Wednesday 12/3/14 service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...

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Post your request, Comments or concerns here.
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French Ligue 1 TODAY 18:00
MetzvBordeaux
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HOMEDRAWAWAY
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KEY STAT: Metz have conceded at least twice in each of their last four matches

EXPERT VERDICT: Paris St-Germain are the only side to have won at Metz in Ligue 1 this season and their run of one win in seven is slightly misleading given the hosts have faced a number of difficult matches. However, this is another tough one and with Bordeaux scoring in 12 of their 14 league matches backing both teams to notch is best.

RECOMMENDATION: Both teams to score
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Copa del Rey TODAY 19:00
L'HospitaletvAtl Madrid
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HOMEDRAWAWAY
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KEY STAT: Atletico haven’t won an away match by more than a two-goal margin for 27 games

EXPERT VERDICT: Spanish third-tier strugglers Hospitalet have been dismissed as huge outsiders to beat La Liga champions Atletico in this last-32 Copa del Rey first leg and it’s hard to argue with the match odds on offer. Atletico rarely thrash teams, especially on the road, and backing them to win 2-0 looks a sensible call.

RECOMMENDATION: Atletico to win 2-0
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Scottish League C Cup TODAY 19:30
AlloavRangers
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HOMEDRAWAWAY
ALBA15/2

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KEY STAT: Alloa have won just two of their last 13 matches

EXPERT VERDICT: Alloa have been a thorn in Rangers' sides this season having held the Gers to two draws in the Championsip. However, Ally McCoist's side are still the superior unit and should have few problems progressing to the Challenge Cup final with Kris Boyd the man to send Rangers on their way with the first goal.

RECOMMENDATION: K Boyd first goalscorer
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English Premier TODAY 19:45
SunderlandvMan City
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HOMEDRAWAWAY
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KEY STAT: Man City have won just three of their last eight away games

EXPERT VERDICT: Sunderland have a bizarrely good home record against Manchester City, going unbeaten in their last five meetings and winning the last four 1-0. It’s surely a freak run that must end soon but given the generous odds, City’s hit-and-miss away form and their heavy workload, it may pay to have a punt on a repeat at huge prices.

RECOMMENDATION: Sunderland to win 1-0
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REFEREE: Craig Pawson STADIUM:

 

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English Premier TODAY 19:45
ArsenalvSouthampton
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HOMEDRAWAWAY
BT18/11

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KEY STAT: Saints have yet to take a point off a team that finished in last season’s top eight

EXPERT VERDICT: Southampton have made a much better start to the season than expected but the home defeat by Manchester City serves as a reminder that their fans shouldn’t get too carried away just yet. Saints have lost to City, Liverpool and Spurs this season and they could also suffer a loss at Arsenal.

RECOMMENDATION: Arsenal to win 3-1
1


REFEREE: Andre Marriner STADIUM:

 

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English Premier TODAY 19:45
EvertonvHull
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KEY STAT: Everton have scored two goals or more in 11 of their last 12 home league games

EXPERT VERDICT: Hull have plummeted after a run of games that has seen them face five of last season’s top eight over the last six weeks, and another poor result is on the cards at Goodison Park. Everton have taken seven points from their last three home games and should have far too much quality.

RECOMMENDATION: Everton-Everton double result
1


REFEREE: Robert Madley STADIUM:

 
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NHL Grand Salami - December

The Grand Salami in pro hockey is decided by adding up all the goals scored in every game scheduled for that particular day. You can wager on 'over' or 'under' the Grand Salami total. The total is set by adding up all listed 'over/under' odds for each game on that particular day.

Note: The Grand Salami will have no action if any game is suspended or cancelled before the regulation time of three twenty minute periods. Also, regardless of the number of goals scored during the shoot out portion of the overtime, the final scored recorded for the game will give the winning team on more goal than its opponent based on the score at the end of regulation time.

*The majority of sportsbooks do not put out a total on the Grand Salami when there is only one game on the card. For tracking purposes, we will continue to show the 'over/under' for goals and combined goals scored on days with just one game.

NHL GRAND SALAMI

Date No. of Games Total Goals Combined Goals Scored Result
12/1 5 26.5 31 OVER
12/2 10 55.5 44 UNDER
12/3 4 - - -
 
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NHL Preview: Oilers (6-15) at Jets (12-9)

Date: December 03, 2014 9:00 PM EDT

Mired in their longest losing streak in four seasons and still winless against the Western Conference, the Edmonton Oilers are beyond frustrated.

They'll look to avoid an 11th consecutive defeat Wednesday night when they visit the Winnipeg Jets, who could be without one of their top players.

