STATSYSTEMS SPORTS STAT/SHEETS, 2/26/14
NATIONAL BASKETBALL ASSOCIATION
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
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***** Wednesday, 2/26/14 NBA Information *****
(ALL RESULTS ATS) - Against The Spread - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Each and every day during the 2013-14 National Basketball Association season we will analyze all of your daily basketball action, featuring all our Highly-Rated (Situational & Match-up) Power Trends, along with some of our Situational Analysis (Betting Systems) that pertain to some of that days match-ups.
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Betting Notes - Wednesday
•Hot Teams
-- Warriors won last four games, all by 9 or less points. Chicago won six of its last seven games.
-- Mavericks won nine of their last eleven games.
-- Grizzlies won four of their last five games.
-- Spurs won three of last four games, are 10-16 versus spread at home.
-- Portland won last three games, by 8-11-5 points. Nets won six of their last nine games.
-- Rockets won ten of their last eleven games. Clippers won five of their last seven games.
•Cold Teams
-- Orlando lost five of last six games; they've lost 16 in row on road, are 0-15-1 versus spread. 76ers lost last 11 games.
-- Hawks lost nine of their last ten games. Boston lost last five games.
-- Pelicans lost six of their last seven games.
-- Lakers lost six of their last seven games (2-5 vs. spread).
-- Oklahoma City lost last two home games, covered one of last four at home. Cavaliers lost last three games, by 7-13-6 points.
-- Pistons lost five of their last six games.
-- Utah lost three of its last four games. Suns lost their last two games, by 9-3 points.
•Totals
-- Four of last five Orlando games went over the total.
-- Last five Atlanta games went over the total.
-- Five of last six Golden State games stayed under.
-- Five of last six Dallas games went over the total.
-- Four of last five Laker games went over the total.
-- Last six Cleveland games stayed under the total.
-- Eight of last ten Detroit games went over the total.
-- Four of last five Utah games went over the total.
-- Seven of last ten Brooklyn-Portland games went over.
-- Four of last five Houston games went over total.
•Series Records
-- 76ers lost six of last eight games with Orlando.
-- Celtics won eight of last eleven games with Atlanta.
-- Home side won eight of last nine Warrior-Bull games; Golden State lost its last four visits to Chicago.
-- Mavericks won their last six games with New Orleans.
-- Lakers lost four of last six games with Memphis.
-- Thunder lost six of last nine games with Cleveland.
-- Pistons lost last three visits to Alamo by 20-7-39 points.
-- Suns lost three of last four visits to Utah.
-- Nets lost seven of last ten games with Portland.
-- Clippers won seven of last eight games with Houston.
•Situational Trends of The Day
-- DALLAS is 18-3 ATS (+14.7 Units) after 4 straight games where both teams scored 100 points or more since 1996.
The average score was DALLAS 109.7, OPPONENT 100.9.
-- DETROIT is 18-3 OVER (+14.7 Units) when playing 6 or more games in 10 days this season.
The average score was DETROIT 102.5, OPPONENT 103.3.
-- SAN ANTONIO is 24-7 (+16.3 Units) against the 1rst half line in home games after scoring 35 points or less in the first half last game since 1996.
The average score was SAN ANTONIO 49.5, OPPONENT 40.5.
-- NEW ORLEANS is 15-2 UNDER (+12.8 Units) the 1rst half total in road games after 1 or more consecutive losses this season.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 46.1, OPPONENT 47.9.
-- GREGG POPOVICH is 40-16 (+22.4 Units) against the 1rst half line after scoring 35 points or less in the first half last game as the coach of SAN ANTONIO.
The average score was POPOVICH 48.2, OPPONENT 41.9.
•Matchup Trends of The Day
-- GOLDEN STATE is 13-1 ATS (+11.9 Units) versus teams who average 53 or more rebounds/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was GOLDEN STATE 107.1, OPPONENT 99.8.
-- LA CLIPPERS are 15-2 OVER (+12.8 Units) in home games versus teams who average 53 or more rebounds/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was LA CLIPPERS 112.8, OPPONENT 100.0.
-- ORLANDO is 8-24 (-18.4 Units) against the 1rst half line versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=24 free throws/game this season.
The average score was ORLANDO 46.7, OPPONENT 52.9.
-- HOUSTON is 17-1 OVER (+15.9 Units) the 1rst half total when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was HOUSTON 58.2, OPPONENT 57.5.
-- MARK JACKSON is 15-3 ATS (+11.7 Units) versus teams who average 53 or more rebounds/game - 2nd half of the season as the coach of GOLDEN STATE.
The average score was JACKSON 105.1, OPPONENT 100.9.
•Situation Analysis of The Day
-- Play On - Any team versus the money line (DALLAS) - an excellent offensive team (>=102 PPG) against a poor defensive team (98-102 PPG) after 42+ games, after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a losing record.
(30-5 over the last 5 seasons.) (85.7%, +27.3 units. Rating = 5*)
The average money line posted in these games was: Team underdog with a money line of: +107.7
The average score in these games was: Team 108, Opponent 98.5 (Average point differential = +9.5)
The situation's record this season is: (3-1, +2 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (15-2, +14.1 units).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (66-32, +15.2 units).
--Play On - Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DALLAS) - an excellent offensive team (>=102 PPG) against a poor defensive team (98-102 PPG) after 42+ games, hot team - having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games, extremely well rested team - playing 5 or less games in 14 days.
(32-7 since 1996.) (82.1%, +24.3 units. Rating = 4*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (36-4)
The average line posted in these games was: Team favored by 6.8
The average score in these games was: Team 115.2, Opponent 101.5 (Average point differential = +13.7)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 17 (44.7% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (2-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (4-1).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (13-1).
-- Play Under - Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (OKLAHOMA CITY) - good shooting team (45.5-47.5%) against a poor shooting team (41.5-43.5%) after 42+ games, in a game involving two average rebounding teams (+/-3 reb/game) after 42+ games.
(35-10 since 1996.) (77.8%, +24.7 units. Rating = 3*)
The average total posted in these games was: 205.7
The average score in these games was: Team 106.1, Opponent 95.6 (Total points scored = 201.7)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 18 (40% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (8-1).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (11-2).
-- Play Under - Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (PHOENIX) - an explosive offensive team (>=102 PPG) against an average offensive team (92-98 PPG), after allowing 55 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games.
