WED BASKETS ** 151 **

[one51rum]

well after 2 .500 nights,, and some very tough losses and a push its time to fire again

going to go with Georgia at home +6 vs Alabama , Georgia has been a decent team, they have had the ability to be down and come back many times this year, i think next year if they keep these guys together could be a good year for them, they beat a pretty good S Car team at home, beat LSU, bt their last 3 losses were all very close games vs very good teams, they lost at KY by 9 i think they covered 105-96, they showed a lot in that game, also losing at Florida where they were down big on the road and came all the way back and lost by 4 102-98, and lost at home to Tennessee by 6 i think they covered all those games, and Now alabama comes in, and this team has to make a lot of 3's to cover, another up tempo team, and so far Georgia has shown they can play with these types of teams, i like them at home in this spot, at home they are 11-1 str up, as a dog they are 6-3 ats this year, as a home dog 1-0 , and with 2-3 days off they are 8-1 ats this year, alabama as a fav are 10-5 ats as an away fav 0-1 , also last 3 games Georgia has been shooting better than Alabama, rebounding should be equal here, so this game i really like

Georgia +6 1.5 units

 

[one51rum]

i am playing 2 totals right now, i do favor Lipscomb as a pk over N.Fla, but Lipscomb has been scoring well except for their last game where they lost 59-80 but did give up 80 points, that is like what they have been scoring, and N.Fla can score too, and they also give up points, i think Lipscomb bounces back here and does score 80+ but i also think N.Fla will get into the high 70's or even 80 . i see a 83-80 type of game here so over 157 makes sense

OVER 157 1 unit

also going over 145 in the WCU/Chattanooga game, this opened at 142, man i wish i had looked at this yeaterday afternoon, i would have really bet over 142, anyway this is a game where WCU is at home -4 to 4.5 , Chattanooga has won 3 str road games, and they do have a shot here for a win i think, but i really think the OVER is the play here, Chattanooga scored 74,81,and 79 in those road wins, and just scored 90 at home over Citadel, and WCU also scores well at home , last 3 games Chatt is avg 83 and 67, ;ast 3 WCU is avg 82 and 76, away they avg 77 and 78 at home WCU is avg 80 and 72 i think both get close to 80

OVER 145 Chatt/WCU 1 unit

 

[one51rum]

also i am going with Wake Forest+2 at Pitt, wake has had 9 days off to prepare here, and they do have more scorers than pitt does, and they have finally gotten Damari Monsanto back , he has been a big part of their team and has been injured, they got hom in last game vs N.Car for 15 mins, he made 2 3's all the shots he has made this year are 3's , he got hurt early this year, ;ast year he shot 42% and 40% from 3 , he will be a big part of this game, they have had 9 days to get him involved again, and Pitt has struggled at home this year, they have lost their last 3 home games, so this just looked like a good spot for a good wake forest team to maybe get a win here, this line has went against me it was a PK but i am taking 2 points here, this total seems low at 143, but i guess they are thinking Pitt will hold wake to under 70, i liking Wake do not think so,

Wake Forest+2 1 unit

 

[one51rum]

also Richmond has won their last 3 road games and are on a nice winning streak, and playing really well, a very good defensive team, and they are averaging just 8 turnovers a game , they have won like the last 5 vs these guys, and Fordham has lost 3 in a row at home, and i just do not see Richmond having a let down here, if they lose it will be because Fordham just happens to have a above avg shooting night all around, but Richmond i think is just thee much better team here i am going ML -130

Richmond ML -130 1 unit

 

[one51rum]

and if Humrichous is back for Evansville tonight i really like Evansville here, they finally got a win last game at home over Ill st, and maybe even if he does not play, Ill-chicago has lost 6 straight so this could be a good spot for Evansville anyway , but he is listed as ? right now .....also i like American +1 vs Lafa

adding a 3 team 7 point teaser with 3 teams i do like str up

Confirmation: 3409397​

Date Placed: 01/31/24 05:02:01
Header:
INTERNET: 3 Team 3T 7 Points Teaser(ties no action) risk 110.00 win 100.00
Bet Details:

1. 728 New Mexico -3½ (NCAA Men) (7.0 pts)
2. 708 So Illinois +1 (NCAA Men) (7.0 pts)
3. 702 Bradley PK (NCAA Men) (7.0 pts)

 

[poppers]

Good Luck Rum!!

