Wednesday 2/11/15 service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...

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Post your request, Comments or concerns here.
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English Premier TODAY 19:45
ChelseavEverton
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HOMEDRAWAWAY
BT14/11

17/4

9

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KEY STAT: Everton have not won on their last 23 visits to Stamford Bridge

EXPERT VERDICT: Chelsea have carved out a seven-point advantage in the Premier League and their pursuers are unlikely to be handed an opportunity to make up ground when Everton head to Stamford Bridge. The Toffees have a miserable record at Chelsea and limited attacking options so it should be comfortable for the leaders.

RECOMMENDATION: Chelsea to win 2-0
1


REFEREE: Jonathan Moss STADIUM:

 

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English Premier TODAY 19:45
StokevMan City
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HOMEDRAWAWAY
9/2

14/5

8/11

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KEY STAT: Stoke have lost just one of their last nine games

EXPERT VERDICT: Manchester City have struggled at the Britannia Stadium in the Premier League era and may have to again settle for a share of the points. In six Stoke visits during that period, the Citizens have drawn five times and lost once, with 1-1 coming up on four occasions, and another tight, hard-fought game is on the cards.

RECOMMENDATION: Draw
1


REFEREE: Lee Mason STADIUM:

 

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English Premier TODAY 19:45
Man UtdvBurnley
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HOMEDRAWAWAY
2/9

5

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KEY STAT: Burnley have conceded at least twice in eight of their nine last league away games

EXPERT VERDICT: Manchester United are still failing to convince, but a record of one defeat in 14 league games cannot be sniffed at. Burnley have let two-goal leads slip in three of their last four matches, although they are capable of causing problems for a United defence who have kept one home clean sheet in five.

RECOMMENDATION: Both teams to score
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REFEREE: Kevin Friend STADIUM:

 

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English Premier TODAY 19:45
SouthamptonvWest Ham
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HOMEDRAWAWAY
8/11

29/10

17/4

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KEY STAT: Southampton have kept just two clean sheets in their last eight home games

EXPERT VERDICT: West Ham are struggling for form but remain a hard side to beat, drawing with Manchester United and Swansea as well as navigating tricky FA Cup ties at Everton and Bristol City recently. Southampton are hard to trust as they’ve won just once in their last five home games in all competitions.

RECOMMENDATION: Draw
1


REFEREE: Craig Pawson STADIUM:

 

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English Premier TODAY 20:00
C PalacevNewcastle
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HOMEDRAWAWAY
11/8

11/5

23/10

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KEY STAT: Newcastle have lost seven of their last 11 games

EXPERT VERDICT: Crystal Palace have been flying ever since Alan Pardew arrived in the dugout, winning five of their six games under the former Newcastle manager. The Magpies haven’t fared so well since Pardew departured, though, and three wins in 12 Premier League road trips this term tells its own story.

RECOMMENDATION: Crystal Palace
3


REFEREE: Andre Marriner STADIUM:

 

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English Premier TODAY 20:00
West BromvSwansea
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HOMEDRAWAWAY
29/20

21/10

23/10

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KEY STAT: Swansea have scored just 11 away games this term

EXPERT VERDICT: Swansea have been a difficult team to gauge of late, beating Southampton away but getting thrashed 5-0 by Chelsea, losing to Blackburn and recording a lacklustre draw against Sunderland last time out. West Brom may have lost five of their last seven meetings with Swansea but don’t let that deter you from a bet on Baggies.

RECOMMENDATION: West Brom
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REFEREE: Robert Madley STADIUM:

 
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Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Monticello Raceway

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 8 - Post: 2:45 - 1 mile. TROT - Class Rating: 81 - Purse:$4800 - N/W $400 P/S L/6 OR P/S IN 2014-15 $6500 P/C L/S AE: N/W 8 PM LT AE: $10000 CLM W/A B ALDRICH JR 1 OVER 7 M SIMONS 2 OVER 5


CONSORTIUM CHOICES


Chatsworth Consortium

# 1 BOYSDROOLGIRLSRULE 5/2


# 4 BERTOS ANGEL 3/1


# 5 IRON WILL 10/1


BOYSDROOLGIRLSRULE has a nice shot to take this race. She has been performing quite well and the speed figs are among the most competitive in the grouping. Has a clear-cut shot this time, if she can perform to her back class. Could beat this pack, just look at the speed fig - 82 - from her last affair. BERTOS ANGEL - The consortium always likes a proven performer. This horse's high winning percent is evidence of that. When Messenger sends this entrant out you can bet they'll be in the top three, numbers show them there 58 percent of the time. IRON WILL - The consortium knows that speed is King in harness racing. This standardbred will unlock our way to a nice score. This gelding has been battling versus some of the most competitive horses in this group of horses these days.
 