(31-8 over the last 5 seasons.) (79.5%, +22.2 units. Rating = 3*)
The average total posted in these games was: 208.8
The average score in these games was: Team 101.7, Opponent 99 (Total points scored = 200.7)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 25 (62.5% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (4-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (6-4).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (70-37).
-- Play On - Favorites of 2 to 5.5 points versus the first half line (ORLANDO) - a poor defensive team (98-102 PPG) against a good offensive team (98-102 PPG), after allowing 100 points or more 4 straight games against opponent after trailing their last 3 games by 5+ points at the half.
(30-6 since 1996.) (83.3%, +23.4 units. Rating = 4*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Team favored by 3.7
The average first half score in these games was: Team 57.5, Opponent 47.3 (Average first half point differential = +10.2)
The situation's record this season is: (2-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (6-1).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (11-2).
-- Play Under - Home teams where the first half total is greater than 100 (PHILADELPHIA) - a good offensive team (98-102 PPG) against a poor defensive team (98-102 PPG) after 42+ games, after trailing in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half.
(29-7 since 1996.) (80.6%, +21.3 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 103.8
The average first half score in these games was: Team 49.1, Opponent 46.9 (Total first half points scored = 96.1)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (2-1).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (7-3).
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Wednesday's Match-ups
#701 ORLANDO @ #702 PHILADELPHIA
(TV: 7:00 PM EST, FSN Florida (Orlando), CSN Philadelphia - Line: Magic -3, Total: 213) - Two teams looking to snap long losing streaks meet when the road-weary Orlando Magic visit the Philadelphia 76ers on Wednesday night. The Magic dropped its 16th straight away from home 115-106 against Washington on Tuesday, and Philadelphia has lost 11 consecutive contests overall while allowing an average of 117.4 points. The game will be a showcase for two of the league’s top rookie of the year candidates – Orlando’s Victor Oladipo and Michael Carter-Williams of the 76ers.
The Magic play their third game in four nights and are in search of their first win away from home since Dec. 16, trying to improve on a league-worst 3-27 road record. Orlando is expected to be without leading scorer Arron Afflalo for the third straight game due to an ankle injury. Philadelphia, which beat the Magic 126-125 in double overtime at home Dec. 3, has won only three of its 24 games since Jan. 4.
•ABOUT THE MAGIC (17-42 SU, 24-34-1 ATS): Afflalo scored season-high 43 in the last meeting with the 76ers and has been replaced in the starting lineup by Maurice Harkless, who matched a season high with 22 points Tuesday. Oladipo is averaging 22.3 points over his last three outings and has scored 14 points per game overall. Center Nikola Vucevic has recorded double-doubles in nine of the last 13 games since returning from a concussion, and Tobias Harris is averaging 19.2 points in his last five contests, including 28 at Toronto on Sunday.
•ABOUT THE 76ERS (15-42 SU, 22-35-0 ATS): Philadelphia has put up 222 points combined the last two games and have four players putting up solid numbers on the offensive end lately. Thaddeus Young leads the team in scoring (17.5) and has tallied 28 and 30 in the last two games while Carter-Williams recorded 20.6 points per game the last five and averages 17.3 overall. Tony Wroten has totaled 40 points in the last two contests — averaging 13 on the season — and James Anderson has put up 11.8 per game in the last four.
•PREGAME NOTES: Philadelphia F Danny Granger, acquired from Indiana at the trade deadline, has yet to play for his new team and is reportedly in buyout talks with the 76ers.... Orlando signed C Dewayne Dedmon and G Adonis Thomas to 10-day contracts Tuesday and neither played in their first game.... The Magic are 6-2 in the last eight meetings with Philadelphia — splitting a pair this season — and the teams play in Orlando on Sunday.... The Sixers are 4-14 against the spread versus good ball handling teams - committing less than 14 turnovers/game this season.... Orlando is 2-13 versus the spread in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
StatSystems Sports has searched its database for all past games where the posted line or total were similar to this game's and where the final game statistics were comparable to the estimator's projections. (Points/Per Possession, Turnovers, along with Free-Throw Shooting Percentages). The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total.
--In 1000 simulated games, PHILADELPHIA covered the spread 527 times, while ORLANDO covered the spread 446 times. *No EDGE. In 1000 simulated games, ORLANDO won the game straight up 526 times, while PHILADELPHIA won 444 times. In 1000 simulated games, 803 games went under the total, while 177 games went over the total. *EDGE against the total =UNDER.
--In 1000 simulated games, PHILADELPHIA covered the first half line 546 times, while ORLANDO covered the first half line 454 times. *No EDGE. In 1000 simulated games, 748 games went under first half total, while 252 games went over first half total. *EDGE against first half total =UNDER.
•HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
--ORLANDO is 45-29 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA since 1996.
--ORLANDO is 50-26 straight up against PHILADELPHIA since 1996.
--37 of 72 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1996.
--ORLANDO is 38-35 versus the first half line when playing against PHILADELPHIA since 1996.
--38 of 72 games in this series have gone OVER THE FIRST HALF TOTAL since 1996.
--Magic are 20-7 ATS in the last 27 meetings.
--Magic are 21-8 ATS in the last 29 meetings in Philadelphia.
--Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
--Under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings in Philadelphia.
--Underdog is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings.
•RECENT TRENDS
--Magic are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 0 days rest.
--Under is 8-1 in Magic last 9 vs. a team with a losing S.U. record.
--Under is 5-1 in Magic last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
--76ers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 after scoring 100 points or more.
--76ers are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 when their opponent scores 100 points or more.
--76ers are 0-5 ATS L5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
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#703 ATLANTA @ #704 BOSTON
(TV: 7:30 PM EST, SportSouth (Atlanta), CSN New England (Boston) - Line: Celtics -2, Total: 201) - If the Atlanta Hawks are going to hang onto their playoff spot, they have to take advantage of opportunities like Wednesday's trip to Boston to face the slumping Celtics. The Hawks are still clinging to a 3 1/2-game lead over ninth-place Detroit in the East despite losing nine of 10. The Celtics couldn't get home soon enough after an 0-4 road trip to the West Coast that wrapped up with a 110-98 loss at lowly Utah.
