Under/Over Women Usa/Aus

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I will appreciate your opinions
on that game total

Usa-Australia Women

U/O 152


Is It just me or the OVER look like a very nice play?

2 high-scoring teams 85+avrg


thanks for your input



:howdy:
 

AKA Cee_MoNEY
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No it isnt. When Usa is facing a team that can give them problems they tend to score less. I see a 81-69 Usa win. This over/under line will be pushed to the limit i feel. Better play is under china/russia. Oddsmakers are dying for you to take the over.
 

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What i dont get is

the teams avrages are

USA 95pts/game
Autralia 86pts/game
total=180pts

Yes I understand they may play more defence in this game
but still
that is 28pts over the line

with the same logic
the line of the Mens Usa-Argentina yesterday
should have been Under/Over155
since they have about the sames stats then the women match-up of today


Why for Women
they are projected to score
20% less pts for both teams
than normal
and not for the mens games
 

AKA Cee_MoNEY
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What i dont get is

the teams avrages are

USA 95pts/game
Autralia 86pts/game
total=180pts

Yes I understand they may play more defence in this game
but still
that is 28pts over the line

with the same logic
the line of the Mens Usa-Argentina yesterday
should have been Under/Over155
since they have about the sames stats then the women match-up of today


Why for Women
they are projected to score
20% less pts for both teams
than normal
and not for the mens games

Because USA and Australia scored that many points against lesser opponents. In womens world basketball there are 3 top teams #1 USA #2 Aussie #3 Russia. #4-#100 changes every year and they suck. This is not the NBA, scoring averages mean crap here. Thats based off 7-8 games. Did you see how many points USA scored versus Russia????????? Its not a horrible bet, however, it is never worth betting big on a over/under, if you think the game is going to end within 1-8 points. PLay it, but do not bet your load on it. I will be on the under (very, very small), goodluck.:toast:
 

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Hey Pat, I was on the wrong side every game the week. I got hammered! Your fav. pick so i could get some back appreciated it! Thks.
 

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Hey Pat, I was on the wrong side every game the week. I got hammered! Your fav. pick so i could get some back appreciated it! Thks.

I think he already mentioned it as being under in the China-Russia game or at least that's the way it came across to me.
:howdy:
 

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Actually Boom, looking at his wagers for Saturday, he doesn't include that under at all come to think of it and I'm curious to know why now myself. Is this maybe a case of you simply not liking it as well as the two favorites Patrick? (if you're about that is)
:howdy:
 

AKA Cee_MoNEY
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Actually Boom, looking at his wagers for Saturday, he doesn't include that under at all come to think of it and I'm curious to know why now myself. Is this maybe a case of you simply not liking it as well as the two favorites Patrick? (if you're about that is)
:howdy:

No, I am simply waiting for the line to continue to raise. EVeryone likes both overs it seems. Both have already raised at least 1.5 point on my book. My favorite play is Russia at (-8), then USa (-8) and lastly the China under. I will have a play on the usa under, but for .5 unit. Look up the last 3 times USA played Aussie and see the scores. Tell me if you still like the over. I did not.
 

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I agree with PB. That 138 is so damn hard to take the UNDER on. I think wait on the movement, if any. I think it's a win-win situation to wait.

As far as the USA/AUS game, I think the play is the over. They gave up almost 60 points to a defunct China offense who pretty much shot poorly and played poorly.

USA women scored 67 points against the best defensive team in the tournament, while shooting 33% from the field. Australia won't give USA the defensive troubles.

I like both USA -8.5 and the over.
I like Russia -8 and MAYBE the UNDER...waiting for the line to move, cuz it's a win-win situation to wait.

Again, I've been getting wrecked, so fade closely :)
 

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Thanks guys! I got to try and get some back by sunday or i maybe missing half of football season.
 

AKA Cee_MoNEY
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I agree with PB. That 138 is so damn hard to take the UNDER on. I think wait on the movement, if any. I think it's a win-win situation to wait.