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Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Miami Valley

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 12 - Post: 10:10 - 1 mile. PACE - Class Rating: 82 - Purse:$5000 - HORSES & GELDINGS N/W $1750 IN LAST 4 STARTS


CONSORTIUM CHOICES


Chatsworth Consortium

# 5 COLE DIDDY 4/1


# 7 ALL OVER THE WORLD 3/1


# 3 RIVER VALLEY PEARL 5/1


All signs point to COLE DIDDY for the contender. If effort in the most recent competition is any indicator, this fine animal will have a very great shot today. High last race TrackMaster Speed Rating. Not many folks know, but the 5 position here at Miami Valley has been fantastic for a much higher than average win statistic. Look for Nisonger and this contender to score for this race. Very good in the money percentage for the driver/horse duo. ALL OVER THE WORLD - His 86 average has this gelding among the strongest speed ratings in this one. Has a huge shot in this one, if he can race to his back racing class. RIVER VALLEY PEARL - It's a bit chancy to consider solely based on class, but this horse has among the best class figures of the field.
 
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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Aqueduct

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 4 - Claiming - 8.3f on the Dirt. Purse: $31000 Class Rating: 77

INNER DIRT FOR FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. WEIGHT, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE MAY 1, 2014 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $25,000.



RECOMMENDED CHOICES

The Walker Group Picks

# 4 UNREPENTED 3/1


# 5 ACADEMYPERFORMANCE 6/1


# 2 THREE WAY TICKET 10/1


UNREPENTED is the best wager in this race. Ranked high in earnings per start at the distance/surface in this field of horses. Is a solid contender based on numbers earned recently under today's conditions. With better than average trips to the winner's circle, Alvarado should have this filly in excellent position to win the outing. ACADEMYPERFORMANCE - She must be given a shot given the very good speed figures. Should be considered based on the quite good Equibase speed fig posted in the last competition. THREE WAY TICKET - Has run soundly when moving a dirt route race.
 
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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Charles Town

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 8 - Maiden Claiming - 6.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $10500 Class Rating: 50

FOR MAIDENS, FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. WEIGHT, 121 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000, IF FOR $4,500, ALLOWED 2 LBS.



RECOMMENDED CHOICES

The Walker Group Picks

# 5 CONFEDERATE MONEY 5/2


# 4 MICKEY DEE 7/2


# 14 SMOOTH BURN 20/1


CONFEDERATE MONEY is the top bet in this race. Batista has been scorching the last month, winning at a nifty 15 percent rate. MICKEY DEE - This bunch is much less demanding than the last one he ran against. SMOOTH BURN - Have to suppose this one will make a good showing following the quick turnaround. This group is much easier than the last one he faced.
 
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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Mahoning Valley Race Course - Race #1 - Post: 12:45pm - Maiden Special - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $20,000 Class Rating: 64

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#5 JAY (ML=7/2)
#1 EIGHTTHEHARDWAY (ML=5/2)


JAY - Looks like the lone speed of the race. Should be tough on the front-end. EIGHTTHEHARDWAY - I like that most recent race on Jan 26th at Mahoning Valley Race Cour where he finished second. I like this colt. Has the topmost EPS (earnings per start) in this one.

Vulnerable Contenders: #3 TALK TOUGH (ML=6/5), #2 SKIPTOTHELANE (ML=8/1),

TALK TOUGH - Doubtful for this participant to do much running with no recent success in a sprint race. Based on the pace scenario in this race, this equine doesn't fit in here. With a single front-runner and this animal having to race from behind, he sure has a tough assignment. SKIPTOTHELANE - I cannot play this continual non-winner. Gets the assignment finished occasionally.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#5 JAY to win at post-time odds of 3/2 or better

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [1,5]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
None
 
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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Tampa Bay - Race #1 - Post: 12:40pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $10,500 Class Rating: 75

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#6 KRAFTIG (ML=8/1)
#9 CORNERBACK SACK (ML=3/1)
#3 HAVE ANOTHER LOOK (ML=8/1)


KRAFTIG - I like when a race sets up this way. This gelding has the lone pace to bury this field. I think Rhone is making a good move here. This gelding can only profit from the shorter trip. Took a class drop in the last race at Canterbury. Rhone keeps him at the same level right here. I think that's a good move. CORNERBACK SACK - This gelding is in fine physical condition. Finished first on January 28th. This gelding is rounding his way back into shape. Should race well today. HAVE ANOTHER LOOK - When a sprinter is back in a race less than 10 days after his last outing, it generally means he's fit. Rode this thoroughbred on February 1st and Vega is right back in the irons in today's race. I have to like this gelding's chances at the shorter trip. Took a big class drop last out, and I think he may have needed it. Ferraro enters him at a similar class today. I'd expect an improved performance.

