Wednesday's Short Hops
July 7, 2009
By Kevin Rogers
As the All-Star Game approaches, bettors will try to squeeze in as many plays as possible over the next couple of days around Major League Baseball. With 12 teams playing during the day, nine games highlight the Wednesday night card, including several important division battles.
Blue Jays at Rays - 7:10 PM EST
Those other two teams in the AL East race besides the Red Sox and Yankees continue their series at Tropicana Field. Following a great start to its road trip, Tampa Bay dropped the final four games at Toronto and Texas. The Rays did shut down the Jays in the first two contests at Toronto, winning each game, 4-1. The Jays avoided the sweep by shutting out the Rays in the series finale, 5-0.
Both teams are still in the thick of the division race, but the Jays will play AL East opponents in nine of their next 12 series. That includes battling the Rays ten more times before the end of August.
Scott Kazmir hasn't been very sharp since coming off the disabled list at the end of June. The Rays lefty lasted just five innings in each of his last two starts, a win over the Marlins, and a loss to the Rangers. Coincidentally, those were the first two 'unders' Kazmir has hit this season, following nine consecutive 'overs.' The 'under' has been a solid play when Kazmir faces Toronto, nailing it in seven of his last eight starts.
Brian Tallet has been inconsistent all season long, delivering quality starts in four of his last eight outings. Tallet is coming off a loss at the Yankees his last time out, allowing six hits and two earned runs in six innings of work. Tallet hasn't faced the Rays in his career, as Toronto is 2-10 the last 12 meetings at Tropicana Field following Tuesday's 3-1 victory by Tampa Bay.
LVSC has installed the Rays as $1.60 favorites, with the total set at 9.
Dodgers at Mets - 7:10 PM EST
Oliver Perez returns to the mound after a two-month stint on the DL, as he faces the team with the best record in baseball. Perez, who signed a three-year extension in the offseason, hasn't provided the bang for the buck, posting a 9.97 ERA in five starts. The Mets lefty survived the fifth inning in only one of his five outings, while allowing at least four earned runs in four starts.
Hiroki Kuroda has made six starts since being activated from the DL at the start of June, but the Dodgers right-hander has struggled to find consistency. The Dodgers are 3-4 in Kuroda's seven starts over the last five weeks, with two of his worst starts coming against the Padres and A's. Both San Diego and Oakland rank at the bottom of baseball in team batting average. In Kuroda's last trip to the Big Apple (granted, it was Shea Stadium), the righty was lit up to the tune of seven hits and six earned runs allowed in 2.2 innings pitched last June.
The Dodgers are 17-9 against left-handed starters this season, while going 9-5 on the road. The Mets, meanwhile own a dreadful 1-10 mark in their last eleven Game 2's of a series, dating back to the end of May.
The Dodgers are $1.30 road 'chalk' according to LVSC, while the total is listed at 9.
Cardinals at Brewers - 8:05 PM EST
This series has been dominated by the road team since last August, with the away club winning 11 of the past 13 meetings. Milwaukee has taken 14 of the past 20 matchups, but St. Louis has been victorious in the last three meetings, including Tuesday's 5-0 shutout.
Former Cardinal Jeff Suppan has been unimpressive at Miller Park this season, going 1-5 with an ERA of 6.08. In seven of Suppan's ten home starts, the 'over' has hit, while the final combined total in those contests is 10.3 runs/game.
Amazingly, Todd Wellemeyer has won seven games this season, despite an ERA of 5.44. Wellemeyer has given up 118 hits in 96 innings of work, but is 3-1 coming off a quality start, after shutting down the Giants his last time out.
Milwaukee has opened up as $1.15 favorite, with the total at 9.5, according to LVSC.
Yankees at Twins - 8:10 PM EST
Following an up-and-down start to the season, A.J. Burnett is getting his stuff together, as the Yanks have won three of his last four starts. Burnett has allowed nine earned runs in his last seven starts, while giving up one run or less in four of those outings.
The Bronx Bombers have won 10 of their past 12 entering Tuesday's action, while playing a crucial stretch against two teams that will compete for a playoff spot, the Twins and Angels. Minnesota, meanwhile, is in a similar spot, 1 ½ games behind Detroit in the AL Central after capturing two of three from the Tigers over the weekend.
Glen Perkins has bounced back nicely after a rough home loss to the Astros. The Twins southpaw has given up two earned runs in his last two starts, road victories over the Cardinals and Royals. Perkins' last outing against the Yankees was an ugly one, allowing seven hits and six earned runs in just under one inning of work (Perkins landed on the DL after that start with an injured elbow).
The Yankees are 16-9 this season against left-handed starters, including a 7-2 mark on the road.
LVSC has installed New York as a $1.35 road favorite, with the total at 9.
Rangers at Angels - 10:05 PM EST
The two top teams in the AL West continue to battle, as the home team has won six of seven meetings entering Tuesday's action. The Angels are 10-3 their last 13 games, including a 6-1 home ledger. The Rangers, despite Monday's 9-5 loss, have won five of their past six.
Ervin Santana has struggled following a 16-victory campaign in 2008. The Angels righty, who has spent substantial time on the DL this season, is 1-4 with an ERA of 7.43. Santana has delivered only one quality start in seven outings, while tossing at least 100 pitches in just one trip to the hill this season. The Angels have beaten the Rangers in three of Santana's last four home starts dating back to 2006.
Vicente Padilla is set to return to the mound after receiving an extra day of rest due to a sore right shoulder. Padilla's last start was a loss to the Angels, allowing ten hits and five earned runs in five innings of work. Padilla's road numbers are significantly stronger than at home. The Rangers righty is 3-1 away from Arlington, with an ERA of 3.43, while four of his six road starts have finished 'under' the total.
The Angels are a $1.35 home 'chalk,' with a sizeable total of 10, according to LVSC.