Wed. Hoops +early injury report

[LowTide]

YTD 32-32 +.6 units
2*Columbia+22.5
2*Pacific+21.5

Just felt the numbers were too high in these games.Obviously,Columbia has not played a name schedule to arrive at 2-5,but they did beat Sacred Heart which lost by 2 to BC.Outside of a 15 point loss to Manhattan,all of their losses have been by single digits.

Note:Whitney is playing for seton hall and he does make a difference inside.

[This message was edited by Low Tide on January 27, 2004 at 12:40 PM.]

[This message was edited by Low Tide on January 28, 2004 at 12:15 AM.]

 

[LowTide]

These lines are climbing now.Olympic has taken these off the board.I have a feeling they are going to announce significant injuries for Pacific and especially Columbia.Of course Don best has no data found and I am already locked in though.Good luck to everyone today.

 

[LowTide]

Adding:
1*Lamar+17.5
I initially figured this line at 12.5 and have just been watching it rise all day.Don't think it will go higher and don't think Hawaii can cover it.

Leans for tomorrow:
FSU-2
Rhode Island-13.5
Fairfield-2
Penn+4
Virginia+6
Morehead+15.5
Northern Arizona p

 

[LowTide]

YTD 35-32 +5.6 units

2*Northern Arizona +1
I thought NAU should be about a 4 point favorite in this game.Marist has a 2 point win over powerhouse Siena and 8 losses to go with it.NAU at least has a win over UNLV.

2*Rhode Island-13(buy.5)
The Rams look to be a tourney team and already have home wins over Providence and Charlotte.This is not one of Jeff Ruland's better Iona teams as they have already lost to St.Bonaventure who should occupy the A-10 cellar.

3*Fairfield - 2
I will probably upgrade this play later.Fairfield will have the upper hand inside with Deng Gai and Rob Thompson.Both of these guys can post double doubles and they get plenty of help from guards Terrance Todd and DeWitt Maxwell,both of whom average in double figures.Reimhold is questionable for BGreen.

Will probably post FSU and Penn later.Not sure about Virginia.I know they are good but am a little hesitant as it's the conference opener on the road.As for Morehead,they rely on 2 guards and have absolutely no inside game.

 

[LowTide]

Adding
1*FSU-2(buy.5)
1*Penn+3

 

[LowTide]

Adding:
1*Dartmouth+19
Played this with my local.Just see some line value.

 

[LowTide]

YTD 39-34 +7.0 units
Bad handicapping on the NAU game.Rhode Island was up 18 with under 4 minutes to play and let Iona in the back door.

2*Utah State -9.5(buy.5)
Hopefully,the Aggies will not have a hangover from beating BYU.The Aggies stand out in a couple of categories-5th nationally in 3 point shooting(43%) and 10th nationally in rebounding margin(+11).The Aggies play solid defense and hold their opponents to under 60.The Dons are coming off a loss at Fresno,but not putting too much on that result as they got in severe foul trouble in the first 5 minutes.Bayless and Riley are solid inside for the Dons,but Utah State has the size to handle them.SF will be better when John Cox returns,but I feel the Aggies are the better team and are especially tough at home.Will probably add a first half play as USU typically starts fast.

Other leans:
Western Michigan-10
George Washington +17
Princeton-13-Loyola Maryland is horrendous.

 

[LowTide]

Adding:
2*New Mexico -9.5(buy.5)
2*Princeton-13(buy.5)
1*GW+19

 

[LowTide]

Adding:
2*Fairfield + 3
I forgot about this game.I can see Fairfield getting the better of Pepperdine on the inside.Pepperdine is only dangerous when all of their heaves go in.I will never back them after watching them play against Maryland.

 

[LowTide]

YTD 44-34 +15 units
2*Columbia + 18
I will continue to take the generous points with the Ivy league teams as Washington is not one of the elite PAC 10 squads.Hope to have more later.

 

[LowTide]

Adding:
3*Fairfield + 9
I keep forgetting this team is in a tournament in Hawaii.I will take them for the third straight night.They have nice inside-outside balance and could win the game outright.

