i'm following a 30-6 OVER system here..however, since i do not recommend betting blindly on any system, i did my research and here is what i came up with...
wolf is 13-3 for the under this season but no pitcher has been facing as many ace pitchers, and played in as many pitcher friendly ballparks this season as wolf. take a look at his last 12 starts: @sd (pitchers dream ballpark) vs Washburn (red-hot, 4-0 under comming into that game), and vs Verlander (red hot, 8-2 under, comming into that game). @nyy (pitcher friendly ballpark) vs pettite, red hot, in the mixt of a 4-0 under streak. again two games @ sd, vs billingsley red hot, in the mixt of a 8-2 under streak and vs santana, stil one of the best mlb pitchers, red hot at that moment, in a 3-0-1 under streak. @sf another pitcher friendly ballpark, vs lincecum (probably a top 5 pitcher in the majors this season). then 2 more games @sd, then @ seattle vs bedard, @chc vs zambrano and wind blowing in, @atlanta vs hudson(red hot), @philly with eaton and his 14-1 under record. and stil, wolf is showing signs, in his last three starts, of a disaster that is waiting to happen. 31 walks and hits in 13.1 innings pitched , 6.08 era.
ubaldo jimenez was sensational this season, with his 12-5 under record and his 2.82 era @ coors field. but his manager is starting to mess with his routine and it will cost him soon. ubaldo was constantly pitching on 4 days rest, and he was doing great, but then in his last start, he was on a 5 days rest and got rocked by detroit. now he is back on 4 days rest, with 5 straight starts with 105+ pitches. he too is showing signs of fatigue recently with 22+ pitches per inning or more in two of his last three starts, 27 hits and walks in last 17 innings pitched.
san diego offense looks much better on the road which is not a surprise. san diego ballpark is a nightmare for hitters. they scored no runs yesterday but they scored 15 in first game of the series while they scored 16 total runs in last 7 home games. their offense is far from great, even on the road, but at least they can score some runs when away from home (15@ colorado, 5@ nyy, 16 in three games @ cleveland, 15 in three games @sf). Colorado offense is average at best, but stil much better at home. Coors field is not what it used to be, but this ballpark is stil a place where slug fest can happen in any given game.
G.Gibson is 10-5 to the over this season and only a few umps have a smaller strikezone than him this season. He should help us here.
over 9.5 is my play
Don't forget...I've been wrong before, never bet what you can not afford to lose, on any game. Good luck !
wolf is 13-3 for the under this season but no pitcher has been facing as many ace pitchers, and played in as many pitcher friendly ballparks this season as wolf. take a look at his last 12 starts: @sd (pitchers dream ballpark) vs Washburn (red-hot, 4-0 under comming into that game), and vs Verlander (red hot, 8-2 under, comming into that game). @nyy (pitcher friendly ballpark) vs pettite, red hot, in the mixt of a 4-0 under streak. again two games @ sd, vs billingsley red hot, in the mixt of a 8-2 under streak and vs santana, stil one of the best mlb pitchers, red hot at that moment, in a 3-0-1 under streak. @sf another pitcher friendly ballpark, vs lincecum (probably a top 5 pitcher in the majors this season). then 2 more games @sd, then @ seattle vs bedard, @chc vs zambrano and wind blowing in, @atlanta vs hudson(red hot), @philly with eaton and his 14-1 under record. and stil, wolf is showing signs, in his last three starts, of a disaster that is waiting to happen. 31 walks and hits in 13.1 innings pitched , 6.08 era.
ubaldo jimenez was sensational this season, with his 12-5 under record and his 2.82 era @ coors field. but his manager is starting to mess with his routine and it will cost him soon. ubaldo was constantly pitching on 4 days rest, and he was doing great, but then in his last start, he was on a 5 days rest and got rocked by detroit. now he is back on 4 days rest, with 5 straight starts with 105+ pitches. he too is showing signs of fatigue recently with 22+ pitches per inning or more in two of his last three starts, 27 hits and walks in last 17 innings pitched.
san diego offense looks much better on the road which is not a surprise. san diego ballpark is a nightmare for hitters. they scored no runs yesterday but they scored 15 in first game of the series while they scored 16 total runs in last 7 home games. their offense is far from great, even on the road, but at least they can score some runs when away from home (15@ colorado, 5@ nyy, 16 in three games @ cleveland, 15 in three games @sf). Colorado offense is average at best, but stil much better at home. Coors field is not what it used to be, but this ballpark is stil a place where slug fest can happen in any given game.
G.Gibson is 10-5 to the over this season and only a few umps have a smaller strikezone than him this season. He should help us here.
over 9.5 is my play
Don't forget...I've been wrong before, never bet what you can not afford to lose, on any game. Good luck !
uke1:
