Here we are again......another Opening Day, and another year of profitable baseball capping. I'm not new to the Rx, but I just starting posting recently. I thought it was time to share my efforts with the rest, as this forum has been very good to me in other sports such as CBB.
I've been developing a sophisticated baseball capping model over the last 8 years, and will be sharing my plays from this system for the entire year. I call it the Blackbox, as it incorporates many different variables that get put into it, and it just simply predicts winners consistently. In addition to plugging in the raw data to my Blackbox in Excel, I constantly make minor adustments for factors that can only be interpreted and applied manually. I spend enormous amounts of time capping these games, and it ultimately pays off. Hopefully we can all help eachother in this forum, and make it a profitable season for all!
Here are my plays for the Opening Day games. Approximately 90% of my plays I flat bet, and thus they will all be 1 unit (unless stated otherwise).
4/2
Cleveland & Chicago - OVER 8 (+105)
Both of these offenses will be improved from 2005, as the ChiSox added big Jim Thome, and the Tribe have several young players coming into their prime. Buehrle pitched about as well as he could last year, so we can expect a drop off in his ERA, and Sabathia should be somewhere in the same range as last year. Additionally, both of these teams had stellar bullpens last year, and you can't expect that both of these teams can maintain those low ERAs once again. All things point to OVER in this matchup. Let's hope the weather cooperates.
4/3
Philadelphia +131 St. Louis
Los Angeles +120 Atlanta
Chi Cubs -124 Cincinnati
Big Z takes the hill for the Cubs in this one, and we should continue to see special things from this guy. He has been on the verge of several no hitters in the last few seasons, and is the Cy Young favorite this season IMO. The Cubs also simply underperformed offensively last season at the top of the order. Now that Patterson is out, and Pierre is in, you can expect at least a .5 increase in RPG. On the other hand, the Reds have played absolutely awful at home in last few seasons, and I don't expect it to change this year. They can tear the cover off of the ball, but the trade of Pena may hurt this team more than they imagined.
Milwaukee -115 Pittsburgh
Milwaukee & Pittsburgh - OVER 8 (-111)
Washington & NY Mets - OVER 7.5 (-110)
NY Yankees & Oakland - OVER 7 (-130)
Good luck.....the baseball season is a long haul, so there will definitely be ups and downs. Hopefully we can start the season off right! I'll take a day something like 5-3 or 4-3-1 to get it started.
I've been developing a sophisticated baseball capping model over the last 8 years, and will be sharing my plays from this system for the entire year. I call it the Blackbox, as it incorporates many different variables that get put into it, and it just simply predicts winners consistently. In addition to plugging in the raw data to my Blackbox in Excel, I constantly make minor adustments for factors that can only be interpreted and applied manually. I spend enormous amounts of time capping these games, and it ultimately pays off. Hopefully we can all help eachother in this forum, and make it a profitable season for all!
Here are my plays for the Opening Day games. Approximately 90% of my plays I flat bet, and thus they will all be 1 unit (unless stated otherwise).
4/2
Cleveland & Chicago - OVER 8 (+105)
Both of these offenses will be improved from 2005, as the ChiSox added big Jim Thome, and the Tribe have several young players coming into their prime. Buehrle pitched about as well as he could last year, so we can expect a drop off in his ERA, and Sabathia should be somewhere in the same range as last year. Additionally, both of these teams had stellar bullpens last year, and you can't expect that both of these teams can maintain those low ERAs once again. All things point to OVER in this matchup. Let's hope the weather cooperates.
4/3
Philadelphia +131 St. Louis
Los Angeles +120 Atlanta
Chi Cubs -124 Cincinnati
Big Z takes the hill for the Cubs in this one, and we should continue to see special things from this guy. He has been on the verge of several no hitters in the last few seasons, and is the Cy Young favorite this season IMO. The Cubs also simply underperformed offensively last season at the top of the order. Now that Patterson is out, and Pierre is in, you can expect at least a .5 increase in RPG. On the other hand, the Reds have played absolutely awful at home in last few seasons, and I don't expect it to change this year. They can tear the cover off of the ball, but the trade of Pena may hurt this team more than they imagined.
Milwaukee -115 Pittsburgh
Milwaukee & Pittsburgh - OVER 8 (-111)
Washington & NY Mets - OVER 7.5 (-110)
NY Yankees & Oakland - OVER 7 (-130)
Good luck.....the baseball season is a long haul, so there will definitely be ups and downs. Hopefully we can start the season off right! I'll take a day something like 5-3 or 4-3-1 to get it started.