Also leaning to Samford + 20,although I probably won't play them.The Bulldogs run the Princeton offense and should slow the Cowboys down enough to hang within the number.

 

[LowTide]

YTD 45-35 + 15.8 units
1*Virginia-4
1*Portland + 11

 

[LowTide]

Adding:
1*Virginia -2 1st half
good luck today,guys

 

[LowTide]

YTD 47-36 +16.7
2*Rhode Island +7(buy.5)
1*James Madison +13

[This message was edited by Low Tide on January 01, 2004 at 12:10 PM.]

 

[LowTide]

YTD 47-38 + 13.2 units

I fell off the money management wagon yesterday in college football.As a result,I am pissed and cannot think clearly enough to narrow down my leans(Rice,Wash.,S.Ill.,Port.St.,Air Force).I will sit out today and play tomorrow.

Best of luck to everyone tonight.

 

[LowTide]

4*Old Dominion-3(buy.5)
I think Drexel will have a difficult time defending Alex Loughton.Loughton is averaging 18 and 10 and scored 45 against Charlotte.He will also get inside help from John Waller(14 ppg and 6 rpg) so the Dragons cannot focus solely on him.

Last year,Drexel ran a four guard lineup with all conference center Robert Battle in the middle.With Battle's departure,the Dragons have made some adjustments.Sean Brooks has stepped up at power forward and leads the team in scoring and rebounding.Drexel has three other double digit scorers to provide a nice balance.

Overall,the Monarchs enjoy a height advantage and should win the rebounding battle.They are not great behind the arc,but they shoot a higher % than Drexel.With the home court advantage and the best player on the court,I feel ODU is the play.

 

[Kojak]

Nice write up. It was very convincing. I will definitely look at this game. Best of luck and hope everything turns around.

 

[LowTide]

2*Eastern Michigan + 7
I know Bowling Green was picked by many to win the MAC West while Eastern Michigan is supposed to occupy the cellar.I am not trying to be clever with this pick because I see some things I like.

The Eagles have 5 players averaging in double figures and a sixth averaging over 8.Forward James Jackson leads the team in scoring and rebounding(13 and 9) and is helped by sophomore John Bowler who is averaging 12 and 8.The Eagles are hitting 41% from behind the arc with Danny McElhinny shooting an obscene 55%.

Bowling Green has been bolstered by the return of John Reimhold.6'10 Kevin Netter gets a lot of press for his potential,but he's not exactly cleaning the glass(less than 5 a game).Wing Ron Lewis has been the man for theFalcons,averaging 18 a game.

This game is important for both as they are 0-1 in the conference.Last year,the Eagles lost on a buzzer beater when they visited BG.They lost at Nebraska by only 8 this year so they can be competitive on the road.The Eagles are getting some unexpected production from several positions(Bowler was named MAC player of the week last week) and as long as they can contain Lewis and Reimhold,they can hang within this number.

1*Wichita State -16
I have not played any large chalk lately,but I like the situation here.The Shockers are coming off a home loss to Oral Roberts,so they should be plenty pissed in the conference opener.Drake is a young team whose best player is out for the year.As a result,Drake plays 10-11 guys a game,so their scoring can come from anywhere.Drake is probably performing above expectations(they lost by six to Iowa State),but this is their third straight on the road.Will add a first half play.

Will have more later.

P.S.Thanks for the encouragement,Kojak.I already feel better though as I unloaded on Ohio State tonight.

Good luck to all.

 

[LowTide]

Adding:
2*New Mexico + 20
Could not resist the points.New Mexico is much better with the addition of Granger and DeVries.

 

[LowTide]

Adding:
2*Utah State -7.5 1st half
It has not been a good year for me with first half bets,but I love this one.Utah State loves to get out to a fast start-they jumped all over BYU and SF in their last 2 home games.They are solid defensively,rebound well and shoot over 40 % from behind the arc.They could be covering the game spread by the end of the half.