus the Dodgers in 13 starts, including going 3-1 with a 2.67 ERA against them last season.

Cueto is on his normal four days rest. The Giants are 17-4 the past 21 times Cueto has pitched on four days rest.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Bob Balfe

Twins/Rangers Under 9

Texas is one of the worst teams in baseball at one base percentage against left handed pitching. If you can’t get on base you can’t score runs. I think the Rangers will be held in check on the scoreboard today and of course Cole Hamels is always delivers a solid performance on the mound. Look for this to be a low scoring game.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Jack Brayman

My complimentary winner is on the streaking Detroit Tigers, who have won three in a row. And even with the winning, the oddsmakers are making the Seattle Mariners a favorite.

I like the home underdog here, as Detroit boasts one of the top offenses thus far, hitting .256, which ranks seventh in the league. Its 103 runs scored this season is fifth-best in the bigs.

And, the Tigers' .284 home batting average is fourth-best by teams in their own ballpark.

On the other hand, Seattle is hitting a paltry .225 on the highway.

Take the home pup.

5* TIGERS

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

CHASE DIAMOND

Philadelphia +105

This game has the 10-8 Miami and the 9-9 Phillies. Phillies have been playing good baseball lately winning 4 straight and will take on a Miami team first game back from a west coast swing. Velasquez has good stuff but has yet to put together a good start and I think tonight will be the night love the value of the line in this one. We will back the Phillies for a 15* winner tonight.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Bruce Marshall

Chicago at Boston
Pick: Under

Do not recall a series turning around so completely based upon the availability of one player who is normally not the most important component for his team. But minus Rajon Rondo for the past two games, and , apparently, for tonight's Game Five, Chicago has been lost offensively. The Bulls had to scramble just to get to 95 points in Game Four, and note the Celtics are "under" 18-10 their last 28 games and Bulls "under" 16-10 their last 26 (most of those with Rondo).

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Bobby Wing
Apr 26 '17, 7:10 PM
MLB | Yankees vs Red Sox
Play on: Red Sox -115 at 5Dimes

1 Unit Free Pick: Red Sox -115

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Hunter Price
Apr 26 '17, 8:40 PM
MLB | Nationals vs Rockies
Play on: Rockies -105 at BMaker

1* Free Pick on Rockies -105

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

The Last Call

Wednesday's Bonus Play: Miami Marlins - 111

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Top Dog LB

MLB BLUE JAYS +170

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Top Shelf Sports Pick

NBA WIZARDS ‑250

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Mikey Money

MLB MARINERS ‑125

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Ace / Line Beaters

NBA CELTICS ‑8

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Tys Terrific Tips

NBA WIZARDS ‑6

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

MLB Daily Line Drive: Wednesday's Picks, Betting Odds and Analysis

Double-Play Picks

Tampa Bay Rays at Baltimore Orioles (-140, 8)

The Orioles send red-hot Dylan Bundy to the mound in hopes of taking the rubber-match of a three game series against the visiting Rays.

Bundy is finally looking like the prospect who was so highly touted for all those years in the Orioles organization. The 24-year-old right hander is 3-1 in his four starts this season, pitching to a 1.37 ERA and a .987 WHIP and the best part is he has gotten stronger as the season has gone on.

Bundy has given up zero earned runs in 13 innings pitched with nine strikeouts and two walks in his last two outings.

Meanwhile for the Rays, Alex Cobb has been struggling. The right-hander has had trouble keeping runners off the base paths, pitching to a 1.589 WHIP and a 5.89 ERA in his last three starts which has resulted in the Rays dropping his last three starts.

Additionally, Will Little will be calling balls and strikes in this one. The home team is 10-1 in Little’s last 11 games behind home plate when Baltimore plays.

Pick: Orioles -140

Minnesota Twins at Texas Rangers (-150, 9)

The Twins will attempt to sweep away the Rangers when they close out a three-game series in Texas Wednesday night. Here’s hoping we don’t go to the well too many times in this series, but it’s hard to pass up.

As noted yesterday, the biggest problem for the Rangers this season seems to be their approach at the plate. They are not scoring if they aren’t hitting home runs and surprise, surprise, the one-run they scored in last night’s 8-1 drubbing was via the long ball.

Texas ranks fourth in the bigs in home runs, but are 28th in batting average and 16th in scoring. The result has been them going Under in 10 of their last 12 games.

Making things tougher on Rangers batters they face Twins’ lefty Hector Santiago. The 29-year-old has had a great start to the season, pitching to a 2.19 ERA with 17 strikeouts and four walks in his four starts this season.

Luckily for Texas, they send Cole Hamels to the mound. The veteran has pitched well this season, throwing to a 2.77 ERA and is coming off an eight-inning, three hit performance in a 3-1 win over the Royals.

Pick: Under 9

Yesterday's Picks 1-0-1
Season to date: 12-11-1


Streaking and Slumping Starting Pitchers

Streaking: Tanner Roark, Washington Nationals (2-0, 3.65 ERA, $155)

Tanner Roark isn't exactly the flashiest name on today's starting pitching list. How does the Nationals' big righty stand out from the likes of Hamels, Lester, and Thor? Consistency.

Roark hasn't allowed more than three earned runs in any of his four starts this season. He owns a Team W/L record of 3-1 with the one loss coming in his best outing of 2017 (7 IP, 4 H, 2 ER, 0 BB) in a 4-2 Nats loss against the Phillies.

Ground balls, ground balls, ground balls. Roark owns a 5.75/1 GB/FB ratio over his last two starts - that sounds like a recipe for success when faced with a start at Coors Field.

