VP's Diamond picks: 4/12/14 ​(YTD 24-11-1 +35.6 Units)

[volcom-pike]

2-0 (+5.4 Units) yesterday. These weekend cards give me the creeps. Too many pit falls for casual gamblers.

RAYS TT OVER 4 (-105) 2 Units
There is no way Alfredo Simon is as good as the Mets made him look in his first start this season. I didn't see anything different mechanically. If anything, he lost some velocity and added a minute amount of movement to his 2-seamer. The Mets just let him have his way with them. They didn't take any pitches, made no attempt to wear him down. 79 pitches in 7 innings?? The Rays have a more patient lineup and several of their players have seen Simon during his time with the Orioles. In 3 games against the Rays, Simon has an ERA of 4.86 going 16.1 innings, giving up 18 H, 8 BB, and 11 runs (9 ER). The middle of the lineup has outstanding power numbers against him and this ballpark is not known for being stingy.

More in a bit.

 

[H20rat]

Damn, missed this post! Looking forward to your plays!

 

[volcom-pike]

1st 5 Innings - INDIANS -0.5 (EVEN) 2 Units
Masterson struggled a bit in his last start, but this is a good spot for a bounce back. He's held the White Sox to a combined average of .232 and holds a career 2.13 ERA against them in a decent sample size of 88.2 IP. Felipe Paulino has flat stuff. Both of his off-speed pitches (curve, changeup) lost some effectiveness after missing a year. They have all lost movement, and his fastball has dropped by an average of 4mph in velocity. His stuff is flat, and although the Indians lineup hasn't seen much of him, I think they'll hit him pretty well early.

 

[varkeyboy]

Damn....missed all the plays....

 

[Defying]

Gl

 

[volcom-pike]

0-2 (-4.1 Units)

Good thing those who missed did. The Tampa TT was a flat out loss, and the Indians gave me a heartbreaker. No time for writeups on these next two plays, because I'm at work and my research is at home.

Adding:

MARLINS EVEN 2 Units

BLUE JAYS/ORIOLES OVER 8.5 (-120) 2 Units

 

[varkeyboy]

Where ya been buddY?

 

[Ballin Shiv]

Where ya been buddY?

clearly not on the rxforum every second like you.

 

[Zzzbaby]

clearly not on the rxforum every second like you.

No need to be a dick, we missed him yesterday I was wondering too... and I've been on the forum less than you!!

 

[varkeyboy]

clearly not on the rxforum every second like you.

Fuck off, douche. Nobody asked you.

Zzzzbaby, there are some dickheads around here. No worries. Let's just win....

 

[volcom-pike]

Sorry guys. Unless I'm riding a hot streak, I generally avoid Sundays. Too many pitfalls out there, and although I've had a good two weeks, I was coming off of an 0-4 day. I'm still checking out tonight's action. I may have a play or two.

 

[Zzzbaby]

That's why were here and some douches come outta left field with negativity... lets just win is right!