Warriors Play for March 11

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Been on a nice run. My warrior picks are 5-0 with the GOY and moneyline winner. This is going to be a VERY tough game to cap. Lots of relevant information for this game. Both teams are in the front end of a back to back game. Mavericks come into town then play Utah tomorrow while Warriors go to LA to play the Clippers. The Bay Area Beloved Monte Ellis returns to Oracle where they still love the guy to death out here. If you recall, Warriors fans booed owner Joe Lacob during the Chris Mullin retirement ceremony because he traded away Monte Ellis. Obviously it worked out great for Warriors and turned the franchise around.

So Mavericks are one of the highest scoring teams in the League. They are currently the number 4 scoring team in the league and have the 6th highest field goal percentage. Mavs score a ton through the perimiter and shoot at a high percentage. This actually is the Warriors strength. They are an EXCELLENT perimeter defending team.


I mentioned last week that the game against Boston was not a let down game, however I believe today is. You can bet the Warriors want to win badly tomorow at the Clippers. Theyre 4 games behind the Clip and with a win 3 is much more attainable. I know Warriors are looking at tomorows game where as Mavs can walk into Utah and beat them easily. The point Im trying to make is I really can see this Warrior Mav game going either way. I can see Warriors squeeking by Dallas or I can see Dallas Beating Warriors outright.

The only good feel I have for the game is the total. I think the under comes through. Klay Thompson is an above average defender that can shut down those jump shooters. If you watch his defense, he is always spot on and leaves very little room for those shooters. Not sure if this is known to the public or if its just bay area news, but Curry has a bad quad. Its very bad. Its affecting his shots. Jackson made it known that hes not going to play Curry very much, if at all. Granted the warriors bench has been playing awesome, I think it helps the under total a bit.

Heres what Im playing: (average bet $100)
- Warrior Mavs under 212 for $100
- Mavs under tt 1H 51.5 for $100 - if this loses im taking under tt 2h Mavs for $210
- Mavs in a teaser (other teams yet to be determined). No way warriors blow them out with Clip tomorrow.
Prop
**IF AVAILABLE (mine arent up yet) Monte Ellis under reb and assist for $200. My props arent up yet, but I will play this if its available. Its hard to judge how many points Monte plays because Klay will give him a lower shooting percentage, I jsut think that Monte playing here again is going to want to take a lot of shots. Last game at oracle he took 20. So its possible he gets over the point prop, but I believe Klay will stick to him well to limit his rebounds and assists. Many dont know this, but Klay claims he became a good defender by guarding Monte at practice. He knows his moves well and should limit his space.
ALso going to play Steph Curry points under. Hes still capable of dropping 20 when his shot is on. Im putting money on that his injury affects him and if it loses I can live with it knowing I had good info and took a shot. Ill put my numbers down once they become available.


What do you guys think?
 

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What betting website are you using where the over under is 212...? or are you teasing it in the same game with mavericks +9? Only asking because I have it with Bovada at 209 and I wanna use your site if 212 is your actual line haha
 

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What betting website are you using where the over under is 212...? or are you teasing it in the same game with mavericks +9? Only asking because I have it with Bovada at 209 and I wanna use your site if 212 is your actual line haha

Sorry, must have been smoking something or dreaming. I looked back at what I bet, it was 210 not 212. I bet Under 210 for $100.
My props are up now as well. Only Monte Prop up is the points so Im passing on that.

Took Curry Under 21.5 points for $150.
Going to tease Mavs, just not sure with what yet.
Still have mavs under 51.5 1h for $100
 

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Took me a while to get back on here. Not that it matters, ended up teasing Mavs up to 15.5 (other 2 teams won thunder and Pacers in that teaser with BYU +14.5 pending) Hopefully BYU keeps it close. Their within 11 now with a minute to go.
 

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Mavs 1H tt under is a winner
Curry prop bet looking great
Under game looking good
Just need Mavs to keep it closer to hit the teaser too.

Should be another good day. I want to make a 2H play but it wouldnt be a good play and it would just be action junkie. Warriors are doing what I thought they would. SHutting down Mavs shooters and their bench continue to play well. Their bench is actually doing a lot of scoring which scares me a bit on the Mavs covering the teaser. Im hoping Warriors let off a bit since they have that game tomorrow with the Clipp. Not playing anything for 2H but I think 2H goes over 102.5. I think Warriors play more of their bench since they are doing well and Mavs should be able to score on that bench. Could be a lot of up and down.
 

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In 2008 I had a 5 Team parlay to win $1500. The first 4 plays won and GS -2 was my last play. GS was up 30 points going into the 4th qtr. Needless to say I was feeling pretty good. Well, GS scored just 2 points in the entire 4th qtr! They were playing the Raptors. The game went into OT and they ended up losing. That was the second time in NBA history an NBA team just scored 1 bucket in a qtr. Mavs were the first team to do it. Just thought I'd share that story.



Raptors 84
(24-25, 10-15 away)


Warriors 81
(21-28, 16-8 home)
Coverage: FSBAY
6:00 PM ET, February 8, 2004
ORACLE Arena, Oakland, CA
1 2 3 4 OT T
TOR 23 16 18 18 9 84
GS 17 29 27 2 6 81
Top Performers
Toronto: V. Carter 22 Pts, 4 Reb, 4 Ast, 5 Stl
Golden State: J. Richardson 22 Pts, 13 Reb, 1 Ast
 

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OAKLAND, Calif. (AP) -- The Toronto Raptors took full advantage of Golden State's stunning two-point fourth quarter.


After Toronto outscored the Warriors 18-2 in the fourth quarter to force overtime, Morris Peterson hit a 3-pointer from the corner with 3 seconds left in the extra period to give the Raptors an 84-81 victory Sunday night.
 

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Great insight & call again, thanks!
 

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Go call on the game, you where right on the money, what you have for tonight? I wish i had read your thread but just signed up yesterday was thinking about betting game over but could not pull the trigger lucky i did not lol
 

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Thank you everyone for the comments. 3-1 last night, 9-1 in these two weeks. So pissed mavs couldnt cover that teaser. I knew Warriors Defense were good to shut down the Mavs, but dam they totally shut down that mavs offense. Thing I hate about teasers are that you can make good calls on the other games, then it all goes to waste if 1 team shits it. I was spot on with the Curry injury and warrior defense. Tonites game is going to be tough to call. Ill post my write up later in the day.

Ill be working for the game as well tonite. Not going to L.A. but doing a little bit of work at the Comcast station in the Bay Area for the game. Hopefully I can get some more insight on the team aura and Currys quad.
 

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