Atlanta has been plagued by injuries and is expected to be without All-Star forward Paul Millsap (knee) for a third straight game. The Celtics also are banged up with forward Jared Sullinger (concussion) and guard Avery Bradley (ankle) expected to remain sidelined. The teams have split the first two meetings this season with the road team winning each.
•ABOUT THE HAWKS (26-30 SU, 27-28-1 ATS): Though the results haven't been rosy lately, Atlanta coach Mike Budenholzer wasn't concerned with his team's effort in Tuesday's 107-103 home loss to Chicago. "I thought our group competed at a very high level for 48 minutes tonight," Budenholzer told reporters. "That's what we're looking for, and that's what is most important to us." The Hawks used only seven players for more than three minutes against the Bulls, and they're especially thin at center, where 34-year-old Elton Brand was asked to play nearly 42 minutes.
•ABOUT THE CELTICS (19-39 SU, 27-30-1 ATS): The streaky Celtics are working on their third skid of at least five games this season, and the last three defeats came against the bottom three teams in the Western Conference. "We're just trying to keep our heads up, keep working," rookie center Kelly Olynyk told reporters. "We're banged up." With Bradley and Sullinger on the bench, the Celtics are missing two of the five players who average double-digit scoring.
•PREGAME NOTES: Hawks SF Kyle Korver has made at least one 3-pointer in an NBA-record 125 consecutive games, 36 games longer than the previous mark.... The Celtics are 2-27 when trailing at halftime.... Atlanta PF Mike Scott has averaged 20.7 points over the past three games. His season average is 9.8 points.... Boston is 4-12 versus the spread in home games versus teams who are called for 21 or less fouls/game this season.... The Hawks are 9-19 against the spread versus good free throw shooting teams - making more than 76% of their attempts - 2nd half of the season over the last two seasons.
StatSystems Sports has searched its database for all past games where the posted line or total were similar to this game's and where the final game statistics were comparable to the estimator's projections. (Points/Per Possession, Turnovers, along with Free-Throw Shooting Percentages). The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total.
--In 1000 simulated games, ATLANTA covered the spread 574 times, while BOSTON covered the spread 397 times. *EDGE against the spread =ATLANTA. In 1000 simulated games, ATLANTA won the game straight up 533 times, while BOSTON won 446 times. In 1000 simulated games, 588 games went under the total, while 393 games went over the total. *EDGE against the total =UNDER.
--In 1000 simulated games, ATLANTA covered the first half line 551 times, while BOSTON covered the first half line 416 times. *EDGE against first half line =ATLANTA. In 1000 simulated games, 597 games went under first half total, while 403 games went over first half total. *EDGE against first half total =UNDER.
•HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
--ATLANTA is 39-35 against the spread versus BOSTON since 1996.
--BOSTON is 42-34 straight up against ATLANTA since 1996.
--41 of 75 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1996.
--BOSTON is 40-34 versus the first half line when playing against ATLANTA since 1996.
--39 of 73 games in this series have gone UNDER THE FIRST HALF TOTAL since 1996.
--Underdog is 11-5 ATS in the last 16 meetings.
•RECENT TRENDS
--Hawks are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games.
--Hawks are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 Wednesday games.
--Over is 4-0 in Hawks L4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.
--Celtics are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 1 days rest.
--Celtics are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 when their opponent scores 100 points or more.
--Under is 5-0 in Celtics last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
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#705 CLEVELAND @ #706 OKLAHOMA CITY
(TV: 8:00 PM EST, FSOH (Cleveland), FSOK (Oklahoma City) - Line: Thunder -14, Total: 202.5) - The Cleveland Cavaliers had a golden opportunity to defeat the Atlantic-leading Toronto Raptors at home, but fell apart down the stretch. They'll try to avoid a similar fate against another division leader as they travel to Oklahoma City on Wednesday night for a date with the Thunder. Cleveland fell 99-93 against Toronto for its third straight loss, while the Thunder come in with two days to mull over a 125-117 loss to the Los Angeles Clippers.
The Thunder dropped back-to-back home games against elite-level teams in Miami and Los Angeles, but will find things a little easier on the back end of their six-game homestand. Oklahoma City hosts a Cleveland team sitting 14 games under .500, then faces its only tough test against Memphis before ending things versus Charlotte and Philadelphia. It's the first of two meetings between the teams this season.
•ABOUT THE CAVALIERS (22-36 SU, 26-32-0 ATS): Cleveland managed to hang around for 45 minutes against the impressive Raptors, but a Terrence Ross 3-pointer and four straight points from DeMar DeRozan allowed Toronto to pull away. It's been that kind of stretch for the Cavaliers, who have lost three straight games since acquiring versatile center Spencer Hawes from the Philadelphia 76ers for a pair of depth players and two draft picks. Hawes was solid in his first start for Cleveland, racking up 15 points and seven rebounds.
•ABOUT THE THUNDER (43-14 SU, 32-25-0 ATS): Critics of Oklahoma City's insistence on giving Kendrick Perkins a starting role will be interested to see how the team performs with Perkins on the shelf. The towering center is recovering from groin surgery and will miss the next four to six weeks, handing the starting role to rookie Steven Adams. Head coach Scott Brooks believes Adams is up to the challenge, telling The Oklahoman: "He's playing against high-level, first-string players. And I think game-by-game he's going to continue to develop."
•PREGAME NOTES: The teams have split their previous four meetings but haven't met since Feb. 2, 2013.... Hawes averages 9.6 points and 5.6 rebounds in 14 career games vs. Oklahoma City.... The Thunder haven't dropped three in a row at home in five seasons.... The Cavaliers are 19-8 against the spread versus good free throw shooting teams - making more than 76% of their attempts - 2nd half of the season over the last two seasons.... Oklahoma City is 29-19 versus the spread versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3-point shots/game on the season this season.
StatSystems Sports has searched its database for all past games where the posted line or total were similar to this game's and where the final game statistics were comparable to the estimator's projections. (Points/Per Possession, Turnovers, along with Free-Throw Shooting Percentages). The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total.
--In 1000 simulated games, OKLAHOMA CITY covered the spread 487 times, while CLEVELAND covered the spread 485 times. *No EDGE. In 1000 simulated games, OKLAHOMA CITY won the game straight up 814 times, while CLEVELAND won 169 times. In 1000 simulated games, 530 games went under the total, while 470 games went over the total. *No EDGE.
