O.K. here we go again, how many times have I quoted the Yahoo Buzz Index and got burned... But still, for a movie to have 33 points on the index, indicating over 25 million, and to get over 21 at +150, now that's some mother****in' value dawg. There are some things going against it. At first the buzz was very strong, but the early screening reviews posted at Ain't it Cool News have been crapping all over this film. I attribute that to the movie-snob/art-fag/loser-fanboy demographic that sight caters to more than anything else, since the movie does blatantly rip off the Matrix and Blade among other things. Still, will this keep the average moviegoer away? I don't think so... but if the movie geeks don't go that's gonna be a hit to the movie's bottom line. It's R, but I don't think that will prevent it from potentially making 30 million this weekend. I don't know where WSEX has been getting their lines recently but they were way off last week, no doubt Once Upon A Time In Mexico had great "tracking" so they had it pegged at 28 million even though no one on the net was predicting a number that high. Now they've got a somewhat low number for a movie some people are calling "highly anticipated." I don't know if they opened it at +150 or it got bet up to that, but even if the tracking was weak for this one I'm willing to bet that the tracking is off this week. Mainly because of the buzz chart, in which it's been doing very well on for over a week now, and now has more points than Mexico did, and that movie made 24 million. BUT it's only #2 on moviefone behind OUTIM so there's another bad indicator. That chart isn't always accurate, though, I've chosen to ignore it. It will be the #1 movie this weekend, no doubt about it.