As far as the USA/AUS game, I think the play is the over. They gave up almost 60 points to a defunct China offense who pretty much shot poorly and played poorly.

USA women scored 67 points against the best defensive team in the tournament, while shooting 33% from the field. Australia won't give USA the defensive troubles.

I like both USA -8.5 and the over.
I like Russia -8 and MAYBE the UNDER...waiting for the line to move, cuz it's a win-win situation to wait.

Again, I've been getting wrecked, so fade closely :)

USA will not be able to score on Aussie like they did against other teams. Vice and versa. They have played each other before within the last 4 years. USA will have to slow their pace a little to insure high percentage baskets. If the line was in the 140's it would be a lock. It being in the 150's and bound to increase, Ill wait for the under. I got suckered into the USA +24 against russia. I am not getting suckered into that over. It is do able and I would not be surpirse if it hit. Thats why I am betting very small. :toast:
 

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Australia
USA 08/23/08(10:00 ET)
Under 151

Australia
USA 08/23/08(10:00 ET)
USA -380

China
Russia 08/23/08(07:30 ET)
Russia -330

$5.00 -$10.71=parlayed

good luck
 

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Where can i find the results of there last games
i only find 1 game result 71-67


where is the world championship site
i did not found it on the web
nothing on the fiba.com site
(no games results except the final)

Anyway Thanks all for your input:103631605

I am stuburn
i will still play the Over and probably lose:ohno:
 

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USA will not be able to score on Aussie like they did against other teams. Vice and versa. They have played each other before within the last 4 years. USA will have to slow their pace a little to insure high percentage baskets. If the line was in the 140's it would be a lock. It being in the 150's and bound to increase, Ill wait for the under. I got suckered into the USA +24 against russia. I am not getting suckered into that over. It is do able and I would not be surpirse if it hit. Thats why I am betting very small. :toast:
I don't like looking back to over a years time. Players like Parker, Fowles, Taurasi, and Lawson weren't around in that span. I'm not saying they're going to score 100pts, but the points will certainly come easier. Also, against Russia it wasn't as much of matter of them not coming easy versus them missing NUMEROUS layups, and NUMEROUS free throws.
 

AKA Cee_MoNEY
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I don't like looking back to over a years time. Players like Parker, Fowles, Taurasi, and Lawson weren't around in that span. I'm not saying they're going to score 100pts, but the points will certainly come easier. Also, against Russia it wasn't as much of matter of them not coming easy versus them missing NUMEROUS layups, and NUMEROUS free throws.

i agree with you totally. Just saying to play it small. I hope you win, you deserve it with the bullshit luck you have had.:103631605
 

AKA Cee_MoNEY
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Where can i find the results of there last games
i only find 1 game result 71-67


where is the world championship site
i did not found it on the web
nothing on the fiba.com site
(no games results except the final)

Anyway Thanks all for your input:103631605

I am stuburn
i will still play the Over and probably lose:ohno:

goodluck man. I am only betting a .5 unit, so I am cool with a loss, only if Russia wins.
:lol:
 

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i hear ya...i definately like both spreads then i do the over/unders, but the spreads have been killing me...

2 .5 losses today, fuck them books!!

the cruelest part is i was going to buy a point before i made the -5.5 on spain, but i was confident in spain to win by around 10-13 pts :(
 

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If i were you
i would not be to confident in the USA-8.5

Aussie played great
and
Usa VERY VERY bad the last game

I will maybe play a small one on Autralia+8.5
 

AKA Cee_MoNEY
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i hear ya...i definately like both spreads then i do the over/unders, but the spreads have been killing me...

2 .5 losses today, fuck them books!!

the cruelest part is i was going to buy a point before i made the -5.5 on spain, but i was confident in spain to win by around 10-13 pts :(

Me too. I thought they would win by at least 10 points. I always buy the half point. I have been gambling way too long not too. :lol:
 

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