--In 1000 simulated games, CLEVELAND covered the first half line 515 times, while OKLAHOMA CITY covered the first half line 444 times. *No EDGE. In 1000 simulated games, 517 games went under first half total, while 454 games went over first half total. *No EDGE.
•HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
--OKLAHOMA CITY is 18-13 against the spread versus CLEVELAND since 1996.
--OKLAHOMA CITY is 19-12 straight up against CLEVELAND since 1996.
--18 of 31 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1996.
--OKLAHOMA CITY is 17-14 versus the first half line when playing against CLEVELAND since 1996.
--21 of 31 games in this series have gone OVER THE FIRST HALF TOTAL since 1996.
--Cavaliers are 2-7 ATS in the last 9 meetings in Oklahoma City.
--Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
--Under is 4-0-1 in the last 5 meetings in Oklahoma City.
--Home team is 11-4 ATS in the last 15 meetings.
•RECENT TRENDS
--Cavaliers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games.
--Under is 4-0 in Cavaliers last 4 games playing on 0 days rest.
--Under is 4-0 in Cavaliers last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
--Thunder are 4-1 ATS L5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
--Over is 6-0 in Thunder last 6 Wednesday games.
--Over is 4-0 in Thunder last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
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#707 NEW ORLEANS @ #708 DALLAS
(TV: 8:00 PM EST, ESPN, FSN Southwest (Dallas) - Line: Mavericks -7.5, Total: 204.5) - The Dallas Mavericks look to carry the momentum of a successful road trip back home when they host the sliding New Orleans Pelicans on Wednesday. Dallas went 3-0 on an excursion against three Eastern Conference teams, capped by Dirk Nowitzki's dramatic game-winner at New York on Monday. The Mavericks, who have played six of their last seven overall on the road, averaged 115.7 points on the trip and have won nine of their last 11 to vault into seventh place in the West and to within six games of first-place San Antonio in the Southwest Division.
Dallas has won six straight meetings with the Pelicans, including the first three this season, two of which took place in a home-and-home exchange in January. Nowitzki had a season-high 40 points in the second of those two encounters and is averaging 28.3 points against New Orleans, more than he has against any team other than Houston this season. The Pelicans have dropped four straight after a 123-110 loss at home to the Los Angeles Clippers on Monday.
•ABOUT THE PELICANS (23-33 SU, 24-28-4 ATS): All-Star forward Anthony Davis has been exceptionally consistent since the break, producing four straight double-doubles and finishing each of his last two games with 26 points and 11 rebounds. However, his support has been very spotty, with most of it coming off the bench. Backup guard Anthony Morrow is averaging 15.5 points over his last two games while center Alexis Ajinca has posted 14 points and 11.5 boards in that same span, including career bests of 19 points and 12 boards while in a reserve role Monday night.
•ABOUT THE MAVERICKS (35-23 SU, 32-26-0 ATS): Dallas guard Monta Ellis can be a streaky performer, but may be on another hot stretch after scoring 22 points against New York and producing 19 assists in his last two games. Ellis scored 49 points on 51.7 percent shooting in the back-to-back sweep of the Pelicans last month and stuffed the stat sheet in the first encounter Dec. 4 with 14 points, 10 assists, six rebounds and three steals. Backup Vince Carter has done much of the same behind Ellis and others, producing seven 3-pointers in a 23-point effort Monday night and averaging 15.8 points in just over 25 minutes over his last four games.
•PREGAME NOTES: Including Wednesday, Dallas plays 12 of its next 17 games at home.... Pelicans G Tyreke Evans is 12-for-45 from the floor over a four-game stretch.... Nowitzki has scored at least 20 points in six straight home games and is averaging 23.6 on 53.2 percent shooting at American Airlines Center, compared to 20 and 46 percent away from home.... The Pelicans are 18-34 against the spread versus good 3-point shooting teams - making more than 36% of their attempts over the last two seasons.... The Mavericks are 19-6 versus the spread versus up-tempo teams averaging 83 or more shots/game - 2nd half of the season over the last three seasons.
StatSystems Sports has searched its database for all past games where the posted line or total were similar to this game's and where the final game statistics were comparable to the estimator's projections. (Points/Per Possession, Turnovers, along with Free-Throw Shooting Percentages). The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total.
--In 1000 simulated games, DALLAS covered the spread 551 times, while NEW ORLEANS covered the spread 449 times. *No EDGE. In 1000 simulated games, DALLAS won the game straight up 734 times, while NEW ORLEANS won 248 times. In 1000 simulated games, 576 games went under the total, while 424 games went over the total. *EDGE against the total =UNDER.
--In 1000 simulated games, DALLAS covered the first half line 505 times, while NEW ORLEANS covered the first half line 452 times. *No EDGE. In 1000 simulated games, 512 games went under first half total, while 449 games went over first half total. *No EDGE.
•HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
--DALLAS is 32-23 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS since 1996.
--DALLAS is 38-19 straight up against NEW ORLEANS since 1996.
--28 of 55 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1996.
--DALLAS is 36-20 versus the first half line when playing against NEW ORLEANS since 1996.
--31 of 56 games in this series have gone UNDER THE FIRST HALF TOTAL since 1996.
--Pelicans are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings.
--Road team is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings.
--Over is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Dallas.
•RECENT TRENDS
--Pelicans are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 1 days rest.
--Pelicans are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a double-digit loss at home.
--Pelicans are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 when their opponent allows 100 points or more.
--Over is 4-0 in Mavericks last 4 games following a S.U. win.
--Over is 4-0 in Mavericks last 4 after scoring 100 points or more.
--Over is 7-0 in Mavericks last 7 when their opponent allows 100 points or more.
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#709 LA LAKERS @ #710 MEMPHIS
(TV: 8:00 PM EST, TWC SportsNet (Los Angeles), SportSouth (Memphis) - Line: Grizzlies -11, Total: 196) - The Memphis Grizzlies have been one of the hottest teams in the league since Marc Gasol returned to the lineup, and they hope to notch another victory when his brother, former Grizzlies star Pau Gasol, returns to Memphis with the Los Angeles Lakers on Wednesday. The Grizzlies have won 16 of their last 21 to climb within 1 1/2 games of eighth-place Phoenix in the Western Conference. The teams have split two meetings this season with the visitors winning each.