The Oilers (6-15-4), whose 16 points tie Columbus for fewest in the NHL, may have bottomed out Monday when they allowed Arizona's Tobias Rieder to score two short-handed goals on the same second-period power play en route to a 5-2 home defeat.

The result dropped the Oilers to 0-12-3 against the West and 0-7-3 overall since winning consecutive road games against Buffalo and the New York Rangers on Nov. 7-9. The manner in which Edmonton continues to struggle has become tough to comprehend.

"The definition of insanity is doing the same thing over and over again when it doesn't work," defenseman Andrew Ference said. "Do you try it again or look for a different path? I think that you've seen that with some of the mistakes, that's what it is, insanity."

Though embattled coach Dallas Eakins continues to laud his players for their hard work, he knows effort entitles them to little while trying to end the club's longest skid since going 0-8-3 from March 8-31, 2011.

"There should be no feeling sorry for yourself," Eakins told the Oilers' official website. "You should be scraping and clawing to try to get out of it.

"The thing that you are going to feel, and I fully understand, is the pain of it. But you can't be walking around feeling sorry for yourself. If that's going on then we're going to address it right away."

On the ice, the Oilers have scored eight goals in six games and allowed at least four in four of their last seven. In addition to the two short-handed goals it gave up Monday, Edmonton allowed the Coyotes to score twice on the power play.

Taylor Hall got his third assist in two games, but has scored just one of his team-leading eight goals in his last seven contests. He has five goals and five assists in five games against the Jets.

Winnipeg (12-9-4) took two of three from Edmonton last season, and though it fell 2-1 in overtime at Boston on Friday, went 2-0-1 on its recent trip. The Jets used the down time between contests to recover and regroup before opening a three-game home stretch.

"We've got to not stray from our game, just play our game," forward Mark Scheifele said. "We're ready to get back at it."

The Jets hope Bryan Little will be ready to take the ice after he was injured blocking a shot in the third period Friday. Tied for the team lead with eight goals and third with 15 points, Little scored in three straight games prior to being shut out at Boston.

"He's one of our top guys and any time you lose one of your top guys, it's tough, especially a centerman," teammate Blake Wheeler told the Jets' official website. "Especially a guy that does so much like (Little) does."

After going 4 for 12 on the power play during the trip, the Jets hope that success carries over to home ice, where they are 3 for 36 and have not scored in 13 chances over the last four contests.
 
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NBA Preview: Grizzlies (15-2) at Rockets (13-4)

Date: December 03, 2014 8:00 PM EDT

The surging Memphis Grizzlies have carried over their strong defense from recent seasons during the best start in franchise history, while the Houston Rockets have been surprisingly solid in that area so far in 2014-15.

The NBA's top two defensive teams meet Wednesday night with the Rockets looking to avenge a mid-November loss to the Grizzlies that was their worst of the season.

With Dwight Howard expected to be sidelined again and the Grizzlies riding a five-game win streak, Houston will need a better performance this time than its 119-93 loss in Memphis on Nov. 17 - a season high for points allowed.

After finishing in the top three in defensive scoring the past three seasons, the Grizzlies (15-2) lead the league at 92.4 points allowed per game, but the Rockets are right behind them at 92.8.

Memphis held an opponent below 90 points for the sixth time this season in Sunday's 97-85 win at Sacramento.

"I think everybody came into training camp with that mindset of coming in and being aggressive from the get-go and being the team that we want to be," said center Marc Gasol, the NBA Defensive Player of the Year in 2012-13.

The Rockets (13-4) ranked in the bottom third in points allowed the past two seasons, but their approach so far in '13-14 has put them ahead of Memphis in both defensive field-goal percentage (42.2) and 3-point percentage (28.3).

Now Houston will have to figure out a way to slow Memphis, something it couldn't do in November as the Grizzlies shot 53.5 percent, went 7 of 17 from beyond the arc and scored 31 points off 21 turnovers.

Guards Mike Conley and Courtney Lee combined for 34 points and made 12 of 19 shots while helping to limit James Harden to a season-low six on 1-of-8 shooting.

"Their ball movement was amazing and our defense was just slow," Harden said. "Our offense couldn't get it going, either. We played good offensively (in Saturday's 117-103 win at Milwaukee), so this should be another good test for us at home."

Harden led five players in double figures with 34 points to go with seven assists, six rebounds and four steals Saturday. He's averaging 28.0 points and has hit 19 of 42 from 3-point range in the past six games.

"When we got it rollin' like that, it's hard to guard us, and when we're playing defense it's even tougher," Harden said after Houston reached a season-high point total on 50.6 percent shooting.

