*Before reading this, just remember that there are no locks in sports, and anything can happen on any given day. Don't go blindly betting your bankroll on this game just because I love it. Even if I really, really love it.*
Indianapolis (-6.0) @ Jacksonville (+6.0)
Wow. Wow. Wow. I'm just in complete awe of this game. This is a philosophy pick dream. You really can't draw it up any better than this one. Keep in mind that any game that meets any of the following criteria, just a single one, is a game I'd likely take as a philosophy pick. But this gem has plenty more than just one:
1. HEAVY ONE-SIDED ACTION - 85% of the public is on Indianapolis with the spread, 86% are on them ML.
2. REVERSE LINE MOVEMENT - Despite massive action on Indianapolis, the line has moved from -6.5 to -6.0, inviting even more action on Indianapolis.
3. TWO STRAIGHT 30+ POINT WINS - If a team has won two straight games scoring 30 points or more, they often have offensive let downs as it is hard to be that in sync and productive in the NFL week in and week out.
4. TEAM THAT NEEDS A WIN VS. LOUSY TEAM - Learn anything from last week? Every season, the last few weeks, hopeless underdogs play carefree and are very dangerous in spoiler roles against opponents who need wins that have all the pressure on them.
5. DIVISIONAL HOME UNDERDOG LATE IN SEASON - Similar to above, these games are even more ugly and upset prone when the lousy team with nothing to lose happens to be playing a division rival at home.
There will be a very high number of philosophy picks this week, but none will be as beautiful as this one. If you are an outside the box philosophy thinker like myself, you should be salivating at this one.
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: Jacksonville
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: Jacksonville
Good Luck!
Indianapolis (-6.0) @ Jacksonville (+6.0)
Wow. Wow. Wow. I'm just in complete awe of this game. This is a philosophy pick dream. You really can't draw it up any better than this one. Keep in mind that any game that meets any of the following criteria, just a single one, is a game I'd likely take as a philosophy pick. But this gem has plenty more than just one:
1. HEAVY ONE-SIDED ACTION - 85% of the public is on Indianapolis with the spread, 86% are on them ML.
2. REVERSE LINE MOVEMENT - Despite massive action on Indianapolis, the line has moved from -6.5 to -6.0, inviting even more action on Indianapolis.
3. TWO STRAIGHT 30+ POINT WINS - If a team has won two straight games scoring 30 points or more, they often have offensive let downs as it is hard to be that in sync and productive in the NFL week in and week out.
4. TEAM THAT NEEDS A WIN VS. LOUSY TEAM - Learn anything from last week? Every season, the last few weeks, hopeless underdogs play carefree and are very dangerous in spoiler roles against opponents who need wins that have all the pressure on them.
5. DIVISIONAL HOME UNDERDOG LATE IN SEASON - Similar to above, these games are even more ugly and upset prone when the lousy team with nothing to lose happens to be playing a division rival at home.
There will be a very high number of philosophy picks this week, but none will be as beautiful as this one. If you are an outside the box philosophy thinker like myself, you should be salivating at this one.
PICK WITH THE SPREAD: Jacksonville
PICK WITHOUT THE SPREAD: Jacksonville
Good Luck!
