When I see bulls and ats soccer I look at their games and cap them myself. I see I can get monaco/ajaccio o2 at -150 and lyon/lille o2 at -140. These are the only 2 I have looked at so far. I love both of them at 2 as I see both of these games at least push.
Monaco has only been shut out once in the last 10 matches and that was against Marseille,who has shut out their opponent 7 of their last 10 matches. Monaco has only shut their opponent out once in last 10 matches and that was against Grenoble who has only scored 15 goals in 26 matches, so not the best offensive team. Monaco has scored a goal in their previous 7 away matches and only shut out their opponent in one of those 7 matches. Ajaccio has scored at least 1 goal in 4 of previous 7 matches, but has conceaded at least 1 goal in 10 of their 12 home matches. They have conceaded 42 goals this season with 16 of those being in their 12 home matches. I love the odds at o2.
The Lyon/Lille match at o2 I love even more. One thing is Lille has shut out their opponent 3 of the last 4 matches. But, those 3 matches were against teams who rank 10th, 17th, and 18th in goals forced out of the 20 teams. So not great offensive teams. Now they play a Lyon team who has forced 36 goals(4th in league) in 26 matches. Lyon's 13 away matches, 3 have only been greater than 2 and 3 pushing at 2. Lille 8 of 13 home matches have been greater than 2 with 3 pushing. So with Lille at home, 11 of their 13 matches have at least been a push at 2. Lille has scored in every home match(13 matches, 25 goals) and has shutout their opponent in only 4 of those 13 matches. Playing a Lyon team who has scored at least 1 goal in 9 of their 13 away matches and scored in their last 5 away matches(and also scoring in the last 7 matches overall). Lille has conceaded a goal at home in previous 5 of 6 home games. I predict Lyon 2-1, this game at worst is push at o2.
I am checking out the Barcelona/Mallorca, I did look over it and kind of skeptical at o2.5. Barcelon is an over machine, going o2.5 19 of their 25 Spanish Primera matches. They are coming off a loss and being up 2-0 at one point. I think they come out and dominate this game. This is Spanish Copa del Rey and it is the 8th game with the o/u going 3-4 and o/u only 1-2 in away matches. They played at Mallorca and previous match was at home winning 2-0. Mallorca last 5 Spanish Primera matches have gone u2.5, although this is not Spanish Preimera. I might stay away from this match.
Man City last 5 matches have gone under 2.5, and 4 of those 5 were away. In their 13 home matches, they have scored at least 2 goals in 7 of those, but they have only given up 12 goals in the 13 home matches. Villa last 5 matches, 4 have been under 2.5. In the 12 away matches they have only failed to score twice and scoring at least 2 goals in 8 of the 10 matches they scored in. Both these teams rank in the top 5 for Goals Forced in the league of 20 with 66% of Man City goals scored being at home and 53% of Villa goals scored being away. Villa has shut out their opponent in 4 of the last 5 away matches but, all 4 of those opponents have scored less than 30 goals all season and rank in the lower half of goals forced in the league. This is compared to Man City who has 43 goals forced this season. Man City has scored at least a goal in their previous 4 home games. I like the odds at -110 and with both teams having 4 of their last 5 games under 2.5 and both being in the top 5 in goals forced, I see they finally break out with Man City being at home I see them scoring at least 2 goals and with Villa track record, they at least put up 1 goal at Man City.