Howard, however, is expected to miss his seventh straight game due to a strained right knee. With Terrence Jones (leg), Patrick Beverley (hamstring) and Isaiah Canaan (ankle) also likely to sit, veteran guard Jason Terry could get another start after finishing with a season-high 18 points Saturday.

The Rockets have hit a league-best 207 3-pointers - 37 more than the second-place Los Angeles Clippers - but the Grizzlies have allowed opponents to shoot just 29.4 percent from long range in their last seven games after the Kings missed 10 of 11.

Memphis, which has suffered both its losses on the road, is averaging 106.4 points while winning by average of 12.8 during its streak. Gasol has scored 24.5 per game in his past six since finishing with nine while going up against Howard last month.

Houston's Trevor Ariza will look to end his slump after averaging 11.9 points with a 32.2 field-goal percentage in his last 12 games. He scored 14 with 10 rebounds Saturday despite going 5 for 18 from the field.

The Rockets have lost their last three meetings with Memphis.
 
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Clippers heating up against the spead
Andrew Caley

The Los Angeles Clippers started the season as the NBA's worst bet against the spread, but have turned things around of late and are starting to cash tickets for their backers.

With their 127-101 win in Minnesota Monday night, the Clippers covered their third straight game and six of their last eight. That is a drastic difference from their 1-8 ATS start to the season.

The Clippers host the 7-12 (10-ATS) Orlando Magic Wednesday.
 
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Lowly Sixers a suprisingly good spread bet
Stephen Campbell

The Philadelphia 76ers have yet to produce anything in the win column (0-17 straight-up), but they have been doing one thing well lately: Covering spreads.

The Sixers are 4-1 against the spread in their last five outings. Michael Carter-Williams and company will travel to Minny for a date with Andrew Wiggins and the Minnesota Timberwolves Wednesday.

Oddsmakers have the 76ers as 7.5-point road dogs with a total of 210.5.
 
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'Hawks Burned'

Miami Heat taken behind the woodshed spanked 107-86 by Washington Wizards last time out have conditions on their side to get back into the win column. Motivated following the beat-down and looking to avenge an earlier double-digit loss to Atlanta expect Heat to be hungry here. Lay the small number (-4) knowing regular season chalks off a blowout loss of -15 or more points have covered at a 56.3% clip since last season (76-56-3 ATS) which includes a profitable 5-2 ATS performance by Miami. Another positive situation pointing towards Miami. The Heat are 8-1 ATS revenging a double-digit loss. Finally, the Hawks have a tendency to run cold as road underdogs without rest posting a 2-9 record against the betting line.
 
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NCAAB

Temple won 11 of last 13 games with St Joe's, but lost last two visits to Hawk Hill, by 1-10 points; home side won last five series games. Hawks are 3-3; four of their six games were decided by 4 or less points- they're shooting 24.3% from arc. First true road game for Temple, which is 0-2 on neutral courts, losing to Duke and then to young UNLV team.

St Bonaventure won three of last four games with Buffalo, losing 78-73 to Bulls LY, winning by 3-2 in last two played here; both teams are 4-1, with neither side having win over team ranked higher than #180. Bulls' best game was their only loss, when they led Kentucky at half- they've also won pair of road games, at Grand Canyon and UT-Arlington.

Toledo was 27-7 LY, but lost four of last five games this year, with last two losses by total of five points vs Detroit/Oakland; Rockets beat Cleveland State 71-67 LY, but lost previous two years to Vikings by 5-8 points. State is 2-3 vs D-I games, with wins over teams ranked 294/252. Vikings lost 45-33 at Louisville, scoring 11 points in second half.

Harvard shot 59% inside arc in 72-64 win at Northeastern LY; Huskies were just 12-23 on foul line. Crimson is 4-1, beating UMass by hoop in last game; Minutemen beat 5-1 Northeastern by 25. Huskies are turning ball over 24.7% of time, but shooting 40.2% from arc- they've got all five starters back from LY. Harvard is shooting 55.2% inside the arc.

Michigan State is 5-2 with both losses to top 10 teams (Duke/Kansas); Spartans are making 42% from arc- they scored only 20 points in loss to Jayhawks Sunday. Notre Dame is 6-1 but five of six victims are outside top 300; best win is over UMass, only loss by point to #39 Providence. Irish are shooting 68% inside arc; bet they don't get that toinight.

Big 14 teams were 6-2 vs ACC last night. First true roasd game for 5-2 Iowa squad that lost by 14-3 points on neutral floor to Texass/Syracuse. Hawkeyes' best win was over #134 Pepperdine. North Carolina waxed UCLA/Florida by 22-11 points in Bahamas, after losing to Butler by 8 in first round; Tar Heels are holding team to 38% inside arc, 27% on arc.