 

[Cheddar]

You might have talked me into Richmond, GL

 

[Cheddar]

and if Humrichous is back for Evansville tonight i really like Evansville here, they finally got a win last game at home over Ill st, and maybe even if he does not play, Ill-chicago has lost 6 straight so this could be a good spot for Evansville anyway , but he is listed as ?

Don't know if you look in my thread, but Humrichous isn't talking. If I hear anything before tip, I will let you know

 

[one51rum]

i am also going to take UCF+4.5 -120, this team has surprised a lot of people this year, they are 9-3 at home and 9-3 ats at home and 2-0 as a home dog this year, Baylor has lost 3 in a row, i think this is a very close game, last 3 games they have not shot well, but i think that is because of the 2 games they lost to Houston and Cinn, but they did beat a decent Texas team on the road, and did beat W.Virg at home too, they do have a couple that are ? so making this a small play tonight

UCF+4.5 -120

 

[one51rum]

Don't know if you look in my thread, but Humrichous isn't talking. If I hear anything before tip, I will let you know

ty i am thinking he might play, i heard he was close last game

 

[one51rum]

i am going to go with Chattanooga , i like WCU as an away team, they seem to win at home by only a couple of points usually when pplaying a good team, they have showed some vulnerability lately, and Tenn Chatt is playing really well right now, i kind of talked myself into this by not talking about WCU in my write up..lol and i am getting 5, this just seems like a even matchup, they have won 6 of last 7 and have won 5 road games this year, i think they might have a shot tonight so 5 looks good to me

Chattanooga+5 -120

 

[one51rum]

i also like St Johns +2 but i like st johns 1st half +1 they are a decent 1st half team, they avg almost 38 pts at half and give up 32 , i think they could maybe win this game, but i do think they get a good start tonight and find a way to lead at halftime, they are for sure the better rebounding team in this game with a 38.4% offensive rebounding compared to a 29.5% for Xavier,

St Johns +1 1st half 1 unit -110

 

[one51rum]

i do favor a lot of totals tonight i think Fla/KY goes over 170, i also favor the over 144 in the pitt wake game, because i do feel like WF will get over 71 points tonight, i am thinking about finding a TT to play also ...may have been wrong on Lipscomb over that line has dropped to 154.5 so many like the under there, and i think maybe its because they like lipscomb to win and maybe N.Fla does not score as many , which makes sense to me

SO i am adding Lipscomb ML play small

 

[one51rum]

PLAYS
Georgia +6 1.5 units
Over 145 WCU/Chatt 1 unit
Over 157 Lipscomb game line has dropped 3 pts 1 unit would lay off
Wake forest+2 1 unit
Richmond ML -130 1 unit
T.Chattanooga+5 1 unit
St Johns 1st half +1 1 unit

Lipscomb-1 small
UCF+4.5 small

 

[one51rum]

