Not that he's all the difference in the world, but Goran Suton didn't play in that game. And MSU turned it over a silly 21 times. MSU just playing better now. Let's not forget they just beat Connecticut, Louisville, Kansas and USC in succession. I'm not going to say UNC isn't tougher, but to discount that seems wrong.
Also, UNC just beat Okla by 12 and Nova by 14. Okla couldn't hit the broad side of a barn and Nova missed what seemed like a couple dozen point blank shots. Why shouldn't we expect MSU to lose by 20 to 25?
MSU and the points is tempting, if someone pops with an 8 I'd give it a shot.