Wednesday 11/08/17 ... Comps / Bonus Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Requests Etc.

[Pesos]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Churchill Downs

Churchill Downs - Race 10

Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta / Super Hi-5


Claiming $16,000 • 1 1/16 Miles • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 87 • Purse: $20,000 • Post: 5:30P
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE OCTOBER 8 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $16,000, IF FOR $14,000, ALLOWED 2 LBS.
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * ARCHANGEL ROSE: Horse has a TrackMaster "B" designation. BIG EXCHANGE: Horse's win perce ntage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. PLUMES: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. BOWMAN WEST: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equiba se Class Rating at the distance/surface. PONTASTIC: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.
9
ARCHANGEL ROSE
15/1

9/2
6
BIG EXCHANGE
4/1

7/1
4
PLUMES
5/1

8/1
7
BOWMAN WEST
6/1

9/1
10
PONTASTIC
7/2

9/1

 

[Pesos]

Valuline at Delta Downs

Today's Most Likely Winner Is at:
Delta Downs, Race 5 (Wednesday November 8, 2017)

SOUTHERN MISTER
(For ten of today's most likely winners, see Exotic Key Plays.)

DED-5 7.5f DIRT Nine Horses
"A" StALW 5,000 3YUP $22,000
P# dd ex p3 t s ML WP TVL

7 SOUTHERN MISTER 3/2 36% 9/5 Strong Favorite icon
6 OUR SMITTY 6/1 29% 5/2

 

[Pesos]

The Walker Group at Delta Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 1 - Maiden Claiming - 7.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $10000 Class Rating: 60

FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE, FOUR, FIVE, AND SIX YEARS OLD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 7 SELFIE SENSATION 7/2

# 12 CANDY ASSAY 9/2

# 1 MISCHIEVOUS BELLE 2/1

I think SELFIE SENSATION is a decent choice. Shows formidable speed figures on average overall when measured up against the rest of this group. Loza has one of the most respectable winning percentages in this field with entries running at this distance and surface. Could best this group of animals based on the speed figure - 61 - of her last race. CANDY ASSAY - Earnings per start at the distance/surface is a very good handicapping key. This one ranks at the top in this field. Must be considered given the class of races run recently. MISCHIEVOUS BELLE - Will most likely come out solid - I have liked the way this filly has moved quickly to the lead recently.

 

[Pesos]

The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Mahoning Valley Race Course - Race #8 - Post: 4:02pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $10,400 Class Rating: 75

Rating: 3

#4 GASPROM (ML=4/1)
#12 A BIT OF WHO DO (ML=7/2)
#7 MO TRAMP (ML=5/2)


GASPROM - Faced tougher last race out at Delaware Park. Based on class figures, this is a weaker field, so I will put this one on my list of probable winners in this race. Have to give this colt a chance. Ran a nice contest in the last race within the last thirty days. A BIT OF WHO DO - Have to make this gelding a strong challenger; he comes off a nice outing on Oct 14th. Quinones and Sullivan have had fabulous success together over the last year. The last speed rating of 70 is the highest last race speed figure in the bunch. MO TRAMP - I like to play this handicapping angle, a thoroughbred coming back off a nice outing within the last 30 days.

Vulnerable Contenders: #2 NUCLEAR FUSION (ML=8/1),

NUCLEAR FUSION - You always think this equine has a shot to be victorious, but he falters frequently.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Have to go with #4 GASPROM on the win end if we get at least 4/1 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [4,12]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [4,7,12] Total Cost: $6

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:

 

[Pesos]

The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Penn National - Race #3 - Post: 6:54pm - Maiden Special - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $33,300 Class Rating: 76

Rating: 3

#2 CHRISTMAS EVE (ML=8/1)
#9 JAZZ HALL (ML=10/1)
#3 PLEIADES K S A (ML=5/2)
#6 MENSCHKE (ML=15/1)
#8 WEEKEND SERENADE (ML=12/1)


