Wednesday 2/8/12 service plays chatter/comps/requests & gm strategy...

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Lookin for some swoop,kelso,power play wins, and some james boyd
 

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Mr. Jason Sharpe **Steps out Today in the NBA** (G.O.W.) if anyone gets a peek,,,Thanks to ALLLL,,,Rob
 
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Nelly

Minnesota + over Memphis

The Wolves gutted out a narrow win at home over Sacramento last night in the first game without Kevin Love. They face a tough situation tonight in a second of back-to-back games against a solid Memphis team but Minnesota has won four of the last five games and last night rookie Derrick Williams along with center Nikola Pekovic stepped up in a big way to fill the void. Minnesota is 7-3 ATS on the road this season as oddly the Wolves have been a better team statistically on offense and defense away from home. Memphis has owned the recent history of this series with five consecutive wins but this was a very tight game when these teams met just over a month ago. Minnesota had 17 turnovers and Memphis had a big edge at the free throw line to squeeze out a four-point victory. Many expected Memphis to take another step forward this season after a great playoff run last year but the Grizzlies sit with a 12-13 record, worse than Minnesota's mark. The Grizzlies had a solid start but have now lost seven of the last nine games. The schedule has been a very tough of late but Memphis has even struggled in recent home games. They faced a big game with the Spurs on Monday, a series that now has some heat to it after last year's playoff upset from Memphis. The Grizzlies lost to the Spurs for the third time this season however which could set up a bit of a letdown spot. Minnesota has gone 5-3 ATS in back-to-back games this season so the situation should not be as difficult as it looks and this team has adequate depth to fill in for Love’s absence. This line has been inflated to account for the suspension but keep in mind the Grizzlies are already missing their best player with Zach Randolph's injury and Tony Allen could also miss tonight’s game. Beating Sacramento is not overly impressive but it should build confidence for a Wolves group sans its star and Minnesota can hang close in tonight's game with excellent underdog value.
<hr>Scott Rickenbach

L.A. Clippers @ Cleveland
PICK: L.A. Clippers -6.5

Things don’t slow down in the 66-game NBA schedule. The Cleveland Cavaliers are finding that out the hard way. A night after running out of steam versus the Miami Heat, the Cavs come back home to host perhaps the most athletic squad in the NBA – the Los Angeles Clippers. Cleveland has had a busy week, highlighted by an upset win over the NBA champion Dallas Mavericks which seems to be the Cavs’ ceiling. After posting some solid wins against the spread, Cleveland is starting to come down, failing to cover in two their last three outings. One team that’s always on the rise – on and off the court – are the Clippers. Los Angeles opened its six-game road trip with back-to-back SU and ATS wins, most recently beating the Orlando Magic 107-102 in ovetime as a 1-point road favorite. Now, the Clippers look to exploit a dinged-up Cavaliers backcourt, missing Daniel Gibson, and a smaller Cleveland frontcourt. The Cavs don’t have much beef inside, with Anderson Varejao as their only true banger in the paint. Cleveland’s finesse forwards, like Antawn Jamison and Omri Casspi, will struggle to contain the Clippers athletically freakish combo of Blake Griffin and DeAndre Jordan, who should have a field day inside the key Wednesday night. Look for Los Angeles’ physical forwards to exploit a tired Cavs squad.
<hr>Dave Cokin

So Mississippi vs UAB
Pick: UAB

Southern Mississippi is the better team, but this is a very dangerous spot for the Golden Eagles. They haven't played since the thrilling win over Memphis in a game they really wanted. UAB just missed upsetting this team in Hattiesburg, and the Blazers have shown improvement of late. I like the home dog tonight.
<hr>Jim Feist

Duke vs North Carolina
Pick: Under

A big ACC showdown and marquee games like this often bring out the best defensively in both teams with so much at stake. The under is 6-0 in the Blue Devils last 6 against a team with a winning record and 7-3 under the total in their last 10 road games. Both these teams can play defense and note that the under is 6-0 in the Tar Heels last 6 vs. a team with a winning record, as well as 31-14 under the total in their last 45 against the ACC. And when these teams meet the under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in North Carolina, as well as 6-0 under in the last 6 meetings. Play Duke/North Carolina under the total.
<hr>Hollywood Sports

Louisiana State at Vanderbilt
Prediction: Louisiana State

The Tigers (13-9) snapped their three-game losing streak by defeating Arkansas by a 71-65 score on Saturday. LSU has now covered the spread in 12 of their last contests against teams with a winning record. The Tigers have also covered 7 of their last 9 games on the road. Vanderbilt (16-7) looks to rebound from a two-game losing streak that culminated in their 73-65 loss at Florida on Saturday. The Commodores will be hard pressed to cover the double-digit point spread in this one as they have failed to cover the spread in 4 straight games against teams with a winning record. Vandy has not enjoyed much of a home court advantage as of late since they have failed to cover the spread in 11 of their last 14 games on their home court. Additionally, while LSU is just 3-5 on the road this season, the Commodores have failed to cover the spread in 6 of their last 8 home games against teams with a losing record on the road. Vanderbilt has proven themselves vulnerable to teams that can force turnovers as they are 10th in the SEC by turning the ball over in 22.1% of their possessions. LSU is 38th in Division I by forcing turnovers in 23.5% of their opponent's possessions. The Tigers should keep this one within single digits. Take LSU plus the points in this one.
 