Arizona State won 86-80 at UNLV LY, after trailing by 6 with 12:10 left; Sun Devils lost pair of games by 5 points to only decent teams they've played this year (Maryland/Alabama); best win is over #199 Colgate by 7. First true road game for young 4-1 Rebel squad that split pair of tilts on neutral court, beating Temple. losing to Stanford by 29.

Colorado State won Alaskan Shootout; UTEP finished 2nd in Fullerton tourney; two coaches are good friends. Rams lost 82-74 in El Paso LY; Miners were 32-43 on foul line, Rams 22-32. State is 6-0, holding its last four opponents to 64 or less points. Last four UTEP games were decided by 6 or less points; Miners are 4-1, losing by 3 to Washington last game.

Former ACC rivals Virginia/Maryland are both 7-0; Terps' leading scorer Wells is out here. Cavaliers have one win by less than 17 points- they're 6-1 in last seven games with Maryland, losing here in OT LY, in what turned out to be Terps' last ACC win. Maryland beat Arizona St/Iowa St on neutral floors, only two top 100 teams they've played.

Northwestern's team is #321 in experience playing #316 schedule- they're 5-1 but lost last game by 19 to Northern Iowa on neutral floor. Wildcats have only one top 200 win, by hoop over #196 North Florida. Georgia Tech is 5-1 with wins over Georgia/URI; Jackets are top 10 rebounding team, but are shooting only 61% from line, 30.2% from arc.

Wisconsin is 7-0 with four top 100 wins, beating Georgetown/Oklahoma in Bahamas last two games; Badgers are shooting 61% inside arc, protect ball well (#10 in TO%). Duke frosh Okafor might be best player in USA; Blue Devils are 7-0, beating Michigan State/Stanford on neutral floors by double digits- they're also shooting 61% inside the arc.

First true road game for Wichita State team that is 4-0 with three top 80 wins; Shockers force turnovers 27.6% of time, aren't shooting ball well (30.2% from arc, 65% from line). Utah is 5-1 against #336 schedule; its best win was against #260 Ball State. Utes are making 44.6% of their 3's, shooting 58% inside arc, but they're moving way up in class here.

Canisius won last four games with St Peter's, winning last two visits here by 9-4 points; Peacocks are 2-5 with four losses to teams ranked #197 or worse- they turn ball over 23.5% of time. Griffs lost last three games, scoring 56.7 ppg; they're shooting 35.6% inside arc, are forcing turnovers 25.5% of time (#18 in US). St Peter's already lost one MAAC game, by hoop to Niagara.
 
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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Remington Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 8 - Allowance - 8.3f on the Dirt. Purse: $30000 Class Rating: 88

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, TRIAL OR OKLAHOMA BRED ALLOWANCE OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES

The Walker Group Picks

# 5 DIVINE WAY 12/1


# 8 RIBBON OF DARKNESS 7/2


# 7 YOU MAKE ME SING 12/1


DIVINE WAY is the most respectable wager in this race especially at such a decent 12/1. Her 69 average has this filly with among the top Equibase Speed Figures for this event. RIBBON OF DARKNESS - Should keep the impressive string of finishing positions intact today. With a nice class fig average of 87, has one of the best class advantages in this group of horses in this race. YOU MAKE ME SING - Asmussen has this filly racing well and is a formidable pick based on the competitive Speed Figures earned in route races recently. Horses who have been prepared to race at this distance and surface by Asmussen have shown strong results lately.
 
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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Woodbine

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 5 - Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $16500 Class Rating: 85

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 123 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE NOVEMBER 3 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $8,000, IF FOR $7,500, ALLOWED 2 LBS.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES

The Walker Group Picks

# 12 CONQUEST OUTLAW 8/1


# 9 GO SHERMIN GO 8/1


# 10 CAT ZAPPER 6/1


I have to consider CONQUEST OUTLAW for this event especially at such a decent 8/1. Contreras's ROI over the last 30 days automatically makes this pony a sharp contender. GO SHERMIN GO - Boulanger should be able to get this gelding to break out sharply here. Boulanger has recent ROI figs which make this horse a very good bet. CAT ZAPPER - Has respectable early lick and will probably fare admirably versus this group of animals. Is a solid contender - given the 82 speed fig from his most recent race.
 
