UFC on FOX 25

[NewYorkKnight 0]

Nassau Coliseum - Long Island, New York
Saturday, July 22



Chris Weidman +145


At 185, Kelvin has beat Uriah Hall (13-8) Nate Marquardt (38-18-2) and Tim Kennedy (18-6), solid opponents but not exactly world beaters. I don’t put too much stock in Gastelum’s vacated win over Vitor, considering it’s post-TRT Belfort. Weidman has been finished in 3 consecutive fights but all 3 have come from the best in the game (Rockhold / Romero / Mousasi). Both Gastelum and Weidman are wrestlers, so they will find it tough for each other to turn this into a grappling match so most likely they will be forced to strike and IMO Weidman’s striking is better than that of Gastelum’s. Weidman should be highly motivated coming into this one, besides literally fighting in his own backyard, another loss really puts him in a bad spot, and it wouldn’t be shocking if the UFC released him.

 

[PatsFan1283 0]

Yeah I'm gonna bet that too. Not crazy about it as Weidman is slow on his feet and Gastelum has looked good at 185 but damn that is a big #. Especially considering who their opponents have been over the last year.

I could see Gastelum being a little too quick for him but definitely think this line has recency bias all over it. To me it is a fight in the 50/50 range.

Boomaker has +153 fwiw

 

[NewYorkKnight 0]

Agree

50/50 fight so I see some value at +145

 

[NewYorkKnight 0]

 

[NewYorkKnight 0]

Tap Tap Kelvin


$$$$

 

[PatsFan1283 0]

Pretty dominant performance by Weidman. Paced himself, wore Kelvin down rather than punch himself out or spend so much energy going early.

Easy money.