While the Grizzlies have climbed into playoff contention, the injury-riddled Lakers have fallen into the cellar in the West by losing six of their last seven. "There's just too many individual actions right now. It's really not a good flow and rhythm out there," Pau Gasol told reporters. "We've got to be unselfish. If we see a teammate open, we have to make sure that guy gets the ball." Memphis is coming off a tough 92-89 loss at Charlotte on Saturday and is looking to avoid losing consecutive games for only the second time since mid-December.
•ABOUT THE LAKERS (19-38 SU, 29-27-1 ATS): Los Angeles might have unearthed a gem in second-year forward Kent Bazemore, who has hit career highs for points in all three games since the Lakers acquired him from Golden State. Bazemore put up 23 points in Tuesday's 118-98 loss at Indiana, but the Lakers' defensive woes continued — they have allowed 100 or more points in five straight games and 16 of their last 20. The injuries also continue to mount, with guard Nick Young expected to sit out for the eighth time in nine games with a knee injury.
•ABOUT THE GRIZZLIES (31-24 SU, 25-29-1 ATS): Memphis regained its identity when the younger Gasol returned from a knee injury, as the Grizzlies have gone 14-5 and allowed an NBA-best 88.5 points per game since his return. Gasol (13.2 points, 6.4 rebounds) and Zach Randolph (17.3 points, 10.3 rebounds) give the Grizzlies a formidable post duo at both ends of the floor. The backcourt has been incredibly productive, too, as point guard Mike Conley is averaging a career-high 17.9 points along with 6.2 assists and Courtney Lee has put up 13.2 points per game in 22 games since coming over from Boston.
•PREGAME NOTES: Pau Gasol is the Grizzlies' franchise leader in 12 statistical categories, including points (8,966), rebounds (4,096) and blocks (877).... The Lakers have failed to outrebound their opponent in a franchise-record 17 consecutive games.... Memphis is 28-5 when shooting for a higher percentage than its opponent and 3-19 when it is outshot from the field.... Los Angeles is 17-7 against the spread in road games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing less than 14 turnovers/game over the last two seasons.... The Grizzlies are 2-11 versus the spread in home games when playing against a team with a losing record this season, and 9-24 ATS in home games versus poor rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 3+ per game - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
StatSystems Sports has searched its database for all past games where the posted line or total were similar to this game's and where the final game statistics were comparable to the estimator's projections. (Points/Per Possession, Turnovers, along with Free-Throw Shooting Percentages). The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total.
--In 1000 simulated games, MEMPHIS covered the spread 600 times, while LA LAKERS covered the spread 375 times. *EDGE against the spread =MEMPHIS. In 1000 simulated games, MEMPHIS won the game straight up 837 times, while LA LAKERS won 150 times. In 1000 simulated games, 494 games went over the total, while 476 games went under the total. *No EDGE.
--In 1000 simulated games, MEMPHIS covered the first half line 554 times, while LA LAKERS covered the first half line 446 times. *No EDGE. In 1000 simulated games, 504 games went under first half total, while 452 games went over first half total. *No EDGE.
•HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
--MEMPHIS is 35-24 against the spread versus LA LAKERS since 1996.
--LA LAKERS is 44-20 straight up against MEMPHIS since 1996.
--31 of 59 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1996.
--MEMPHIS is 34-29 versus the first half line when playing against LA LAKERS since 1996.
--32 of 60 games in this series have gone UNDER THE FIRST HALF TOTAL since 1996.
--Lakers are 1-3-2 ATS in the last 6 meetings.
•RECENT TRENDS
--Lakers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
--Over is 4-0 in Lakers last 4 Wednesday games.
--Over is 5-0 in Lakers last 5 games playing on 0 days rest.
--Grizzlies are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a losing S.U. record.
--Grizzlies are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
--Grizzlies are 0-4 ATS L4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
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#711 GOLDEN STATE @ #712 CHICAGO
(TV: 8:00 PM EST, CSN Bay Area (Golden State), CSN Chicago - Line: Warriors -3, Total: 187.5) - The Golden State Warriors are winners of four straight and seem to have a knack for long road trips through the Eastern Conference. The Warriors will continue their latest trek through the East with a visit to the Chicago Bulls on Wednesday. Golden State came together on a long trip last season and nearly set an NBA record with a 7-0 trip earlier this season before running out of gas on the final stop at Brooklyn.
The Warriors need all the wins they can get while fending off Dallas and Phoenix at the bottom of the Western Conference playoff bracket and keeping their eyes on Portland and the Los Angeles Clippers ahead of them in the standings. The Bulls and the Indiana Pacers will serve as the only two winning teams Golden State will meet on its six-game trip, which began with a 104-96 triumph over the Detroit Pistons on Monday. Chicago is returning home for the second night of a back-to-back after outlasting the Atlanta Hawks 107-103 on Tuesday.
•ABOUT THE WARRIORS (35-22 SU, 27-27-3 ATS): Veteran big man Jermaine O’Neal is turning back the clock with his most recent performances and posted back-to-back double-doubles in wins over Brooklyn and Detroit while filling in for injured starters Andrew Bogut and David Lee. Bogut returned to the lineup on Monday and Lee (illness) could rejoin the team following a two-game absence on Wednesday, but O’Neal will remain a strong part of the rotation and a veteran leader on the young team. “These are the ones I prefer for us to win now,” O’Neal told reporters after a tough 104-96 triumph over the Pistons. “It teaches us how to win when it’s not going well for us, when we’re not making all the 3s and the flashy plays.”
•ABOUT THE BULLS (30-26 SU, 28-28-0 ATS): Chicago is not much for flashy plays but will be up for a battle with O’Neal, Bogut and Lee underneath if it can lock up the perimeter defensively. The Bulls failed to do that in Golden State on Feb. 6, when they allowed Stephen Curry and Klay Thompson to combine for 56 points and go 7-of-12 from beyond the arc in a 102-87 setback. Chicago went on a five-game winning streak following that loss and has taken six of its last seven overall while allowing an average of 89.1 points.
•PREGAME NOTES: Bulls G Jimmy Butler (ribs) missed the last two games and remains day-to-day.... Curry is struggling to 7-of-23 from 3-point range in his last three road games.... Chicago C Joakim Noah has posted three straight double-doubles and is averaging 18 points and 12.7 rebounds in that span.... Golden State is 13-1 against the spread versus teams who average 53 or more rebounds/game - 2nd half of the season over the last two seasons.... The Bulls are 15-33 versus the spread in a home game where the total is between 180 and 189.5 points over the last two seasons.