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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Hawthorne - Race #4 - Post: 2:25pm - Maiden Claiming - 8.3 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $12,500 Class Rating: 66

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#5 BOOM BOX (ML=5/2)
#8 TURBULENT WAR (ML=8/1)
#4 UNCLE SILAS (ML=3/1)


BOOM BOX - The most recent speed fig of 80 is the best last race speed fig in the bunch. Have to like this colt today. If you take a look at his PP lines you see a definite trend, getting closer with all race. Recent speed figs show strong pattern of improvement. TURBULENT WAR - Rounding his way back into form. Each of his finish positions is getting better in his recent starts. I predict an idyllic trip. Stalk the front runners, and make a move on the turn. This gelding is in nice physical condition. Ran third on November 20th. UNCLE SILAS - Have to give this gelding a chance. Ran a sharp effort in the last race within the last month.

Vulnerable Contenders: #7 TITIUS (ML=9/2), #6 DADDY DEVINE (ML=6/1),

TITIUS - Finished fourth last time out. Would have to get better to finish in the money in today's event. The fig last time out doesn't fit very well in this event when I look at the class rating of today's race. Mark this thoroughbred as a likely underpriced contender. DADDY DEVINE - This horse just hasn't looked fit lately.

Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: The Turf Man - BOOM BOX - Moving to dirt today, from last race on the grass at Hawthorne. This mount has a good chance to pickup his first win against these horses.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#5 BOOM BOX is going to be the play if we are getting 3/1 or better

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [5,8]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [4,5,8] Total Cost: $6

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Skip
 
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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Turf Paradise - Race #4 - Post: 2:19pm - Claiming - 6.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $7,200 Class Rating: 90

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#3 KANDZARI (ML=6/1)
#6 MONAHEE (ML=6/1)
#7 JILAS MIRACLE (ML=5/1)


KANDZARI - This gelding is entered to race right back into a race in less than 10 days; this is a positive sign. Ranks highest in earnings per start. A dominant effort in this event will add to the lifetime total. Have to give this gelding a good shot. Ran a good outing in the last race within the last thirty days. MONAHEE - This speed freak should be aided by this race's shorter distance. JILAS MIRACLE - Won his last after shipping in. I like him again.

Vulnerable Contenders: #4 INSTINCTIVELY BOLD (ML=2/1), #8 MY RAINBOW BRIDGE (ML=3/1), #5 MOSES ON THE MESA (ML=5/1),

INSTINCTIVELY BOLD - I usually try to beat these types of morning-line choices off the extended layoff. MY RAINBOW BRIDGE - A bit of a lackluster try when this gelding finished eighth. MOSES ON THE MESA - Awfully difficult to invest in this steed when he hasn't been showing any fighting spirit lately.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Bet on #3 KANDZARI to win if you can get at least 3/1 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [3,6,7]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [3,6,7] Total Cost: $6

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Skip
 
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Handicapped by Rick Needham at Aqueduct

RACE #5 - AQUEDUCT RACE COURSE - 2:16 PM

6.0 FURLONGS INNER DIRT TRACK FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD $25,000.00 CLAIMING $31,000.00 PURSE

#6 KELLY'S PRIZE
#2 MR RICO IS VALID
#1 BELLA FACHI
#4 PRINCESSBELLAONCAL

#6 KELLY'S PRIZE takes a class drop (-11), and is the speed and pace profile leader in this claiming field today sprinting at 6.0 furlongs on the dirt, and has produced a trio of "POWER RUNS" in her last four outings, hitting the board in a pair, including a "POWER RUN WIN" in her 4th race back. Jockey Irad Ortiz and Trainer David Donk send her to the post ... they've hit the board with 58% of their entries saddled as a team to date, producing a +28% return on investment in the process. #2 MR RICO IS VALID has also turned in three "POWER RUNS" in her respective last four outings, also hitting the board in a pair.
 
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Handicapped by Chatsworth Consortium at Flamboro Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.


Race 4 - Post: 7:00 - 1 mile. TROT - Class Rating: 76 - Purse:$3800 - CLAIMING $5000.


CONSORTIUM CHOICES


Chatsworth Consortium

# 5 TIM T 7/2


# 4 HES A DEMON 8/1


# 1 INITIAL STRIKE 8/5


TIM T is the clear stand out play in the eyes of the group. This nice horse looks very good. Check out the 75 avg TrackMaster Speed Rating. This contender has shown us some ability in the past, just look at the 79 avg class stat. Should play well in this one. This race horse achieved a formidable TrackMaster SR in last race. Looks sharp to come right back. HES A DEMON - With a 78 average class number, this contender has one of the finest class advantages in the group of animals. With this driver/trainer hooking up, investors often make some green stuff. ROI is really good with this tandem. INITIAL STRIKE - This entrant could get the win here beginning from the Flamboro Downs 1 slot. Horoscope said take a chance today, this horse is as good as any to take a shot with.
 

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