Vulnerable Contenders: #8 PURE LUXURY (ML=5/2), #5 CAPTAINOF THE NILE (ML=7/2), #2 DO YA WANNA (ML=6/1),

PURE LUXURY - Tough to put your cash on the win end of any racer that finishes second and third as frequently as this participant does. CAPTAINOF THE NILE - This colt hasn't had any in the money efforts in short distance races in the last sixty days. DO YA WANNA - Not probable for this entrant to make an impact with no recent success in a short distance clash. Awfully difficult to play this pony when he hasn't been showing any fighting spirit recently.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#6 KRAFTIG is the play if we get odds of 3/1 or better

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [3,6,9]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [3,6,9] Total Cost: $6

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Pass
 
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Handicapped by Rick Needham at Aqueduct

RACE #4 - 2:47 PM EASTERN POST

8.3 FURLONGS WINTERIZED INNER DIRT TRACK FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD $25,000.00 CLAIMING $31,000.00 PURSE

#4 UNREPENTED
#7 ANNIE WALKER
#5 ACADEMYPERFORMANCE
#1 PARI NATH

#4 UNREPENTED is both the overall speed and pace profile leader in this claiming field today, and has hit the board in "POWER RUN FASHION" in three of her last four starts, including a "POWER RUN WIN" in her 4th race back. #7 ANNIE WALKER, the morning line favorite, drops in class drop (-13), and has turned in "POWER RUN EFFORTS" in three of her last four "adventures."
 
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At the Gate - Wednesday
By Mike Dempsey

Breeders’ Cup Juvenile (G1) champion Texas Red closed at 9-1 in Pool 2 of the Kentucky Derby Future Wager on Sunday, the shortest price among the 23 separate betting interests. The mutual field closed as the betting favorite at 5-2.

Those holding tickets on Texas Red could not have been happy with the news yesterday that the colt has an abscess in his right front foot and is going to miss several weeks of training.

His trainer Keith Desormeaux was originally pointing him to the $400,000 Risen Star (G2) at Fair Grounds on Feb. 21. Instead, the colt will be sent to the farm to recuperate.

Desormeaux is still confident the colt will have enough time to prepare for the Run for the Roses. His goal is to have the colt ready for either the Santa Anita Derby (G1) on April 4 or the Arkansas Derby (G1) at Oaklawn Park on April 11.

His price has drifted up to 14-1 at some sportsbooks. The Bob Baffert duo of Dortmund and American Pharoah are the co-favorites at 10-1.

Dortmund won Saturday’s Robert B. Lewis (G3) at Santa Anita in a photo over Firing Line, who is now at odds of 20-1.

From Far Over has taken some action after his win in the Withers (G3) on Saturday at Aqueduct, now down to 16-1.

Here is a look at the top 10:

American Pharoah 10-1
Dortmund 10-1
Carpe Diem 14-1
Texas Red 14-1
Far From Over 16-1
Upstart 18-1
Firing Line 20-1
Imperia 20-1
Ocean Knight 20-1
El Kabeir 25-1


Here is today’s opening race from Aqueduct to get the day off to a good start:

AQU Race 1 Md $40,000 (1:20 ET)
4 Norman's Hero 7-2
1 Dangerous Cowboy 9-5
5 Keep Me Grounded 3-1
3 Astron 4-1

Analysis: Norman's Hero chased the winner and could not get by him in the stretch, settling for the runner up spot in a good effort in his debut. The third place finisher Humbolt Street came back to graduate in his next outing on Jan. 29 for a $20,000 tag. Our top pick was claimed out of his debut by the Contessa barn that is 9% winners first off the claim. The gelding has five sibs that are winners including stakes winner Youcan'tcatchme ($425,710).

Dangerous Cowboy prompted the early pace and weakened late in a third place finish coming last summer at the Spa. He comes back here for the Rice barn that is 12% winners with runners coming back off a 61-180 day layoff. The works are okay and this is not a real tough spot coming off the bench and dropping in class.

