I agree with your <?xml:namespace prefix = st1 ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com
ffice:smarttags" /><st1:City><st1
lace>Boston</st1
lace></st1:City> play. I am a bit surprised to see bookmakers price Buckholtz where they did, but having said that, they have been prone to overpricing the Blue Jays and Romero for quite some time. Romero has surpassed my expectations, but I strongly feel he is being priced at expectations that are too demanding for his talents. He is rapidly approaching an innings count that he has met just once in his career, and recent pitch counts may add to the tax on his arm. Buckholtz is a wild card, but his small pitch count may be a blessing, as you are getting an underbelly of a bullpen at a Buckholtz price. The market is slowly sending the price down, but it should close even lower than its current price. I put in a decent size bet last night with an average price of +117.
<?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com
ffice
ffice" /><o
> </o
>
Strange line movement in the Angels game. Last night I felt the market bidding up a suspect Santana provided value on the A’s. Now the market is going the other way with this one, bidding up the A’s price, and providing small value on the Angels. The market must really be bearish on Saunders right now because the opening bid oddsmakers asked for him wasn’t inherently off.
<o
> </o
>
Lincecum is priced right where I have him. No play.
<o
> </o
>
I liked the Rays more with the original pitching match, but still small value on the Rays with Bannister on the hill.
<o
> </o
>
I am on the others side of the Dodgers game, as Oswalt appears undervalued. He has been one of the better pitchers in the league in June and July, and backed by the better bullpen. The Astros are not that bad of a team, and certainly don’t warrant such a high price in this one.
<o
> </o
>
Yesterdays card has the Cubs as the most undervalued team. After the pitching change for the Nats, the Cubs are once again the most undervalued team on today’s card in my opinion. Stammen is also approaching an innings pitched nearing his career high, and is also coming off his first start where he had to throw over 100 pitches. Not sure why the market is shying away from the Cubs after the pitching change, but I am expecting another V like trading action in this one.
<o
> </o
>
At the current market price, the Indians are slightly undervalued. I have a small play on them.
<o
> </o
>
I played the Yankees overnight at -198. The market was quick to pick off any value on this team, and probably went a little overboard on the uptick.
<o
> </o
>
One of the few games this season in which I deem the Rangers undervalued. Bought them last night at -118. Hovering slightly higher right now, but not much.
<o
> </o
>
Put a small play on the Reds last night at -116. This looks like it will beat the close as the market is sending this game to its true line.
<o
> </o
>
One of my larger plays last night was Hammels at -118. The market is sending it higher, but still think the Phils are undervalued at current market price.
<o
> </o
>
Didn’t touch the Braves/ Mets game on the overnight. But if the market wants to send the Mets price higher, I will take it. They will probably be a small play for me later in the day.
<o
> </o
>
Just got in on the White Sox this morning at -157 for a medium play. More value on him than there was with Buerhle.
<o
> </o
>
Got in a small play on the DBacks last night at +213. I will arb out of this position prior to close.
<o
> </o
>
Got in a small play on the Padres last night at +138. The market has slightly moved against me. Looks like I won’t beat the close on this one.
