Yo, it's been awhile. I've had a few kids and not had a lot of time to post (or much else) but train, work, family, etc.
Don't follow these, but good luck to everyone! I'm an action guy so I play most of the fights and I play at 5d almost exclusively, because they have good props and post early.
Anthony Hamilton +105 2 to win 2.1
Hamilton/Shamil O1.5 -106 1.1 to win 1
Murphy Inside Distance +260 1 to win 2.6
Murphy in Round 2 +600 .3 to win 1.8
Reneau by Sub +300 1 to win 3
Webb Inside Distance +107 2 to win 2.2
Webb -3.5 -175 1.8 to win 1
Smith/Guimarres won't start Rd 3 -120 2.4 to win 2
BangBus wins in Rd 1 +400 .5 to win 2
BangBus by TKO/KO +225 1 to win 2.3
Strickland/Garcia go 3 rounds -150 3 to win 2
Strickland by decision +250 1 to win 2.5
Campbell/Krause go 3 rounds +120 2 to win 2.4
Campbell +3.5 -140 2.8 to win 2
Joe Riggs +220 2 to win 4.4
Kawajiri/Bermudez go 3 rounds -140 2.8 to win 2
Garbrandt wins by TKO/KO +105 2 to win 2.1
Mendes wins by sub +750 .5 to win 3.8
Brunson wins by decision +170 2 to win 3.4
Carneiro wins by sub +800 .5 to win 4
Cowboy/Cowboy starts round 4 +125 2 to win 2.5
Corrone by Decision +350 .5 to win 1.9
A couple notes:
- I expect the Cowboys to put on a display of great kickboxing for 25 minutes. I think the Brazilian Cowboy has the reach some of the 55ers the New Mexican Cowboy fought didn't have to keep him outside (Makdessi, Martins, Miller). I don't doubt each of them will have their close moments of finishing, but I do expect that Corrone is crafty and creative enough to win in a very good 25 minute fight.
- I played Garbrandt by TKO and Mendes by sub because Mendes is one of the very best BJJ players on the planet. However, if he can't get it down, he will wake up reaching for lights because he's just not good enough on the feet yet. Couple that with the fact he tried to cut nearly 30 lbs in a week or something, and a few failed TD attempts will cause him to gas hard.
- Riggs is not as good as he once was - I get it. But let's not act like Camozzi is a world champ either. Camozzi has a hard time with bullies, and that's what Riggs is.
- Sarafian and Bamgbose was the hardest fight to call, for me. BangBus has a lot of power though and Sarafian just hasn't looked very good. If Sarafian can't secure a takedown early and often, I don't think his hands are good enough to defend Mr. BangBus.
Good luck.
Don't follow these, but good luck to everyone! I'm an action guy so I play most of the fights and I play at 5d almost exclusively, because they have good props and post early.
Anthony Hamilton +105 2 to win 2.1
Hamilton/Shamil O1.5 -106 1.1 to win 1
Murphy Inside Distance +260 1 to win 2.6
Murphy in Round 2 +600 .3 to win 1.8
Reneau by Sub +300 1 to win 3
Webb Inside Distance +107 2 to win 2.2
Webb -3.5 -175 1.8 to win 1
Smith/Guimarres won't start Rd 3 -120 2.4 to win 2
BangBus wins in Rd 1 +400 .5 to win 2
BangBus by TKO/KO +225 1 to win 2.3
Strickland/Garcia go 3 rounds -150 3 to win 2
Strickland by decision +250 1 to win 2.5
Campbell/Krause go 3 rounds +120 2 to win 2.4
Campbell +3.5 -140 2.8 to win 2
Joe Riggs +220 2 to win 4.4
Kawajiri/Bermudez go 3 rounds -140 2.8 to win 2
Garbrandt wins by TKO/KO +105 2 to win 2.1
Mendes wins by sub +750 .5 to win 3.8
Brunson wins by decision +170 2 to win 3.4
Carneiro wins by sub +800 .5 to win 4
Cowboy/Cowboy starts round 4 +125 2 to win 2.5
Corrone by Decision +350 .5 to win 1.9
A couple notes:
- I expect the Cowboys to put on a display of great kickboxing for 25 minutes. I think the Brazilian Cowboy has the reach some of the 55ers the New Mexican Cowboy fought didn't have to keep him outside (Makdessi, Martins, Miller). I don't doubt each of them will have their close moments of finishing, but I do expect that Corrone is crafty and creative enough to win in a very good 25 minute fight.
- I played Garbrandt by TKO and Mendes by sub because Mendes is one of the very best BJJ players on the planet. However, if he can't get it down, he will wake up reaching for lights because he's just not good enough on the feet yet. Couple that with the fact he tried to cut nearly 30 lbs in a week or something, and a few failed TD attempts will cause him to gas hard.
- Riggs is not as good as he once was - I get it. But let's not act like Camozzi is a world champ either. Camozzi has a hard time with bullies, and that's what Riggs is.
- Sarafian and Bamgbose was the hardest fight to call, for me. BangBus has a lot of power though and Sarafian just hasn't looked very good. If Sarafian can't secure a takedown early and often, I don't think his hands are good enough to defend Mr. BangBus.
Good luck.