Wagering
WIN: #4 to win at 5-2 or better.
EX: 1,4 / 1,4,5
TRI: no play

Today’s Featured Race of the Day from Aqueduct:

AQU Race 6 Clm $25,000 (3:45 ET)
7 Tizmas 4-1
5 My Adonis 3-1
1 Cosmic Coincidence 5-2
3 Abilio 5-1

Analysis: Tizmas makes his second start off nearly a three-month break and his first go off the claim by the Adsit barn. Last out the gelding tracked the early pace and finished evenly in a fourth place finish, beaten two lengths for the top spot for this tag. He won 4 of 9 starts last year including beating $20,000 starter allowance foes on the inner track. The barn is 15% winners first off the claim.

My Adonis was beaten just a neck last out in the slop for this tag as the beaten favorite. His last win came three back on the main track here going a one turn mile for a $17,500 tag. He is 0 for 2 since the Chip Dutrow barn claimed him out of that win and he looks back on track after checking in fifth in his first go for the barn.

Wagering
WIN: #7 to win at 3-1 or better.
EX: 5,7 / 1,3,5,7
TRI: 5,7 / 1,3,5,7 / 1,2,3,5,7

Live Longshots:
These are price plays for exotic players looking to find a couple of extra contenders to use in their trifecta and superfecta wagers. Or for those with smaller bankrolls, you might want to get in a small win-place wager.

Aqueduct
R3: #2 Dance for Joe 12-1
R5: #3 Seal Team Four 20-1
R7: #6 Lady Gracenote 15-1
R8: #6 Domer 8-1

Good luck today!
 
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SPOT PLAYS

For Wednesday


TRACK (RACE) HORSE, MORNING LINE


Aqueduct (1st) Norman's Hero, 7-2
(4th) Unrepented, 3-1

Charles Town (4th) Cleeway, 4-1
(8th) Big Bad Bubba, 4-1

Delta Downs (1st) Bear Cat Charm, 7-2
(5th) Al's Dream, 7-2

Gulfstream Park (2nd) Shezafirecracker, 4-1
(5th) Ju Ju Eyeballs, 4-1


Mahoning Valley (3rd) Global Allegiance, 9-2
(5th) Rule the War, 5-1


Penn National (2nd) Loomin' Lori Lou, 9-2
(4th) Chasing Twilight, 7-2


Tampa Bay Downs (1st) Cornerback Sack, 3-1
(4th) Great Victorian, 7-2
 
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Sprint Cup Unlimited
By Micah Roberts

The agonizing wait for any type of NASCAR racing in the new year in finally over. Usually we have some preseason Daytona testing in early January which gives an idea of who will be fast in February and then later in the month Las Vegas would have a test session to give an idea on who will be fast on 1.5-mile tracks. But not this year because of NASCAR’s new policy on testing aimed at keeping competition equal for lesser funded teams.

On Friday, we’ll all get our first real look at 2015 NASCAR as 25 cars will be practicing for Saturday night’s Sprint Unlimited, which is a 75-lap non-points race consisting mostly of past pole winners and all those who participated in last years Chase. After examining what happened in those practices and the actual race, we should have a good idea of who will fare the best in the Daytona 500 on Feb. 22.

Despite almost five dozen changes to the rules package for 2015, I’ve been told by a few guys in the garages that racing at Daytona will be very similar to what we saw last season, which basically means that anyone can win the race. So after all the rule changes, we can pretty much say picking a winner at Daytona is just as hard as it’s been for the past few years where we’ve seen the likes of long shots David Ragan and Trevor Bayne sneak in for victories.

Just about every book has odds posted for Saturday night’s race. The Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook has Dale Earnhardt Jr, Kevin Harvick and Kyle Busch listed as 10/1 co-favorites (Bet $100 to win $1,000) followed by seven drivers at 12/1 (Bet $100 to win $1,200). The longest shots of the bunch are Danica Patrick and Martin Truex Jr. at 40/1 each.

Any type of wager on the Sprint Unlimited is not a smart wager because there’s nothing to really go off of, but I don’t really care at this point because I’m so starved for any kind of NASCAR action that I have to throw a few dollars down just to feel like I’m part of it again.

But we can fool ourselves into thinking it's a smart wager by looking at some past history which will at least make us feel a little more confident at the bet window. It’s still a crap shoot, but there’s nothing wrong with feeling like you’ve made a good choice by having some solid statistical data behind the selections.

So let’s talk about who some of the top candidates might be.