StatSystems Sports has searched its database for all past games where the posted line or total were similar to this game's and where the final game statistics were comparable to the estimator's projections. (Points/Per Possession, Turnovers, along with Free-Throw Shooting Percentages). The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total.
--In 1000 simulated games, CHICAGO covered the spread 519 times, while GOLDEN STATE covered the spread 451 times. *No EDGE. In 1000 simulated games, GOLDEN STATE won the game straight up 531 times, while CHICAGO won 449 times. In 1000 simulated games, 557 games went under the total, while 443 games went over the total. *No EDGE.
--In 1000 simulated games, CHICAGO covered the first half line 520 times, while GOLDEN STATE covered the first half line 480 times. *No EDGE. In 1000 simulated games, 544 games went under first half total, while 456 games went over first half total. *No EDGE.
•HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
--GOLDEN STATE is 16-14 against the spread versus CHICAGO since 1996.
--CHICAGO is 17-15 straight up against GOLDEN STATE since 1996.
--20 of 31 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1996.
--GOLDEN STATE is 17-14 versus the first half line when playing against CHICAGO since 1996.
--16 of 31 games in this series have gone UNDER THE FIRST HALF TOTAL since 1996.
--Under is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings in Chicago.
--Home team is 18-7-1 ATS in the last 26 meetings.
--Warriors are 0-3-1 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Chicago.
•RECENT TRENDS
--Warriors are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 1 days rest.
--Under is 4-0 in Warriors last 4 overall.
--Under is 4-0 in Warriors last 4 when their opponent scores 100 points or more.
--Bulls are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
--Bulls are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 0 days rest.
--Bulls are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 after allowing 100 points or more.
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#713 DETROIT @ #714 SAN ANTONIO
(TV: 8:30 PM EST, FSN (Detroit), FSN Southwest (San Antonio) - Line: Spurs -10.5, Total: 210.5) - The San Antonio Spurs play at home for the first time since Feb. 1 when they entertain the Detroit Pistons on Wednesday. San Antonio went 6-3 on the annual rodeo road trip and now will get cozy with the home venue with eight of the next 10 contests being at the AT&T Center. Detroit has lost five of its last six games but did record a 109-100 victory over the Spurs on Feb. 10 before the current woes.
The Pistons dropped a 104-96 decision to the Golden State Warriors on Monday and are 2-5 since interim coach John Loyer replaced the fired Maurice Cheeks. Detroit is in ninth place in the Eastern Conference playoff race but sits 11 games below .500, which means a strong turnaround is necessary to make a run at the eighth and final spot. San Antonio is second in the Western Conference and has been off since being routed 106-85 Friday by the Phoenix Suns in the finale of the long road trip.
•ABOUT THE PISTONS (23-34 SU, 24-32-1 ATS): Forward Josh Smith has six double-doubles over the last 10 games and is averaging 20.1 points and 8.5 rebounds during the stretch. Detroit is hoping it is a sign he will finish the season strong after experiencing bouts of inconsistency early in the campaign. Smith scored a season-best 32 points on 14-of-20 shooting in a loss to Dallas last Saturday and came back with 18 points, 11 rebounds and seven assists two nights later against the Warriors.
•ABOUT THE SPURS (38-15 SU, 27-29-0 ATS): San Antonio appeared tired while being no match for the athletic Suns in its last outing. The Spurs shot a season-worst 34.9 percent – including 2-of-21 from 3-point range – and committed 18 turnovers while again being without point guard Tony Parker. San Antonio will be without Parker for the fifth straight game – he has a variety of injuries – and will hope reserve Patty Mills can rebound from a horrendous 2-of-14 shooting performance. Mills averaged 21 points over the previous seven games.
•PREGAME NOTES: San Antonio has won the past four home meetings in the series.... Spurs F Kawhi Leonard (finger) is expected to return after a 14-game absence.... Detroit C Andre Drummond is 9-of-31 from the free-throw line over the last nine games.... San Antonio is 4-14 versus the spread versus teams who average 53 or more rebounds/game on the season this season.... The Pistons are 6-17 against the spread in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last three seasons.
StatSystems Sports has searched its database for all past games where the posted line or total were similar to this game's and where the final game statistics were comparable to the estimator's projections. (Points/Per Possession, Turnovers, along with Free-Throw Shooting Percentages). The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total.
--In 1000 simulated games, SAN ANTONIO covered the spread 554 times, while DETROIT covered the spread 446 times. *No EDGE. In 1000 simulated games, SAN ANTONIO won the game straight up 779 times, while DETROIT won 205 times. In 1000 simulated games, 717 games went under the total, while 283 games went over the total. *EDGE against the total =UNDER.
--In 1000 simulated games, SAN ANTONIO covered the first half line 491 times, while DETROIT covered the first half line 471 times. *No EDGE. In 1000 simulated games, 642 games went under first half total, while 330 games went over first half total. *EDGE against first half total =UNDER.
•HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
--DETROIT is 21-18 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO since 1996.
--SAN ANTONIO is 23-17 straight up against DETROIT since 1996.
--21 of 38 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1996.
--DETROIT is 20-19 versus the first half line when playing against SAN ANTONIO since 1996.
--19 of 37 games in this series have gone UNDER THE FIRST HALF TOTAL since 1996.
--Pistons are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
--Pistons are 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings in San Antonio.
--Over is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings.
--Underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
--Home team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.
•RECENT TRENDS
--Pistons are 0-6-1 ATS in their last 7 Wednesday games.
--Over is 7-1 in Pistons last 8 vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
--Over is 7-1 in Pistons last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
--Over is 4-0 in Spurs last 4 games following a ATS loss.
--Over is 9-1 in Spurs last 10 vs. a team with a losing S.U. record.
--Over is 8-1 in Spurs last 9 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points.