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Scott Spreitzer

Indiana Pacers at Atlanta Hawks
Prediction: Atlanta Hawks

No arguing which team has been in better current form, but I expect the Hawks to salvage the final game of their 4-game homestand. Atlanta has dropped 3 straight at Philips Arena after winning 8 of their first 9. Not having Al Horford on the floor has certainly hampered this team's progress, but I'm betting they're catching the Pacers at the right moment. First of all, Joe Johnson understands he must pick up the slack and he has dominated the Pacers, averaging over 23 ppg in 9 outings. His team has covered each their last 4 home meetings with Indiana and they're 8-1 SU in Johnson's 9 career outings. Indiana's starters had to spend some energy last night, holding on for a 5-point win over Utah. The Pacers enter this one having covered just 6 of their last 24 when playing with no days off between games. The Pacers stomped Atlanta in the most recent meeting, which puts the Hawks in a solid 55-27 ATS league-wide situation. You play on favorites when they're in revenge of a double-digit road loss, providing both teams are playing .600 to .750 basketball. This is an important night for the Hawks and I believe they'll come through with a spread covering win. I'm laying the points with Atlanta on Wednesday.
<hr>Marc Lawrence

LSU @ Vanderbilt
PICK: LSU

The improved Bengals (12-9), who have already won more games this year than they did all of last season (11-21), were sent packing from the SEC tourney by the Commodores in 2011. Not only does series history (11-7 ATS, including 7-4 ATS with revenge) suggest payback is in order tonight in Memorial Gym but so does Vandy’s 1-4 ATS log at home versus a conference foe with last-season tourney revenge. Better yet for LSU backers is the fact that the third-place Commies arrive in the middle of a second-place Florida/first-place Kentucky revenge sandwich. Expect Vandy’s energy to be sapped after Saturday's loss in Gainesville here in Nashville tonight… at least that’s what their 3-7 ATS log after focusing on Florida tells us. A solid take. We recommend a 1-unit play on LSU.
<hr>Sean Murphy

Drake @ Illinois State
PICK: Under 130

We won with the 'over' in the first matchup between these two teams this season, but even after a 74-point first half, it didn't come easy, as we needed a late scoring flurry to cash our ticket.

Drake finds itself in a tough spot right now, with arguably its best player, Ben Simons, sidelined with mono.

The Bulldogs didn't fare well in their first game without their star, scoring a season-low 39 points in a blowout loss to Missouri State on Saturday. Keep in mind, they had struggled in their previous game as well, putting up only 54 points in a loss at Indiana State.

This isn't an ideal spot for the Drake offense to bounce back, as Illinois State has proven to be a tough defensive foe at home, where it allows just 56.9 points per game on 37.4% shooting.

I've called the Redbirds a 'flaky' team on more than one occasion this season, due to their inconsistent nature. They're coming off back-to-back solid performances offensively, although one of those came in a runaway win for Creighton one week ago tonight (we cashed with the Blue Jays in that 28-point rout).

It's worth noting that the Redbirds have scored over 70 points in back-to-back games, as they've yet to accomplish that feat in three consecutive contests this season.

70 could be a key number for Illinois State in this one, at least as far as the total is concerned.

Note that the Redbirds have broken the 70-point barrier only once in their last four home games, and that came on Saturday against Bradley, the worst team in the Missouri Valley Conference. That contest still only reached 126 total points, as Illinois State put forth a terrific defensive effort, holding the Braves to only 48 points.

I say that 70 points will be a key number in relation to the total, as I don't expect Drake to break 60. It's been a struggle for the Bulldogs to get into the 60s on the road in MVC play at the best of times this season. Now without Simons in the lineup, that task becomes even tougher. Note that the 'under' is 4-1-1 in Drake's six conference road games so far this season.

The 'over' has cashed in each of the last four meetings in this series, but we're dealing with a different set of circumstances tonight. Drake knows that scoring is going to be an issue, and should do all it can to keep the number of possessions down in this one.