Denny Hamlin (12/1): For the past two seasons, the Joe Gibbs Racing cars have been consistent performers in restrictor-plate races at Daytona and Talladega, despite wins not reflecting it. Last year Hamlin won the Sprint Unlimited, won one of the Budweiser Duels and then finished second in the Daytona 500. He would later win at Talladega for his only points-paying victory of the season. Armed with new crew chief Dave Rogers, who moved over from Kyle Busch’s team, and also a keen sense of how the draft works, Hamlin appears to be the top candidate to win Saturday night.

Dale Earnhardt Jr. (10/1): He’s won this race twice, the last being in 2008, but he also won the Daytona 500 last year, which was his first plate win since 2004. He’ll have a car that can compete for the win and he’s fired up about the season after piling up four wins last year.

Brad Keselowski (12/1): He’s got multiple wins at Talladega, but Daytona has eluded him somehow, although he finished a career best third-place in last years Daytona 500. After racking up a series high six wins last season and getting screwed by the new Chase format, he should be hungry and ready for the season to start.

Jeff Gordon (12/1): He last won this race in 1997 when it was called the Busch Clash and he last won at Daytona in 2005, but this year might be different as every race he enters will be the last of his career this season. He’s calling it quits following the season, so for nostalgia purposes there’s nothing wrong with betting him to win and if he doesn’t, you’ve got yourself a souvenir slip -- Gordon’s last Clash/Shootout/Sprint Unlimited start. He also has piled up a NASCAR record 12 wins in restrictor-plate races.

Kurt Busch (15/1): He’s never won a restrictor-plate points race, but he did win this race in 2011 while driving for Roger Penske. I liked what I saw out of him at Daytona last year -- most of all leading a race-high 36 laps in the rain shortened July race at Daytona. He finished third that day. With pending litigation in Delaware over a domestic dispute with his girlfriend, the Las Vegan probably can’t wait to get in his car this weekend and finally go to work.

Greg Biffle (25/1): We haven't seen a Ford win this race since Dale Jarrett in 2004 and Biffle's only career win in a plate race came at Daytona in the summer of 2003, but he's shown to be quite capable of running well in these type of races. Last season in May's Talladega event he led a race-high 58 laps before finishing second behind Hamlin. He also holds the record in this race for leading the most laps (44) without winning (2005). The Roush-Fenway Racing organization lost Carl Edwards over the winter to JGR, so it will be Biffle leading the charge with the RFR flag.

Field (10/1): In this pool at the Westgate, you get Paul Menard, Clint Bowyer and Casey Mears added after qualified drivers Brian Vickers, Brian Scott and A.J. Allmendinger pulled out. The three late additions have shown to be very comfortable in plate races. In two points-paying races at Daytona last season for Mears, he finished 10th and fourth. Bowyer was third in both Talladega races and Menard led three times for 29 laps in the Daytona 500.

The bottom line to remember here is that this is an exhibition race where anything can happen, so don't go crazy with the wagers. Be cautious, thrifty and wise, but most of all root the heck out of the driver or two you do eventually choose to support.

Top-5 Finish Prediction:

1) #11 Denny Hamlin (12/1)
2) #88 Dale Earnhardt Jr. (10/1)
3) #2 Brad Keselowski (12/1)
4) #24 Jeff Gordon (12/1)
5) #41 Kurt Busch (15/1)
 
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Golf: The End of Tiger Woods
By Dan Daly

The New England Patriots may have won the Super Bowl as a team but Gronk won the parade by himself. He is bordering on GOAT status. Classic!

Warning: Before reading any further please make sure and activate your glutes. Not doing so may result in injury not allowing you to finish this article.

My dad once shot a 64 at Spyglass Hill…on the front nine. He also declared earlier that weekend that he preferred the Spanish Bay golf course to Pebble Beach because “I lost less golf balls there.” I tell you this not to make fun of my dad; he is a proud 30 handicap, god bless him. I tell you this because if you put a $100 bill on the table and dropped 5 golf balls just off a green I would seriously have to think about who I would bet on in a short game contest between my dad and Tiger.

I’ve seen some amazing things in my lifetime as a sports fan. Some good, some bad and some that are just out and out unexplainable. What has happened to Tiger Woods the last 18 months (plus or minus) may be the most shocking thing I will see in my lifetime though. Outside of Michael Jordan, Tiger Woods was arguably the greatest or at least most dominate athlete of this generation. Yet in the last 500+ days, Tiger has finished a final round in an official PGA Tour event…twice. His last nine starts ended; MDF, WD, T25, MC, 69th, WD, MC, MC, WD. That is amazing in and of itself until you consider that he has only had nine starts in that span. This is a guy that once won 7 starts in a row in a six-month span from August 2006-January 2007.

