Urgent---DAYTONA 500 match-up overlay...IMO

Search

Active member
Joined
Oct 20, 1999
Messages
75,444
Tokens
Kurt Busch +115
T. Stewart

Stewart destoyed his main car yesterday at Daytona and will be using a backup car, thus will be required to start the race near the back of the field. More importantly than the actual starting position is the fact that this is what it is for Stewart, a BACK-UP car, severely hampering his chances of not only winning this race, but even being a contender.


As for Kurt, those who remember last season's Daytona 500 haven't forgotten Busch pushing Penske Racing teammate Ryan Newman to the win on the last lap. Let's face it, Busch had the fastest car on the track in those closing laps and he unselfishly helped Newman win. That didn't happen by accident. Busch is an expert superspeedway driver and his four top-fives in the last five Daytona races show that Penske horsepower and Busch's driving are a great combination at Daytona.

Also, you may want to take a look at some other matchups involving Stewart. I'm going with what I feel offers me the best value, as in most other cases, one would be laying a price of some sort........and in the above situation I feel we have a driver that can not only should be able to hold off Stewart, but one that can also win the race outright.........and we are getting plus money(+115).

Jimmy Johnson is currently -160 over Stewart, a wager that I also believe is a good play, but as noted, just going with the one mentioned.

Good luck, and lets hope Kurt stays out of trouble and avoids the "big one" and his car holds up, if that happens, I really like our chances of cashing here.

FH
 

2009 RX Death Pool Champion
Joined
Apr 3, 2005
Messages
13,603
Tokens
his BACK UP car just happens to be the one he finished 3rd in last week..
 

2009 RX Death Pool Champion
Joined
Apr 3, 2005
Messages
13,603
Tokens
and he won the camping world 300 just hours after wrecking his main car...
 

Active member
Joined
Oct 20, 1999
Messages
75,444
Tokens
and he won the camping world 300 just hours after wrecking his main car...

Well aware of this(in fact, TS is one of my top three favorite drivers)...........and Tony is quite possibly the very best driver at DAYTONA over the past 5-10 years.

Having said that, I would not take his winning yesterdays 300 into consideration when handicapping todays main event...........and in fact, it may actually be a positive, as more square betting racing fans feel that it does, thus enabling odds like we have with Kurt Busch in my matchup play to stay intact for a longer period of time.

There is no question in my mind that taking +115 with Kurt Busch over Stewart in this situation is a tremendous play........of course I feel that way, or I wouldn't be mentioning this here in the forum and/or layed down the large amount $$$ that I did on this match-up.

FH
 

Active member
Joined
Oct 20, 1999
Messages
75,444
Tokens
+122 @ pinny.. thanks in advance fish

If we avoid car trouble, think this a win for us........however, make no mistake about it, that is a major concern, especially at this track.

Nice find with the +122.......tremendous.

FH
 

Banned
Joined
Aug 11, 2007
Messages
5,783
Tokens
Posters in this thread:

Iowa
North Carolina
Texas
Florida

No need to say more..... Enjoy fellers.... keep the continue
 

New member
Joined
Apr 20, 2006
Messages
98
Tokens
I decided to stay away from wagering for or against Stewart. Just too many question marks with the back-up car.

Taking Kurt to finish under 15.5 at 5dimes is a bet I would feel more comfortable with.

Good luck today fish!
 

Active member
Joined
Oct 20, 1999
Messages
75,444
Tokens
Posters in this thread:

Iowa
North Carolina
Texas
Florida

No need to say more..... Enjoy fellers.... keep the continue



:think2:


Enjoy the parrots and soccer in Costa Rica............and living in what some would consider a 3rd world country.
:toast:

Spring training just a few days away here in Florida, along with the NHL, NASCAR, CBB, MLB, NBA, and hundreds of other ways to be entertained...........see ya at Disney if you can manage to get away from Costa Rica, first umbrella drink on me.


FH
 

Banned
Joined
Aug 11, 2007
Messages
5,783
Tokens
:think2:


Enjoy the parrots and soccer in Costa Rica............and living in what some would consider a 3rd world country.
:toast:

Spring training just a few days away here in Florida, along with the NHL, NASCAR, CBB, MLB, NBA, and hundreds of other ways to be entertained...........see ya at Disney if you can manage to get away from Costa Rica, first umbrella drink on me.


FH

I´ll be there in a few weeks, you better show up mofo.

Costa Rica = Paradise
 

New member
Joined
Apr 20, 2006
Messages
98
Tokens
Did anyone else notice that 5dimes has 100 posted match-ups today. I've been betting Nascar since 2003 and that is by far, the most I've ever seen.
 

Forum statistics

Threads
1,119,923
Messages
13,575,296
Members
100,883
Latest member
iniesta2025
The RX is the sports betting industry's leading information portal for bonuses, picks, and sportsbook reviews. Find the best deals offered by a sportsbook in your state and browse our free picks section.FacebookTwitterInstagramContact Usforum@therx.com