Illinois State doesn't mind playing that type of game, as despite what we've seen over its last two contests, it is by no means an offensive powerhouse. The Redbirds have held the opposition to 54 points or less in three of their last four wins. Strong defensive play has been a key to any success they've had this season.
<hr>Nick "The BookieKiller" Parsons

Flames @ Sharks
PICK: Over

For a number of different reasons I believe the value in this contest is on the "over":

The Calgary Flames are 24-22-3-4 overall this year; they're 14-8-1-1 at home and just 10-14-2-3 on the road; they're coming off a 3-2 shootout loss at Anaheim on Sunday, which was on the heels of a 3-1 win over the Blackhawks at home three nights previous.

The O/U is 19-31-3.

“We had a couple of chances to win, but it’s not easy with their goalie,” Flames netminder Mikka Kiprusoff said.

Calgary remains just three points out of a playoff spot though with 29-games left in the season, and captain Jerome Iginla believe's his team has a legitimate shot at finally making it to the post-season after missing for two years straight:

"We've played Detroit," Iginla reasoned. "We've played Vancouver. We've played San Jose. And we've played them lately. And while we respect them, we definitely feel we can beat them ...

"I like it in Calgary. I believe we can be in the playoffs and have a shot."

On the other bench: The Sharks are 29-15-3-3 overall this year, including 17-8-2-0 at home and 12-7-1-3 on the road; after three straight victories, they're coming off a 5-3 loss at Phoenix on Saturday.

The O/U is 23-27-0.

“It wasn’t lack of offense,” said Sharks coach Todd McLellan. “We had a number of chances and ended up with three at the end. We were not competitive at the times we needed to be competitive.”

Bottom line: Both teams push the pace of this game after lacklustre efforts; you may want to consider a second look at the "over" in this contest.
<hr>David Chan

Hurricanes @ Ducks
PICK: Under

I bet value where I see it and expect this to be a tightly checked, low-scoring affair.

The 20-25-9 Carolina Hurricanes storm into Anaheim to take on the 20-24-8 Ducks.

Carolina is coming off a hard-fought 2-1 win over Los Angeles on Saturday.

It was Jeff Skinner's goal 3:02 into the final frame that was the difference; Jiri Tlutsy also tallied a marker, while goaltender Cam Ward had 24-saves:

“They came out ready to play, and it seemed like they had a step on us in the first period,” Ward said. “We weren’t too pleased with it after the first intermission, but once again, we were able to turn it around. We knew that they had some travel, so we made it difficult on them in the second and third.”

Note that Carolina entered that game with a brutal 1-13-0 record when trailing in the first period.

Also note that Ward had posted a stellar 1.88 GAA over his previous 10-home contests.

The Ducks on the other hand are coming off a 3-2 win over the Flames on Monday night.

Niklas Hagman finally beat Mikka Kiprusoff in the eighth round of the shootout:

“He’s a goalie I have practiced a lot against,” said Hagman, who used to play for the Flames. “I don’t have that many moves, and he knows my go-to moves. I tried to switch a little bit. I wanted to come with good speed and shoot it. Luckily for me, he probably thought I was going to go with my backhand.”

Jonas Hiller had 24-saves:

“We really needed those two points,” said Hiller. “It wasn’t an easy game. Both teams played really hard. It was about time we won a shootout.”

Two low-scoring, hard-hitting teams going head to head, with above average goaltenders; all signs point to a low-scoring affair!
 

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Any Larry Ness G.O.M in NBA and NCAA????
Thanks and GLTA
 

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Is His NHL Play today Larger????? I dont see that on his site,,,thanks,,Rob*****
ROBERT FERRINGO


NHL:
Carolina (+130) over Anaheim (10:05 pm, Wednesday, February 8)
 

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Is it a coincidence that therealswoop14's picks seem to always overlap with Leiner's? Especially the larger picks with the exception of the super bowl?
 

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the real swoop14

notre dame ov 126
jacksonville +5.5
pittsburgh -3

I feel like we should just call him Leiner Jr. Dude has had almost every pick Leiner had and always seems to post after. I'd like to see his picks before Leiners. It also seems he is now taking Indian Cowboy's picks and using them as his own. Guy finds a hot picker and uses them as his own while charging people. Get outta here
 

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First Half Sports has been abysmal this month and now they are trying to recoup the losses with a 50 dime play tonight on Kent State/Eastern Michigan. Will be interesting how their card plays out tonight.

Winners Only is your sub for them still good? I know you posted their plays on the weekend.
 

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Is it a coincidence that therealswoop14's picks seem to always overlap with Leiner's? Especially the larger picks with the exception of the super bowl?

That's what I noticed too... scam artist at its best
 

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First Half Sports has been abysmal this month and now they are trying to recoup the losses with a 50 dime play tonight on Kent State/Eastern Michigan. Will be interesting how their card plays out tonight.

Winners Only is your sub for them still good? I know you posted their plays on the weekend.
They have been worse than abysmal. They have been very bad.
 

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LoL...isn't abysmal worse than very bad? But if you look at their entire record you are up, which is what matters most. It does hurt to put it all back this month though if you are.
 

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