With all of the injuries and stops and starts he has had along the way, I can overlook the missed fairways, loose wedge shots and overall rust that he has had dating back to the beginning of the 2014 season. But I can’t even begin to wrap my brain around his overall short game meltdown in that same span. Outside of maybe Seve (Ballesteros), Tiger was the greatest short game player that has ever played the game of golf and now I would legitimately consider betting on my dad, a 30 handicap almost twice his age, in a short game competition. Now maybe his short game debacle would be less apparent if Tiger was hitting more greens (just 2 of 11 Thursday and 18 of 36 last week) but some of his chip shots recently would be embarrassing in a Friday Country Club game among double digit handicappers, much less a 14-time Major Champion.

It’s gotten so bad that even the folks in the desert have lost full faith in Tiger. A guy that once teed off at the Masters a +125 favorite (Bet $100 to win $125) went off at Torrey Pines this past week, a place he has won EIGHT tournaments (one with a broken leg) at 50/1 odds (Bet $100 to win $5,000). He was -140 just to make the cut. That is so unfathomable to me I don’t know where to begin. This is the same guy that won five tournaments in 2013 and nine tournaments between January 2012 and August 2013, and was No. 1 in the world just eight months ago. To drop this far, this fast is simply unimaginable to me.

I received no less than 25 text messages on Thursday in some way or another referencing steroids and Tiger’s WD/recent injury string. I don’t know if it’s true or not, or if one has to do with the other. I’m not a doctor nor do I play one on TV, but I do know that athletes, in any sport, eventually wear down both in ability and physically. Tiger is no exception. But to this degree? This quickly?

I don’t know if this is the end of the line for Tiger, most would argue that it is, and quite frankly it would be hard to argue against them at this point. But if it is, what a horrible way to go out and a major loss for the sport whether you love or hate him.

While I wasn’t old enough to remember the end of Jack’s career, I do know that after winning nine times between 1978-1980 he only went on to win three more times the rest of his career, but I can’t imagine that it ended quite like this. Maybe I’m naïve or it was just more of wishful thinking, but I always imagined Tiger slowly fading out of contention over time, winning once a year, then once every other year with one last 1986 Masters type run in him as a final curtain call. Never in my wildest imagination did I, or anyone else see this coming. Unable to even finish 18 holes more times than not, sculling and chunking routine wedge shots, a complete head case (which may be the most shocking of all) and simply put, sucking at golf.

And maybe this isn’t the end of Tiger Woods, he did go two and half years between wins from September 2009 – March 2012, but ask yourself this question, if the 11-year-old girl that qualified for the women’s US Open last year played Tiger straight up from the women’s tee’s tomorrow and you had to bet your life on who would win, who would you take? Sure, you would take Tiger, but the fact that a) you would actually have to even stop for one second and think about it; b) the fact that I can even write that sentence with 100% seriousness; and c) it would actually be a close match is all you need to know about Tiger Woods golf game right now.
 
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Golf Solid field visits Pebble Beach

Tournament: AT&T Pebble Beach National Pro-Am
Date: Feb. 12 - 15
Venue: Spyglass Hill GC
Location: Pebble Beach, CA

In what is always a fun and eventful week, the PGA heads to Pebble Beach, CA for the AT&T National Pro-Am starting Thursday morning. The event is the most popular Pro-Am tournament in the history of the game and will draw some big celebrity names once again this year with the likes of Bill Murray, Wayne Gretzky, Don Cheadle, Andy Garcia, Buster Posey and Ray Romano all competing.

The player’s field will actually be pretty decent this year as well with nine of the top-25 golfers in the world playing across the three courses; including last week’s winner of the Farmer’s Insurance Open, No. 4 player in the world, Jason Day.

There will also be two multiple-time winners of the tourney playing this week as both Dustin Johnson (2009, 2010) and Davis Love III (2001, 2003) will attempt to grab a third victory here while Jimmy Walker looks to make it back-to-back wins after a score of 11-under last year despite a Sunday round of 74.

Let’s take a look at a few players who have what it takes to win at one of the more laid-back tournaments at these beautiful California courses.

Golfers to Watch

Jimmy Walker (7/1): Walker is once again putting together a huge season after winning three of his first eight tournaments last year as he leads the FedEx cup rankings with four top-10 finishes in his six events this season. He’s already earned a win (Sony Open) as well and will be defending his title from last year at Pebble Beach when he was able to rattle off three consecutive rounds of 69 or better to start the week before just holding off Dustin Johnson and Jim Renner after a rough final day. Walker has been solid in all facets of the game, ranking 14th in driving distance (302.4 yards per), 10th in strokes-gained putting (.914) and 29th in GIR (72.2%) as he looks to have another big week.