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#715 PHOENIX @ #716 UTAH
(TV: 9:00 PM EST, FSN Arizona (Phoenix), ROOT (Utah) - Line: Suns -2, Total: 201.5) - The Phoenix Suns travel to Utah to take on the Jazz on Wednesday and after blowing fourth quarter leads in consecutive losses, will be looking to put together a full 48-minute effort to snap out of the recent funk. Phoenix saw an 11-point advantage disappear in the fourth quarter on Sunday against Houston, snapping a three-game winning streak. History repeated itself Tuesday when Minnesota overcame an eight-point deficit in the final frame to knock off the Suns.
Utah snapped a three-game slide on Monday, toppling Boston 110-98 in the return of center Derrick Favors, who had missed the previous three games and seven of the last 13 with a nagging hip injury. Favors totaled 20 points, four rebounds and three blocks and told the Salt Lake Tribune he was just happy to contribute after significant time on the sidelines. "I was rusty," he said, "but it just felt good to be back out there."
•ABOUT THE SUNS (33-23 SU, 36-19-1 ATS): The Suns got a scare on Tuesday when point guard Goran Dragic left the game with a right ankle injury. He returned after having the ankle re-taped, however, only to foul out for the first time this season with 3:46 to play, finishing with 16 points. Dragic has posted seven games with 30 points or more this season as Phoenix's leading scorer and notched a career-high 35 on Sunday against the Rockets.
•ABOUT THE JAZZ (20-36 SU, 25-28-3 ATS): Utah's leading scorer, guard Gordon Hayward, has endured a struggle of late to the tune of 30.1 percent shooting in his last six games. "Mechanics-wise," coach Ty Corbin told reporters, "other than not being ready and rushing when he gets it, his shot's good and his form up top is good.... He's just rushing." Hayward, who is averaging 15.8 points in his fourth season out of Butler, sounds like he is through with taking advice and just ready to keep shooting until something clicks, saying bluntly, "I have people telling me all kinds of things."
•PREGAME NOTES: Phoenix has dropped three of its last four visits to Utah but is 2-1 against the Jazz this season.... Utah is winless in nine tries without Favors in the lineup this season.... Suns G Archie Goodwin scored 10 points Tuesday against Minnesota, marking the second double-digit effort of his rookie season alongside a career-high 16 points against Sacramento Nov. 19.... The Jazz are 23-11 versus the spread after having lost three of their last four games over the last two seasons.... Phoenix is 29-13 against the spread versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3-point shots/game on the season this season.
StatSystems Sports has searched its database for all past games where the posted line or total were similar to this game's and where the final game statistics were comparable to the estimator's projections. (Points/Per Possession, Turnovers, along with Free-Throw Shooting Percentages). The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total.
--In 1000 simulated games, PHOENIX covered the spread 524 times, while UTAH covered the spread 454 times. *No EDGE. In 1000 simulated games, PHOENIX won the game straight up 567 times, while UTAH won 402 times. In 1000 simulated games, 565 games went over the total, while 435 games went under the total. *EDGE against the total =OVER.
--In 1000 simulated games, PHOENIX covered the first half line 509 times, while UTAH covered the first half line 462 times. *No EDGE. In 1000 simulated games, 527 games went over first half total, while 473 games went under first half total. *No EDGE.
•HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
--UTAH is 37-29 against the spread versus PHOENIX since 1996.
--UTAH is 38-29 straight up against PHOENIX since 1996.
--32 of 64 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1996.
--UTAH is 38-28 versus the first half line when playing against PHOENIX since 1996.
--48 of 66 games in this series have gone UNDER THE FIRST HALF TOTAL since 1996.
--Suns are 1-3-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
--Under is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings.
--Under is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings in Utah.
--Road team is 3-1-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
•RECENT TRENDS
--Suns are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a losing S.U. record.
--Suns are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
--Over is 7-1 in Suns last 8 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
--Jazz are 4-1 ATS L5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
--Over is 4-0 in Jazz last 4 home games.
--Under is 5-1-1 in Jazz L7 when their opponent scores 100 points or more.
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#717 BROOKLYN @ #718 PORTLAND
(TV: 10:00 PM EST, YES (Brooklyn), CSN Northwest (Portland) - Line: Trail Blazers -3, Total: 203) - Damian Lillard is doing a superb job of carrying Portland during the absence of All-Star forward LaMarcus Aldridge and will look for his fifth consecutive strong outing when the Trail Blazers host the Brooklyn Nets on Wednesday. Lillard had 31 points, nine assists and seven rebounds in Tuesday’s victory over the Denver Nuggets and is averaging 30.5 points in the four games Aldridge has missed due to a groin injury. The Nets have won six of their last nine games.
Journeyman Jason Collins plays in his second game as the NBA’s first openly gay player after seeing 11 minutes of action in Brooklyn’s 108-102 victory over the Los Angeles Lakers on Sunday. Guard Shaun Livingston (tailbone) sat out against Los Angeles and was termed a game-time decision for the Portland game by coach Jason Kidd. Portland is 3-1 without Aldridge and center Robin Lopez stepped up in the 100-95 win over Nuggets with a career-best seven blocked shots to go with 12 points and 10 rebounds as the Trail Blazers improved to 18-2 when holding the opponent below 100 points.
•ABOUT THE NETS (26-28 SU, 27-27-0 ATS): Collins is hoping the attention will diminish in coming days as he repeatedly points out there is only so much that be written or discussed about his situation. His Brooklyn teammates would appreciate that as well as many of them have known Collins for a long time and there’s nothing odd to them about having him on the squad. “He’s a basketball player. He’s been doing this for a long time, so that didn’t change,” point guard Deron Williams said. “Maybe outside perception did, but inside this locker room it wasn’t a big deal or a distraction.”
•ABOUT THE TRAIL BLAZERS (39-18 SU, 31-26-0 ATS): Lillard wouldn’t accept all the credit for his latest strong outing with his fellow All-Star sitting out, saying several other teammates also made up for Aldridge’s absence. “I think it was a lot of guys, it wasn’t just me,” the second-year guard said after the win in Denver. “Obviously I have to be a little more aggressive and step up my game with him out. We’ve been having guys step up consistently. … Everybody has raised their level of play. That’s what we’re going to needs as long as (Aldridge) is out.”
