Free card on Fox tonight, starting off will Prelims at 5 on Fox Sports 1. Not a ton of value to note on the Card, but gonna take a little chance here with a few doggies and see if some favs can do work. It's time!!
Darren Elkins +105...................................1 unit -This fight is basically a toss up to me, with The Lil Heathen having a tad of a power advantage on the feet. I'm going to go with the doggie here in Elkins, thinking that he can be a little more crafty and technical on the ground and grind out a close decision here.
Josh Thomson +230.................................0.5 unit -Hopefully these guys stand and give us a great fight where head kicks could be a plenty. Thomson has a tad of a power advantage here I think, but the size of Benson's legs for this weight class can't be denied lol. On the Ground, I lean Benson in the BJJ aspect, although I have seen him submitted on a few occasions at jitz tourneys in the first couple of minutes. Thomson has never been submitted, so this helps my cause of wanting a stand up brawl. The only thing that does concern me is Thomson has outright admitted this is the worst training camp he has ever had, and he is getting old in the fight game like me at 35, so this may play a toll here, but we shall see.
Mike Rio +215........................................0.25 units -a little value here at these odds, so I will go with a very small for the helluvit wager. C'mon Mike, win the fight!
Nikita Krylov +340.................................0.25 units -worth a helluvit for the Hvywt one punch fight is over chance. no way I lay -400 on the Big Ticket, and Krylov's toughness alone is worth the very small wager. One of these 2 doesn't make it to see the final bell. Hopefully Krylov can get it done here. If not, he's only 21 years old and will easily rebound.
Leans
Cerrone -190 -it was a play, but I just can't do it with him not watching tape, which in return, I don't know what else he didn't do, and if he slacked off any in this Training Camp, it may be bad news for the Cowboy as Martins is a legit opponent. The jab,jab,kick may not work for Cerrone here. this should be a good fight to watch. Enjoy.
Pettis -190 -can't lay it as I'm not a total fan of Bruce Leroy, but he has looked good at 135, and both of these guys are crafty enough to make this an athletic battle here
Parlay 1 unit to win 2.16 units
Harris/Krylov doesn't go distance -400 -KO or chokey choke for one of these guys
Viana -295 -this guy is the real deal and I think it shows tonight
Wineland -300 -weird no one is talking about this fight. Wineland is a good fighter. Should get the stoppage here.
Miocic -240 -this one scares me the most, but I think Stipe can keep it standing and GG doesn't like to get hit. Knock him out Stipe!
Enjoy the fights and have a great weekend.
Darren Elkins +105...................................1 unit -This fight is basically a toss up to me, with The Lil Heathen having a tad of a power advantage on the feet. I'm going to go with the doggie here in Elkins, thinking that he can be a little more crafty and technical on the ground and grind out a close decision here.
Josh Thomson +230.................................0.5 unit -Hopefully these guys stand and give us a great fight where head kicks could be a plenty. Thomson has a tad of a power advantage here I think, but the size of Benson's legs for this weight class can't be denied lol. On the Ground, I lean Benson in the BJJ aspect, although I have seen him submitted on a few occasions at jitz tourneys in the first couple of minutes. Thomson has never been submitted, so this helps my cause of wanting a stand up brawl. The only thing that does concern me is Thomson has outright admitted this is the worst training camp he has ever had, and he is getting old in the fight game like me at 35, so this may play a toll here, but we shall see.
Mike Rio +215........................................0.25 units -a little value here at these odds, so I will go with a very small for the helluvit wager. C'mon Mike, win the fight!
Nikita Krylov +340.................................0.25 units -worth a helluvit for the Hvywt one punch fight is over chance. no way I lay -400 on the Big Ticket, and Krylov's toughness alone is worth the very small wager. One of these 2 doesn't make it to see the final bell. Hopefully Krylov can get it done here. If not, he's only 21 years old and will easily rebound.
Leans
Cerrone -190 -it was a play, but I just can't do it with him not watching tape, which in return, I don't know what else he didn't do, and if he slacked off any in this Training Camp, it may be bad news for the Cowboy as Martins is a legit opponent. The jab,jab,kick may not work for Cerrone here. this should be a good fight to watch. Enjoy.
Pettis -190 -can't lay it as I'm not a total fan of Bruce Leroy, but he has looked good at 135, and both of these guys are crafty enough to make this an athletic battle here
Parlay 1 unit to win 2.16 units
Harris/Krylov doesn't go distance -400 -KO or chokey choke for one of these guys
Viana -295 -this guy is the real deal and I think it shows tonight
Wineland -300 -weird no one is talking about this fight. Wineland is a good fighter. Should get the stoppage here.
Miocic -240 -this one scares me the most, but I think Stipe can keep it standing and GG doesn't like to get hit. Knock him out Stipe!
Enjoy the fights and have a great weekend.