Dustin Johnson (14/1): Johnson had to shake of the rust in his return from a six-month personal absence this past week and despite missing the cut, showed some solid play as he crushed the ball for an average of 320.3 yards per and holed an eagle on his fourth hole to start the tourney. His history here is hard to ignore as he put together back-to-back wins in 2009 and 2010 and has continued to play well with a fifth-place finish in 2012 and a runner-up performance last year. He should be warmed up after last week and will be paired with his future father-in-law, Wayne Gretzky, allowing him to relax and compete for the top position once again come Sunday.

Kevin Na (35/1): Na is an incredible talent that has made the cut in each of his past five events and has had a round of 70 or better in seven of his past eight times on the course. He has just one PGA victory under his belt, but has been close to grabbing a trophy at Pebble Beach with a top-25 placing in each of the past three visits here which included a fifth-place in 2012 and a fourth-place last year when he shot eight-under. Look for Na to make a run this week and be near the top of the leaderboard.

Alexander Levy (75/1): Levy will come over from the European Tour to play his first PGA event since the WGC-HSBC Champions event where he finished 14th back in November. He has climbed up to 52nd in the world rankings after two victories and one lost playoff across the pond last season. He’s placed 30th or better in three of his four starts this year and should surprise many with some strong play on U.S. soil in this event.

Daniel Berger (140/1): Berger is one of five rookies amongst the top-50 in the FedEx Cup standings to start this year and he has done so behind four top-25 finishes with his best coming a few weeks ago when he placed 10th at the Waste Management Open. This California swing is a great opportunity for youngsters to get some rounds in without the pressure of a tremendous field and Berger should be able to put up another solid showing with his big drive (304.6 yards per, 9th on tour) this week.

AT&T Pebble Beach National Pro-Am Betting Odds
Jason Day 6/1
Jimmy Walker 7/1
Jordan Spieth 11/1
Dustin Johnson 14/1
Patrick Reed 15/1
Brandt Snedeker 21/1
Ryan Palmer 21/1
Hunter Mahan 22/1
Chris Kirk 30/1
Graham Delaet 30/1
J.B. Holmes 30/1
Jim Furyk 30/1
Nick Watney 30/1
Kevin Na 35/1
Billy Horschel 40/1
Shane Lowry 40/1
Brendon Todd 50/1
Ian Poulter 50/1
Jason Kokrak 50/1
Spencer Levin 70/1
Alexander Levy 75/1
Kevin Streelman 75/1
Sang-Moon Bae 75/1
Seung-Yul Noh 85/1
Kevin Chappell 95/1
Aaron Baddeley 100/1
Pat Perez 100/1
Rory Sabbatini 100/1
Bryce Molder 120/1
Daniel Summerhays 120/1
Ernie Els 120/1
Michael Thompson 120/1
Zac Blair 120/1
Daniel Berger 140/1
Alex Prugh 150/1
Jonas Blixt 160/1
Marcel Siem 180/1
Matt Jones 190/1
Colt Knost 200/1
Nick Taylor 200/1
James Hahn 210/1
Steven Bowditch 210/1
Brian Stuard 220/1
Chesson Hadley 220/1
Greg Owen 220/1
Charlie Wi 240/1
Michael Putnam 240/1
Padraig Harrington 240/1
William McGirt 240/1
Alex Cejka 250/1
Andres Gonzales 250/1
Andrew Loupe 250/1
Andrew Putnam 250/1
Ben Curtis 250/1
Billy Hurley III 250/1
Blake Adams 250/1
Blayne Barber 250/1
Bo Van Pelt 250/1
Brian Davis 250/1
Brice Garnett 250/1
Cameron Percy 250/1
Cameron Smith 250/1
Chad Collins 250/1
Charlie Beljan 250/1
Chez Reavie 250/1
Chris Stroud 250/1
D.A. Points 250/1
Danny Lee 250/1
David Hearn 250/1
David Lingmerth 250/1
Davis Love III 250/1
Derek Fathauer 250/1
Dicky Pride 250/1
Fabian Gomez 250/1
Fred Funk 250/1
Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano 250/1
Greg Chalmers 250/1
Heath Slocum 250/1
Hudson Swafford 250/1
J.J. Henry 250/1
Jason Bohn 250/1
Jason Gore 250/1
Jim Renner 250/1
John Huh 250/1
John Merrick 250/1
John Rollins 250/1
Johnson Wagner 250/1
Jonathan Byrd 250/1
Josh Teater 250/1
Justin Hicks 250/1
Ken Duke 250/1
Kenny Perry 250/1
Kevin Kisner 250/1
Kyle Reifers 250/1
Kyle Stanley 250/1
Mark Hubbard 250/1
Max Homa 250/1
Mike Weir 250/1
Nicholas Thompson 250/1
Oliver Goss 250/1
Richard Sterne 250/1
Ricky Barnes 250/1
Robert Garrigus 250/1
Roberto Castro 250/1
Rod Pampling 250/1
Scott Brown 250/1
Scott Langley 250/1
Scott Pinckney 250/1
Sean O'Hair 250/1
Steve Wheatcroft 250/1
Stuart Appleby 250/1
Sung Joon Park 250/1
Tommy Gainey 250/1
Trevor Immelman 250/1
Troy Merritt 250/1
Vaughn Taylor 250/1
Vijay Singh 250/1
Will Wilcox 250/1
 
