Wed. playoffs, playoff record 12-6-2 +5.11 units

BigGamesOnly · Oct 8, 2003

Chicago -1.5 -117 over Florida
Prior/Penny
Chicago is in a must-win situation. They do not want to be down 2-0 going into Florida where the Fish swim, er, play well. Prior is just the man to do the job. Concerned about a -1.5 RL at home? Penny has a 4.77 ERA on the road while Prior has a 2.69 home ERA and the Cubs have the motivation.

Yanks -1.5 +102 over Boston
Mussina/Wakefield
The advantage goes to the Bronx Bombers not only because of Mussina but because they are playing in a groove. The Yanks were beat at home in the first playoff game against the Twins but Wakefield is no Santana. Another home team with a -1.5 RL? Boston's bullpen will make sure that the Yanks cover.

Boston at NY UNDER 9.0 -119
Even with Boston's bad bullpen (Kim will not be pitching tonight) this line is too high. Wakefield and Mussina will not allow the first few innings to have much of a score.

beach · Oct 8, 2003

2 of 3 never bad - keep the faith - and keep up the good work - your analysis always makes sense and if I don't say more it's because still do not want to hex -

BigGamesOnly · Oct 8, 2003

Thanks beach. That's exactly what I was thinking- 2 out of 3. That adds up to 14-7-2. I'm still at 67%.

Boston's win tonight sets up a good chance for a Yankee win on Thursday. Similar to what Chicago did on Wednesday night. Details later.

ATX · Oct 8, 2003

BGO,

I would just keep the exact strategy to yourself. It works in the NBA too. And some of THOSE moneylines...

It is just too easy and simple, and it doesnt take much for it to seep into the public's betting pattern, maybe ruining the market for all of us.

Ps. It doesnt always work this well, I'll explain later.

BigGamesOnly · Oct 9, 2003

Sounds good ATX.

I try not to give too much away. Just a summary of why I have bet a certain way. Pretty much what I give out is public knowledge already like Chicago being in a must-win situation.