J.J.BASCUS POWER RATING NOVEMBER 27 THANKSGIVING DAY&PREDICTIONS & BETS AND GROUP PICKS
Best = Ranks the spreads from high-to-low. A '1' means J.J.Bascus pick for that game has the best chance of winning relative to every other game that week.
J.J.Bascus = Pick. The team the J.J.Bascus predicts to win the game.
J.J.Bascus Power Line = forecast for how many points J.J.Bascus picks will win the game by.
Vegas = Team that Vegas picks to win.
V.Line = Vegas spread for the game (points the pick will win by).
O/U = J.J. Bascus Prediction for Over/Under. Prediction for the total amount of points scored by both teams.
*Home field advantage point spread is factored in with the forecast for how many points J.J.Bascus picks will win the game
J.J. BASCUS NOTES
This is a must-win situation for the Chicago Bears. Chicago will be going up against the playoff-bound Detroit Lions in this matchup. Although Chicago hasn’t been blowing teams out of the water, Detroit has the No. 1 scoring defense in the NFL and shouldn't have much trouble with that inconsistent Bears offense. The Westgate opened the early Thanksgiving game at Detroit -6, adjusting the spread up a half-point within a half-hour of posting it. The Wynn hung -7 (even). The Lions are in an against-the-spread funk, covering just one of their last five games. They return home after losing two in a row on the road. Chicago has won two straight, and its playoff hopes remain alive. The Lions offense has been better at home. Chicago needs some serious help to make the playoffs at this point. Pick Bears +7 To Many Points To Lay
A huge game in the NFC East and the first of two meetings within three weeks between these rivals. If you’re not watching football by the time the Eagles take the field against the Cowboys, you’re blowing it. Premier offenses, massive playoff implications (the winner will take sole possession of the AFC East lead), and Dez Bryant. Dallas has had the upper hand in this series in recent seasons despite the Eagles generally being the more successful team overall. Dallas is 3-1 over these teams last four showdowns, with the lone loss being the teams’ last meeting in Week 17 last season that pushed the Eagles into the playoffs and the Cowboys out. Tony Romo didn’t start that game, and will be eager to exert his will against Mark Sanchez and Philadelphia. The road team has covered in four of these teams’ last five meetings, while the over is 5-0-1 in the Cowboys’ last six games in November. Dallas opened -3 flat before the Westgate tweaked the juice to -3 even. CG Technology was dealing -2.5 on Sunday night. Pick Dallas-3 This Game will a High scoring game from both teams
San Francisco on Sunday won its third straight game, but failed to cover in a 17-13 home win over Washington. Sherman vs. Crabtree has lost some of its caches, with the receiver struggling in his contract year. The game is very important for both teams, considering their upcoming schedules and their standing in the NFC West. At 9-2, the Arizona Cardinals lead each team by two games in the division, and a wild-card berth is the most likely route for the Seahawks and 49ers to make the postseason. Seattle might have the better chance of winning the division, considering they beat Arizona on Sunday and have one more matchup with the Cardinals. However, it won’t be easy for the Seahawks to get the 11 wins that might be required to make the playoffs, since they entered Week 12 with the most difficult remaining schedule. San Francisco is at a disadvantage in the division, having already lost to the Cardinals. The two teams have been mirror images of each other in the past few seasons. Led by young quarterbacks, strong running games and elite defenses, Seattle and San Francisco have won their games in very similar ways. Crabtree does not have more than 85 receiving yards in a game this season, he can't do much downfield, with his 11.8 average per catch worst of his career and he's behind even Anquan Boldin on the team . Is this the game Vernon Davis wakes up? This has been a lost season for the 49ers' dynamic tight end and he couldn't even get it going against a poor Skins secondary last week. Just 21 catches and two touchdowns all season, Seattle closed the distance with West-leader Arizona by beating the Cardinals at home, 19-3. CG Tech opened San Fran -1.5. Pick: This Game Is To Close To Call With My Rating At 1/2 point/NO BET
System Smitty Ryan[ 24-8-2] he NFC East is one of the most competitive divisions year after year, and I love these Dallas and Philly games. The Cowboys go into this key NFC East battle after a terrific victory over the rival New York Giants on Sunday night. Tony Romo was awesome when marching the Cowboys down and scoring a touchdown with a minute left after Eli Manning had driven the Giants into the end zone for the lead. Last season, the Eagles won the last game between these tow teams, but Dallas got the three games prior to that dating back to November of 2012. I see this game being a complete four quarter battle and whoever wins the turnover battle will win this game. I can see this one going either direction, and I am going to base my pick on defense. The great pass rush of the Eagles might not have as much success against the league’s most elite offensive line. The Eagles defense has been exposed at times this year, and they’ve struggled to stop the run. Mark Sanchez is 2–1 as the starter this season, but his stats are not blowing people away. I see a lot of points in this game, but ultimately I have to give the edge to the home team who has the better offense of line and can control the tempo of the game. I think Dallas wins this one, playing on Thanksgiving day is nothing new to this team and as far as preparation is concerned, I give the edge to the Cowboys. Neither team has a great defense, but I trust the Cowboys D to make more plays down the stretch. I like Dallas to win this game something like 27-23.
J.J.> Closest Projected Game: Seattle at San Francisco: No Bet
J.J..>Best Chance (team to win by the spread: Bears+7
~OUR PICKS~
J.J. Bascus: Dallas-3 & Chicago +7
System Smitty Ryan: Dallas-3
Back Room Benny The Jew Dallas-3
HarryThe Hat: Dallas-3
Bee Bee Black Widow: Bears +7 Cutler doesn't follow the stats, either, but he can attest to how Forte has helped the Bears answer opposing defenses that have prioritized covering Pro Bowl receivers Brandon Marshall and Alshon Jeffery.
POOL BET> Dallas-3 ** J.J & Smitty& Benny& Harry & Bee Bee}
NFL Predictions based on J.J. Bascus analysis of offensive and defensive points and yards per game and other statistics and factors. Picks include recent team statistics. Best= ranks best chances to win. These are the type of calculations from J.J.Bascus power rating analysis that Vegas doesn't want you to see. Plus his power rating predictions factors in slightly different factors which give differences with the Las Vegas predictions that can help you confirm and/or make your own decisions.
HAPPY THANKSGIVING FROM THE GROUP AND MANY MORE