adding one bigger spread play i like ULL, -11 -120 buy half over ULM Louisiana has been playing great, they are scoring and their defense has been solid, they have won the last 2 games vs ULM last year both by more than 12, another thing that makes me think ULL wins big is the Total on this game of 141, because ULM has won their last 3 games and have scored over 80 in each game, and Louisiana is averaging 76 a game, and the last 3 they are averaging 78 and giving up 66, ULM away is averaging 63 and giving up 76 for a -12.8 and Louisiana at home is 73 and 65 +8, i also think there is a good chance that ULL will have a nice lead at halftime, and ULM is only shooting the 3 at 25% this year and ULL does hold teams to 27% from 3, if they hold them to that, and shoot theirs normally that will help big time, they are averaging twice as many made 3's as ULM is, but with this total being low they are expecting a 77-65 type of game tonight, i think this is a 80-64 type of game, ULL has really only had 2 low scoring home games this year , they scored 61 and lost to JM 61-68 and the other was their last game when they scored just 66 but also won it by 20, i think that is why this total is low, ULL big win, they are making about 4-5 more shots a game than ULM is, and i said that ULL is making twice as many 3;'s well ULM makes about 4.4 3's a game but they give up about 9.4 a game, ULL makes about 7.6 a game but they give up less than 5 a game, i think they make about 9 tonight, i am going to go wwith them tonight buying a half pt to -11 almost a big play

ULL-11 1 unit -120

also i just bet Towson st -6 -105 vs N.Eastern tomorrow write up later

 

[one51rum]

also ma\ybe Charleston in their rematch vs UNCW -4 to 5

 

[maddog1987]

PLAYS
Georgia +6 1.5 units
Over 145 WCU/Chatt 1 unit
Over 157 Lipscomb game line has dropped 3 pts 1 unit would lay off
Wake forest+2 1 unit
Richmond ML -130 1 unit
T.Chattanooga+5 1 unit
St Johns 1st half +1 1 unit

Lipscomb-1 small
UCF+4.5 small

So no AMER or EVAN at this point?

 

[one51rum]

2 more plays and thats it with some opinions

USF+3 buy the half, just a very hot team right now, only loss in last 10 games or so was a close loss at UAB, getting 3 seems very fair here

USF+3 1 unit

and i am going with West Virginia +5 at home buying a point to +130, just because, shit happens like last night with VCU, but WV plays well when at home playing good teams, they have beaten Cinncy last 4-5 times they have played, they are shooting the 3 at 46% last 3 games to 22% for CINN , WV has beaten Kansas at home, Toledo at Home, and Texas at Home, Lost by 2 to Virginia, and just lost a close one at Okla st, ..Cinncy is without Fredrick 24 mins 8 points, and Lakhin is ? if he is out i really like WV , but even with him i like this spot for WV, they know they can beat this team, shooting is in their favor at home, cinn should have a rebounding edge though

W Virg+5 -130 1.5 units

PLAYS
Georgia +6 1.5 units
Over 145 WCU/Chatt 1 unit
Over 157 Lipscomb game line has dropped 3 pts 1 unit would lay off
Wake forest+2 1 unit
Richmond ML -130 1 unit
T.Chattanooga+5 1 unit
St Johns 1st half +1 1 unit
ULL-11 -120 1 unit
USF+3 -120 1 unit
West Virginia+5 buy 1 -130 1.5 units

Lipscomb-1 small
UCF+4.5 small

3 team teaser Brad-pk/S.ILL+1/N.Mex-3.5 1 unit

Parlay

Confirmation: 3413145​

Date Placed: 01/31/24 16:31:04
Header:
INTERNET: 3 Team Parlay risk 50.00 win 226.90
Bet Details:

1. 669 St. Johns +3 Buy 1 (-130) (NCAA Men)
2. 702 Bradley -7 Buy 1 (-130) (NCAA Men)
3. 704 Evansville +1 Buy 1 (-130) (NCAA Men)

opinions Bradley-8, American-pk, over 170 fla/ky,N.Texas -7 N.Texas this line just looks like someone is begging me to bet UAB N.Texas may be a play

gl 151

 

[one51rum]

So no AMER or EVAN at this point?

put evansville in a parlay so yes i like them str up,

 

[truthstorm]

Rum,
"Mr. Nascar" from CM here.
I like that Chat play.
I have them as one of my three different "Wrong Dog" spots.
Not a lot of data on it yet, just a few games charted but it does have a winning record.
Good luck with all your plays today.