CHRISTMAS EVE - First-timer has morning drills over the Penn National strip, which is always a plus. Strong return on investment for this jockey and conditioner twosome. This trainer has an ROI of +61 with horses first time out. JAZZ HALL - Utilizing this jockey/conditioner combination is a good choice. This here is a 2YO race. This horse's sire has strong stats (32 pct win rate). PLEIADES K S A - A horse coming back this soon after a nice effort is a good signal. Horses that finish 2nd in Maiden races and finish well clear of the show horse are generally good bets next time out. This filly's last speed figure earned on October 26th is in the top spot in last race speed figures. This animal brings in a lot of dough per race. Utmost in this affair. MENSCHKE - This jockey/conditioner duo has been producing a very beneficial ROI, right at +280. I like the fact that this first timer's recent works have been over this track. This filly is the longer price of the 'split' entry from the barn of Stites. WEEKEND SERENADE - Really think this horse is going to be close at the finish.

Vulnerable Contenders: #7 BETTERBRINGURAGAME (ML=3/1), #1 MS TEEK (ML=9/2), #10 THE BAY EXPRESS (ML=6/1),

BETTERBRINGURAGAME - Didn't look so hot last time out. Probably won't make an impact in today's race. In any contest of 6 furlongs, I like to support a contender that has been sharp in sprint events recently. Speed kills. Plenty of zip in this event compromises this animal's hopes. MS TEEK - Pace makes the race. Hard for this early speedster to be able to deal with the early pressure from the rest of this bunch. Garnered a pedestrian rating last race out in a Maiden Special race on October 26th. Not probable to see an improved performance off of that fig. THE BAY EXPRESS - Hard to put your money on this early speedball. Too much zip in the race. Not likely that the speed figure she registered on October 19th will be enough in this race.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Have to go with #2 CHRISTMAS EVE on the win end if we get at least 5/1 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [2,9] Box [2,6] Box [2,8]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
[2,3,9] with [2,3,6,8,9] with [2,3,6,8,9] Total Cost: $36

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
[2,9] with [2,3,9] with [2,3,6,8,9] with [2,3,6,8,9] Total Cost: $24

 

[Pesos]

The Walker Group at Woodbine

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 4 - Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $16000 Class Rating: 81

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE IN 2017 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $6,250, IF FOR $6,000, ALLOWED 2 LBS.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 2 HOCKEY HALL 10/1

# 13 ONE FLASHY CAT 12/1

# 3 MARCAVELLYS DREAM 7/2

HOCKEY HALL looks competitive to best this field especially at a long price. Looks very strong to be up on the lead at the first call. Has performed solidly lately in sprint races, posting a nifty 72 avg speed rating. ONE FLASHY CAT - Could best this group here, showing formidable figures of late. Has performed strongly lately in sprint races, posting a nifty 71 avg Equibase Speed Fig. MARCAVELLYS DREAM - Posted a very good Equibase Speed Fig last time out.

 

[Pesos]

Mike Wynn ; NBA

Minnesota +11

 

[Pesos]

Razor Sharp ; NBA

Miami -5.5

 

[Pesos]

Totals4U ; NHL

Toronto U6

 

[Pesos]

Roz Wins ; NBA

Orlando

 

[Pesos]

Atlantic Sports ; NBA

NYK +5

 

[Pesos]

#1 Sports ; NHL

Minnesota

 

[Pesos]

Platinum Plays ; NBA

Boston -8.5

 

[Pesos]

Sharp Bettor ; CFB

Ohio

 

[Pesos]

Nevada Sharpshooter ; NBA

NYK O213.5

 

[Pesos]

Golden Dragon Sports ; CFB

CMU +2

 

[Pesos]

Hawkeye Sports ; NHL

NYR

 

[Pesos]

Huddle Up Sports ; NBA

NYK +5

 

[Pesos]

Arthur Ralph Sports; NBA

Boston -9

 

[Pesos]

The Vegas Steam Line ; NBA

Miami U213