keep in mind guys that i'm here to help,if i can...you will never see me come into someone's thread to bash after a bad day or week. if you like what i have to offer, its good, if not, stay away and dont read.
the jets have started the season with two unders on two low totals of 37. the public stil hopes for a high scoring game because favre is 'due' to explode but i don't think that is going to happen here. the total set for this game is 44.5 which is close to san diego's season average for vegas totals, despite the fact that the chargers went over that with ease twice already this season. the books are not sold on the jets offense and they expect san diego defense to return to their form tonight.
the public sees this game as another high scoring mnf game with jets (who now have favre) getting the cover against the struggling chargers. maybe they will get the cover, but they will not win, and they will not score a lot of points. last week the jets scored only 10 against the patriots and we have seen what the dolphins did to that old and slow new england defense yesterday. the chargers allowed 39 to denver last week but we have seen again yesterday that denver is really able to score points on anyone right now. defensively the jets did a very good job so far this season, especially in the red zone allowing only 3 td's in 9 red zone opportunities. offensively, the chargers look good if you don't know what kind of offense new orleans displayed against the denver d yesterday. if you watched that game, you'd realize that san diego actually struggled moving the ball against denver compared to new orleans.
when the public likes a huge dog and over, it tells me that the dog will have hard time scoring the points. the chargers are doing a very poor job with their run defense right now but i'm not sure that the jets will be able to take advantage of that, with their 4.2 yards per carry offensively. they will most likely go more thru the air, and that's actually san diego's strong point defensively as they are allowing only 6.5 passing yards per attempt in first two games and they faced cutler and delhomme in first 2 weeks.
the chargers will try to go with a ballanced attack but the jets have been good both against the pass and against the run so far this season.
neither team can afford to lose this game. with a loss, the jets would be 1-2 and that's huge with buffalo already at 3-0 and the patriots at 2-1. the jets feel that they can not beat the patriots and now even the dolphins are 1-2. san diego with a loss would go to 0-3, and the broncos are already at 3-0. even the raiders have one win and they have proven this week that they can not be taken lightly right now. san diego plays 4 of their next 5 games on the road and their only home game in that span will be against new england. all that makes this game vs the jets crucial for them. both teams realize how important this game is and in a game of this magnitude, this early in the season, both teams will try to stay mistake free and to stay conservative until the final quarter in order to have a chance to win this game. the jets probably know that they can not win in a wild high scoring game because they have not as many weapons offensively as san diego does. the chargers simply don't want to get into another shootout after losing two straight high scoring games in first two weeks.
the chargers have been one of the best red zone teams offensively in the past few seasons but so far this season they have only 2 red zone touchdowns in 6 opportunities. most of their touchdowns have been scored on 40+ yards passes + one 103 yds kickoff return. the jets defense allowed one td pass of 11 yards and one td pass of 5 yards and that's about it. overall this season the longest pass allowed by the jets is a 26 yarder and they've only allowed 3 passes of over 20 yards. obviously, the jets have a passing defense that can stop p.rivers and his long passes.
we all know that brett favre will go with his long bombs sooner or later but the bad news for the jets is that san diego is not allowing long td passes. if you want to score on them passing the ball, you have to do it in the red zone. all four td passes allowed by sd came from the red zone. the jets are just not getting there often enough to scare the chargers and once there, they are not scoring with the passes. they have only one td pass from the red zone this season.
in conclusion, what we have here is two underrated defenses, one offense that will try to get back to their running approach (san diego) that helped them win tons of games in recent seasons, and one offense that is not clicking as well as expected, which is easy to understand since they've not been together for too long. the total is rather high, simply because we have brett favre vs the powerfull san diego team playing on monday night football. the reality is completely different. important games like this one are won by the best defense on the fied. both teams are well aware of that and they will play accordingly.
teams that start the season with 2 unders are 24-6 under the team total against the teams that start the season with 2 overs.
under 17.5 jets team total
under 44.5 game total
the jets have started the season with two unders on two low totals of 37. the public stil hopes for a high scoring game because favre is 'due' to explode but i don't think that is going to happen here. the total set for this game is 44.5 which is close to san diego's season average for vegas totals, despite the fact that the chargers went over that with ease twice already this season. the books are not sold on the jets offense and they expect san diego defense to return to their form tonight.
the public sees this game as another high scoring mnf game with jets (who now have favre) getting the cover against the struggling chargers. maybe they will get the cover, but they will not win, and they will not score a lot of points. last week the jets scored only 10 against the patriots and we have seen what the dolphins did to that old and slow new england defense yesterday. the chargers allowed 39 to denver last week but we have seen again yesterday that denver is really able to score points on anyone right now. defensively the jets did a very good job so far this season, especially in the red zone allowing only 3 td's in 9 red zone opportunities. offensively, the chargers look good if you don't know what kind of offense new orleans displayed against the denver d yesterday. if you watched that game, you'd realize that san diego actually struggled moving the ball against denver compared to new orleans.
when the public likes a huge dog and over, it tells me that the dog will have hard time scoring the points. the chargers are doing a very poor job with their run defense right now but i'm not sure that the jets will be able to take advantage of that, with their 4.2 yards per carry offensively. they will most likely go more thru the air, and that's actually san diego's strong point defensively as they are allowing only 6.5 passing yards per attempt in first two games and they faced cutler and delhomme in first 2 weeks.
the chargers will try to go with a ballanced attack but the jets have been good both against the pass and against the run so far this season.
neither team can afford to lose this game. with a loss, the jets would be 1-2 and that's huge with buffalo already at 3-0 and the patriots at 2-1. the jets feel that they can not beat the patriots and now even the dolphins are 1-2. san diego with a loss would go to 0-3, and the broncos are already at 3-0. even the raiders have one win and they have proven this week that they can not be taken lightly right now. san diego plays 4 of their next 5 games on the road and their only home game in that span will be against new england. all that makes this game vs the jets crucial for them. both teams realize how important this game is and in a game of this magnitude, this early in the season, both teams will try to stay mistake free and to stay conservative until the final quarter in order to have a chance to win this game. the jets probably know that they can not win in a wild high scoring game because they have not as many weapons offensively as san diego does. the chargers simply don't want to get into another shootout after losing two straight high scoring games in first two weeks.
the chargers have been one of the best red zone teams offensively in the past few seasons but so far this season they have only 2 red zone touchdowns in 6 opportunities. most of their touchdowns have been scored on 40+ yards passes + one 103 yds kickoff return. the jets defense allowed one td pass of 11 yards and one td pass of 5 yards and that's about it. overall this season the longest pass allowed by the jets is a 26 yarder and they've only allowed 3 passes of over 20 yards. obviously, the jets have a passing defense that can stop p.rivers and his long passes.
we all know that brett favre will go with his long bombs sooner or later but the bad news for the jets is that san diego is not allowing long td passes. if you want to score on them passing the ball, you have to do it in the red zone. all four td passes allowed by sd came from the red zone. the jets are just not getting there often enough to scare the chargers and once there, they are not scoring with the passes. they have only one td pass from the red zone this season.
in conclusion, what we have here is two underrated defenses, one offense that will try to get back to their running approach (san diego) that helped them win tons of games in recent seasons, and one offense that is not clicking as well as expected, which is easy to understand since they've not been together for too long. the total is rather high, simply because we have brett favre vs the powerfull san diego team playing on monday night football. the reality is completely different. important games like this one are won by the best defense on the fied. both teams are well aware of that and they will play accordingly.
teams that start the season with 2 unders are 24-6 under the team total against the teams that start the season with 2 overs.
under 17.5 jets team total
under 44.5 game total