Slumping: Vince Velasquez, Philadelphia Phillies (0-2, 7.20 ERA, -$317)

Philadelphia Phillies' starter Vince Velasquez is not the worst starting pitcher in Major League Baseball, but if you just look at his numbers over the last two seasons you might think that he is.

In 15 innings this season he is 0-2 with a 7.20 ERA and an Opponents On Base Percentage of .377. Those numbers are bad, but the really alarming numbers come to the surface when you look at his Team W/L record. He had a decent start to the 2016 season, but from July of last year until now the Phillies are 1-11 in games that have been started by Velasquez - that's a winning percentage of 8.33 percent over his last 12 starts!

Wednesday’s Top Trends

* The Tigers are 8-1 in their last 9 games vs. a left-handed starter. +125 today vs. Paxton and the M's.
* The Phillies are 1-11 in Vince Velasquez' last 12 starts. -105 today vs. Marlins.
* Under is 8-0 in the the Rangers' last 8 home games. Total today vs. Twins is set at 9.
* The Cardinals are 1-10 in their last 10 interleague home games. -190 today vs Blue Jays.

Weather to Keep an Eye on

After Tuesday's wild conditions in the Northeast wiped out a few games things look much better in that region today. Rain will impact the Kansas City Royals and the Chicago White Sox on the South Side of Chicago with a chance of thunderstorms this afternoon and a 40 percent chance of rain. There will also be rain in St. Louis where the Cardinals are scheduled to entertain the Toronto Blue Jays - a 90 percent chance of rain with the possibility of thunderstorms means this one could get bumped.

There should be a nice hitter's wind today in Arlington for the Twins at Rangers game (10-15 MPH out to center) and in Cleveland for the Astros and Indians (10-15 MPH out to left-center).

UMP of the Day

Ed Hickox: Hickox has drawn the home plate assignment for tonight's game between the Chicago Cubs and the Pirates in Pittsburgh. In three games behind the plate this season, Hickox owns a 3-0 Under record and the Under has cashed in six of his last seven dating back to last season. In those three games calling balls and strikes thus far in 2017, Mr. Hickox has a runs per game average of only 5.0. Jon Lester should enjoy getting an extra four inches on the outside corner today. The total for the Cubs and Pirates is set at 8.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

MLB
Short Sheet

Wednesday, April 26

Cincinnati at Milwaukee, 1:40 PM ET
Davis: CINCINNATI is 52-46 SU in road games after allowing 7 runs or more 2 straight games
Peralta: MILWAUKEE is 69-45 OVER after 3 or more consecutive home games

Chicago at Pittsburgh, 7:05 PM ET
Lester: CHICAGO CUBS are 25-8 SU on the road with a money line of -100 to -150
Glasnow: PITTSBURGH is 7-19 SU after a one run loss

Miami at Philadelphia, 7:05 PM ET
Chen: MIAMI is 29-19 SU in road games after 3 or more consecutive road games
Velasquez: PHILADELPHIA is 147-122 OVER as an underdog of +100 or higher

Atlanta at NY Mets, 7:10 PM ET
Teheran: ATLANTA is 31-33 SU in road games in night games
Syndergaard: NY METS are 14-4 OVER in home games after a game where they stranded 3 or less runners on base

Washington at Colorado, 8:40 PM ET
Roark: 20-5 SU in road games when playing on Wednesday
Chatwood: 20-9 UNDER in all games

San Diego at Arizona, 9:40 PM ET
Cahill: SAN DIEGO is 34-21 OVER after 2 or more consecutive losses
Godley: ARIZONA is 10-2 SU in home games

LA Dodgers at San Francisco, 10:15 PM ET
Wood: LA DODGERS are 9-21 SU on the road when the money line is +125 to -125
Cueto: SAN FRANCISCO is 28-12 UNDER as a home underdog of +100 or higher

Houston at Cleveland, 6:10 PM ET
Mccullers Jr: HOUSTON is 11-1 SU against right-handed starters
Bauer: CLEVELAND is 42-24 OVER at home when the total is 8 to 8.5

Tampa Bay at Baltimore, 7:05 PM ET
Cobb: TAMPA BAY is 27-13 OVER as a road underdog of +100 to +150
Bundy: BALTIMORE is 7-0 SU after scoring and allowing 3 runs or less

NY Yankees at Boston, 7:10 PM ET
Severino: NY YANKEES are 13-31 SU in road games against division opponents
Porcello: 47-22 SU after 2 straight games where they committed no errors

Seattle at Detroit, 7:10 PM ET
Seattle: SEATTLE is 55-41 OVER as a favorite of -110 or higher
Detroit: DETROIT is 21-5 SU after scoring 9 runs or more

Minnesota at Texas, 8:05 PM ET
Santiago: MINNESOTA is 31-15 OVER after having won 2 of their last 3 games
Hamels: 22-6 TSR as a favorite of -125 to -175

Kansas City at Chicago, 2:10 PM ET
Karns: KANSAS CITY is 18-7 UNDER after batting .225 or worse over a 5 game span
Quintana: CHI WHITE SOX are 27-17 SU in April games

Oakland at LA Angels, 10:05 PM ET
Manaea: OAKLAND is 16-6 UNDER after 6 consecutive games versus division rivals
Shoemaker: LA ANGELS are 12-2 SU in home games after allowing 1 run or less

Toronto at St Louis, 8:15 PM ET
Latos: TORONTO is 4-11 SU when the total is 8 to 8.5
Martinez: ST LOUIS is 74-47 UNDER in home games against right-handed starters