•PREGAME NOTES: The Trail Blazers notched a 108-98 win in Brooklyn on Nov. 27 and hold a 32-6 home edge against the Nets.... F Nicolas Batum made three 3-pointers against the Nuggets to raise his career count to 602, joining Terry Porter (773) and Damon Stoudamire (717) as the only players in franchise history with 600 or more.... SG Marcus Thornton is expected to make his Brooklyn debut after missing the last two games due to a bout with food poisoning.... Brooklyn is 22-11 against the spread versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing less than 14 turnovers/game - 2nd half of the season over the last two seasons.... Portland is 19-9 versus the spread when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
StatSystems Sports has searched its database for all past games where the posted line or total were similar to this game's and where the final game statistics were comparable to the estimator's projections. (Points/Per Possession, Turnovers, along with Free-Throw Shooting Percentages). The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total.
--In 1000 simulated games, PORTLAND covered the spread 490 times, while BROOKLYN covered the spread 485 times. *No EDGE. In 1000 simulated games, PORTLAND won the game straight up 554 times, while BROOKLYN won 419 times. In 1000 simulated games, 511 games went over the total, while 461 games went under the total. *No EDGE.
--In 1000 simulated games, PORTLAND covered the first half line 509 times, while BROOKLYN covered the first half line 491 times. *No EDGE. In 1000 simulated games, 505 games went under first half total, while 465 games went over first half total. *No EDGE.
•HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
--PORTLAND is 18-15 against the spread versus BROOKLYN since 1996.
--PORTLAND is 22-11 straight up against BROOKLYN since 1996.
--18 of 32 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1996.
--BROOKLYN is 22-11 versus the first half line when playing against PORTLAND since 1996.
--16 of 32 games in this series have gone OVER THE FIRST HALF TOTAL since 1996.
•RECENT TRENDS
--Nets are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.
--Nets are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 after allowing 100 points or more.
--Nets are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
--Trail Blazers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games.
--Under is 7-1-1 in Trail Blazers L9 when their opponent allows 100 points or more.
--Under is 4-0-1 in Trail Blazers L5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
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#719 HOUSTON @ #720 LA CLIPPERS
(TV: 10:30 PM EST, ESPN, CSN Houston, Prime Ticket (Los Angeles) - Line: Clippers -5.5, Total: 222.5) - James Harden has proven he’s one of the most explosive scorers in the NBA and the Houston star has quite an act to follow up when the Rockets visit the Los Angeles Clippers on Wednesday. Harden scored a season-high 43 points and also had eight assists and three steals despite sitting out the fourth quarter as Houston thrashed the lowly Sacramento Kings on Tuesday. Los Angeles also has a hot scorer in Jamal Crawford, who has strung together eight straight 20-point outings.
Crawford made seven 3-pointers while scoring 24 points in Monday’s 123-110 victory over the New Orleans Pelicans, one day after he poured in 36 points in a 125-117 win over the Oklahoma City Thunder. Crawford is averaging 25.8 points during his hot stretch while knocking down 28 3-pointers. The Rockets have won 10 of their last 11 games and are 3-1 entering the finale of a five-game road trip. Harden scored Houston’s final 18 points of the first quarter in the easy 129-103 win over the Kings while falling three points shy of his career high.
•ABOUT THE ROCKETS (39-18 SU, 30-25-2 ATS): Harden joins Hakeem Olajuwon (1996) and Clyde Drexler (1995) as the only Houston players with at least 43 points, eight assists and three steals in the same game over the past 25 years. Afterward, he was more interested in discussing what the win meant to the team than dissecting his personal exploits. “Those are the type of wins that we need, especially late in the season, to lock down and focus,” Harden said. The All-Star guard is averaging 33.8 points over the last five games and has scored 35 or more points in three of them.
•ABOUT THE CLIPPERS (39-20 SU, 33-26-0 ATS): Forward Glen Davis will make his debut with the team after reaching buyout terms with the Orlando Magic late last week and signing with Los Angeles. The presence of Doc Rivers, who coached Davis in Boston, and point guard Chris Paul were pivotal factors in the decision, and Paul is looking forward to seeing what Davis can add to the team. “I think ‘Big Baby’ is going to bring energy, excitement and passion,” Paul told reporters. “Obviously, I know him a little bit better than some of the other guys and I’m just excited about him. He’s a great personality and competitor.”
•PREGAME NOTES: The Clippers are 2-0 against the Rockets this season and have won the last five home meetings.... Rockets C Dwight Howard briefly left the game against the Kings with knee soreness but insisted he will play against the Clippers.... Los Angeles PF Blake Griffin scored 22 points against the Pelicans to increase his streak of consecutive 20-point outings to 18.... The Rockets are 8-0 versus the spread after allowing 100 points or more three straight games this season.... The Clippers are 6-17 against the spread versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last two seasons.
StatSystems Sports has searched its database for all past games where the posted line or total were similar to this game's and where the final game statistics were comparable to the estimator's projections. (Points/Per Possession, Turnovers, along with Free-Throw Shooting Percentages). The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total.
--In 1000 simulated games, HOUSTON covered the spread 508 times, while LA CLIPPERS covered the spread 492 times. *No EDGE. In 1000 simulated games, LA CLIPPERS won the game straight up 621 times, while HOUSTON won 355 times. In 1000 simulated games, 736 games went under the total, while 264 games went over the total. *EDGE against the total =UNDER.
--In 1000 simulated games, HOUSTON covered the first half line 494 times, while LA CLIPPERS covered the first half line 470 times. *No EDGE. In 1000 simulated games, 645 games went under first half total, while 318 games went over first half total. *EDGE against first half total =UNDER.
•HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
--HOUSTON is 36-29 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS since 1996.
--HOUSTON is 42-23 straight up against LA CLIPPERS since 1996.
--35 of 62 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1996.
--HOUSTON is 34-30 versus the first half line when playing against LA CLIPPERS since 1996.
--31 of 62 games in this series have gone OVER THE FIRST HALF TOTAL since 1996.
--Rockets are 15-5 ATS in the last 20 meetings in Los Angeles.
--Under is 9-4 in the last 13 meetings.
--Under is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings in Los Angeles.
--Underdog is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings.
--Road team is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings.
•RECENT TRENDS
--Rockets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
--Rockets are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 when their opponent allows 100 points or more.
--Over is 5-0-2 in Rockets last 7 Wednesday games.
--Clippers are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 Wednesday games.
--Over is 4-0 in Clippers last 4 after allowing 100 points or more.
--Over is 4-0 in Clippers last 4 when their opponent scores 100 points or more.
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IcxH`/o