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UFC Fight Night 60

Event: UFC Fight Night 60
Date: Saturday, February 14, 2015
TV/Time: (Fox Sports 1, 10:00 p.m. ET)
Venue: 1st Bank Center
City: Broomfield, Colorado

Welterweight Bout: Benson Henderson (21-5) vs. Brandon Thatch (11-1)

Line: Henderson -110, Thatch -110

Benson Henderson moves up a weight-class and fights on short notice for the injured Stephen Thompson this Valentine’s day against Brandon Thatcher in the main event at UFC 60.

The 31-year-old Benson Henderson is coming off the first two-match losing streak of his career when a controversial unanimous decision gave Donald Cerrone the victory after three rounds on January 18th. His three losses in the last five matches will have him ready to go on short notice in this one, but the last time he fought with such little rest was in 2007 and he lost in just 46 seconds by submission (Anaconda Choke) against Rocky Johnson.

Brandon Thatch will bring the heat against any of his opponents and he has won eight of his 11 bouts by way of knockout. He typically gets things done quickly with his average match lasting just four minutes and 11 seconds and he has gone past the first round just once; a loss to Brandon Magana in a decision back in 2008. The extra rest that Thatch has had should give him a leg up on Henderson, but the freakish athletic ability of the southpaw still gives him an edge in his ability to keep up his quickness and speed. Look for Thatch to expel a ton of energy early, and if he is unable to get an early knockout, fall behind as Henderson dances circles around him.

“Smooth” Henderson has some advantages in this one with his experience and quickness, but his small frame could take a beating if he allows the short rest to get to him. He has the tremendous ability of avoiding hard hits, taking just 1.64 strikes per minute as he usually attempts to get in a few key hits and eventually just outlast his opponent. Of his 21 career victories, Henderson has just 2 TKOs while getting most of his wins by either submission (9) or decision (10).

Early on in his career, Henderson was a different fighter, winning each of his first six victories by either submissions or TKO but still has the ability to get to his opponent in many different ways with quick strikes (2.88 per min.) and 2.46 takedowns per 15 minutes while giving Thatch a much different opponent than he had in his first two UFC matches.

When Brandon “Rukus” Thatch wins a fight, he doesn’t fool around, and in his first two UFC matches he has knocked out his opponent in an average of less than two minutes as he lands 8.17 strikes per minute in that time. Overall in his MMA career, Thatch has been aggressive, never going longer than the first round with his victories as he attacks early on with plenty of knees to the body and head of his opponents.

His 10-match winning streak will certainly be put to the test in this one, though; as Henderson is the former lightweight champion and can often use the aggressiveness of others to gain an edge as he lets them get tired out. Thatch will not win this fight if it goes longer than five minutes, so he will need to sneak in some hard hits early to have any sort of chance.

Other UFC Fight Night 60 Bouts

Lightweight Matchup:
James Moontasri
Cody Pfister

Flyweight Matchup:
Zach Makovsky
Tim Elliott

Featherweight Matchup:
Chas Skelly
Jim Alers

Lightweight Matchup:
Efrain Escudero
Rodrigo de Lima

Featherweight Matchup:
Nik Lentz
Levan Makashvili

Flyweight Matchup:
Ray Borg
Chris Kelades

Lightweight Matchup:
Michel Prazeres
Kevin Lee

Middleweight Matchup:
Dan Kelly
Patrick Walsh

Welterweight Matchup:
Neil Magny
Kiichi Kunimoto

Featherweight Matchup:
Max Holloway
Cole Miller
 

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